Saving the Antarctic scientists, er media, er, activists, er tourists trapped by sea ice

UPDATE2: get a load of the hilarious announcement from the expedition, where they claim sea ice is disappearing, see update 2 below.

UPDATE3: A film (now a video) has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912. see update 3 below.

UPDATE4: Bad weather has forced the Aurora Australis to back off from its rescue attempt. See below.

UPDATE5: See my opinion piece on why this is a fiasco

There’s quite an ongoing worldwide fascination over the So much sea ice in Antarctica that a research vessel gets stuck, in summer! episode with the ship Akademik Shokalskiy we first reported on WUWT.

I think it was best summed up by this Tweet:

http://twitter.com/ElBuehn/status/416608616070664192

Now, after the first rescue ship The “Snow Dragon” failed:

Which we see in the distance here…

Turney_SnowDragon

…all eyes are now on the Aurora Australis, which was trapped in ice for 3 weeks last month.

But, even that ship seems to have trouble picking through the sea ice. here is the webcam from the bow of the Aurora Australis:

A133631800A[1]

Link to webcam: http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora

Supposedly, the ice around the Akademik Shokalskiy 3-4 meters thick.

Then there’s the comedy of a scientific research expedition disguised as a junket for activists and reporters, such as this guy, tweeting up a storm from on-board:

AlokJha

The other fellow, Chris Turney, has some science credentials, but also has a propensity for wackadoodle alarmism as we see in this WUWT post: Now it’s 2°C climate change target ‘not safe’

Mostly, it’s a media sponsored event, presumably so they can tell us how terrible things are in Anarctica with melting and such:

WUWT reader “pat” writes at  2013/12/26 at 1:59 pm

seems this expedition was more a BBC/Guardian/ABC CAGW exercise!

18 Dec: Guardian: The Guardian lays claim to Antarctica – in pictures Journalists Alok Jha and Laurence Topham have landed in Antarctica with the 2013 Australasian Antarctic Expedition Documentary filmmaker Laurence Topham lines up a shot from the bows. Photograph: Alok Jha/Guardian…

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/gallery/2013/dec/18/guardian-antarctica-pictures

Guardian: Laurence Topham, documentary filmmaker

In 2007 he worked for Current TV, where he edited over 50 short-form documentaries for terrestrial broadcast…

http://www.theguardian.com/open-weekend/laurence-topham

Guardian: Science: Antarctica live (MASSIVE COVERAGE, NO HINT ABOUT THE SHIP’S CURRENT PREDICAMENT!)

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live

26 Dec: BBC: Andrew Luck-Baker: Science continues for trapped Australasian Antarctic expedition Science reporter Andrew Luck-Baker is on board the Russian research vessel Shokalskiy, covering the Australasian Antarctic Expedition 2013 for the BBC World Service programme Discovery…

Tantalisingly, a low band of grey sky to the Northeast suggests clear water lies not so many kilometres away. The grey colour is light reflected from open water. The early Antarctic explorers named this colour phenomenon “water sky” and used it to navigate their route through the treacherous pack ice…

In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure…

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25519059

25 Nov: ABC Lateline: $1.5 million Australian expedition to Antarctica Professor Chris Turney from the University of NSW is mounting the largest Australian science expeditions to the Antarctic with an 85-person team to try to answer questions about how climate change in the frozen continent might be already shifting weather patterns in Australia.

ABC’s MARGOT O’NEILL: The research stakes are high. Antarctica is one of the great engines driving the world’s oceans, winds and weather, especially in Australia. But there’s ominous signs of climate change.

CHRIS TURNEY: The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds encircle Antarctica, and over the last 20 or 30 years or so, they’ve been pushing further south. Now – so actually in a way it’s almost like Antarctica’s withdrawing itself from the rest of the world…

EMMA ALBERICI: And tomorrow night, in the second part of this special report, could the British Antarctic explorer Robert Scott have lived? We look at how Professor Turney discovered that choosing the right team can be a matter of life and death.

http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2013/s3898858.htm

Meanwhile, in the “Spirit of Mawson” Spirit of “never let a good crisis go to waste”, the folks on-board have realized the world is watching, and decided to make a pitch for money at their website, presumably to fund next year’s research media junket:

spiritofmawsonmoney

Mother nature doesn’t seem to care about the comedy either way, as Antarctic sea ice is still over 2 standard deviations above normal.

