Quote of the week- the recasting of the argument begins

qotw_cropped

Every once in awhile a window opens and shows us the dark, illogical souls of the bureaucrats in the climate cabal. This is one of those times.

Regardless of whether or not scientists are wrong on global warming, the European Union is pursuing the correct energy policies even if they lead to higher prices, Europe’s climate commissioner has said.

There’s more.

Let’s say that science, some decades from now, said ‘we were wrong, it was not about climate’, would it not in any case have been good to do many of things you have to do in order to combat climate change?.

These are the views of the EU climate commissioner, Connie Hedegaard.

Read it all here: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/10313261/EU-policy-on-climate-change-is-right-even-if-science-was-wrong-says-commissioner.html

h/t to Dennis Wingo, and many others.

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Stephen Richards
September 17, 2013 4:48 am

Dr Lindzen has this great piece at [ http://www.icecap.us/ ].
Sep 16, 2013
The Climate Issue: Widespread agreement and the choice of a moral policy.
Dr. Richard Lindzen
The issue of global warming (or climate change or weather disruption or whatever the current label is) is often put forward as a moral issue, but this does not change the need to pay attention to the science. Indeed, the latter is a crucial prelude to the former. The situation here may not be as complex as is sometimes suggested. Frequently the questions posed in public discussions are so reductionist as to be silly. Is it warming or not? Is CO2 increasing. Is climate changing? Is summer sea ice decreasing? Such questions actually disguise what are the real policy-relevant questions. These are inevitably quantitative rather than yes-no in character.
Though it would be difficult to speak of universal agreement over any aspect of the issue, it is nonetheless the case that there are many areas of agreement among most of the scientists on both sides of this issue. Such agreement hardly insures that these views are correct, but, for the moment, they are a reasonable starting point.
There is general agreement that there has been a relatively small and irregular increase in global mean temperature anomaly over the past couple of hundred years; by ‘relatively small’ I mean relative to the actual variability of this quantity at any given location or even region. There is also agreement that this quantity has not risen for the past 17 years or so. Over the past two centuries the warming has been less than 1C.
There is general agreement that climate is always changing. To be sure, climate is more than simply the global mean temperature anomaly.
There is agreement that there is a greenhouse effect, and that doubling CO2, in the absence of any feedbacks, will lead to warming on the order of 1C; this is generally felt to be unalarming and perhaps even beneficial. The issue of feedbacks is crucial. Alarm requires, at the least, that these feedbacks actually greatly amplify the impact of man’s contribution to greenhouse gases.
There is agreement that CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing, and that current levels are about 35% greater than pre-industrial levels; there is agreement that much of this increase is likely due to industrial emissions.
There is agreement that when combined with other increasing greenhouse gases (like methane, nitrous oxide, etc.), the total greenhouse forcing is about 80% of what one expects from a doubling of CO2. That is to say, we are effectively pretty close to a doubling of CO2 in terms of greenhouse impact.
While there is significant disagreement as to whether feedbacks will diminish or amplify the effect of CO2, there is virtually no disagreement that the impact of each added amount of CO2 diminishes relative to earlier amounts. This is referred to as the logarithmic regime.
There are two more points which I find substantial agreement over within the climate research community, but which might be contested by environmental activists:
Namely, that increases in CO2 will not jeopardize the planet, itself, and that any relation of increases in global mean temperature anomaly to such more relevant issues such as regional climate, storminess, extreme weather, etc. are not evident in the data nor are they robust features of models.
It is worth noting that none of the above point to alarm. Nevertheless, there has been a huge effort to implement mitigation policies. The presumed basis is essentially the precautionary principle. Despite the fact that there is no evidence for alarm, neither can it be rigorously rejected. The arguments for alarm are, moreover, frequently based on the misuse of scientific statements. For example, the IPCC iconic statement that there is 90% certainty that most of the warming of the past 50 years is due to man’s emissions. While one may legitimately question the subjective assignment of a probability to such a statement, the statement, itself, is again completely consistent with there being no problem. To say that most of a small change is due to man is hardly an argument for the likelihood of large changes.
Such misuse of language and logic bring to mind Orwell’s comment on the political implications of language: “It becomes ugly and inaccurate because our thoughts are foolish, but the slovenliness of our language makes it easier for us to have foolish thoughts.” As to political language, itself, Orwell notes that it “is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable, and to give an appearance of solidity to pure wind.”
Turning to policy, there is widespread agreement that mitigation measures, such as the Kyoto Protocol, will have no discernible impact on climate regardless of one’s position on feedbacks.
Much more extreme measures will have no discernible impact on climate unless the most pessimistic and least supportable estimates of climate amplification are correct, and the proposed measures are universally adopted. All such measures, moreover, will have negative impacts on income, development, the environment, and food availability and cost especially for the poor. We know these impacts are real because we are already seeing them and have been doing so for some time. That these measures are endorsed by the environmental movement is hardly reassuring. The movement has racked up an impressive record of endorsing measures that have led to the death and debilitation of millions of the world’s most vulnerable. The complete banning of DDT and its impact on malaria is a notable but not unique example.
Under the circumstances, it would appear that the reasonable and moral policy would be to foster economic growth and well being in order that societies be better able to deal with climate change regardless of its origin. Mitigation policies appear to have the opposite effect without significantly reducing the hypothetical risk of any changes in climate. While reducing vulnerability to climate change is a worthy goal, blind support for mitigation measures regardless of the invalidity of the claims constitutes what might be called bankrupt morality. It is worse than bankruptcy when the proposed measures are counterproductive. It is not sufficient for actions to artificially fulfill people’s need for transcendent aspirations in order for the actions to be considered moral. PDF
Sep 15, 2013

