Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch in effect until 4:00 PM CST this afternoon for portions of eastern Iowa, Illinois, northwest Indiana, northeast Missouri, southeast Wisconsin, and Lake Michigan. For additional details, please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0561.html.
NOAA National Weather Service experts to discuss severe weather today in Ohio Valley and Midwest
Nov. 17, 2013
WHAT: NOAA National Weather Service will hold a media call Sunday, November 17, at 12:00 noon ET to discuss the latest forecast from the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center for high winds and possible tornadoes affecting Illinois, Indiana, northern and western Kentucky, lower Michigan, Ohio and southeast Wisconsin.
Officials will discuss the forecast for development of a few strong, long-track tornadoes over parts of the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys into Michigan today through early tonight.
WHEN: Sunday, November 17, 12:00 noon ET
WHO: Laura Furgione, deputy director, NOAA National Weather Service
Russell Schneider, director, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center
Bill Bunting, forecast branch chief, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center
ON THE WEB:
NOAA Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov
NOAA National Weather Service: http://www.weather.gov
============================================================
You can bet that if there are tornadoes produced from this we’ll see claims along the lines that “tornadoes in November are unusual” (They aren’t, see graph below) and that this is another “signature of global warming” (the science shows it isn’t, see IPCC SREX report).
Related articles
- US Tornado Count So Low That It’s Invaded The Legend… (wattsupwiththat.com)
UPDATE: Severe weather in progress. Image of Cental IL from http://stormpredator.com software:
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
From the forecast discussion from the NWS Cleveland …
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CLE&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
THE LONG ANTICIPATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DAY HAS ARRIVED. TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IN THE UPPER MIDWEST ARE BEGINNING TO MERGE AND INTENSIFY THIS MORNING.
DID NUDGE UP HIGH TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES ACROSS NW OHIO AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO WHERE THERE WILL NOT BE AS MANY SHOWERS. RECORD HIGH IN TOLEDO IS 71 AND WE WILL TAKE A RUN AT IT. 72 AT CLE IS POTENTIALLY WITHIN REACH.
SORT OF LOOKS LIKE OKLAHOMA IN THE SPRING TIME…HMMM.
Not sure why you called Missouri, Illinois and Wisconsin the “plains”. I always thought of Illinois and Wisconsin as the Midwest.
REPLY: I traveled that area extensively, always seemed like plains to me. – Anthony
Global changie-ness I tells ya!
There’s the Plains and then there is the Great Plains
Tornado watch now issued for Michigan. SPC calls it a “particularly dangerous situation with several intense tornadoes LIKELY” I have been a meteorologist for 45 years and have never seen the threat this high this far north so late in the season.
Dr Masters over at weatherunderground says this is very unusual to have such sever weather at this time of year.
One of the best things about “Weather Underground” is their interactive maps.
I can sit here and watch the storm tracks coming directly towards me (west of Chicago)
SPC has only issued two high risk areas during November in the last 15 years. On November 15, 2005 there were 49 tornadoes including a confirmed EF4. On November 10, there were 64 tornadoes with 34 fatalities.
It’s called weather. Weather is variable. Just like they’ve never had this short a period between snowfall in South Dakota. It’s weather.
The Great Plains in the US:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:US_Great_Plains_Map.svg
Here’s hoping that the people up there heed the warnings and pay attention to local weather resources which update storm tracks, etc.
On the brighter side, the worst part of the storm is expected to dissipate before nightfall, which means it won’t catch most people sleeping.
The “Interior Plains” of the US (never heard that description). Basically from Rockies to Ozarks in the south, to Appalachians in the northern US, to the Arctic Ocean way up north: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interior_Plains :
The Interior Plains encompass eight distinct physiographic provinces, the Interior Low Plateaus, Great Plains, Central Lowland, Mackenzie Delta, Manitoba Lowlands, Northern Boreal Plains, Prairie Grassland and the Southern Boreal Plains and Plateaux’
==================================================================
While those areas may not be part of “The Great Plains”, they and parts of Indiana and Ohio are just plain flat.
Beyond the tornado risk, it seems to me this storm fits the description of the “Witch of November”.
From my http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/11/10/35-years-ago-the-witch-of-november-come-stealin/ (#3 on Google, yay us!):
From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Lakes_Storm_of_1913#Background (#1 on Google):
Dire Wolf says:
November 17, 2013 at 8:11 am
The Middle West states are OH, MI, IN, IL, WI, MN, IA, MO, KS, NE, SD & ND. The Great Plains are the western part of the Midwest. They also extend into four Western & two Southern states. Midwestern states east of the Mississippi can be considered part of the Great Plains if you include the native tallgrass prairie portions of IL & bits of WI, IN & MI with the midgrass & shortgrass prairies or plains. Flatness isn’t even required. Rolling hills, lakes & river valleys will do.
Not to mention the Badlands or outliers of the Rockies like the Black Hills.
Ric Werme says:
November 17, 2013 at 10:00 am
Beyond the tornado risk, it seems to me this storm fits the description of the “Witch of November”.
From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Lakes_Storm_of_1913#Background (#1 on Google):
“The result is commonly referred to as a “November gale” or “November witch”. Such a storm can maintain hurricane-force wind gusts, produce waves over 50 feet (15 m) high, and dump several inches of rain or feet of snow. Fuelled by the warm lake water, these powerful storms may remain over the Great Lakes for days. Intense winds then ravage the lakes and surrounding shores, severely eroding the shoreline and flooding the shorelines”[9][10]
_____________________________
No doubt you will have ill-informed people on your TV screens telling you that these storms are as a result of AGW. That is what we had this morning, when the BBC were telling us that the typhoon that hit the Phillipines was caused by AGW as is the snow and Arctic winds due to arrive here tomorrow!
More from the severe weather is climate change that is all of the rich countries’ fault- the latest NYT article that lays culpability for Typhoon Haiyen on the developed world.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/17/world/growing-clamor-about-inequities-of-climate-crisis.html?ref=international-home&_r=0
You owe us money.
“Dr Masters over at weatherunderground says this is very unusual to have such sever weather at this time of year.”
I can just about guarantee you that on any given day, at any given hour, “unusual weather” is taking place somewhere on planet earth..
pokerguy, there’s nothing unusual about this. It’s happened before, ergo it’s normal.
Pictures of distruction posted on TheBlaze
Washington, IL
Pekin, IL
Peoria, IL
video from Soilder Field fans taking cover under stands.
pokerguy says:
November 17, 2013 at 11:00 am
“Dr Masters over at weatherunderground says this is very unusual to have such sever weather at this time of year.”
“I can just about guarantee you that on any given day, at any given hour, “unusual weather” is taking place somewhere on planet earth..”
___________________________________
Yes, and it’s your fault.
“Dr Masters over at weatherunderground says this is very unusual to have such sever weather at this time of year”…
Yet it has happened before…at least several times…in our short recorded history. .
The minimum and maximum tornado count curve on this plot have active Novembers.
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/torgraph-big.gif?w=578&h=396