By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
The circumpolar vortex has put this season into the record-books. The United States has just gone through its coldest interequinoctial winter (equinox to equinox) in a century. Hat-tip to CFACT, which has just sent me the graph.
The last U.S. winter colder than this one was in 1911/12, before the First World War.
Thank you, America! Most of Britain has had an unusually mild and wet winter, for you have had more than your fair share of the Northern Hemisphere’s cold weather this season.
Global warming? What global warming?
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john on March 26, 2014 at 6:37 pm
Dave says:
March 26, 2014 at 5:11 pm
so….you are truly one of the stupidest people you know???
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Go easy on Dave, I think he just forgot the /sarc.
“99th warmest in 100 years” gives it away!
What’s annoying is nothing can falsify AGW. The next 10 winters could progressively get colder and colder and still Mann will call it a “faux pause” or the cold trend will be adjusted upward or it will be oddly proof of AGW.
AGW is a religion for some and a gravy train for others. Those die hard.
Oh…why not…
This year my calendar says the vernal equinox falls on March 20 @ur momisugly 16:57 UTC
I liked seeing the term interequinoctial. Its derivation seems straight-forward. Will I ever use it at a bar? No. Still like it, though…
Blockade polar vortex has begun in October 2013, when solar activity was very low, how to the peak sun.
“The worst blizzard in recorded history of South Dakota just swept
through the state. Tens of thousands of cattle are predicted dead and
the much of the state is still without power.”
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/sbuv2to/archive/nh/2013/sbuv19_30_nh_131205.gif
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/Ap.gif
It is related to the geomagnetic field.
http://www.geomag.nrcan.gc.ca/images/field/fnor.gif
interequinoctial. Will I ever use it at a bar?
Only if you want the cute sheila you use it on at the bar to first slap you when you ask her about her opinion of “interequinoctial temperatures.” And then you guilt her into a profuse apology when you define it for her.
Such is the position of the polar vortex on 29 March.
http://oi61.tinypic.com/2yknk42.jpg
Only if you want the cute sheila …to slap youl
Yeah, you’re right. Even just uttering the word might be considered to be an interequinoctial emission. No telling how a lady might take that!
With a few mouse clicks, the graph drawer can GET RID OFF the BIG BLOBS…
and make the graph look PRESENTABLE..
Gees, I tell my year 8 high school students off for graphs that look like that !!!
Lots of comments along the lines of “I wish winter would end. I’m tired of it.”. Pray that the warming trend continues otherwise this last winter will seem balmy by comparison.
I have the items organized in a folder in laptop. When I get the time I might put them up.
I have seen lots of sceptical websites out there but what we need is a kind of resource centre with various headings such as ‘ocean acidity’, ‘sea level rise’ etc. I know co2science has this but they don’t link to the papers. I prefer more direct quotes, less of my own interpretation, bold the salient points etc.
Here is an example showing peer reviewed abstracts of the greening biosphere. (The last 2 abstracts are not linked for fear of going straight to spam).
By the way the http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com is a fine example of a mountain of contrarian peer reviewed abstracts / papers. BUT as you can see it does not appear to me to be organized under headings such as ‘ocean acidification’, ‘co2 fertilizations’, ‘sea level rise’ etc. If he could do this it would be great!
We’ve noticed. Absolutely brutal. Even here along the subtropical Gulf Coast…36 days below freezing. Including last night!
I can never remember the ponds frozen so solidly so late in the spring, in southern New Hampshire. Yesterday was a subfreezing day with gusts over forty mph, with the morning skies a battleship gray. Due to some recent thaws, the snow has a firm crust and is like walking on Styrofoam. My goats, who hate wading in deep snow (as they can’t see what their legs may hit,) discovered the snow’s crust was strong enough to support them yesterday, and when the sun began to shine through the milky overcast in the afternoon, as a brightening smear of light higher in the sky than we are used to, those goats went nuts. They started frisking about over the stiff crust, twirling and gamboling and prancing and kicking their heels. The children were acting the same. (I run a Childcare.) Though the wind was brutal and the wind-chill was vicious, I heard no whining and not a single complaint, (unless it was my own muttering to myself.) Instead I witnessed a huge after-school burst of energy, with the children laughing and shouting and daring the roaring wind to knock them over, and scooting down hills on their stomachs like otters.
The thermometer may not know it is spring, but the sunshine does.
