Saving the Antarctic scientists, er media, er, activists, er tourists trapped by sea ice

UPDATE2: get a load of the hilarious announcement from the expedition, where they claim sea ice is disappearing, see update 2 below.

UPDATE3: A film (now a video) has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912. see update 3 below.

UPDATE4: Bad weather has forced the Aurora Australis to back off from its rescue attempt. See below.

UPDATE5: See my opinion piece on why this is a fiasco

There’s quite an ongoing worldwide fascination over the So much sea ice in Antarctica that a research vessel gets stuck, in summer! episode with the ship Akademik Shokalskiy we first reported on WUWT.

I think it was best summed up by this Tweet:

http://twitter.com/ElBuehn/status/416608616070664192

Now, after the first rescue ship The “Snow Dragon” failed:

Which we see in the distance here…

Turney_SnowDragon

…all eyes are now on the Aurora Australis, which was trapped in ice for 3 weeks last month.

But, even that ship seems to have trouble picking through the sea ice. here is the webcam from the bow of the Aurora Australis:

A133631800A[1]

Link to webcam: http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora

Supposedly, the ice around the Akademik Shokalskiy 3-4 meters thick.

Then there’s the comedy of a scientific research expedition disguised as a junket for activists and reporters, such as this guy, tweeting up a storm from on-board:

AlokJha

The other fellow, Chris Turney, has some science credentials, but also has a propensity for wackadoodle alarmism as we see in this WUWT post: Now it’s 2°C climate change target ‘not safe’

Mostly, it’s a media sponsored event, presumably so they can tell us how terrible things are in Anarctica with melting and such:

WUWT reader “pat” writes at  2013/12/26 at 1:59 pm

seems this expedition was more a BBC/Guardian/ABC CAGW exercise!

18 Dec: Guardian: The Guardian lays claim to Antarctica – in pictures Journalists Alok Jha and Laurence Topham have landed in Antarctica with the 2013 Australasian Antarctic Expedition Documentary filmmaker Laurence Topham lines up a shot from the bows. Photograph: Alok Jha/Guardian…

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/gallery/2013/dec/18/guardian-antarctica-pictures

Guardian: Laurence Topham, documentary filmmaker

In 2007 he worked for Current TV, where he edited over 50 short-form documentaries for terrestrial broadcast…

http://www.theguardian.com/open-weekend/laurence-topham

Guardian: Science: Antarctica live (MASSIVE COVERAGE, NO HINT ABOUT THE SHIP’S CURRENT PREDICAMENT!)

http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live

26 Dec: BBC: Andrew Luck-Baker: Science continues for trapped Australasian Antarctic expedition Science reporter Andrew Luck-Baker is on board the Russian research vessel Shokalskiy, covering the Australasian Antarctic Expedition 2013 for the BBC World Service programme Discovery…

Tantalisingly, a low band of grey sky to the Northeast suggests clear water lies not so many kilometres away. The grey colour is light reflected from open water. The early Antarctic explorers named this colour phenomenon “water sky” and used it to navigate their route through the treacherous pack ice…

In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure…

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25519059

25 Nov: ABC Lateline: $1.5 million Australian expedition to Antarctica Professor Chris Turney from the University of NSW is mounting the largest Australian science expeditions to the Antarctic with an 85-person team to try to answer questions about how climate change in the frozen continent might be already shifting weather patterns in Australia.

ABC’s MARGOT O’NEILL: The research stakes are high. Antarctica is one of the great engines driving the world’s oceans, winds and weather, especially in Australia. But there’s ominous signs of climate change.

CHRIS TURNEY: The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds encircle Antarctica, and over the last 20 or 30 years or so, they’ve been pushing further south. Now – so actually in a way it’s almost like Antarctica’s withdrawing itself from the rest of the world…

EMMA ALBERICI: And tomorrow night, in the second part of this special report, could the British Antarctic explorer Robert Scott have lived? We look at how Professor Turney discovered that choosing the right team can be a matter of life and death.

http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2013/s3898858.htm

Meanwhile, in the “Spirit of Mawson” Spirit of “never let a good crisis go to waste”, the folks on-board have realized the world is watching, and decided to make a pitch for money at their website, presumably to fund next year’s research media junket:

spiritofmawsonmoney

Mother nature doesn’t seem to care about the comedy either way, as Antarctic sea ice is still over 2 standard deviations above normal.

