Saving the Antarctic scientists, er media, er, activists, er tourists trapped by sea ice

UPDATE2: get a load of the hilarious announcement from the expedition, where they claim sea ice is disappearing, see update 2 below.

UPDATE3: A film (now a video) has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912. see update 3 below.

UPDATE4: Bad weather has forced the Aurora Australis to back off from its rescue attempt. See below.

UPDATE5: See my opinion piece on why this is a fiasco

There’s quite an ongoing worldwide fascination over the So much sea ice in Antarctica that a research vessel gets stuck, in summer! episode with the ship Akademik Shokalskiy we first reported on WUWT.

I think it was best summed up by this Tweet:

http://twitter.com/ElBuehn/status/416608616070664192

Now, after the first rescue ship The “Snow Dragon” failed:

Which we see in the distance here…

Turney_SnowDragon

…all eyes are now on the Aurora Australis, which was trapped in ice for 3 weeks last month.

But, even that ship seems to have trouble picking through the sea ice. here is the webcam from the bow of the Aurora Australis:

A133631800A[1]

Link to webcam: http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora

Supposedly, the ice around the Akademik Shokalskiy 3-4 meters thick.

Then there’s the comedy of a scientific research expedition disguised as a junket for activists and reporters, such as this guy, tweeting up a storm from on-board:

AlokJha

The other fellow, Chris Turney, has some science credentials, but also has a propensity for wackadoodle alarmism as we see in this WUWT post: Now it’s 2°C climate change target ‘not safe’

Mostly, it’s a media sponsored event, presumably so they can tell us how terrible things are in Anarctica with melting and such:

WUWT reader “pat” writes at  2013/12/26 at 1:59 pm

seems this expedition was more a BBC/Guardian/ABC CAGW exercise!

18 Dec: Guardian: The Guardian lays claim to Antarctica – in pictures Journalists Alok Jha and Laurence Topham have landed in Antarctica with the 2013 Australasian Antarctic Expedition Documentary filmmaker Laurence Topham lines up a shot from the bows. Photograph: Alok Jha/Guardian…

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/gallery/2013/dec/18/guardian-antarctica-pictures

Guardian: Laurence Topham, documentary filmmaker

In 2007 he worked for Current TV, where he edited over 50 short-form documentaries for terrestrial broadcast…

http://www.theguardian.com/open-weekend/laurence-topham

Guardian: Science: Antarctica live (MASSIVE COVERAGE, NO HINT ABOUT THE SHIP’S CURRENT PREDICAMENT!)

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live

26 Dec: BBC: Andrew Luck-Baker: Science continues for trapped Australasian Antarctic expedition Science reporter Andrew Luck-Baker is on board the Russian research vessel Shokalskiy, covering the Australasian Antarctic Expedition 2013 for the BBC World Service programme Discovery…

Tantalisingly, a low band of grey sky to the Northeast suggests clear water lies not so many kilometres away. The grey colour is light reflected from open water. The early Antarctic explorers named this colour phenomenon “water sky” and used it to navigate their route through the treacherous pack ice…

In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure…

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25519059

25 Nov: ABC Lateline: $1.5 million Australian expedition to Antarctica Professor Chris Turney from the University of NSW is mounting the largest Australian science expeditions to the Antarctic with an 85-person team to try to answer questions about how climate change in the frozen continent might be already shifting weather patterns in Australia.

ABC’s MARGOT O’NEILL: The research stakes are high. Antarctica is one of the great engines driving the world’s oceans, winds and weather, especially in Australia. But there’s ominous signs of climate change.

CHRIS TURNEY: The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds encircle Antarctica, and over the last 20 or 30 years or so, they’ve been pushing further south. Now – so actually in a way it’s almost like Antarctica’s withdrawing itself from the rest of the world…

EMMA ALBERICI: And tomorrow night, in the second part of this special report, could the British Antarctic explorer Robert Scott have lived? We look at how Professor Turney discovered that choosing the right team can be a matter of life and death.

http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2013/s3898858.htm

Meanwhile, in the “Spirit of Mawson” Spirit of “never let a good crisis go to waste”, the folks on-board have realized the world is watching, and decided to make a pitch for money at their website, presumably to fund next year’s research media junket:

spiritofmawsonmoney

Mother nature doesn’t seem to care about the comedy either way, as Antarctic sea ice is still over 2 standard deviations above normal.

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

========================================================

UPDATE1: Thanks to Roger Tattersall “Tallbloke” who writes:

I’m amused to see Global Warmist Professor Chris Turney’s expedition to Antarctica to retrace polar explorer Douglas Mawson’s route and replicate measurements has run into a spot of bother.

image

Here’s an old news report on Mawson’s expedition

image

It looks like that part of the Antarctic was warmer in Mawson’s day than now. In fact the antarctic is currently colder than it has been for a long time. The high latitudes of the Southern Ocean have been cooling since the 1980′s according to SST data.

