Saving the Antarctic scientists, er media, er, activists, er tourists trapped by sea ice

UPDATE2: get a load of the hilarious announcement from the expedition, where they claim sea ice is disappearing, see update 2 below.

UPDATE3: A film (now a video) has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912. see update 3 below.

UPDATE4: Bad weather has forced the Aurora Australis to back off from its rescue attempt. See below.

UPDATE5: See my opinion piece on why this is a fiasco

There’s quite an ongoing worldwide fascination over the So much sea ice in Antarctica that a research vessel gets stuck, in summer! episode with the ship Akademik Shokalskiy we first reported on WUWT.

I think it was best summed up by this Tweet:

http://twitter.com/ElBuehn/status/416608616070664192

Now, after the first rescue ship The “Snow Dragon” failed:

Which we see in the distance here…

Turney_SnowDragon

…all eyes are now on the Aurora Australis, which was trapped in ice for 3 weeks last month.

But, even that ship seems to have trouble picking through the sea ice. here is the webcam from the bow of the Aurora Australis:

A133631800A[1]

Link to webcam: http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora

Supposedly, the ice around the Akademik Shokalskiy 3-4 meters thick.

Then there’s the comedy of a scientific research expedition disguised as a junket for activists and reporters, such as this guy, tweeting up a storm from on-board:

AlokJha

The other fellow, Chris Turney, has some science credentials, but also has a propensity for wackadoodle alarmism as we see in this WUWT post: Now it’s 2°C climate change target ‘not safe’

Mostly, it’s a media sponsored event, presumably so they can tell us how terrible things are in Anarctica with melting and such:

WUWT reader “pat” writes at  2013/12/26 at 1:59 pm

seems this expedition was more a BBC/Guardian/ABC CAGW exercise!

18 Dec: Guardian: The Guardian lays claim to Antarctica – in pictures Journalists Alok Jha and Laurence Topham have landed in Antarctica with the 2013 Australasian Antarctic Expedition Documentary filmmaker Laurence Topham lines up a shot from the bows. Photograph: Alok Jha/Guardian…

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/gallery/2013/dec/18/guardian-antarctica-pictures

Guardian: Laurence Topham, documentary filmmaker

In 2007 he worked for Current TV, where he edited over 50 short-form documentaries for terrestrial broadcast…

http://www.theguardian.com/open-weekend/laurence-topham

Guardian: Science: Antarctica live (MASSIVE COVERAGE, NO HINT ABOUT THE SHIP’S CURRENT PREDICAMENT!)

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live

26 Dec: BBC: Andrew Luck-Baker: Science continues for trapped Australasian Antarctic expedition Science reporter Andrew Luck-Baker is on board the Russian research vessel Shokalskiy, covering the Australasian Antarctic Expedition 2013 for the BBC World Service programme Discovery…

Tantalisingly, a low band of grey sky to the Northeast suggests clear water lies not so many kilometres away. The grey colour is light reflected from open water. The early Antarctic explorers named this colour phenomenon “water sky” and used it to navigate their route through the treacherous pack ice…

In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure…

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25519059

25 Nov: ABC Lateline: $1.5 million Australian expedition to Antarctica Professor Chris Turney from the University of NSW is mounting the largest Australian science expeditions to the Antarctic with an 85-person team to try to answer questions about how climate change in the frozen continent might be already shifting weather patterns in Australia.

ABC’s MARGOT O’NEILL: The research stakes are high. Antarctica is one of the great engines driving the world’s oceans, winds and weather, especially in Australia. But there’s ominous signs of climate change.

CHRIS TURNEY: The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds encircle Antarctica, and over the last 20 or 30 years or so, they’ve been pushing further south. Now – so actually in a way it’s almost like Antarctica’s withdrawing itself from the rest of the world…

EMMA ALBERICI: And tomorrow night, in the second part of this special report, could the British Antarctic explorer Robert Scott have lived? We look at how Professor Turney discovered that choosing the right team can be a matter of life and death.

http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2013/s3898858.htm

Meanwhile, in the “Spirit of Mawson” Spirit of “never let a good crisis go to waste”, the folks on-board have realized the world is watching, and decided to make a pitch for money at their website, presumably to fund next year’s research media junket:

spiritofmawsonmoney

Mother nature doesn’t seem to care about the comedy either way, as Antarctic sea ice is still over 2 standard deviations above normal.

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

========================================================

UPDATE1: Thanks to Roger Tattersall “Tallbloke” who writes:

I’m amused to see Global Warmist Professor Chris Turney’s expedition to Antarctica to retrace polar explorer Douglas Mawson’s route and replicate measurements has run into a spot of bother.

image

Here’s an old news report on Mawson’s expedition

image

It looks like that part of the Antarctic was warmer in Mawson’s day than now. In fact the antarctic is currently colder than it has been for a long time. The high latitudes of the Southern Ocean have been cooling since the 1980′s according to SST data.