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

========================================================

UPDATE1: Thanks to Roger Tattersall “Tallbloke” who writes:

I’m amused to see Global Warmist Professor Chris Turney’s expedition to Antarctica to retrace polar explorer Douglas Mawson’s route and replicate measurements has run into a spot of bother.

image

Here’s an old news report on Mawson’s expedition

image

It looks like that part of the Antarctic was warmer in Mawson’s day than now. In fact the antarctic is currently colder than it has been for a long time. The high latitudes of the Southern Ocean have been cooling since the 1980′s according to SST data.

UPDATE2: You can’t make this stuff up. This is from a news.com.au story covering the incident and the announcement made by the expedition:

trapped_by_invisible_ice

Um, no, sea ice isn’t disappearing right now, it is growing in the Arctic and within two standard deviations:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – click to view at source

Two standard deviations above normal in the Antarctic:

National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – Click the pic to view at source

And above normal globally:

Cryosphere Today – University of Illinois – Polar Research Group – Click the pic to view at source

UPDATE3:

A video has been found from 1912 showing Mawson landing in ice free Commonwealth Bay in 1912.

========================================================

UPDATE4: The Times of India reports:

SYDNEY: Bad weather on Monday forced back an Australian icebreaker struggling to reach a scientific expedition ship stranded off Antarctica, while snow and winds have prevented a helicopter rescue, authorities said.

The Aurora Australis made it to within 10 nautical miles of the MV Akademik Shokalskiy, which is stuck in an ice field, before retreating in the face of freezing winds and snow showers.

“Adverse weather conditions have resulted in the Australian Antarctic Division vessel Aurora Australis moving back into open water this afternoon,” the Australian Maritime Safety Authority said.

==========================================================

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Ian W
December 30, 2013 5:11 am

bazza says:
December 29, 2013 at 10:05 pm
Why have they taken tree ring specialists with them?Are they looking for a forest?Or is this a free trip for there mates.

The tree ring specialists are there for an emergency like this one and are now the hardest working climate ‘scientists’ on board. They are generating papers that hide the decline in temperatures until the temperature is above freezing and the ice melts.

December 30, 2013 5:12 am

Global warming is the biggest lie ever told. This is a ship full of global warming scientists out to prove how the ice is melting in Antarctica. the liberal media hides that fact.global warming is the biggest lie ever told. it’s the crime of the century. democrats use this hoax to try to enslave us and destroy capitalism.Antarctic ice is the thickest it’s ever been even though many of these scientists and al gore predicted the Artic would be ice free by now. send al gore , Obama and other democrat pushers of the global warming hoax to rescue these people lol.that gov funded this hoax for 30 years proves gov is a cancer that can never work

Bill Illis
December 30, 2013 5:20 am

One of the Guardian reporters, Lawrence Topham, has now entered a depressive state as shown in this candid report. Common for stranded Antarctic expedition crew. (Commercial at the start).
http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/video/2013/dec/30/antarctica-live-video-diary-trapped-ice-missing-milkshake-video

chinook
December 30, 2013 5:25 am

Looking at the one photo of MV Akademik Shokalskiy listing in the ice will mean serious hull damage way below the water line if it isn’t already. The photo of the media zealots on deck is interesting= their little echo chamber- whilst they begin sinking. Green martyrs?

NikFromNYC
December 30, 2013 5:30 am

Newly minted ironic fresh water ocean ice growth expert Chris Turney, caught green handed:
“I am an Australian Research Council Laureate Fellow and Professor of Climate Change at the University of University of New South Wales where my team and I are focussing our efforts on using the past to better understand the changes we are seeing today. To do something positive about climate change, I helped set up a carbon refining company called Carbonscape which has developed technology to fix carbon from the atmosphere and make a host of green bi-products, helping reduce greenhouse gas levels.
(Tim Flannery joins the Turney family on the Carbonscape Holdings share registry.)”
“In short, Carbonscape derives economic benefit whilst simultaneously aiding our planet through patented technology.”

Niels
December 30, 2013 5:38 am

From the website: http://www.spiritofmawson.com/hangouts-on-air-programme/
New Year’s Eve – Southern Ocean
Join us as we celebrate the start of 2015 in the Southern Ocean. A light hearted look at the last 6 weeks of work and our return home.
So they expect to stay there until 2015 !

Keitho
Editor
December 30, 2013 5:39 am

They are now being evacuated by helicopter, from the Chinese Ice Breaker. That is according to SKY news right now.

