Bob Ward's "rat-snake" ploy

Bob Ward. Photo from his website

UPDATE: it seems that Mr. Ward doesn’t confine his accusations of dishonesty to concerned members of the public like Donna Laframboise, he’s going after Dr. Richard Tol as well, complaining to journal editors about Tol’s publications made years ago – see update below.

It seems the irascible Bob Ward from the Grantham Institute just couldn’t  handle having climate skeptics allowed to give an opinion before the UK Parliament, so he filed rebuttals to every witness.  I’ve been sitting on this over a week, and Donna Laframboise reports that the cat is out of the bag now, along with the skeptic response to Bob Ward, who she labels a “rat-snake” for his intolerance.

Parliament has just published the point-counterpoints, and Donna has let loose with a video response.

Source of Links above: http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/energy-and-climate-change-committee/inquiries/parliament-2010/the-ipcc/?type=Written#pnlPublicationFilter

Here’s Donna’s video response:

and her blog post about this matter:

Bob Ward says I uttered a “a number of inaccurate and misleading statements” when I appeared before a UK parliamentary committee in January 2014. His accusations have no basis in fact.

http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2014/03/05/rat-snake-bob/

========================================================

UPDATE: From Dr. Richard Tol’s website, we have this.

The Ward Effect

Nick Stern’s attack dog PR person, Bob Ward, has reached a new level of trolling. He seems to have taking it on himself to write to every editor of every journal I have ever published in, complaining about imaginary errors even if I had previously explained to him that these alleged mistakes in fact reflect his misunderstanding and lack of education.

Unfortunately, academic duty implies that every accusation is followed by an audit. Sometimes an error is found, although rarely by Mr Ward.

Here is an example. The left figure was in the Final Government Review Draft of IPCC WG2 AR5. The right figure will be in the published report. Spot the difference?

For all the millions of research pounds at Nick Stern’s disposal, the impact is, well, minimal.

=================================================================

Andrew Montford comments at Bishop Hill that:

Bob’s main problem is that he has only one card to play, namely to accuse his opponents of dishonesty, usually at the top of his voice. In this case, he has accused no less than three people: Nic Lewis, Donna Laframboise and Richard Lindzen.

The committee are going to find themselves thinking that he is a bit of a wally. Or a lot of a wally.

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John R McDougall
March 6, 2014 1:07 am

So we have trolls carrying on about “missing modifiers”-sc, slartibartfast et aliter- and we have discussions about whether it is appropriate to compare Mr Ward with some chicken shit snake like a “rat snake”?; an appropriate comparison is with a really dangerous snake (like the Brown, or the King Brown). If he is as described, use an appropriate DANGEROUS snake to complete the comparison.
Too much of the (useful) aggression in this posting has been deflected by BS.

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 1:47 am

Bob Ward is the Policy and Communications Director at the Grantham Research Institute, a “research department” at the London School of Economics (LSE) funded by an American hedge-funder called Jeremy Grantham.
Now for those with some time on their hands check out this hedge fund. Look at their holdings. Can you see OIL? Tobacco? Big Frankenfood? Below are just SOME of their stock holdings.

GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OTTERLOO & CO LLC …
…Filing Report Date : 2013-12-31 …
Occidental Petroleum Corp…
Exxon Mobil Corp…
Philip Morris International…
…Monsanto Co…
http://www.j3sg.com/Reports/Stock-Insider/Generate-Institution-Portfolio.php?institutionid=5682&DV=yes

Here is an item from 2011 on Bob Ward, Grantham, BIG Oil stocks, etc.
http://www.climate-resistance.org/2011/10/warding-off-the-deniers.html
Tobacco, Grantham, big oil and all that.
http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2012/06/08/masters-of-hypocrisy-the-union-of-concerned-scientists/

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 1:52 am

Bob Ward works at a institute that is funded by part funded by money from big oil investments. How does Bob Ward the hypocrite feel about this. Bob and Dana Nuttercelli aren’t really worried about global warming.
GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OTTERLOO & CO LLC – sample of 2013 filings
http://www.j3sg.com/Reports/Stock-Insider/Generate-Institution-Portfolio.php?institutionid=5682&DV=yes
Dana Nuccitelli works for the fossil fuel services company Tetra Tech
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/07/22/dana-nuccitellis-vested-interest-oil-and-gas/

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 1:53 am

Correction:
“Bob Ward works at a institute that is funded by part funded…”

jeremyp99
March 6, 2014 2:04 am

Go DONNA!

mfo
March 6, 2014 2:13 am

Bilious Bob has raised his nasty head yet again acting as the Grantham flunkey for the Church of falsified projections. The IAC report, to everyone except the most deliberately obtuse, couldn’t be clearer.
To all reasonable people (regardless of their position regarding CAGW) the report is unambiguous, in that there are “significant shortcomings in each major step of IPCC’s assessment process” and chapter 2 of the IAC report “identifies and recommends ways to address” those it considers to be “major”.
MP’s should now decide whether Bilious Bob, in making accusations which misinterpret someone’s words to Parliament, is also misleading Parliament.