Admin
September 17, 2013 4:50 am

They’ve been saying this for years – every time they are backed into a corner on the science, they recast the argument as ensuring future energy security, for that distant day when Fossil Fuels run out.

elrica
September 17, 2013 4:51 am

of Ottawa
I keep forgetting it is unwise to have food or drink in one’s mouth when reading WUWT

Bill Marsh
Editor
September 17, 2013 4:53 am

Sounds like they know the end is near and they’re developing their ‘spin’ to justify the idiotic policies they wanted to enact.

The Ghost Of Big Jim Cooley
September 17, 2013 4:56 am

It’s why many of us in England want to be out of the EU. People (who are UNELECTED) within the EU are just plain stark raving mad. There are many Brits here who could give you Americans a taste of what being in the EUSSR is like, with tales of rulings being handed down from UNELECTED people that you just wouldn’t believe.
http://www.businessinsider.com/eu-directives-law-2011-12?op=1
In a few years Britain will be OUT of the EU – despite want Barmy Obama wants!

Eliza
September 17, 2013 5:00 am

The ABC (Australia) is still pushing BS
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-17/scientists-say-humans-key-factor-in-global-warming-of-climate/4962796
WE need WUWT, SM or others here to debunk this which has probably being all made up if anything.

JPeden
September 17, 2013 5:03 am

Alexander Feht says:
September 17, 2013 at 12:11 am
They are instinctively afraid of more intelligent life forms, and they want to exterminate us.”
“Alluha Akbar…Forward!”

richardscourtney
September 17, 2013 5:03 am

Stephen Richards:
Thankyou very much indeed for posting that statement of Richard Lindzen here in your post at September 17, 2013 at 4:48 am
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/17/quote-of-the-week-the-recasting-of-the-argument-begins/#comment-1419217
That is brilliant, excellent, superb!
Perhaps Anth0ny will consider posting it as an article. It certainly deserves such publicity.
Richard

Bruce Cobb
September 17, 2013 5:19 am

Clueless Connie could probably learn a thing or two from Bjorn Lomborg about the “correctness” and “goodness” of raising energy costs, and dragging economies down. Ultimately, what you get is far more actual pollution (from burning whatever is available), environmental destruction, and misery, sickness, and death among the poor. But, perhaps that is her ultimate goal.

lurker, passing through laughing
September 17, 2013 5:20 am

There is nothing new in the rationalizations highlighted here. AGW true believers do not care if they are wrong. They do not need, or really want, facts. Just as AGW catastrophic climate predictions cannot be falsified, the AGW fanatic cannot, in their own mind, be incorrect.

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
September 17, 2013 5:26 am

steveta_uk said September 17, 2013 at 3:57 am:

OT: This has probably been asked and answered already, but can someone explain the bright streaks in the upper left quadrant of recent solar images on this page? Thanks.

I noticed them before, as they were just then new to me they were freaking me out. Saw a recent comment by Leif at one thread, asked him there. The instrument developed a flaw, a crack or something. It’s been growing for months, up close you can see the propagation of the crazing. It’s just the one imager, no rush to replace the instrument platform. Perhaps they’ll figure out how to “fix” it digitally.
Oh, and space is a harsh environment.

AlecMM
September 17, 2013 5:27 am

People must remember that the German windmills were introduced by Gerhard Schroeder to get Germany hooked on Russian gas.
Whilst still Chancellor, Schroeder negotiated with Putin and Gazprom to be made Chairman of NordStream, the Baltic gas pipeline.
Basically the windmills are a communist tactic but behind them are the fascist eugenicists, the new Nazis.

AlecMM
September 17, 2013 5:31 am

As for Hedegaard, she was put in place to propagate the lie [which she probably did not know of] that the Danish windmills were a success when in reality, they have to dump wind energy >10% of demand to hydro then buy it back at spot prices.
In short, she was a dupe and must be hopping mad that she has been shown to be a dupe for fake IPCC Climate Alchemy.

