Dueling climate reports – this one is worth sharing on your own blog

NOTE: This op-ed is apparently too hot for some editors to handle. Late last week it was accepted and posted on politix.topix.com only to be abruptly removed some two hours later. After several hours of attempting to determine why it was removed, I was informed the topix.com editor had permanently taken it down because of a strong negative reaction to it and because of “conflicting views from the scientific community” over factual assertions in the piece.

Fortunately, some media outlets recognize a vigorous scientific debate persists over humanity’s influence on climate and those outlets refuse outside efforts to silence viewpoints that run counter to prevailing climate alarmism. My original piece follows below.- Craig Idso

Guest essay by Dr. Craig D. Idso

The release of a United Nations (UN) climate change report last week energized various politicians and environmental activists, who issued a new round of calls to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Some of the most fiery language in this regard came from Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), who called upon Congress to “wake up and do everything in its power to reduce dangerous carbon pollution,” while Secretary of State John Kerry expressed similar sentiments in a State Department release, claiming that “unless we act dramatically and quickly, science tells us our climate and our way of life are literally in jeopardy.” 

Really? Is Earth’s climate so fragile that both it and our way of life are in jeopardy because of rising carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions?

In a word, no! The human impact on global climate is small; and any warming that may occur as a result of anthropogenic CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions is likely to have little effect on either Earth’s climate or biosphere, according to the recently-released contrasting report Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts, which was produced by the independent Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC).

This alternative assessment reviews literally thousands of peer-reviewed scientific journal articles that do not support and often contradict the findings of the UN report. Whether the subject is the effects of warming and rising CO2 on plants, animals, or humans, the UN report invariably highlights the studies and models that paint global warming in the darkest possible hue, ignoring or downplaying those that don’t.

To borrow a telling phrase from their report, the UN sees nothing but “death, injury, and disrupted livelihoods” everywhere it looks—as do Senator Boxer, Secretary Kerry, and others. Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts demonstrates that life on Earth is not suffering from rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels. Citing reams of real-world data, it offers solid scientific evidence that most plants actually flourish when exposed to both higher temperatures and greater CO2 concentrations. In fact, it demonstrates that the planet’s terrestrial biosphere is undergoing a great greening, which is causing deserts to shrink and forests to expand, thereby enlarging and enhancing habitat for wildlife. And much the same story can be told of global warming and atmospheric CO2 enrichment’s impacts on terrestrial animals, aquatic life, and human health.

Why are these research findings and this positive perspective missing from the UN climate reports? Although the UN claims to be unbiased and to have based its assessments on the best available science, such is obviously not the case. And it is most fortunate, therefore, that the NIPCC report provides tangible evidence that the CO2-induced global warming and ocean acidification debate remains unsettled on multiple levels; for there are literally thousands of peer-reviewed scientific journal articles that do not support a catastrophic, or even problematic, view of atmospheric CO2 enrichment.

Unfortunately, climate alarmism has become the modus operandi of the UN assessment reports. This fact is sad, indeed, because in compiling these reports, the UN either was purposely blind to views that ran counter to the materials they utilized, or its authors did not invest the amount of time, energy, and resources needed to fully investigate an issue that has profound significance for all life on Earth. And as a result, the UN has seriously exaggerated many dire conclusions, distorted relevant facts, and omitted or ignored key scientific findings. Yet in spite of these failings, various politicians, governments, and institutions continue to rally around the UN climate reports and to utilize their contentions as justification to legislate reductions in CO2 emissions, such as epitomized by the remarks of Senator Boxer and Secretary Kerry.

Citing only studies that promote climate catastrophism as a basis for such regulation, while ignoring studies that suggest just the opposite, is simply wrong. Citizens of every nation deserve much better scientific scrutiny of this issue by their governments; and they should demand greater accountability from their elected officials as they attempt to provide it.

There it is, that’s my op-ed. It’s what some people apparently do not want you to read. While the over 3,000 peer-reviewed scientific references cited in Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts are likely more than sufficient to establish scientific fact in a court of law, they are not sufficient to engage the real climate deniers in any debate. The rise in atmospheric CO2 is not having, nor will it have, a dangerous influence on the climate and biosphere. But don’t take my word for it, download and read the report for yourself (available at www.nipccreport.org). Compare it with the UN report. You be the judge!

Dr. Craig D. Idso is the lead editor and scientist for the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC).

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drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:25 pm

Right, so, therefore you know that there wont be any negative effects in the future no matter how much C02 rises?
The OP didn’t say “likely not have” or “probably will not have”, he said “nor will it have, a dangerous influence on the climate”

Reply to  drumphil
April 21, 2014 1:48 pm

@drumphil – wrong debate. We are not the ones promoting C-AGW. In other words, we do not claim to have the answers. Those promoting C-AGW pretend to have them. yet all their prognostications have been wrong so far.