UPDATE2: You can’t make this stuff up. This is from a news.com.au story covering the incident and the announcement made by the expedition:

trapped_by_invisible_ice

Um, no, sea ice isn’t disappearing right now, it is growing in the Arctic and within two standard deviations:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – click to view at source

Two standard deviations above normal in the Antarctic:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

And above normal globally:

Cryosphere Today – University of Illinois – Polar Research Group – Click the pic to view at source

UPDATE3:

A video has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912.

========================================================

UPDATE4: The Times of India reports:

SYDNEY: Bad weather on Monday forced back an Australian icebreaker struggling to reach a scientific expedition ship stranded off Antarctica, while snow and winds have prevented a helicopter rescue, authorities said.

The Aurora Australis made it to within 10 nautical miles of the MV Akademik Shokalskiy, which is stuck in an ice field, before retreating in the face of freezing winds and snow showers.

“Adverse weather conditions have resulted in the Australian Antarctic Division vessel Aurora Australis moving back into open water this afternoon,” the Australian Maritime Safety Authority said.

==========================================================

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jones
December 29, 2013 6:04 pm

Bugger….the reload too…

Alan Robertson
December 29, 2013 6:04 pm

richcar1225 says:
December 29, 2013 at 5:40 pm
“The increase in sea ice has freshened the seawater below, so much so that you can almost drink it. This change will have impacts on the deep ocean circulation.”
I believe that when salt water freezes it expels salt thus leaving dense water that then sinks and forms the basis of thermohaline overturning circulation. The fresher tasting water would be the result of melting sea ice as you would expect this time of year.
________
That’s right.
They had it bass- ackwards from reality. What else is new from “Climate Scientists”.
———————————-
Rob Ricket says:
December 29, 2013 at 5:47 pm
A 10 degree list is only mildly inconvenient. I was on a ship that ran aground in a fiord in Norway. When the tide receded
______________
They aren’t listing because they’ve settled on shallow bottom, as in your anecdote.
If their ship is listing it means:
a) They’ve been holed below waterline and have taken on water
b) The ice has jacked up one side and might be capable of ripping into the hull, below the water line
These people are in peril. If the ship sinks, they will have to remain in place on the ice, waiting for air or sea rescue, which has failed so far. If they try to walk out, they face the danger of incapacitation due to injury on uneven ice, or of slipping into the sea, when even if pulled out quickly, they would die from hypothermia.

jones
December 29, 2013 6:05 pm

theN!!!
Ahh never mind…..you know what I mean….

Rob Ricket
December 29, 2013 6:05 pm

Yup…perhaps someone took issue with the green message written in ice.

December 29, 2013 6:09 pm

The AA stern cam shows they are in open water.

Steve Oregon
December 29, 2013 6:10 pm

Did they try backing up a bit and then gunning it?
On a stupid note…….
I once had my buddy tow my car with a garden hose. That’s all we had.
We doubled it up and away we went.
All went well until we came to a busy street and my buddy pulled out, turning left, without enough room and time in the traffic gap for me.
So I hit the breaks and he just drove off.
The hose stretched a remarkable distance with all of the traffic stopped, and watching, until it snapped.
By buddy said he wasn’t aware of any trouble until he saw the hose shoot out from under his car in front of him. “LOL” was invented then

Scute
December 29, 2013 6:14 pm

Yep, I tried refresh and clicked out and back in before commenting. However, on trying again, the other two cams did reappear. Funny thing is, the bow cam showed the old 9:00 picture. When I had problems it was the 9:30 pic. Now it’s changed to the 10AM pic.
It’s also showing a clear sea to the stern and heading WSW. Was SE. Are they trekking round to a different angle of attack I wonder?

Alan Robertson
December 29, 2013 6:15 pm

Steve Oregon says:
December 29, 2013 at 6:10 pm
Did they try backing up a bit and then gunning it?
__________________________
There are a lot of icebreaker films on YouTube. Your suggested technique is valid and widely practiced, even by the largest ice breakers.

Pamela Gray
December 29, 2013 6:17 pm

Correction…a happy redhead with a really great boyfriend! Cuz when the redhead is happy, EVERYBODY is happy!!!

Alan Robertson
December 29, 2013 6:20 pm

Pamela Gray says:
December 29, 2013 at 6:17 pm
Correction…a happy redhead with a really great boyfriend! Cuz when the redhead is happy, EVERYBODY is happy!!!
__________________________
And you’re a really great sport and can take our ornery teasing when we’re poking you in the ribs. We appreciate having you around.

Andrew
December 29, 2013 6:21 pm

Did these geniuses not realise when they encountered ice 100KM from their destination that it wasn’t going to happen? They have a GPS – they know how much further it is to the Bay. How does this end in the call “lets keep going as planned 100km deep into the ice-field, I’m sure we’ll be fine.
Anyhow, assuming it ends in helicopter rescue and then the ship being left to break up, these envirocriminals should like Exxon after the Valdez oil spill. They should face jail, and penalties should extend to the people that put them up to this. Guardian, ABC, universities – every warmist who paid for the Ship of Fools to commit their environmental crimes should be held to account. Equal before the law – whether you intended to ship a tanker full or oil or recreate Mawson’s mission to highlight cAGW, you are equally culpable, right?