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

========================================================

UPDATE1: Thanks to Roger Tattersall “Tallbloke” who writes:

I’m amused to see Global Warmist Professor Chris Turney’s expedition to Antarctica to retrace polar explorer Douglas Mawson’s route and replicate measurements has run into a spot of bother.

image

Here’s an old news report on Mawson’s expedition

image

It looks like that part of the Antarctic was warmer in Mawson’s day than now. In fact the antarctic is currently colder than it has been for a long time. The high latitudes of the Southern Ocean have been cooling since the 1980′s according to SST data.

UPDATE2: You can’t make this stuff up. This is from a news.com.au story covering the incident and the announcement made by the expedition:

trapped_by_invisible_ice

Um, no, sea ice isn’t disappearing right now, it is growing in the Arctic and within two standard deviations:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – click to view at source

Two standard deviations above normal in the Antarctic:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

And above normal globally:

Cryosphere Today – University of Illinois – Polar Research Group – Click the pic to view at source

UPDATE3:

A video has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912.

========================================================

UPDATE4: The Times of India reports:

SYDNEY: Bad weather on Monday forced back an Australian icebreaker struggling to reach a scientific expedition ship stranded off Antarctica, while snow and winds have prevented a helicopter rescue, authorities said.

The Aurora Australis made it to within 10 nautical miles of the MV Akademik Shokalskiy, which is stuck in an ice field, before retreating in the face of freezing winds and snow showers.

“Adverse weather conditions have resulted in the Australian Antarctic Division vessel Aurora Australis moving back into open water this afternoon,” the Australian Maritime Safety Authority said.

==========================================================

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OLD DATA
December 29, 2013 4:58 pm

To quote a runner up of the Bulwer Lytton contest of www: As the sun dropped below the horizon, the safari guide confirmed the approaching cape buffaloes were herbivores, which calmed everyone in the group, except for Herb, of course. — Ron D Smith, Louisville, KY

jeffthe
December 29, 2013 5:00 pm

I would hate to see a Greentard die from their own ignorance. May they survive and be forever ridiculed…
Laughter is, after all, the best medicine.

Jimbo
December 29, 2013 5:01 pm

Was their ship running on biodiesel? If not then please stop telling us “we must act now!”

Scute
December 29, 2013 5:03 pm

Congrats to the Aurora Australis who’s webcam is now the number one viewed webcam on camscape.

OLD DATA
December 29, 2013 5:05 pm

And another from a winner of a dishonorable mention: This was going to be a science fiction novel until I realized that you actually have to know some real science for it to work well, so I changed it to a fantasy novel instead, because that way I can just make up the rules as I go, unhampered by the laws of physics or chemistry, as if you knew what they were anyway. — Thor F. Carden, Madison, TN

Jay
December 29, 2013 5:06 pm

“I just hope no one is seriously injured, I suppose then jokes would have to stop.”
Jokes? Nothing about these people or what they are trying to do is funny.. If it was a junior high class out looking for Bigfoot we would save the jokes for later.. These people and the people they represent want to enslave you to a harsh green lifestyle based on a computer model.. Trust me they are not looking for Bigfoot.. They found their monster in a computer lab and its good enough for them..

December 29, 2013 5:13 pm

Meanwhile the weather forecast is not looking good and the ship of fools is listing about 10 degrees.
That is a VERY serious list. Add in:
“……The ship’s shell plating was ruptured on the starboard, 1.8 meters above the waterline.
And I’d say that they are in very serious trouble. Especially in a storm. The list will make any kind of helicopter rescue dangerous even if the chopper doesn’t set down on the ship.
The Ship of Stools (sp? – no I spelled it right) is in great if not immediate danger. In a military ship they would shore up the break in the hull and begin pumping or counter flooding. I doubt if they are equipped for counter flooding and I have no idea if they have the requisite shoring material in stores.

michael hart
December 29, 2013 5:16 pm

They say schadenfreude is a dish best served cold.