DirkH
December 30, 2013 5:44 am

They should have taken some bottles of Natgas and a balloon with them. Methane is lighter than air, and if you make the balloon out of an IR transparent plastic, you can exploit the Greenhouse gas properties of Methane. It is a 21 times more greenhouse potent gas than CO2; by filling the balloon with 100% Methane you can saturate the Greenhouse effect, and just by collecting and trapping the heat from the ice (which radiates at a Planck peak of about 273 K) you should be able to heat the Methane up, increasing the lift further. Furthermore, as the Methane reflects half the heat rays from the ice back, you make the ice melt and warm up the ship. With a little bit of luck you can turn the MS Guardian into an impromptu Hindenburg.

Scute
December 30, 2013 5:46 am

30 mins ago on BBC: apparently it’s just a bundle of fun down there with everyone just fine, happy, hugging eachother and dancing during rescue briefings.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25547703

Scute
December 30, 2013 6:07 am

Did the hull breach get fully repaired? Last I heard, they were in the process of repairing it, then silence.

chinook
December 30, 2013 6:13 am

Whomever had the brilliant idea to charter the ship, when they simply could’ve looked at data to see it was a fools errand, should have to pay for the rescue and probable loss of the ship. Ignore the obvious at their own peril, but then they’re used to ignoring the obvious.

Perry
December 30, 2013 6:13 am

How many more Kauri trees will need to be planted to offset the AAE 2013 carbon (DIOXIDE) emissions, especially if they have to commission the heavy icebreaker USCGC Polar Star from Seattle. 800 trees are alleged to have been planted already, but how large a slice of the BBC licence payers’ fees have been squandered on this jaunt, is something I’d really like to know!
http://www.spiritofmawson.com/our-legacy/
These charlatans, swindlers & mountebanks should be left to fend for themselves, UNTIL HELL FREEZES OVER.

Man Bearpig
December 30, 2013 6:14 am

ClimateForAll says:
December 29, 2013 at 10:23 pm
..
either way, we got Chris twisting in the wind.. literally, and all he can do is say that’ its so warm its raining’, while the boat to save them has to turn back because the skipper is afraid of being stuck himself.
——
Isn’t ‘feeling warm’ one of the first stages of frostbite ?

Gail Combs
December 30, 2013 6:17 am

tango says:
tango says: December 30, 2013 at 12:49 am
Chris Turkeys latest tweet said it is so warm it is raining
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

“30 Dec: SMH: Nicky Phillips: Aurora Australis abandons attempt to save Akademik Shokalskiy in Antarctica…. “Having been caught in ice before, I know by experience when to get out. I didn’t want to add to the drama, instead of being part of the solution,” he said.
A low-hanging fog also hampered rescue efforts.
“We had no visibility so we couldn’t really see if there was a way through.”…
http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/aurora-australis-abandons-attempt-to-save-akademik-shokalskiy-in-antarctica-20131230-302na.html

Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station -11 °F Overcast Today is forecast to be Cooler than yesterday.
Amery Ice Shelf is reporting 11 °F and fog
You do have some areas ~ 0°C/32 °F link
Mawson Lat:67.60S Lon:62.87E, Antarctica is 31 °F
Dumont D’Urville (Lat: 66.7° S Lon: 140.0° E ) up the coast ~3000 km from Cape Hurley is 34 °F map and map so fog is certainly possible as is rain.
Additional info: Mertz Glacier was discovered by Douglas Mawson and protrudes from Cape Hurley

James Francis (Frank) Hurley (1885-1962) – Biographical notes (worth reading accompanied Mawson AND Shackleton)
Feature Name: Cape Hurley
Feature Type: cape
Latitude: 6736S
Longitude: 14518E
Description: An ice-covered coastal point marking on the east the mouth of the
depression occupied by the Mertz Glacier. Discovered by the AAE (1911-14) under Douglas Mawson.

The weather is a real change from:
Alok Jha is a member of the Australasian Antarctic Expedition who has been blogging from the ship on Thrusday he wrote:

Antarctica is not just cold, windy and wet. It is the extreme of all those things. Leave a hole in your armor – a glove not tucked into a sleeve, a gap around your neck where you forgot your scarf – and the weather will find and punish you fast. The cold starts off as stabbing, then it sears the skin and eventually sends the nerve-endings into a symphony of confusion. I took a glove off to type an email outside at one point and, after my fingers turned white and I lost the ability to move them, I swear they felt hot. Painful, boiling hot, as though I had just plunged them into a cup of coffee,” link

BLACK PEARL
December 30, 2013 6:21 am

DirkH says:
December 30, 2013 at 4:29 am
BLACK PEARL says:
December 30, 2013 at 4:23 am
“Give ‘em an Invoice, that would give them a reality check [as long as it does’nt come out of the BBC licence fee we have to pay]”
You will have to pay no matter what the corrupt Maoists squander it on. (As a German I can relate as we get forced to hand over 6 times as much per head per year to our state media who are even more inept and corrupt)
*********
Bloody hell !
So how much do you get charged ?
Is it per house hold ?