Icepilot
December 29, 2013 6:22 pm

Icebergs easily move through sea ice. With drafts that can exceed a couple thousand feet and made of frozen fresh water, bergs treat 4 meters of pack ice like tissue paper. But one would no doubt ground before reaching the intrepid explorers.
Travel across even stable pack ice can be extremely difficult, even without considering weather and ice movement. Looking at some of the folks involved, I wouldn’t recommend it.
Finally, don’t think of pack ice as the stuff you put in your drink – think of it as concrete. Moving concrete that can turn that ship into a pretzel. I seriously doubt that ship’s hull is shaped like the Fram, designed to lift up when the ice starts to squeeze.

December 29, 2013 6:31 pm

Well, from all the media reports that I have seen, the tourists/activists/ media are having the time of their lives.
What could be more relaxing and gratifying than being trapped by sea ice, knowing that you won’t reach your goal, and the rescue ships are having great difficulty reaching you?
Yahoo, maybe a helicopter ride at the end of it all, Hopefully before the Donner family bar-b-q starts.

December 29, 2013 6:33 pm

dp says:
December 29, 2013 at 5:32 pm
So this is why climatologists no longer do field work. I’ve wondered about that. And I wonder if they know there is a very good chance they may all be dead in a few days. This is a very serious problem and the mirthful responses should probably be toned down until their fate is known.
*********************************************************************************************
Why?????

SAMURAI
December 29, 2013 6:40 pm

The SS CAGW…
What a fitting metaphore for the sorry state of the now disconfirmed CAGW hypothesis; stranded, screaming for rescue while being surrounded by evidence of its own demise….
“It’s worse than we thought.” TM….. not so much….

Claude Harvey
December 29, 2013 6:42 pm

What do you call a shipload of true-believing, global warming geniuses trapped in a summer icepack?
Howling, knee-slapping funny! But only if they live to tell the tale.

Don
December 29, 2013 6:58 pm

Thinking this has the makings of a great screenplay. Before filming begins, selection of superb actors/actresses that can portray crew/activists/reporters/tourists is important. I am volunteering myself as a hapless tourist/scientific assistant. (I can do hapless well.) Also, recommending to the producers Anthony Watts portray himself. 😉
Seriously, thanks to all the commenters the last few days. Have learned a lot about Antartica, ice conditions, resupply missions and icebreakers (real ones and wannabes).
While looking around today found an interesting report on the dismal state of U.S. polar operations. Interesting to note the comment in there stating that Antarctic operations have become more difficult necessitating a standby icebreaker as a rescue vessel. “Coast Guard Polar Icebreaker Modernization”, July 24, 2013. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/RL34391.pdf

John Angelico
December 29, 2013 7:04 pm

bobl says:
December 29, 2013 at 3:57 pm
Yes Vukcevik,
We should keep some perspective, these activists are in some peril, although I’d imagine they’ll be safe with 3 rescue ships in the area. I see the jokes as fair game for the moment, but in the event of a crisis we need to think about their welfare. I would hope though that the Australian Government would take a good hard look at how it came to pass that a bunch of activist idiots managed to spend several million dollars from three governments treasuries, without so much as a “by your leave”.
——————-
To use a Biblical reference:
“Is there no-one left to condemn you? Then neither do I condemn you. [BUT] Go and sin no more.”
No more grants.

Brian H
December 29, 2013 7:07 pm

vukcevic says:
December 29, 2013 at 11:44 am
It would be wise for the local penguins to keep their distance, even a starving greenie could turn into a veracious carnivore!

@vikcevuk;
voracious, please! Vowels are not interchangeable.

Reed Coray
December 29, 2013 7:24 pm

That AGW zealots touting the demise of polar sea ice get their ship stuck in Southern Ocean sea ice during a voyage to establish their beliefs is definitely ironic. That they asked to be rescued by fossil fuel burning behemoths is more than ironic, it’s carbonic.

OssQss
December 29, 2013 7:43 pm

It appears i did not post earlier……
My comment was relating to the salinity reference under the update2 yellow highlight.
So,,,,,, water now gets less salty with ice forming in the area? They could almost drink it?
Really?
“The increase in sea ice has freshened the water below, so much that you could almost drink it?/
Just sayin,,, what?

dp
December 29, 2013 7:43 pm

Steve B says:
December 29, 2013 at 6:33 pm
Why????

Some of us are reasonable and intelligent people who know when a line should not be crossed in debate. Wishing one’s opponents dead crosses that line. If you agree then your question makes no sense. If you don’t agree, your question is of no consequence. You have no winning position in this conversation.

December 29, 2013 7:45 pm

What goes around comes around as long as your not ice bound.

December 29, 2013 8:03 pm

Hope they are not a gun free zone to just on th off chance a polar bear comes by a bit hungry.
That and they might lower themselves to hunt for food.

Warren in New Zealand
December 29, 2013 8:07 pm

5pm Monday NZT radio news here
Aurora stalled in snow and high wind, approx 20 nautical miles from the Ship of Fools. It maybe 24 hours till further attempt will be made to reach Akademie.
What do you call 55 CAGW idiots trapped in ice?
Not enough idiots
Hopefully it will end well, then the recriminations will be interesting to hear.

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