NZ Willy
December 29, 2013 5:16 pm

Some are asking how they could get themselves into this fix. I think it’s a simple case of all followers, no leaders. Prancing along after the CAGW Pied Piper, but there is no piper, just the prancers. Afterwards they will wonder who was supposed to be the leader. Ship of fools, indeed.

R. de Haan
December 29, 2013 5:18 pm

Latest BBC News: No progress made by Aurora Australis for to hours.

R. de Haan
December 29, 2013 5:19 pm

That’s two hours of course. Sorry for the typo.

phlogiston
December 29, 2013 5:31 pm

Captain Ahab on the Pequod narrowly escaped ensnarement in Antarctic ice while hunting for the white whale Moby Dick.
The Akademik Shokalskiy was not so luck, becoming frozen fast while carrying out the errand for the BBC/Guardian White Elephant.

Louis Hooffstetter
December 29, 2013 5:32 pm

Joe says:
“Seriously, can’t they just be left there until the ice does melt?”
YES!! Thank you for voicing what we all think should happen.

dp
December 29, 2013 5:32 pm

So this is why climatologists no longer do field work. I’ve wondered about that. And I wonder if they know there is a very good chance they may all be dead in a few days. This is a very serious problem and the mirthful responses should probably be toned down until their fate is known.

Gail Combs
December 29, 2013 5:35 pm

Other_Andy says:
December 29, 2013 at 4:01 pm
“…..but in the event of a crisis we need to think about their welfare. ”
They come second place to the welfare of the crewmembers on the ships send to rescue those propaganda peddlers.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
My thoughts exactly.
I really do not care if people who wish me and others to live short, nasty brutal lives end up earning Darwin Awards. However I do care if those who went to the rescue of these idiots are hurt.

Rob Ricket
December 29, 2013 5:37 pm

Cam shot definitely shows the ship making way with visible screw (propeller) wash astern and a visible field of broken ice astern. The character of the wash indicates the engines are (at the time of the last photo) not working that hard. Perhaps the ship is trying to maintain what little bit of penetration it has made and hold the surrounding ice at bay.

December 29, 2013 5:38 pm

R. de Haan says:
[Latest BBC News: No progress made by Aurora Australis for two hours.]
Have you got a URL for that ?
Latest position for Aurora Australis puts her very near the coast SE of the Russian ship.
See map on my top blog post.

SIG INT Ex
December 29, 2013 5:39 pm

A Series of Unfortunate Events, by Lemony Snicket (aka Daniel Handler).
Perhaps, by November 2014 …

richcar1225
December 29, 2013 5:40 pm

“The increase in sea ice has freshened the seawater below, so much so that you can almost drink it. This change will have impacts on the deep ocean circulation.”
I believe that when salt water freezes it expels salt thus leaving dense water that then sinks and forms the basis of thermohaline overturning circulation. The fresher tasting water would be the result of melting sea ice as you would expect this time of year.

December 29, 2013 5:41 pm

Latest AA webcam is nowhere near current – that is a shot of them en-route.
http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora

Frank K.
December 29, 2013 5:42 pm

The best thing that can come out of this debacle is that all persons on the “research” ship are rescued and then, once they return, are subsequently embarrased to the point of ridicule for doing something so supremely stupid…

u.k.(us)
December 29, 2013 5:44 pm

A commenter over at :
http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/archives/y2kyoto-trapped.html#comments
Linked to this funny video, it regards pickup trucks but the idea is the same.

Rob Ricket
December 29, 2013 5:47 pm

A 10 degree list is only mildly inconvenient. I was on a ship that ran aground in a fiord in Norway. When the tide receded, we pitched over 30 degrees and remained so for nearly three days. To sleep, we would tuck our blankets under the mattress to keep us from rolling out of our racks.

Scute
December 29, 2013 6:00 pm

The link for the stern cam on the Aurora Australis has disappeared for me. It defaults to the bow cam as before but the stern and port links that were below the bow picture are gone.

jones
December 29, 2013 6:03 pm

Hi Scute
Nah, I can still get to it..
Try [refresh]?

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