Gareth Phillips
December 30, 2013 6:25 am

People are really suffering, apparently they are running low on Tonic for the Gin, though there is plenty of ice. I hear they are also having problems with milkshakes. Watch this video and feel for this poor man stuck on this cruise ship. The anguish, the sorrow, is there not enough suffering in the world? http://www.theguardian.com/science/antarctica-live/video/2013/dec/30/antarctica-live-video-diary-trapped-ice-missing-milkshake-video?CMP=fb_gu

pax
December 30, 2013 6:33 am

Fortunately it is thin rotten ice – should be easy to break through.

Alan Robertson
December 30, 2013 6:34 am

Keitho says:
December 30, 2013 at 5:39 am
They are now being evacuated by helicopter, from the Chinese Ice Breaker. That is according to SKY news right now.
____________________
Perhaps they are being evacuated TO the Xue Long (Chinese Icebreaker,) but Sky News hasn’t updated their website to reflect that fact. Sounds like a speculative “They might need to be evacuated by helicopter to the Snow Dragon” went through a couple of rewrites and misinterpretations before a talking head got hold of it. Also, no Tweets from “Climate Change Scientist” on board.

Scute
December 30, 2013 6:35 am

Yes, Gareth. And with all this listing and drifting, the low sun will be going over the yardarm about four times a day.

Greg
December 30, 2013 6:36 am

NikFromNYC says: Tim Flannery joins the Turney family on the Carbonscape Holdings share registry.”
Good spot, Nik.
So this whole media venture is a financial venture. Professor of climate change sets up company to cash in on massive international Green Fund. Isn’t there a wee possibility of a conflict of interest there?
I trust Carbonscape Holdings have minimised “exposure” to loss of the ship. On the other hand, perhaps not, since they were apparently so convinced by their own propaganda that they really expected to be sailing through open water, Just like Mawson did in 1911.

Gail Combs
December 30, 2013 6:37 am

Santa says: December 30, 2013 at 1:42 am
… I find it hard to belive that the trapped ship in Antarctic, since it’s build for polar regions, is going to have a hull breach.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
That is what they are saying: “……The ship’s shell plating was ruptured on the starboard, 1.8 meters above the waterline….” Shell plating of Russian ship stuck in Antarctic ice being repaired

Tom in Florida
December 30, 2013 6:38 am

I tuned into the Weather Channel this morning looking for an early weather forecast to see if a passing cold front would keep me out of a tee shirt and shorts this morning (tee shirt and shorts will do). They ran a headline and teaser lead about this story only they stated it was in the Arctic. That’s right, a visual headline and one of their airhead desk jockeys stating the ships were in the Arctic. Dumb asses.

December 30, 2013 6:41 am

Warmist PR Disaster:
Climate Change Propaganda is behind the Expedition cover story.
http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2013/s3846720.htm
Twitter and Youtube are used to spread the message.
https://twitter.com/ProfChrisTurney
http://www.youtube.com/user/christurney
It all goes pair shaped. Amp up the cover story, play down Global Warming.
The boat load of Warmists gets stuck in the ice and
so does the recuse Ice breaker Xue Long/Snow Dragon.
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/12/27/world/antarctica-ship-stuck/index.html?hpt=hp_t2
Aurora Ice Breaker and its Green stern
http://www.smh.com.au/travel/travel-news/aurora-australis-abandons-attempt-to-save-akademik-shokalskiy-in-antarctica-20131230-302na.html
Aurora retreat, lacks greens.
http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/aurora
Time to be flown out and start the Ice is thin lectures.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/antarctica/10542223/Antarctica-ship-passengers-prepare-ice-helipad-after-latest-rescue-bid-fails.html
But the laughter has begun.
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/warmists_trapped_by_irony_off_antarctica/

Jean Parisot
December 30, 2013 6:42 am

How is the Chinese media playing their role in rescuing these clowns?

R. de Haan
December 30, 2013 6:43 am

Global Sea Ice Area Second Highest on record for date closing in on all time record: http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/12/30/global-sea-ice-area-second-highest-on-record-for-date-closing-in-on-all-time-record/

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