Joe Romm is sooo entertaining these days. Yesterday, when I pointed out to him McIntyre’s takedown of Marcott et al, he came to the immediate conclusion that I was an “instrumental record denier”, apparently sent that assertion to Mike Mann, who then a few minutes later made it a “News Alert” on his Twitter feed, only to be forced to retract it later.
Today, denying the existence of the issues that essentially falsify the Marcott et al paper, while at the same time making sure his readers have absolutely no link to the contrary findings, or even to name “he who must not be named” lest readers might be tempted to Google it, Romm has a new post up, pushing yet again his hilarious projection of the future:
Like a dog playing fetch, he only sees the stick, runs after it, and completely misses the fact that the small blue uptick upon which he bases his projection premise has been shown to be nothing more than an artifact of the shoddy science (removal of some unfavorable proxies) that somehow made it past peer review.
I have decided that this insistence on seeing sticks where there are none needs a label, and here’s what I have decided upon. “stickophrenia”. Here’s the definition:
Stickophrenia is one of the most chronic (long-lasting) and disabling of climate science disorders. People with stickophrenia see hockey sticks where none exist, and the sticks can be made up of just about any data on hand. It is a climate science disorder that causes easily identifiable symptoms such as:
- Hockey Hallucinations (seeing sticks that don’t exist)
- Data Delusions (bizarre thoughts of the data producing hockey sticks, where the data can’t possibly produce one)
- Disordered thinking, to the point of arranging data to make sticks to satisfy urges
- Social media bloviation
- Denial of contrary science, opinions, and data that don’t show hockey sticks
It would be tempting to label Romm as “patient zero” but that honor really should go to Mike Mann.
Romm in his article says we have no social media traction, but let’s see how far “stickophrenia” can go.
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After just three hours, some 250 Goggle hits. Now if we project that rate of increase out in a Rommian straight line, that means 730,000 in a year.
Posted this on my facebook page, with link so people get what I’m talking about. I know I’ll get some flack… But I don’t care. This is funny.
The Climate Cat Fight, boring for quite a while, has really been heating up lately!… Oh, I made a pun there!!! 🙂
“Stickoprenia”!
Yes, it is a bad idea to extrapolate from a proxy record whose final points are “not robust”.
But if you remove the proxy reconstruction for the last 120 years (that part Marcott said was not robust) and replace it with the instrument record (which Watts says does show warming in the past century), don’t you still have something that looks like a hockey stick?
I guess we can now call Warmers “dataphobic stickophants”
Romm writes: “They are arguing that the warming of the past century the authors found in their proxy records is in error. What makes this so head-exploding is that the uptick just happens to match the uptick in the heavily documented and independently verified instrumental record. So the disinformers are spending most of their time attacking the one part of the paper we know is unequivocally is true. That is the quintessence of anti-science.”
This is obviously how the fraudulent uptick got past the peer review. They appear to have merely assumed that since it looks like previous hockeysticks, it must be true. So they passed the paper through without even checking it.
This is not peer-review, it is poor-review.
.
How about inverting data to produce a proper hockey stick as an additional symptom?
Tiljander!
Gareth Phillips says:
March 19, 2013 at 8:00 am
I don’t think that we should use use appendages like’ Phrenia’ lightly, Schizophrenia is a devastating disease which robs parents of children and adults of life. If you want to give someone stick, how about using the word ‘phile’ as in lover of, hence stickophile or if someone wanted to avoid such things, stickophobic. Thanks.
I agree – a far more accurate terminology Stickophile is someone who is Stickophilic a far more accurate terminology. A Stickophile is a term for someone that sees hockey stick shapes in any data.
The ‘Team’ are desperate to have something that they can put into AR5 that shows looming catastrophe from warming. It will not be easy as based on every instrumental metric for the last 15 years there is no warming and they will need to invent data. That is in effect what they appear to have done with Marcott. While we can make amusing comments this is extremely serious as we know that the Team members in IPCC will have no problem whatsoever in uncritically accepting the Marcott ‘hockey stick’. Indeed I have no doubt that they have already got the Summary for Policy Makers in draft and are looking for papers to support various parts of it. Hence the frustration about their preparatory papers being ‘reviewed’ and shown to be without foundation.