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 3:09 am

Anthony and co take note. Bob Ward should really take a close look at where the Grantham Foundation gets some of its MONEY. Big oil, tobacco, mining and forestry to name just a few. I am not familiar with some of the companies on the link below so maybe others can find more tobacco, oil and gas companies.
[Brackets & bolding are mine]

Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC…
SEC Report for the Calendar Year or Quarter Ended: March 31, 2013..
…PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA PETRO… [Petrobras – Oil & shale oil]
…PLUM CREEK TIMBER CO INC…
…PORTLAND GEN ELEC CO … [Fossil fuel power generator]
REYNOLDS AMERICAN INC [Tobacco]
SOUTHERN COPPER CORP [Mining]
SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO [Oil & gas exploration & FRACKING]
STONE ENERGY CORP [Oil & natural gas acquisition & exploration]
SUNCOR ENERGY INC
[Synthetic crude from OIL SANDS]
SUPERIOR ENERGY SVCS [Provider of oilfield services & equipment]
TALISMAN ENERGY INC [Oil & gas exploration & production]
TATA MTRS LTD
TRANSGLOBE ENERGY CORP [Oil & gas exploration]
VALE S A [Metals mining]
VALERO ENERGY CORP [Fuel manufacturer & distributor]
W&T OFFSHORE [Oil & gas acquisition, exploitation, exploration]
WESTERN REFNG INC [Oil refining]
YANZHOU COAL MNG [COAL MINING – CHINA]
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1352662/000107261313000232/0001072613-13-000232.txt

Here is the environmentalist Jeremy Grantham on why he is stepping up his efforts for the care and protection of the environment. He also attacks the CAGW sceptics.

JEREMY GRANTHAM – Guardian – 15 April 2013
“We’re already in a bad place. We’re on a sliding scale. The language “it’s too late” is very unsuitable for most environmental issues. It’s too late for the dodo and for people who’ve starved to death already, but it’s not too late to prevent an even bigger crisis. The sooner we act on the environment, the better. The sooner we cut off the carbon dioxide going into the air, etc. The worse accidents we will prevent from happening are 20, 30, 40 years from now. The same applies to food….
There were always people willing to tell you that smoking was OK and that stuff about cancer was exaggerated. There’s a professor at MIT who defended tobacco who now defends carbon dioxide saying it seems to have lost its greenhouse effect, or whatever. And then there are the vested interests. They are the single most powerful force because you are dealing with an audience who wants to hear good news and into the stock market come all the bullish stock market giant firms telling you everything’s fine because they love bull markets because they make a fortune….
The misinformation machine is brilliant. As a propagandist myself [he has previously described himself as GMO’s “chief of propaganda” in reference to his official title of “chief investment strategist”], I have nothing but admiration for their propaganda. [Laughs.] But the difference is that we have the facts behind our propaganda. They’re in the “screaming loudly” rather than the “fact based” part of the exercise, because they don’t have the facts. They are masters at manufacturing doubt. What I have noticed on the blogs and in the comments section under articles is that over several years, as the scientific evidence for climate change gets stronger, the tone of the sceptics is getting shriller and more vicious and nastier all the time…..”
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2013/apr/15/jeremy-grantham-population-china-climate.

Ohhhhh Jeremy. What can I say? LOL. It’s just toooooo easy catching these people out. How can they say these things with a straight face????
Like I said before NEVER listen to a word these people have to say. They don’t really believe in the things they say. They are not really worried about global warming one bit. They are worried about money and appearing to be concerned citizens and want the world to see them as doing something important for the protection of the Earth while financing and receiving funding via its exploitation and pollution. There is a word for that and it’s at the tip of my tongue.

