Mark Steyn writes about this bit of an omen for the upcoming heated legal battle:
In other news, the DC Superior Court building – scene of the forthcoming Mann vs Steyn trial – caught fire today. Fortunately, I have a watertight alibi.
Wasn’t it Oliver Wendell Holmes who said there is no right to shout “Fire!” in a crowded courthouse?
D.C. Superior Court’s main courthouse is closed for the day after a small fire.
A court spokeswoman says the fire broke out in the Moultrie Courthouse on Indiana Avenue northwest on Tuesday morning and the building was evacuated. She says because of smoke in the building and water damage, proceedings set to be held in the building are postponed until Wednesday. Jurors involved in cases being heard in the main courthouse should not report.
Cases being heard in other buildings will proceed as scheduled Tuesday and officials expect to resume full operations in the main courthouse on Wednesday.
Source: http://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/DC-Superior-Court-Closed-After-Small-Fire-244897501.html
Meanwhile, Michael Mann-wise, Brandon Shollenberger is attempting to catalogue “the most egregious Mann misstatements, incompetent work or deceptions“. Feel free to chip in: it’s a worthwhile project, and fun for all the family.
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ttfn says:
February 11, 2014 at 6:16 pm
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ttfn: That is a great find. Can you imagine if Mann had sued Steyn then, in the heat of the early days of Climategate? He would have been excoriated by public opinion. But that piece shows Steyn’s genius and abiltity to cut through the nonsense and get to the crux of the argument. It was devastating to Mann and the IPCC authors. So Mann held his hatred of Steyn close to his vest and then three years later acted upon it. Steyn is just as specific in his accusation of fraud in that 2009 piece when he says “Confronted by serious questions from Stephen McIntyre, the dogged Ontario retiree whose Climate Audit website exposed the fraud of Dr. Mann’s global-warming “hockey stick” graph), . . .” as he was three years later in the piece quoting Simberg. He essentially repeated himself. Why is it so much more offensive now than it was then?
No, what the little Mann did was wait until Steyn quoted someone else who made an incendiary analogy between molesting children and molesting data, an analogy that even Steyn found distasteful. He did that so he could tie Steyn and NR in with that kind of intemperate rhetoric.
Selective outrage and tactical use of the legal process to squelch dissent. That’s what Mann is doing.
You’ve linked a great article for Steyn to use in his defense because it thoroughly explains Steyn’s obvious antipathy for Mann, which derives from Mann’s corrupt rigging of the peer-reviewed process. That’s why Steyn dislikes Mann– he’s a soviet-style ideological scientist. It’s not only that Mann doesn’t want his scientific output to be challenged, he wants to destroy the professional lives of those who have alternative theories.
In other words, Steyn’s contempt for Mann is eminently defensible from a scientific and intellectual point of view. As a polemicist, he was doing his job in alerting the public to scientific malfeasance. If he is convicted of defamation for that, we are all in very deep trouble.
“The Scopes Monkey Trial of the 21st Century”
Where is Spencer Tracy when we need him the most? It was bloody inconsiderate of him to die on us like that.
Bill Illis says:
February 11, 2014 at 7:08 pm
Teleconnection, Remember when “the rain in Spain fell mainly in Maine”?
ummmm
Steyn also quoted a line by another conservative writer (Rand Simberg) that called Mann “the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except that instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data.” (Simberg and the free market think tank for which he works, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, are also named in the suit.)
http://www.salon.com/2014/01/30/a_defamation_lawsuit_may_kill_national_review/
Im sorry, but that kind of hate speech against a private individual is simply slanderous. Willful and illegal. These guys are in REAL trouble. No wonder the National Review the American Enterprise Institute and Mr. Steyn all did everything the could to avoid having to participate in discovery.
I see a big settlement coming to Michael Mann, I hope he turns them down and continues with the prosecution!
ch quoted Mann saying:
February 11, 2014 at 5:33 pm
“As the article notes, if this (El Nino event) does happen, we will likely see a new global temperature record in 2015,” Mann said. “Perhaps that will put to rest once and for all the silly notion, promoted by climate change contrarians, that climate change has ‘stopped’.
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LOL! Is Mann really this stupid? Is his understanding of statistics really this bad???
There has been 17.5 years of no warming trend, so a little temperature blip from a single El Nino even will hardly be sufficient to significantly change a 19-year (after next El Nino ends) flat/falling trends, especially after it will be followed by a La Nina event, which will more or less negate any short-term blip from the El Nino…
There has already been two El Nino events (2003 and 2010) this century, which have not caused the temperature trend to rise…. A third one won’t change anything.
When the next El Nino/La Nina cycle ends around the end of 2017, there will have been 21.5 years of flat/falling temperature trends. By that time, the discrepancy between climate model projections and observations should be so great (well over 2 standard deviations), there is no way CAGW can survive the Scientific Method….
