Ninth International Conference on Climate Change

Ninth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC-9) to take Place in Las Vegas from July 7 to July 9, will feature world-famous scientists and writers, precede FreedomFest 2014

CHICAGO – Is the theory of man-made global warming still credible? Why do surveys show a majority of Americans and scientists do not believe global warming is man-made and a major problem?

Hundreds of the world’s most prominent “skeptics” of the claim that human activity is causing a climate crisis will converge in Las Vegas on July 7–9 to review the latest research and celebrate what they see as recent events that vindicate their opposition to what some claim is a “scientific consensus.”

The Heartland Institute – which The Economist magazine in 2012 called “the world’s most prominent think tank promoting skepticism about man-made climate change” – is joining scores of other think tanks and advocacy groups to host the 9th International Conference on Climate Change at the Mandalay Bay Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas.

Heartland has organized and hosted eight International Conferences on Climate Change since 2008. These events have attracted extensive international attention to the debate taking place in the scientific community over the causes and consequences of climate change.

Conference details are coming together as July approches, but the media and the public

can see updates and register now for the event at the conference Web site.

“The scientists Heartland works with demanded we host a ninth conference this year to foster a much-needed frank, honest, and open discussion of the current state of climate science,” said Heartland Institute President Joseph Bast, “and we just couldn’t refuse. The public, the press, and the scientific community will all benefit from learning about the latest research and observational data that indicate climate science is anything but ‘settled.’”

One co-sponsor of Heartland’s 9th International Conference on Climate Change is FreedomFest, which is holding its annual gathering in Las Vegas from July 9–12 at Planet Hollywood. Several speakers from Heartland’s conference at Mandalay Bay will join the FreedomFest line-up.

Heartland’s ninth climate conference coincides with the release of the fourth and fifth volumes of the Climate Change Reconsidered series by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). The third volume, Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science, was released in September 2012. (Read the Summary for Policymakers.) The fourth volume, Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts, and fifth volume, Climate Change Reconsidered II: Human Welfare, Energy and Policies, will be released digitally by The Heartland Institute in late March, and printed volumes will be available in May.

Visit ClimateChangeReconsidered.org for extensive background on all five reports.

Previous Heartland climate conferences have featured 187 scientists, economists, and climate policy experts from around the world and attracted more than 4,000 participants. Nearly 300 videos of presentations can be found at the archive site for the conferences.

For more information about The Heartland Institute and the 9th International Conference on Climate Change, contact Director of Communications Jim Lakely at jlakely@heartland.org or 312/377-4000.

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The Heartland Institute is a 30-year-old national nonprofit organization headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Its mission is to discover, develop, and promote free-market solutions to social and economic problems.

The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) is an international panel of nongovernment scientists and scholars who have come together to present a comprehensive, authoritative, and realistic assessment of the science and economics of global warming.

FreedomFest is an annual festival where free minds meet to celebrate “great books, great ideas, and great thinkers” in an open-minded society. It is independent, non-partisan, and not affiliated with any organization or think tank.

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Daniel G.
March 27, 2014 3:22 pm

“8. folks who are certain that popper was right.”
Karl Popper, if that’s who you are referring to, is still highly regarded in his profession. Much more highly regarded than you are. (Of that I AM certain)

In the defense of Mosher, who cares if he is highly regarded?

Is your real point here an attempt to say that this whole concept of “falsification” should have no place in science? You’re an even bigger idiot than I took you for.

Mosher never said falsification has no place in science. I guess he just questions if Popper’s description of science and theory selection is that accurate.

Lil Fella from OZ
March 27, 2014 3:38 pm

Obviously Mosher is being paid to comment.

charles nelson
March 27, 2014 3:55 pm

No I don’t think Mosher is being paid to comment.
I suspect that he’s taking anti-depressants and alcohol at the same time.
I recognise that persistent ranting mode we just witnessed above.
A full blown adult tantrum, loud and repetitive – driven by pure rage with a dash of frustration.

Editor
March 27, 2014 4:15 pm

Steven Mosher says:
March 27, 2014 at 9:50 am

“I maybe wrong here but it’s important to note that Steve McIntyre is not a sceptic. If I am wrong then please accept my humble apologies in advance.”