April 20, 2014 10:28 pm

drumphil;
What the hell does that have to do with the issues I raised. You can talk about anything you like, but you can’t demand that I justify claims that I never made.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
You raised an issue and I agreed with you. Then I made an additional point about the larger picture. If you want to stomp around like an angry child, feel free to do so. You’ll convince no one of anything.
I invited you also to debate the evidence presented on the OP, to refute it if you could. You’ve studiously avoided doing so. You’ll have to seriously pick up your game if you want to score any points.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:30 pm

“You’ll have to seriously pick up your game if you want to score any points.”
Gawd, If only I’d realized there was someone scoring this…. Meh, you can play for points if that’s what you care about, but you can have that all to yourself.

April 20, 2014 10:31 pm

drumphil;
The OP didn’t say “likely not have” or “probably will not have”, he said “nor will it have, a dangerous influence on the climate”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
For starters, we cannot read your mind. If you are responding to a specific comment than quote it first so we know who and what you are addressing.
I already said I don’t think we know this for certain. But like an angry child, you don’t seem to want to accept agreement for an answer. Nor do you want to discuss the larger picture. Nor do you want to rebut the evidence upon which the statement rests.
C’mon, pick up your game. Give us something to work with.

April 20, 2014 10:32 pm

drumphil;
Gawd, If only I’d realized there was someone scoring this…
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Ah, if only you were mature enough to recognize a metaphor.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:35 pm

What you did was this:
“So you are asking us to weigh the outcome of mitigation strategies which have known and massive harm to humanity against the negative effects of something that might happen and for which there is increasing evidence will be mild at worst and potentially beneficial.”
Where the hell did I do any of the things you claim I did there? I didn’t even touch on those issues. Where did I ask you to weigh the outcomes of mitigation strategies against anything? This is an example of you putting words in my mouth, so that you can steer the discussion towards what you want to discuss, regardless of whether or not I actually raised any of those issues.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:37 pm

“Nor do you want to discuss the larger picture.”
What does the larger picture have to do with whether or not the claims made by the OP are justified. This was the only claim I made in this thread.

April 20, 2014 10:40 pm

drumphil;
Where the hell did I do any of the things you claim I did there?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Seriously? You disputed the statement that we know the outcome. If we don’t know the outcome (which is your claim, to which I agreed) then what are we left with OTHER than to weigh the outcome of mitigation versus inaction?

Patrick
April 20, 2014 10:44 pm

“drumphil says:
April 20, 2014 at 9:56 pm
So, what does that tell us about the veracity of the claims made by the OP? I would suggest, basically nothing.”
My take on the OP’s statement is that the underlying evidence, real observed evidence not modeled output, to date suggests nothing dangerous is going to happen to the climate or the biosphere. If it were true it would have happened by now because most people who are in support CAGW claim that the safe level of CO2 is 350ppm/v. We’re quite a bit above that now and the climate is just fine here in Australia.
I understand we sceptics are still waiting for the observed evidence that CO2, and only that ~3% of ~395ppm/v CO2 from human activity, is driving the climate to change in a bad way when we know it was warmer 10,000 years ago and changes in CO2 concentrations follow changes in themperatures by ~800 years.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:44 pm

“Ah, if only you were mature enough to recognize a metaphor.”
“But like an angry child,”
Meh, I’m still waiting for you to provide a quote that shows me “appealing to authority” as you claim I have done. Any second now….

April 20, 2014 10:54 pm

10 grams of morphine will kill you quickly, but 10 grams of fibre (per day) will kill you slowly.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 10:55 pm

“Seriously? You disputed the statement that we know the outcome. If we don’t know the outcome (which is your claim, to which I agreed) then what are we left with OTHER than to weigh the outcome of mitigation versus inaction?”
I disputed the claim of the OP and suggested that it went far beyond what could be justified with the evidence presented by the OP. What did the OP claim?

chinook
April 20, 2014 11:03 pm

Our pathetic, science-challenged politicians label carbon(and anything containing carbon atoms) as dangerous pollution. So, anything or anyone containing carbon must be pollution and also somehow dangerous?
I wonder to what ends that kind of perverted opinion and logic might lead to?

Patrick
April 20, 2014 11:03 pm

“Streetcred says:
April 20, 2014 at 9:06 pm
April 20, 2014 at 1:15 pm | blackadderthe4th says
———
You quote Dr Karl, science presenter from the Australian Broadcasting Company, as an authority ? JOKE !”
And I have only even seen him on after school kids TV programs targetted at 5th graders and above. I do not recall even seeing him on any, IMO, genuine science program.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 11:12 pm