Yes, there are a few ifs, involved, but by the start of 2018, there will be falling sunspot activity, the PDO will be 10 years into its 30-yr cool cycle, the AMO will be close to starting its 30-yr cool cycle, the next solar cycle may be the lowest since 1715 and roughly 40% of ALL CO2 emissions since 1750 will have been emitted over just the last 21 years with no warming trend to show for it….
Hey, what happened to the positive feedback loop CO2 was supposed to cause?? Oh, my…
Hand waving and bogus dog-ate-my-homework excuses to explain away the lack of warming trend will be untenable by 2018…
This puppy is toast.
as soon as i saw the headline, i knew only Readfearn could have written this “thing”:
12 Feb: Guardian: Graham Readfearn: The ‘pause’ in global warming is not even a thing
All signs point to an acceleration of human-caused climate change. So why all this talk of a pause?
The idea that global warming has “paused” or is currently chillaxing in a comfy chair with the words “hiatus” written on it has been getting a good run in the media of late…
But here’s the thing.
There never was a “pause” in global warming or climate change. For practical purposes, the so-called “pause” in global warming is not even a thing.
The study in question was led by Professor Matt England at the University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre…
England told me:
“Global warming has not stopped. People should understand that the planet is a closed system. As we increase our emissions of greenhouse gases, the fundamental thermal dynamics tells us we have added heat into the system. Once it’s trapped, it can go to a myriad of places – land surface, oceans, ice shelves, ice sheets, glaciers for example.”
Media outlets across the world have extensively covered England’s paper…
Andrew Bolt, News Corporation Australia’s in-house climate science mangler, could not hide his excitement that Professor England apparently now “admits” that global warming has stopped.
Yet when it’s all put into context, ***practically all the signs show the impacts of human-caused climate change are trending dramatically in the wrong direction – just as they have been for several decades…
Not so much a “pause” as a “fast forward”
While some thought climate change was on “pause” the reality is that the world’s big fat fingers have been stuck on the fast-forward button.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/planet-oz/2014/feb/12/global-warming-fake-pause-hiatus-climate-change
@ur momisugly jai mitchell
February 11, 2014 at 8:20 pm
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Your understanding of the law in this case is on par with my understanding of nuclear physics. I was an English major in college.
“But they have failed [Mann]! It’s the same people [Mann] who, again and again, have brought us to the brink of destruction [Mann]! Who’ve polluted our air [Mann], who’ve poisoned our water [Mann]! Now these scientists [Mann] have had their chance. Are these the kind of people [Mann] that you want talking to your God for you?”
From “Contact”.
Can I ask – are you deluded? Or possibly lacking in an exposure to, or an education in, any kind of rational thinking (methods or processes) resulting in this repeated exhibition of stupidity?
Or are you ‘paid’, maybe? By the post or maybe ‘by the word’, throwing veritable dribble up onto these pages?
Which is it iai?
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There is a problem with the characterization of this trial as “the Scopes Monkey Trial of the 21st Century.” Scopes lost.
I fear that is what we are going to see here, as well. Legal decisions in the US are determined more by who has the deeper pockets and the backing of the state, and less by who is actually in the right.
jai mitchell says:
February 11, 2014 at 8:20 pm
” … Im sorry, but that kind of hate speech against a private individual is simply slanderous. Willful and illegal. …”
—-l
Do you think the term “denier” would qualify as hate speech?
After the whole affair has run its course, I predict that most of the (thinking) world will conclude that it was Mann after all, in the library, with the hocky stick.
I’m not at all surprised. Obama can never give up power, so sooner or later he had to stage a “Reichstag fire”.
Paul Pierett says: “There is the scandal with the emails.”
\When it comes to demonstrating INTENT to defraud, these appear to be the easiest evidence for ordinary jurors to understand without expert knowledge of statistics.
BTW, just what is a “jury of peers” in a case like this?
http://www.indiegogo.com
I would never try to predict (project?) the outcome of a trial in which the most esoteric of legal nuance can drive the ultimate outcome. While I suspect that there was some untoward science involved in the creation of the hockey stick, amongst other possible transgressions, Steyn may (emphasis on ‘may’) have left himself exposed in stating – or even re-stating – an absolute (in my opinion). That said, I wish him the best and hope that any needed evidence to exonerate him is forthcoming.
tancred says:
February 11, 2014 at 10:09 pm
“BTW, just what is a “jury of peers” in a case like this?”
Having read many of Mark Steyn’s articles, he has no peers. Case dismissed!