UPDATE2: You can’t make this stuff up. This is from a news.com.au story covering the incident and the announcement made by the expedition:

trapped_by_invisible_ice

Um, no, sea ice isn’t disappearing right now, it is growing in the Arctic and within two standard deviations:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – click to view at source

Two standard deviations above normal in the Antarctic:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

And above normal globally:

Cryosphere Today – University of Illinois – Polar Research Group – Click the pic to view at source

UPDATE3:

A video has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912.

========================================================

UPDATE4: The Times of India reports:

SYDNEY: Bad weather on Monday forced back an Australian icebreaker struggling to reach a scientific expedition ship stranded off Antarctica, while snow and winds have prevented a helicopter rescue, authorities said.

The Aurora Australis made it to within 10 nautical miles of the MV Akademik Shokalskiy, which is stuck in an ice field, before retreating in the face of freezing winds and snow showers.

“Adverse weather conditions have resulted in the Australian Antarctic Division vessel Aurora Australis moving back into open water this afternoon,” the Australian Maritime Safety Authority said.

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tty
December 29, 2013 2:59 pm

Bill Illis says
“Of course, this is factual proof there is no global warming here. Two wooden sailing ships went right through this exact same area 172 years ago and had few problems”
That is not correct. In 1841.James Ross went through further east near longitude 180 where he only had to cross a fairly narrow ice barrier to get into the Ross Sea that is ice-free in summer (which he had heard of from sealers). This track is still used by “normal” tourist tours to East Antarctica. The Commonwealth Bay area was unknown until the Mawson expedition of 1911-12, and while this area is also nusually more-or-less icefree later in the summer it has a nasty reputation for storms..

Gail Combs
December 29, 2013 2:59 pm

Speed says: December 29, 2013 at 11:49 am
What are the scientific objectives of this cruise?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Not running out of Lew paper. The BBC/ Groniad ‘Journalists’ need something to write their yellow journalism on.

StefanL
December 29, 2013 3:05 pm

Swiss Bob says: December 29, 2013 at 12:30 pm
At the end of the word ‘Green’ the ‘other writing’ is clearly a snow-angel made by someone lying down on the deck. No idea what it’s supposed to mean though.
————————————————————-
I’ll bet it’s someone on the Aurora Australis who is p*ssed off that they had to interrupt a resupply mission to Casey Station in order to rescue a shipload of green/warmist fools. The 1600km detour will seriously affect some _ real_ research activities at Casey.
Also, as others have noted, the Aurora Australis is not a real icebreaker – it’s a research and resupply ship that has been built to operate in moderate ice-floe conditions. I doubt that it can break through the current ice mass.
Meanwhile the weather forecast is not looking good and the ship of fools is listing about 10 degrees. http://twitpic.com/dqge5e
The fools can thank their lucky stars that one of the rescue ships has a helicopter.

tomdesabla
December 29, 2013 3:06 pm

“Tamino and friends might compute now the chances that the one sciency boat down there is trapped exactly in the presumably one place where Antarctic sea ice is accumulating beyond icebreaking capability.”
Ha! Tracking the elusive cold spot.

Luke Warmist
December 29, 2013 3:06 pm

 While I love the delicious irony of CAGW warmunists trapped in ice while studying Global Warming, bottom line, their situation is serious. There are still a million things that can go wrong with this rescue. As they used to say at NASA, “Murphy was an optimist”

Berényi Péter
December 29, 2013 3:07 pm

Louis says:
December 29, 2013 at 11:59 am
“Aurora Australis can break level ice up to 1.23 metres (4 ft 0 in) thick at 2.5 knots.”
So how are they going to break through 3-4 meters of ice if 1.23 meters is their maximum?

If ice does not break up on its own, they will have to abandon ship. There is no icebreaker on the face of Earth that could make it. Even Fiftieth Anniversary of Victory (50 лет Победы), the most powerful icebreaker ever can only cope with ice up to 2.8 m (9 feet) thick. And then, it could never make it to the Southern hemisphere, because it needs cold water as a coolant for its nuclear reactors, equatorial waters are just too warm for it.

Jean Parisot
December 29, 2013 3:11 pm

What’s the carbon footprint of three icebreakers? Shouldn’t they be doing this under sail?

Robin Hewitt
December 29, 2013 3:11 pm

How did they persuade the captain to go there and risk his ship? You would think he would know better.

ldd
December 29, 2013 3:13 pm

Isn’t it the BBC that have all their pension funds banked on carbon credits? So I do a search and
yep, and Tallbloke’s article about this came up on google.
Can’t find a direct link about the Guardian’s PF thus far.

December 29, 2013 3:15 pm

Chris Turney has just tweeted his get out clause:
“Satellite report of conditions shows mass breakout of old sea ice from other side of Mertz Glacier. E winds packed us in.”

Adam
December 29, 2013 3:16 pm

What a bunch of delusional idiots. What else can we say about it? The only serious point to make is that these idiots are getting public funding.
They went there to prove that there is no ice. They are now stuck in ice and will perhaps die in that ice. But they still don’t see any null hypothesis rejection.