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 3:38 am

JEREMY GRANTHAM – 15 April 2013
“There are five times the amount of proven carbon reserves as we can possibly allow to be burned if we want to remain under 2C of warming, which is now not even considered to be a safe margin. We must burn just a fifth of what’s there. We will burn all the cheap, high-quality oil and gas, but if we mean to burn all the coal and any appreciable percentage of the tarsands, or even third derivative, energy-intensive oil and gas, with fracking for shale gas on the boundary, then we’re cooked, we’re done for. Terrible consequences that we will lay at the door of our grandchildren. Some things might change very quickly, though. For example, the business mathematics of alternative energy are changing much faster than the well-informed business man realises.”
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2013/apr/15/jeremy-grantham-population-china-climate

Then withdraw your investments in these fossil fuel companies!!!!!!! Sheesh.
His investment company invests in oil exploration companies, refiners, distributors, shale oil companies, coal mining companies, cigarette producers and mining. Yet Jeremy is an environmentalists who attacks sceptics. I am beginning to understand how this thing works now.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1352662/000107261313000232/0001072613-13-000232.txt

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 4:15 am

Let’s do the math.

Jeremy Grantham – Guardian –
On whether there’s any conflict in him (via GMO and/or his foundation) investing in oil and gas companies?

……..It also involves different interpretations of effectiveness and propaganda. I have an honest disagreement with Bill McKibben. Our foundation helps fund his efforts and I have great admiration for him……

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2013/apr/16/jeremy-grantham-food-oil-capitalism

Jeremy also tries to justify his oil and coal investments. The point is HE should either invest and stop preaching or preach and stop investing. He cannot be both. A clergyman can moralize to us but cannot be a clergyman who visits prostitutes regularly. When he is caught out he tries to remain as a clergyman while openly admitting he will still visit prostitutes. Why can’t Jeremy see his predicament??????

Bruce Cobb
March 6, 2014 4:17 am

It’s not like she compared him to the Unabomber or anything.

Slartibartfast
March 6, 2014 5:08 am

Hi Slartibartfast!

Hi!

I’m fascinated by your negative attitude here.

“Negative” as in declining to go along with a consensus?

I mean, are you one of the consensus brigade? I bet you are.

You must be relatively new, here. Although I am not now a frequent commenter, I have been in the past. “Consensus brigade” doesn’t really describe me in any way. If you want to review some of my prior comments, they can be easily found.

That being the case, how come – unless I missed it – you haven’t commented on the second of Donna’s links, the one to what the press thought of the IAC’s report

Because like everyone else here, I comment on those things I choose to comment on, and leave the rest to others.
I hope that this helps.

Phil Ford
March 6, 2014 5:08 am

Great video from Donna! I’m a long-term follower of her work in print and online – so it’s good to see her prepared to stand up for the truth she delivered to the fools at that Parliamentary Committee (which I watched live here in the UK). Donna – you go, girl!

Bruce Cobb
March 6, 2014 5:24 am

Paul Westhaver says:
March 5, 2014 at 4:27 pm
Thanks for posting that video of Donna exposing the IPCC. I’m watching it now. She raises very good points, but likens what the ipcc does to a trial determining whether or not CO2 is guilty of causing climate change. But, the ipcc had already decided that CO2 was guilty. What they are purporting to do is determine the extent of its’ guilt. It’s a kangaroo court, in other words.

March 6, 2014 5:25 am

Lauren R. says:
March 5, 2014 at 11:52 pm
“The fact that the IAC report “addresses…shortcomings in each major step” indicates there were a lot of shortcomings. Donna gets this right. But “Addressing the most significant shortcomings in each major step” does NOT mean that there were significant shortcomings in every major step. It means that they only addressed what they thought were the most important ones in each step. It wasn’t an assessment of the quality of the shortcomings–some of them may have been very minor. It was a statement that they were only addressing the ones they thought mattered the most in each step.”
I’m inclined to agree with Brian H (March 6, 2014 at 12:26 am) and thus disagree with your interpretation. But this episode does reinforce my view that the word ‘significant’ should be avoided in any technical report except when used in the specific statistical sense.

Michael Whittemore
March 6, 2014 5:30 am

It is as clear as day that the IAC is saying “most significant” short comes! This is completely different to them saying “there were significant” short comings!
So this what Donna said:
Donna Laframboise was asked by Mr Stringer why she thought the organisation should be abolished. Her reply was extremely misleading: “When the IAC [InterAcademy Council] reported in 2010, it said that there were significant shortcomings in every major step of the IPCC process.”
And this is why she said it:
Chapter 2 of the IAC report is titled Evaluation of IPCC’s assessment process. Its first paragraph includes this sentence: This chapter identifies and recommends ways to address the most significant shortcomings in each major step of the IPCC’s assessment process, based on the Committee’s analysis of current IPCC practices, of the literature on assessments, and community input. [p. 13]
A Rat Snake trying to call others names by the sound of it.