Having read several of the examples at the Shollenberger link, and assuming those examples can be verified, I feel better for Steyn’s chances at prevailing. A great link. Reminded me of several claims made against Mann over the years. Cheers to Shollenberger for his undertaking.
jai mitchell says:
February 11, 2014 at 8:20 pm
“Steyn also quoted a line by another conservative writer (Rand Simberg) that called Mann “the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except that instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data.” (Simberg and the free market think tank for which he works, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, are also named in the suit.)
http://www.salon.com/2014/01/30/a_defamation_lawsuit_may_kill_national_review/
Im sorry, but that kind of hate speech against a private individual is simply slanderous. Willful and illegal.”
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Ummmmm….
No, actually under US Supreme Court’s ruling in the Brandenburg v Ohio case, even HATE speech is protected under the 1st Amendment….
Hilarious satire, which Steyn excels, is certainly MORE than protected under the 1st Amendment right to free speech and doubly protected under the freedom of the press, which is also a separate provision of the 1st Amendment…
About the only types of speech that aren’t protected under the 1st Amendment are: child pornography, speech advocating the VIOLENT overthrow of the US government, verbal threats of bodily harm, sexual harassment and malicious, intentional and knowingly false statements about a non-public figure that has caused substantive damages….
Mann doesn’t have a case…
while u discuss mann/steyn, please note this:
12 Feb: Bloomberg: Mark Drajem: Capturing Carbon May Add 80% to Electric Costs: Official
Capturing carbon from coal-burning power plants would increase the cost of electricity at those facilities by as much as 80 percent, more than utilities would get by selling the carbon, an Energy Department official said.
Julio Friedmann, the deputy assistant secretary of the Energy Department, told a congressional hearing today that his office is working to develop joint carbon-capture projects with utilities. As the technology advances, costs to install the equipment can be cut in half, he said.
“We cannot attract private investment in the first plant, absent government support,” Friedmann told a panel of the House Energy and Commerce committee. “We need second-generation large pilot projects” to bring down costs, he said…
“We still don’t have a replicable model,” Louisiana Republican Representative Steve Scalise said. “Consumers are concerned about whether or not that’s going to increase their electricity rates.”
Friedmann said the first carbon-capture plants will increase the cost of building and operating a plant by 70 percent to 80 percent for wholesale electricity rates. Those plants can recoup about half the cost by selling the carbon dioxide…
The Energy Department provided $270 million to Southern Co. (SO) for its carbon-capture plant in Kemper County, Mississippi. Southern will sell the carbon dioxide it captures to oil drillers, who use it to boost production in old oil fields…
“Kemper has a special place in our hearts,” Friedmann said. The company has plans for future plants that would use similar technology, he said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-11/capturing-carbon-may-add-80-to-electric-costs-official.html
Anthony Watts as regards polar vortex 15 km, the circulation remains unchanged.
Larry Hamlin, I haven’t talked to Steve McIntyre about this project, but I’ve long followed his work. He’s responsible for me even following Michael Mann’s work (I became intrigued when I stumbled upon his pre-Climate Audit website). Without his efforts, I’d never be able to do a project like this. That said, while I hope to have him review/comment on the posts I write, I don’t expect him to get extensively involved.
Gunga Din, definitely not. That file had nothing to do with Michael Mann’s work, and while his methodology definitely mines for hockey sticks, there’s no single line responsible for it. And it’s not because of any “fudge factor” (that’s a separate issue all together).
Fabi, not only can those examples be verified, I’ve already begun writing a series of posts which demonstrate them (including references for verification of what I say). I wrote the first post in the series shortly after the one linked to in this blog post. You can find it here.
That post was up less than 24 hours after the introductory post. I can’t guarantee the rest will go up that quickly. My goal is to have a new post in the series up every two to three days.
If Styn needs more proof that purposeful tampering was required to produce the hockey stick, he can find it here:
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/02/07/motherlode-part-iii/
Potter Eaton said at: February 11, 2014 at 5:26 pm
“Does anyone have a clue why Steyn just doesn’t start a legal defense fund? Is there some kind of tax disincentive with that? Or tax incentive by collecting money through the sale of gift certificates?”
Mark Steyn has written that he does not like the very idea of such a fund. He would rather just fight for his right to write what he wants, especially since American libel law provides a steep standard for public figures, like Michael Mann, to prove actual malice. Parody is completely protected. I’d bet my last dollar that he wins. In Canada they tried the same type of witch hunt against Steyn, and he not only won, the case caused the Canadian law against inconvenient writing to be repealed. If we can’t lampoon and parody a public figure (and self described political acticist) like Mann, then the first amendment is not worth the parchment it was written on.
It got so cold that the courthouse just burst into flames !
That Guardian reference above also contains this little gem:
“Here’s a chart from Australia’s CSIRO science agency showing sea level rise in recent decades. The drop you can see around 2011 was actually down to water being temporarily stored on the Australian land mass following the major flooding and rainfall event that year.”
Doing a back of the envelop calculation tells us that the whole of Australia was covered by 20cm of water on average. I know they have had localized flooding down under, but I must have missed something in the news.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50834/abstract