December 29, 2013 3:16 pm

Shouldn’t GreenPeace be protesting the use of so many fossil-fuel burning ships polluting that area of the world? Love to hear the response of those aboard if they were told the rescue mission was called off to honor such a protest. Surely they would understand.

Jean Parisot
December 29, 2013 3:16 pm

“The fools can thank their lucky stars that one of the rescue ships has a helicopter.”
I thought that part of Antarctica had very dangerous wind conditions?

DJ
December 29, 2013 3:19 pm

“Underwater, forests of algae are dying as sea-ice blocks the light.”
?!?!? …. Isn’t that what you’ve been crying about, too little sea ice?? You cans have a remarkable way of spinning the news to conform to your “..it’s worse than we thought” agenda.
We’re expecting now a whole new disaster in the making….
“SEA ICE KILLING ALGAE FORESTS- POLAR CAPS DOOMED”

R. Shearer
December 29, 2013 3:20 pm

Not a good sign, the captain asked his first mate for his brown pants.

Pelinor
December 29, 2013 3:23 pm

Apart from a brief mention on Christmas Day ” We woke early this morning to a phone call tasking the Aurora Australis to render assistance to a vessel that has become trapped in sea ice in the Commonwealth Bay region.” since then nothing in their daily reports I find that odd.

pwl
December 29, 2013 3:23 pm

Gripped by cold icy and crushing irony.

dipchip
December 29, 2013 3:25 pm

This whole fiasco of an expedition is providing the same amount of credibility as the search for big foot TV series. These folks leading the expedition are becoming so anxious about loosing face they are speaking gibberish before they consider the ridiculousness of their statements.

December 29, 2013 3:29 pm

I just hope no one is seriously injured, I suppose then jokes would have to stop. This is funniest thread ever, it would be a shame if it couldn’t continue on into the New Year. ‘Iceman cometh’.

pwl
December 29, 2013 3:34 pm

The harsh objective reality of Nature is literally crushing prognosticators of co2 climate doomsday; it’s almost like Nature herself is saying, hey you got it wrong.

tomdesabla
December 29, 2013 3:38 pm

“But the models said there would be no ice!
The ice MUST be wrong.”
The ice is a denialist. Call Professor Lew. Maybe the ice has conspiracy theories that need looking into.
“C’mon guys and girls, this is special ice. It is intelligent ice. It knew they were coming and, supported by skeptics, it has ambushed their ship.”
Yes, the denialist ice. Denialists are stupid, but this denialist ice is intelligent and supported by skeptics. Climate change can cause ice to be both stupid and smart, just like it can cause both hot and cold weather.
“They are just unlucky that what is left trapped their ship? Why not ask Trenberth to send the missing heat.”
What they need is some serious upwelling so that the massive heat trapped in the deep ocean can come up and melt the ice for them.
“Seriously, can’t they just be left there until the ice does melt? It’s still a way to go until minimum, they’re safely on a ship, they can be resupplied easily by air”
Ha ha, good one. No, human life on this planet should be reduced to manageable levels, unless it’s their human lives on the line, in which case massive hydrocarbons can be burned. They are so very special you know.
“1. What are the scientific references on dying algae and low numbers of seals?”
They counted the seals with the same scientific precision they used to count the Polar Bears. Or maybe they counted, and changed the numbers after the fact like they did with 100 year old temps. Maybe they counted and then threw the data away because they didn’t have the computer space to store it. Or, maybe they didn’t count at all – well that couldn’t be, because it wouldn’t be scientific. Maybe they just surveyed the folks on board and came up with a consensus. Literally anything is possible isn’t it?
“Global Warming – the biggest hoax ever pulled off in the history of this world. It’s all about the money and control. Lies…”
Gaia you are in such deep denial.
“And there does appear to be penguins and seals in the area, so they could survive on them for two or three years like other Antarctic expeditions.”
Now you’re talking! Let them get back to a more natural and sustainable way of life. Live more like their ancestors did. Seal blubber – raw! Full of good natural nutrients too. Ha!
***
This is what I call a target-rich environment

Bob Koss
December 29, 2013 3:40 pm

This is going to cost the ship owners some big bucks.

Under the Treaty of the Safety of Life at Sea, vessels are required to respond to a distress message, with the costs incurred a matter for the ship owners after the event, the AMSA said.
These can include fuel costs, crew costs and loss of revenue.

http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-incidents/rescue-of-icedin-ship-could-cost-owners-a-packet-20131229-301t1.html#ixzz2ouUXDsR0

clipe
December 29, 2013 3:46 pm
RACookPE1978
Editor
December 29, 2013 3:48 pm

Pamela Gray says:
December 29, 2013 at 1:17 pm

I knew they would say this. Any change in anything, heck a run in my stockings, is meant to point to dangerous heavy breathing.

Pamela, any combination of you, stockings, and holes in said stockings leads to points of heavy breathing …. 8<) (Ducks incoming dangerous points…)

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