CaligulaJones
March 6, 2014 6:07 am

““Ward’s first two pages are a covering letter bearing seven institutional logos.”
Reminds me of banana republic dictators, their uniforms replete with medals and ribbons…

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 6:42 am

Another victim of Bob Ward

October 19, 2010
Why you should be careful dealing with Bob Ward, Director of Communications for the Grantham Institute
……….I have been a victim of his behaviour.
Last Saturday the Weekend Australian published Old thinking deters crucial carbon debate which was a critique of how the climate change debate is still being conducted using as its centrepiece a hatchet job that Robyn Williams (presenter of ABC’s The Science Show) and Ward perpetrated on Bob Carter, who had a climate change book coming out the following week.
The program claimed that Ward had done a “systematic analysis of the doubters’ works” and that a paper on climate change by Bob Carter was possibly the worst paper ever published on the subject. This claim was used as the promo for the program during the preceding days. I was copied into some email correspondence about the program and decided there was a story in it. I approached both Ward and Williams asking for a copy of the “systematic analysis” and was referred to a paper that dealt only with Bob Carter’s paper. As this could not be the work referred to in the program which referred to “doubters” rather than “doubter” I asked again for the work. I was ignored by Ward and blithely assured by Williams that ”that is what they do at the Grantham Institute”, but without any evidence being provided to support that claim…………
http://www.ambitgambit.com/2010/10/19/why-you-should-be-careful-dealing-with-bob-ward-director-of-communications-for-the-grantham-institute/

beng
March 6, 2014 7:00 am

***
ATheoK says:
March 5, 2014 at 3:01 pm
Rat snakes are a rather large family; most of them with a quiet temperament and are one of the snakes most amenable to becoming pets.
***
There’s an old black snake on my lot that over the yrs I’ve handled so often it doesn’t even flinch when I pick it up — usually to get it into cover away from my cats. Not a hint of fear or aggression. OTOH, the water snakes along the stream attack instantly if threatened.

Jimbo
March 6, 2014 7:08 am

I wonder ‘weather’ Bob Ward has shares in Risk Management Solutions Ltd. where he used to be Director of Public Policy.

Risk Management Solutions Ltd
About RMS
Transforming the insurance industry’s understanding and quantification of risk.
RMS delivers the world’s leading catastrophe risk models in a real-time risk management environment.
More than 400 insurers, reinsurers, trading companies, and other financial institutions trust RMS models, analytics, and metrics as reliable benchmarks for risk pricing, management, and transfer.

————————-
Now here is a bit of coincidence.

“Risk Management Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Newark, California. It has additional offices in Peoria, Illinois; Bloomington, Minnesota; Hoboken, New Jersey; Hamilton, Bermuda; Zurich, Switzerland; Noida, India; Beijing, China; and Tokyo, Japan.”
http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/private/snapshot.asp?privcapId=33867

Climate Audit
Steve McIntyre- May 3, 2007
“Risk Management Solutions Ltd and the 37 Professors”
As noted above, Risk Management Solutions and the professors said that no temperature decline of this magnitude occurred in any Hansen global data. For reference, here is Figure 1 from Hansen and Lebedeff 1988, which shows a temperature decline that visually has considerable similarity to the Swindle version. Certainly the similarities are sufficient that you’d think that Risk Management Solutions and the 37 professors would exercise a little caution before making allegations of misrepresentation to a government agency.
http://climateaudit.org/2007/05/03/risk-management-solutions-ltd-and-the-38-professors/

Harry Passfield
March 6, 2014 7:12 am

Slartibartfast, (who hadn’t the common courtesy to address me by name in his response to my comment) had this to say:

“[Harry says]That being the case, how come – unless I missed it – you haven’t commented on the second of Donna’s links, the one to what the press thought of the IAC’s report
[Slarti says]Because like everyone else here, I comment on those things I choose to comment on, and leave the rest to others.”

Of course you are free to comment on whatever grabs you, but the fact that you have chosen to ignore the full picture leaves you open to the accusation of ‘cherry-picking’ only those things you think support your argument. And there was I thinking that C-P was a hanging offence….at least when carried out by sceptics. Funny old world…

François GM
March 6, 2014 7:29 am

I sent Dr Ward a few questions. Although I was quite polite, I doubt he will answer.
1. Can the global warming hypothesis be refuted ? If so, what would it take ?
2. What is the ideal average temperature for the planet ? Does it correspond to the 1961-1980 average as used, if I remember correctly, by some datasets ?
3. What causes (possible) extremes of climate events given that there has not been much warming (none according to IPCC) in the last 15 years ?
4. Should we not be able to predict (possible) extremes of climate if the mechanisms are known ?
5. When did the Little Ice Age end ?
6. What caused the observed warming in the first half of the 20th century ? Was the rate of this warming not the same as that from 1980 to-1998 ?