Dave in the "Hot North East of Scotland"
September 17, 2013 5:36 am

I am reminded of the Clancy novel “Rainbow” where some green eco-nazis had attempted to remove humanity from the face of the earth……except for the chosen few of course.
The novel concludes with this elitist group being left in splendid eco-isolation in a particularly virulent, violent and venomous tract of tropical rainforest, their luxurious self sustaining accommodation having been trashed by the special forces heroes of the day.
Hmmm! If only….

Dave in the "Hot North East of Scotland"
September 17, 2013 5:49 am

Errr – the novel is actually “Rainbow Six”.
Apologiesfor my apppalllng profruding.

J Martin
September 17, 2013 5:52 am

Ironic that Connie Hedegaard’s home country Denmark has the highest installed Wind capacity of any country, yet has seen an increase in co2 output, and no decrease. Looks like her right things are in fact the wrong things.

September 17, 2013 5:56 am

Just for the record, Connie Hedegaard is not a left-wing politician.
She is a member of the Conservative People’s Party (Denmark) which is a centre-right party.
Much like the UK Conservative Party (as described by Wikipedia).
It pays to know your enemy.

JEM
September 17, 2013 5:59 am

SideShowBob says:
September 17, 2013 at 1:34 am
I was happy to see the responses to his assertion.
Coal is being replaced due to government regulations that are making it more expensive because of the fear of carbon – not particulate, or other issues. But natgas has shown up to become even cheaper due to evil fracking, so the environmental zealots have been foiled again. As renewable subsidies are drying up, and as even the biofuels cartel is coming under attack, renewables are getting more expensive, not less.
Standard renewables – such as wind and especially solar may find uses in targeted end user capacity. Wind for operating widely dispersed power generating needs – such as water pumps in isolated ranch operations where there isn’t enough sun for solar. Homes in sunny areas, like for instance California where utility costs are so high the capital investment in solar panels on individual residences makes great sense (I believe our fearless moderator has done just that). Eventually, I could see solar technology built into windows of new construction to handle individual site energy needs during the day – AC in summer, as well as regular appliance and lighting expenses.
But on a massive scale, they are too non-dense to collect efficiently. Renewables are actually going to begin disappearing on a grand scale, because the money to support them has run out in Europe, and is starting to run out in the US – and China and India don’t care. They have too many poor people they are trying to lift out of poverty to listen to the climate science priesthood.

more soylent green!
September 17, 2013 6:00 am

Eric Simpson says:
September 17, 2013 at 12:49 am
… Now you see so many warmists saying like: “Well, what if we are wrong? Will we have done such a terrible thing by building a better world anyway?”
A better world?…

Don’t you just love it when they reduce the argument down to something like this? Who doesn’t want to live in a better world! Don’t you want your children to live in a better world? How can you argue with that? It’s like trying to discuss a complex topic with a young child.
Of course the purpose of this tactic is to shut you up by ridiculing dissent.

Pittzer
September 17, 2013 6:04 am

Nothing is so scary as a righteous bureaucrat.

Dan Tauke
September 17, 2013 6:07 am

The ends always justify the means for these people, because (1) they are always right regardless of the degree of scientific rigor; (2) they always know what’s best for us, the ignorant masses. Their arrogance is so prevalent I can only assume much of it is subconscious.

JPeden
September 17, 2013 6:09 am

Eliza says:
September 17, 2013 at 5:00 am
The ABC (Australia) is still pushing BS
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-17/scientists-say-humans-key-factor-in-global-warming-of-climate/4962796
WE need WUWT, SM or others here to debunk this which has probably being all made up if anything.

Wigley says:
“We see warming at the surface and cooling in the upper atmosphere, so that immediately discounts the sun as a causal factor….
“But in fact the real answer is that the heat that normally would accumulate in the atmosphere, and we know this from observational data, has gone into the deeper ocean.
“It’s an unusual event [the Pause], but it’s just part of the natural variability of the climate system, so we do understand why there has been this slow down in warming and it’s certainly nothing to do with the credibility of climate models.”
Goggle Translator says:
“The elusive Hot Spot moves to the surface but then immediately slithers into the deeper Ocean, due to natural variability, taking more than its fair share of heat with it. It only feels like there is a Sun up there. Although he ways of the Warming Models and their own Son CO2 whom they have sent to us are mysterious, I have talked with them. Resist, we must.”

JPeden
September 17, 2013 6:19 am

Mistress Hedegaard forgot to mention, “And if just one child is saved….”

NotAGolfer
September 17, 2013 6:28 am

It never ceases to amaze me, the arrogance of those who think they know what’s best for society to the point of actually trying to control it by force.