SteveMc is a real skeptic
Most of what you see on skeptical blogs is fake skepticism.
1. Folks who are certain that C02 can have no effect
2. folks who are certain that sensitivity is low or near 0
3. folks who are certain its a socialist plot
4. folks who are certain that the sun dun it
5. Folks who are certain it’s all “natural variation”
6. Folks who are certain that the MWP was warmer
7. Folks who are certain the earth has a magic thermostat
8. folks who are certain that popper was right
9. folks who are certain that UHI has to bias the record
10. folks who are certain that adjustments to the record are all a conspiracy
11. Folks who are certain that the ice in the arctic is melting because of soot, not warmth
12. Folks who are certain that holocene arctic ice cover was low and due to warmth, not soot
13. Folks who are certain that planetary alignments explain everything
14. Folks who are certain the climate is chaotic
15. folks who are certain that the climate is too complex to predict
16. you get the idea

Egads, Mosh, could you be more unpleasant and condescending? First off, the idea that there are “real” and “fake” skeptics seems bizarre … I greatly doubt whether many of the commenters here are faking anything. They almost all seem sincere in their beliefs. So the term “fake skeptics” encompasses the empty set, and little else.
So let me go through your list and discuss them … boring, I know, but otherwise someone will be fooled into thinking that you were right.

1. Folks who are certain that C02 can have no effect

That’s a wide category, encompassing folks who wrongly but strongly believe that downwelling IR can’t heat the planet, as well as heretics like myself who think that the global average temperature is not a function of the forcings, CO2 or otherwise.

2. folks who are certain that sensitivity is low or near 0

And this makes them “fake” how? Craig Idso thinks sensitivity is low … does that make him a fake skeptic? And me, I think the idea of “climate sensitivity” as a stable independent constant value is an extremely flawed and incorrect way to conceptualize the climate … which is why in thirty years we haven’t narrowed the uncertainty of the sensitivity at all. Millions of man-hours and dollars and computer hours have been expended on the question, and despite all of that, our estimate of climate sensitivity is no better than our results from steam-driven computers thirty years ago … to me, that means that the concept of “climate sensitivity” is deeply flawed.

3. folks who are certain its a socialist plot

The push of the global warming activists is certainly in that direction, as has been revealed (often inadvertently) by the UN folks … you may not like it, and it may not be a plot, but that’s assuredly the direction that many folks are using global warming alarmism to push us.

4. folks who are certain that the sun dun it

While I don’t think this myself, because I think that the system is remarkably impervious to changes in forcings of any kind, why does holding this view make someone a fake?

5. Folks who are certain it’s all “natural variation”

As far as I can tell, “natural variation” is a term of art in Climatese that means “We don’t have a clue what is making it change, but we want to look all scientific.” As such, it is misused by both sides in the discussion, skeptics hardly have a monopoly on this one, fake or otherwise.

6. Folks who are certain that the MWP was warmer

Say what? There is a good chunk of evidence to show that in a variety of places around the world it was as warm or warmer than it is today. Me, I don’t think we have much accuracy back that far, wide error bars, so I don’t have a strong position on this question. But for those that do choose to believe that the MWP was warmer, how does that make them a “fake skeptic”.

7. Folks who are certain the earth has a magic thermostat

I think the earth has a thermostat. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve explained exactly and in detail how I think it works (primarily by variations in the timing of emergence of the various thermoregulatory climate phenomena such as thunderstorms).
Despite that, you have continued to refer to it over and over as my theory about a “magic thermostat” … which indicates to me that it is a theory which concerns you so greatly that you want to cast it into the outer anti-scientific darkness indicated by “magic”. People don’t continue to attack on bogus “magic” pretenses and refuse to read the evidence without a reason …

8. folks who are certain that popper was right

How on earth does that make someone a fake skeptic, Steven? Thinking Popper was right has nothing to do with skepticism, either fake or real. This list is a joke.

9. folks who are certain that UHI has to bias the record

Bad news, buddy … UHI has to bias the record. The only question is … how much?

10. folks who are certain that adjustments to the record are all a conspiracy

I’m not a conspiracy theorist myself, although Climategate showed me that in fact they do exist …

11. Folks who are certain that the ice in the arctic is melting because of soot, not warmth

Mark Jacobsen of Stanford gives us a look at the numbers on that question here … is he a fake?