“And I have only even seen him on after school kids TV programs targetted at 5th graders and above. I do not recall even seeing him on any, IMO, genuine science program.”
Yeah, cause real scientists don’t do kids programs…..
1960 to 1964: Secondary school education at Edmund Rice Christian Brothers College in Wollongong, New South Wales. Received a Commonwealth Scholarship for university.
1965 to 1967: Tertiary education at the Wollongong campus of the University of New South Wales, studying for a Bachelor of Science degree in physics and mathematics
1968 to 1969: Master of Science (qualifying) in astrophysics at the Wollongong campus of the University of New South Wales. (MSc (Qual.)).
1977: Studied as a miscellaneous student in computer science at the University of New South Wales.
1978: Commenced studies for a Master of Biomedical Engineering degree at the University of New South Wales (part-time).
1979–1980: Full-time student at the University of New South Wales. Received two scholarships – Commonwealth Government Scholarship in 1979 and Lions Fellowship in 1980. Studied under Peter Gouras in January and February 1980 at Columbia University’s Presbyterian Physician’s and Surgeon’s Hospital in New York to gain extra knowledge in the field of electroretinography (detecting electrical signals from the human retina). Designed and built an electroretinograph. This device is still in use at the Prince of Wales Hospital, in association with the Retinitis Pigmentosa Foundation. Completed degree of Master of Biomedical Engineering. (M. Biomed. E.).
1981 to 1984: Degree in medicine and surgery at the University of Sydney. Awarded the Grafton Elliot Smith Memorial Prize for Anatomy in 1982. Awarded the Alexander James Scholarship for Community Medicine in 1984.
1982: Elected as a member of the Australian Institute of Physics (MAIP).
1986: Completed Bachelor of Medicine and Bachelor of Surgery. (MB, BS).[5]
So, basically just some random dude who only does unimportant kids TV.

Lord Jim
April 20, 2014 11:21 pm

drumphil says:
April 20, 2014 at 11:12 pm
So, basically just some random dude who only does unimportant kids TV.
———————————————
An argument from authority requires a genuine consensus and a properly qualified expert. If someone is proffering opinions outside their field of expertise or in areas in which there is no body of consensus then you do just as well (in terms of validity) to ask the milkman.

drumphil
April 20, 2014 11:22 pm

You know what’s weaker than an argument from authority? An argument against someones authority based on the fact that they do kids TV.

Patrick
April 20, 2014 11:29 pm

“drumphil says:
April 20, 2014 at 11:12 pm”
Yeah, anyone can do a Wikipedia search on someone in the public TV space. All I said was that I only ever recall seeing him on kids TV shows. And in those shows he has made patently false scientific statements which could be easily disproven. I don’t recall seeing him on any other TV program in a discussion about science related topics. That’s not saying he hasn’t.

April 20, 2014 11:38 pm

drumphil;
Meh, I’m still waiting for you to provide a quote that shows me “appealing to authority” as you claim I have done. Any second now….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Ask and ye shall receive:
drumphil says:
April 20, 2014 at 8:49 pm
I would suggest that the belief that this is true is inversely proportional to actual expertise in climate science, and that that this is true even on this forum.

Lord Jim
April 20, 2014 11:52 pm

drumphil says:
April 20, 2014 at 11:22 pm
You know what’s weaker than an argument from authority? An argument against someones authority based on the fact that they do kids TV.
—————————————————————–
This goes back to his comments on it being a bad argument that co2 could have no effect because there is so little of it in the atmosphere.
If he wanted to rely on a consensus argument he could have mentioned the logarithmic warming effect of co2 and then mentioned that it was a matter of contention as to whether there were positive feedbacks that would amplify that warming.
Instead he chose to attack scepticism with a dubious argument from analogy.

drumphil
April 21, 2014 12:08 am

How is that an appeal to authority? It is simply my observation as to varying levels of support for certain ideas between people with greater and lesser expertise in climate science. You may draw whatever conclusions you wish.

drumphil
April 21, 2014 12:10 am

And, I’m still not sure what you were referring to when you talk about my rebuttal? Exactly what was I suppose to be rebutting?

cesium62
April 21, 2014 12:17 am

I’m confused. If “The human impact on global climate is small; and any warming that may occur as a result of anthropogenic CO2 and other greenhouse gas emissions is likely to have little effect on either Earth’s climate or biosphere” then how come “In fact, it demonstrates that the planet’s terrestrial biosphere is undergoing a great greening, which is causing deserts to shrink and forests to expand, thereby enlarging and enhancing habitat for wildlife.”

drumphil
April 21, 2014 12:18 am

“So you are asking us to weigh the outcome of mitigation strategies which have known and massive harm to humanity against the negative effects of something that might happen and for which there is increasing evidence will be mild at worst and potentially beneficial.”
Do you accept that I never asked anyone to do this? Can you actually provide the quotes that show me saying what you claim I say:
“Seriously? You disputed the statement that we know the outcome. If we don’t know the outcome (which is your claim, to which I agreed) then what are we left with OTHER than to weigh the outcome of mitigation versus inaction?”
I was very clear about what my complaint with the OP was. It would seem that your obsession with “scoring” has made you determined to “even up”, regardless of the fact that we both agree the OP made statements that can’t be supported by the evidence they provide.

drumphil
April 21, 2014 12:25 am

Anyway, I wait with baited breath for the next lesson in maturity. I suppose your comment like:
““Ah, if only you were mature enough to recognize a metaphor.”
“But like an angry child,”
are justified because of how immature I am. From now on I will try and live up to your high standards.