Grant A. Brown
March 6, 2014 8:46 am

sc, Slartibartfast, John Rice, and Lauren R. are clearly correct in their criticism of the Laframboise rebuttal. Here’s why:
The word ‘significant’ is a relative term. like ‘tall’ or ‘expensive’, when used in any context except the mathematical one – just as its synonyms ‘meaningful’ and ‘important’ are relative terms. It clearly was not used with its statistical meaning in the passage in question – it could not have been. Just as the tallest person in a class might not be “tall,” and the most expensive car on the used-car lot might not be “expensive”, so the most important result in a study might not be “important”, the most meaningful stanza of the poem might not be “meaningful”, and the most significant flaw in any given step of the process might not be “significant”.
If you find that counter-intuitive, then consider how the AIC report actually concludes: “The overall structure of the IPCC assessment process appears to be sound, although significant improvements are both possible and necessary for the fifth assessment and beyond.” If the word ‘significant’ is interpreted in the absolute sense throughout, then this sentence would be self-contradictory: the process cannot be both “sound” and have absolutely significant flaws in each and every step. If your position rests upon the findings of a report, you had better not adopt an interpretation of that report which commits the authors to a self-contradiction.
Moreover, the sentence in which the phrase “most significant” appears is perfectly compatible with there being NO significant flaws in some steps of the IPCC process: the class designated by “most significant” may be empty; it might designate an empty set. Selecting the most notable quotes from each Act of Othello is compatible with selecting no quotes at all from some Acts. None of this is the slightest bit unusual in English usage.
It is therefore misleading to omit the word ‘most’ in the manner that Laframboise did, and to characterize the conclusion of the AIC report as she does. Whether her conclusion stands on other grounds – I believe it does – is beside the present point. The point I would like to reiterate – since I have issued this warming previously on this website, to no avail – is that Laframboise has a habit of taking quotes out of context and giving them misleading implications. She has been (successfully) sued for defamation over this in the past. Personally, I find this habit of Laframboise of being too-clever-by-half disappointing, because on the substance of both topics she has publicly taken positions on – gender issues and global warming – I happen to be squarely on the same page as her.

Harry Passfield
March 6, 2014 9:16 am

Grant A Brown: You say it was misleading of DL to omit the word ‘most’. Well, using my Mk I eyeball I didn’t see that it was omitted, it merely sat to the left of the highlighter used. As far as I was concerned it (lack of highlighter) did not alter the meaning of the sentence, it merely drew my eye to it. It’s not, like, someone deliberately removed a word, or a proxy series (or even added one or other) in order to completely and deliberately change a report/whatever, is it?

DirkH
March 6, 2014 10:13 am

Jimbo says:
March 6, 2014 at 3:38 am
“JEREMY GRANTHAM – 15 April 2013
“There are five times the amount of proven carbon reserves as we can possibly allow to be burned if we want to remain under 2C of warming, which is now not even considered to be a safe margin. We must burn just a fifth of what’s there.””
…so the other four fifths stay off limits, like under federal lands in USA, reducing supply, at constant demand, making the price of the resources Grantham owns shoot through the roof…

Slartibartfast
March 6, 2014 11:14 am

Slartibartfast, (who hadn’t the common courtesy to address me by name in his response to my comment) had this to say

Please forgive the slight, Harry. This is a discussion forum, and I am not using my real name (obviously!) so I tend to overlook the fact that others are.

Of course you are free to comment on whatever grabs you, but the fact that you have chosen to ignore the full picture leaves you open to the accusation of ‘cherry-picking’ only those things you think support your argument.

I am concerned only about those accusations that actually arise, Harry, and not so much about those that are merely possible.
“Cherry-picking” is a particularly inapt possible accusation, here, because my only argument is that Ms. Laframboise has mischaracterized the document she’s quoting. As I have read said document, and completely viewed her response, whatever else she has to say about this or any other matter is irrelevant.
That’s where I am coming from. I’m not defending Ward or the IPCC, nor am I claiming that anything else Ms. Laframboise has to say is faulty. Just this video.