12. Folks who are certain that holocene arctic ice cover was low and due to warmth, not soot

There is certainly evidence that there were nearly ice-free periods earlier in the Holocene. Anyone who says they know the reason is blowing smoke.

13. Folks who are certain that planetary alignments explain everything

Most folks know that I think that is nonsense. But how is it “fake”?

14. Folks who are certain the climate is chaotic

I don’t think I know anyone who claims it is not chaotic … are you saying it’s not? If so, I’d refer you to Mandelbrot

15. folks who are certain that the climate is too complex to predict

I’m not certain of that, but it certainly can’t be ruled out. Given that the climate is the most complex system that we’ve ever tried to forecast, and the relatively small gains in forecast horizon and forecast accuracy that have accompanied unimaginable gains in computer power, I wouldn’t say I’m optimistic that you or I will live to see such predictions become commonplace.
I will go on record as saying that I’m certain the climate is far too complex for the current generation of models to predict … the “pause” has proven that beyond question.

16. you get the idea
There are plenty of fake skeptics.

The only idea I get is the idea that you want to reduce the effectiveness of those who disagree with you by hanging a big bogus sign around their necks that says “FAKE!” … you haven’t defined what a skeptic is, or what would make a skeptic fake, or how we could tell, but by god STEVEN MOSHERS OPPONENTS ARE FAKES!! And don’t you forget it.
Mosh, sometimes it seems like there’s two of you—one guy who posts interesting, intricate, well thought out scientific ideas, claims and questions … and another guy who does drive-by one-line postings, and has an enemies list of people he’s trying to discredit in an underhanded manner.
Which one is the real you?
Finally, let me try to define what I would call a climate skeptic in such a way as to avoid politics, and yet provide a bright-line distinction.
For me a climate skeptic is a person who thinks that the error estimates in the IPCC reports are exaggerated beyond credibility.
And as to what a “fake skeptic” might be, I haven’t a clue …
w.

charles nelson
March 27, 2014 5:17 pm

Willis. My man!

Katherine
March 27, 2014 5:22 pm

Steven Mosher says:
Most of what you see on skeptical blogs is fake skepticism.
[…]
5. Folks who are certain it’s all “natural variation”

You mean people who believe the null hypothesis hasn’t been disproven are fake skeptics? Sounds like you’re doing a Kevin Trenberth, advocating the null hypothesis should be that AGW is fact. Now I remember several papers showing bad station siting and UHI—as well as adjustments to the record—have resulted in reported local and regional man-made warming. But the lingering winter in North America has shown the warming is nowhere global.

heysuess
March 27, 2014 5:45 pm

Looks like the court jester hijacked the thread with one post. Such mischief-making! Well, perhaps that’s his role… ‘made ya look, made ya look!’ Nevertheless, I’ve enjoyed the to and fro; never stop.

bushbunny
March 27, 2014 5:48 pm

Katherine you are so right. There are so many micro-climates in a region, that to have one record apply to all and especially global, is sheer poor science equations. There are many variables involved, and the position of the landmass on the globe. The elevation also of course.
Seasonable variations are not new to us. Pollution of course is a real problem in some cities around the world. So is land erosion and soil depletion, that can be halted. But we are small voices until someone or some people take the principal scientists to task. When they have, they get called names or a law suit awaits them.

Mark Bofill
March 27, 2014 6:20 pm

Maybe I missed Steven’s point. I thought by ‘fake skeptic’ he meant people who don’t apply the same degree of skepticism to AGW alternatives as to AGW. Maybe it’s a straw man. I can’t claim I can’t point to anybody specific and say ‘oh, that’s YOU.’
It’d be clearer if Steven decided to clarify. Based on past experience I don’t think anybody’s holding their breath.

Mark Bofill
March 27, 2014 6:22 pm

Katherine,
Good point. I agree with you.

Mark Bofill
March 27, 2014 6:45 pm

Oops.

I can’t claim I can’t point to anybody specific

should have read

I can’t claim I can point to anybody specific

Pardon my red face and my foot protruding from my mouth.

drumphil
March 27, 2014 8:54 pm

Willis Eschenbach said:
“Most folks know that I think that is nonsense. But how is it “fake”?”
I think the fake bit is supporting and promoting unfounded nonsense, while claiming that the “conventional” version is unfounded nonsense.

