Josh on the cloud of uncertainty, er, certainty over the IPCC WG II report

Now that the IPCC WG II report has been released, you can expect a full round of wailing and gnashing of teeth, because they are quite certain the world is going to thermageddon in a handbasket.

Josh stopped along the journey to sketch the trek of the faithful.

Josh-IPCC-WGII-refugees

 

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Jeff
March 31, 2014 8:20 am

Great cartoon – as someone noted elsewhere, the descent of Mann…..
(I need new glasses – I read the AR5 as ARS ….)….

March 31, 2014 8:22 am

That is funny. However, if I wore one of those goatee thingies and worked in climate science, my response would be an imperious “we are not amused”!

Dave
March 31, 2014 8:23 am

I left a post on the Guardian website. I was careful not to use any bad language or insult anyone. I merely pointed out recalling that the scientists were telling me that the level of CO2 in the atmosphere was the main driver of global temperatures 15 years ago, overriding all other factors. Since then CO2 has risen and global temperatures have not.
My post was removed.
I always enjoy a good debate, one that debates the facts rather than attacks the people. And of course, one that ultimately uses predictions and outcomes to decide the issue. I wouldnt, for example, have minded so much if someone had pointed out that my memory was faulty, and that no such prediction had been made, but to remove the comment?

John V. Wright
March 31, 2014 8:25 am

Oh, Jeff…the Descent of Mann. That’s got to hurt. Except, of course, the Mann in question will probably never have heard of Jacob Bronowski or, indeed, the work by Charles Darwin on which Bronowski’s title is an ironic reference, so it may not hurt. Don’t think the warmists do irony.
By the way, you don’t need glasses. Do you?

Generic Geologist
March 31, 2014 8:26 am

Love it! The only climate refugees will be those displaced from their homes by their grants being cut!

Ljh
March 31, 2014 8:27 am

Cloud of uncertainty, excellent! but they really don’t have the foggiest idea…

Generic Geologist
March 31, 2014 8:29 am

Dave says:
March 31, 2014 at 8:23 am
Re: You comments being removed at the Guardian. Don’t feel bad. I was recently banned from Scientific American for pointing out that Michael Mann had not actually received the Nobel prize.
The intolerance of the Alarmists is reaching fever pitch.

March 31, 2014 8:34 am

The problem is not the cloud of uncertainty, it’s the uncertainty of clouds. Cloud feedback is the most powerful feedback in all of climate because it gates solar irradiance on and off. It is the most powerful negative feedback because it mitigates warming from any source. It is the most powerful positive feedback because clouds burn off in proportion to solar irradiance. It is the most uncertain because it is not included dynamically in IPCC Global Circulation/Climate/Catastrophe Models.
The cloud of uncertainty is why anyone is concerned about the machinations of Working Group II or III when Working Group I has yet to approximate climate.

James
March 31, 2014 8:35 am

I don’t think Michael Mann is one of the WG II authors. Fairly sure he’s only an author for WG I
REPLY: No, that’s a caricature of the balding gotaeed “Everymann Climate Scientist”, to which Gavin, Wigley, and others fit quite well into – Anthony

Ken
March 31, 2014 8:39 am

Dave, what you experienced is just a microcosm of the entire enterprise that has all of us so frustrated. The essence of it is–and has been since the enterprise took on momentum in the 1980s–that the conclusion is certain and that it determines the evidence and the logic, not vice-versa. It is a reversion to pre-Enlightenment natural philosophy. Get used to it, because despite ongoing protestations (which are right and proper and to be commended), it’s not, IMO going to revert back in our lifetimes. This is a civilizational issue and civilizations don’t change that fast.

North of 43 and south of 44
March 31, 2014 8:47 am

Jeff says:
March 31, 2014 at 8:20 am
Great cartoon – as someone noted elsewhere, the descent of Mann…..
(I need new glasses – I read the AR5 as ARS ….)….
_______________________________________________
No difference that I can see.

Alcheson
March 31, 2014 9:00 am

I would suggest that we all visit the comment sections on news story sites over the next couple of weeks whenever possible and help counter the major propaganda war currently underway. It is the last-gasp, all out ditch effort for them to save their movement long enough to get the US chained once and for all to their agenda. They succeed, we all lose.

Theo Goodwin
March 31, 2014 9:02 am

Smashing cartoon, Josh! Your critical sensibilities continue to grow.

Alan the Brit
March 31, 2014 9:10 am

As always, a great cartoon! The scientists are playing it down yet the loons are wailing & screaming their heads off!

Resourceguy
March 31, 2014 9:20 am

Once you’ve seen a few science frauds and reporter friends in action with scripted approaches to ignoring empirical evidence, they all start to look alike.

Phil Ford
March 31, 2014 9:23 am

: “…My post was removed.”
Cheer up, I was banned a few weeks ago from another forum because I dared to post the GISS graph showing no significant rise in global temperatures for 17 years or so. I was accused of posting ‘a fallacy’. Yes, actual, observed scientific data is now considered ‘a fallacy’ by climate zealots and anyone who disagrees is to be silenced.

richard
March 31, 2014 9:24 am

Just been looking at some comments at the Guardian, there was a perfectly polite comment by a character – Donlast, just questioning the article on the doom and gloom, i refreshed the page , his comment had been deleted as it was deemed unfit by the moderator’s rules.
I was looking through the Telegraph comments and they seem to let everything through from both sides.

richard
March 31, 2014 9:27 am

Dave says:
March 31, 2014 at 8:23 am
hey dave were you DONLAST, i left you a reply if it was you.

D.J. Hawkins
March 31, 2014 10:25 am

Does the Guardian have an ombudsman to whom a complaint might be made regarding politically motivated moderation? I was thinking that folks might ScreenCap their posts and then file a complaint, attaching a copy of their post. If you demand a review, even if nothing formally comes of it there may be internal pressure generated that will cause the moderator to lighten his or her hand, especially if there is a serious volume of complaints.

March 31, 2014 10:47 am

Mann’s road to hell – paved with rude intentions
rude
n adjective
1 offensively impolite or ill-mannered. Øreferring to sex in a way considered improper and offensive.
2 very abrupt: a rude awakening.
3 chiefly British vigorous or hearty.
4 dated roughly made or done; lacking sophistication. Øarchaic ignorant and uneducated.

richard
March 31, 2014 10:52 am

I started commenting at the Guardian a year ago and very quickly someone became abusive even though i remained polite, his comments were moderated but my replies were deleted as well.
So now when i comment it comes up with your comment is under moderation, once in a blue moon do they let it through, well not for a long while now.

March 31, 2014 11:49 am

Josh,
Yokahama?
Shouldn’t it be Yokohama?
Or am I missing a yok joke?
John

March 31, 2014 12:04 pm

Thanks, John, now fixed and hopefully uploaded soon 😉

David, UK
March 31, 2014 1:42 pm

Oh great. Now I’m going to have a nightmare tonight that Mann and Schmitt have made an unholy alliance and created offspring. *shudders*

george e. smith
March 31, 2014 2:02 pm

Well last night, I got kicked off the Rt. Hon. John Key’s e-mail comment site, for suggesting that NZ, and Australia should take the initiative, and lead the world away from the nonsense of CO2.
They first spam tested me, by asking who is the NZ Prime Minister, which I
passed (twice), but finally said I broke their rules. It might have been my use of the term “idiotic” that ticked off their deconspaminator, and zapped me. I think they done me in once before too.
Quite unreasonable.

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