A poor submission by Christopher Monckton :-
1. He conflates global and US temperatures – an elementary mistake given that weather is not climate.
2. He cherry picks a low temperature point on his own graph ignoring the adjacent ‘highest temperature point’ on the entire data set presented, in 2012 or thereabouts.
This is wonderful ammunition for the CAGW crowd.
Weak polar vortex will cause cold spring in Europe and frosts in April could threaten crops.
Worth seeing Jetstream forecast on March 29.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2014/03/29/0900Z/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=24.18,74.22,553
“alleagra says:
March 27, 2014 at 1:37 am
A poor submission by Christopher Monckton :-
1. He conflates global and US temperatures – an elementary mistake given that weather is not climate.
2. He cherry picks a low temperature point on his own graph ignoring the adjacent ‘highest temperature point’ on the entire data set presented, in 2012 or thereabouts.
This is wonderful ammunition for the CAGW crowd”
A poor submission by alleagra
The vitamin-deficient “Pellagra”, or some such epidemiological pseudonym (and if you don’t want me to make fun of your name, have the guts to use a real one), says I err by conflating global and US temperatures. I do no such thing., But if a substantial region of the globe is not warming, then the warming is not “global”, is it?
And, as I may have pointed out in one or two previous posts, even if one averages the temperature records worldwide there is no global warming either.
And I don’t “ignore” the highest temperature poiint on the graph. I display it. But it is not the most recent temperature point. The most recent temperature point is for the present winter, and that, like it or not, has been the coldest winter in a century, Get over it.
Recommendation: more vitamin B3.
Someone else complains that the chart is not drawn to his/her/its liking. By all means feel free to draw a prettier version: the United States, unlike Britain, is still a free country and no one will arrest you for it.
Come on, guys, stop whingeing. It’s been an uncommonly cold winter, and that – like it or not – is directly contrary to what the Forces of Darkness have been predicting. What it shows, yet again, is that Their models take insufficient account of the fascinating variability of the global climate. And that’s just one of the many things that have been shown to be wrong with the models – which is why the IPCC itself has substituted its “expert assessment” for their relentlessly exaggerated output.
I didn’t have time to read all the replies before heading off to work, but does it look to anyone else like that graph shows a downward trend in winter temps since 1940?
Cold has no significance for Warmistas, as they know that everytying is caused by CO2 and its inexorable warming process. The Warmistas continue to predict warming any minute now, despite static temperature records for 17 years. When the Hiatus is pointed out to them, their faith buoys them up and they invent new epicycles (as the Aristotelians did) to explain the event.and the divergence between their predictions and the actual climate.
The CO2 hypothesis is un-falsifiable and deliberately designed so,as that means you never have to dump it when the weight of evidence gets too big. No accumulation of evidence will make them dump the CO2 theory as it has become religious dogma.
You can see two centers of polar vortex at a height of 100 hPa (15 km). Where less ozone radiation is stronger.
http://oi58.tinypic.com/2n0rgk4.jpg
Bob Turner says:
March 26, 2014 at 5:12 pm
Interesting that an English (UKIP) politician equates ‘US’ with ‘global’ !
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Two logical fallacies in one sentence. Good job.
rogerknights says:
March 26, 2014 at 9:15 pm
> Revised version: I’d insert “(Sept. 21 thru March 21)” before “winter.”
In case you haven’t read the rest of the comments yet:
1) Text on the graph says “October-March mean temperature”
2) Lord Monckton was playing with language. He does that. He was suggesting that parts of the US had a 6 month winter. (As I noted above, that’s stretching things a bit in New Hampshire, we’re going to end with something like a five month winter.)
3) What’s so difficult about decoding “interequinoctial” anyway. Just because it’s juxtaposed with “winter” says nothing about which definition of winter is being used. We have astronomical winter (as you inferred), we have meteorological winter (months DJF), and as other commenters have suggested, interequinoctial winter is closest to reality.
No snow melt yesterday, still holding at 14″ like I reported to CoCoRaHS on the 24th
If I have time I’ll post my summary of sub zero days this winter. It’ll take some pretty extreme weather for another one.
Again decline in solar activity.
Region 12010 [S13W51] decayed slowly producing a few lowl level C flares.
Region 12013 [N09W33] was quiet and stable.
Region 12014 [S12W20] decayed slowly barely retaining trailing polarity umbrae.
Region 12015 [S12W81] decayed slowly and quietly.
Region 12017 [N10E07] was quiet and stable.
Region 12018 [N03E11] developed slowly and quietly.