March 27, 2014 10:07 pm

I think the best replies to Mosher were:

Anthony Watts says:
March 27, 2014 at 9:53 am
@Mosher. I think the best position is to be certain about uncertainty.

And

Roy Spencer says:
March 27, 2014 at 10:03 am
I guess it depends on whether “skeptic” means skeptical of the consensus explanation, or skeptical of all explanations.

Personally, I think some misconstrued what he said but even if they didn’t, what he said can serve as a caution.
We don’t want to become as certifiable as the Wizards of COz who are certain that CO2 emissions are the doom of Man.

rogerknights
March 27, 2014 10:39 pm

How about “Ninth InternationalContrarian Conference on Climate Change”?
Acronym: NiCoCliC, pronounced Nigh Coh Click.

ferdberple
March 27, 2014 10:44 pm

‘a majority of …. scientists’? Really? I would love to believe that, but is it true?
===============
what a great idea. no need to actually do any scientific research. just get a bunch of scientists together and let them vote to determine scientific laws. just like politicians. pass a law and solve problems. want to end poverty, make it illegal to be poor. want unlimited green energy, pass a scientific law that solar cells are 400% efficient.

rogerknights
March 27, 2014 10:48 pm

PS : or NiCCC, pronounced Nick.

ferdberple
March 27, 2014 10:53 pm

Steven Mosher says:
March 27, 2014 at 9:50 am
Most of what you see on skeptical blogs is fake skepticism.
============
better a fake skeptic than a skeptical fake.

rogerknights
March 27, 2014 10:55 pm

PPS: Dropping “Ninth,” which is just a temporary prefix, CCCC could be acronymized as 4C.

Fabi
March 28, 2014 12:00 am

Very nicely rebutted, wws and Willis.

Mike Mangan
March 28, 2014 1:01 am

Meh, Mosher just loves to come into a room and give everyone a wedgie. The original implication of the “fake skeptic” label is to imply that skeptics know the truth of global warming but lie and refuse to acknowledge it, mostly for their own personal profit. To the best of my knowledge, this label has only been used at platoon level by the likes of Susan Anderson over at Dotearth. Mosher diminishes his brand again by employing it.

March 28, 2014 3:20 am

They need a speaker debunking drought Alarmism, especially with Lake Mead nearby to the conference.

March 28, 2014 3:24 am

Steven Mosher says:
Most of what you see on skeptical blogs is fake skepticism. […] There are plenty of fake skeptics.

Says the fake scientist,
http://berkeleyearth.org/team
Steven Mosher, B.A. English Literature and Philosophy, Northwestern University (1981); Teaching Assistant, English Department, UCLA (1981-1985); Director of Operations Research/Foreign Military Sales & Marketing, Northrop Aircraft (1985-1990); Vice President of Engineering, Eidetics International (1990-1993); Director of Marketing, Kubota Graphics Company (1993-1994); Vice President of Sales & Marketing, Criterion Software (1994-1995); Vice President of Personal Digital Entertainment [Marketing], Creative Labs (1995-2006); Vice President of Marketing, Openmoko (2007-2009); President, Qi Hardware Inc. (2009); Marketing Consultant (2010-Present); [Marketing] Advisor, RedZu Online Dating Service (2012-2013); “Scientist” [Team Member], Berkeley Earth 501C(3) Non-Profit Organization unaffiliated with UC Berkeley (2013-Present)

Russ R.
March 28, 2014 7:03 am

“And as to what a “fake skeptic” might be, I haven’t a clue …”
A fake skeptic is simply one who believes argument “A” on faith rather than evidence (or even in the face of contradictory evidence), but claims to be a skeptic by virtue of disbelieving “not A” .

1sky1
March 28, 2014 3:38 pm

There are fake skeptics, just as there are fake scientists. And then there are fake-science peddlers who are certain about “folks” who don’t buy it. Oh, the perils of marketing!

Roger Knights
March 29, 2014 10:06 pm

This article, in E&E News, presents warmist arguments against the idea that CO2 will help agriculture. Those arguments seem rebuttable to me.
http://www.eenews.net/stories/1059996902