Anthony, he says we have no media traction b/c every time one of us posts a calm, factual, reasoned comment that conflicts with The Litany, he simply deletes it. Some of us he’s even gone to the point of banning our email addresses from making any posts at all!
If a detailed study were performed analyzing the actual “instrumental error” of even a single surface station with the corresponding gridcell average temperature, the error bars on the pre-1978 “instrumental period” would be identifiable as a different type of proxy-measurement.
Romm is the circus clown but there are some interesting developments in the “Marcott curve” which puts more of the circus in jeopardy. In addition to a new post on CA detailing changes in the core top record, there is this very significant comment on a prior thread which deserves some serious exploration:
Jean S on “Marcott’s main plot (Figure 1A)”
Here is the Romm analysis of daylight: In the last two months, we have gained 3 hours of daylight, to 12 hours a day. If current trends continue, in 8 months, we will have daylight around the clock, and in 10 months, we will have 27 of daylight every day.
ThinkRegress.com and their ilk are simply getting comical at this stage.
Their, “it’s much worse than we thought” meme is becoming about as realavent as lime green 100% polyester leisure suits…..
I think the following skit pretty much sums it up:
http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5Qf6Sv3A9zs
Great Expectations meets Desperation Data and they produce Predicktorshtick.
Annie says: March 19, 2013 at 8:26 am Stickomannia? – Love it! Thanks.
Stickophile? Wouldn’t that be making light of those such as Pedophiles then? I like to laugh a little, life is to short not to laugh a little.
Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t the study end at 60 years BP? So, with Romm’s addition, at 0.7C temperature increment per decade from 60BP, we would already be some 4.2C above 1953 temperatures.
By the way, I too have lost a family member to schizophrenia, and I do NOT take the disease lightly.
These days a Fascist is someone who’s winning an argument with a “Progressive” and a Socialist is someone who’s winning an argument with a “Conservative”.
But if you want to go back to an older definition, remember… fasces are sticks.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change
anybody got any idea how we get this off from the internet?
Michael says:
March 19, 2013 at 12:33 pm
“Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t the study end at 60 years BP? So, with Romm’s addition, at 0.7C temperature increment per decade from 60BP, we would already be some 4.2C above 1953 temperatures.”
Good observation! So Romm’s projection is already falsified! Just like the climate scientists’!
Could some one please write a serious statistical examination of the predictive skill of Joe Romm’s prognosis?
Leo Geiger says:
March 19, 2013 at 9:53 am
“But if you remove the proxy reconstruction for the last 120 years (that part Marcott said was not robust) and replace it with the instrument record (which Watts says does show warming in the past century), don’t you still have something that looks like a hockey stick?”
Yes, but that means splicing two data sets together that have a limit frequency that is a factor of 600 different. (assuming monthly resolution of thermometer record)
Shakun himself acknowledged in video interview with Revkin that the 11,300 year long past of the M&S curve does not resolve decade-long peaks. EVEN Shakun is honest enough to acknowledge that, that should tell you something.
HenryP says:
March 19, 2013 at 1:02 pm
” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change
anybody got any idea how we get this off from the internet?”
Relax. The more extreme Jimbo Whales’ NPOV becomes, the more traffic they drive our way.
hot off the press… a new puff piece on Mann in Yale Alumni Magazine
http://yalealumnimagazine.com/articles/3648
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I never thought I’d say this but maybe the solution to stickophrenia is to go with Obama’s electric kiddie-car. I mean, if we did away with gas powered vehicles then as Mann and Marcott are drawing their little graphs then maybe their hands wouldn’t jerk up every time they hear a car backfire?
WUWT making history… now defining actual medical terms. Stickophrenia is the disease that causes one to see and/or prefer “hockey stick” shapes, but only if the handle is laying flat on the ground, and the blade is on the right side, AND it defies gravity to point upwards.
Some other suggested medical terms we need.
– Peer-Reviewed Flu (a very deadly condition which only strikes if your journal editor or his reviewers tell you you’re sick, but which they hate to diagnose, and will avoid at all costs)
– McIntyre Flu (a minor flu that could hit you only if you’ve avoided the Peer-reviewed flu. This disease wasn’t considered nearly as serious as the Peer-Reviewed Flu, until Joelle Gergis contracted a serious, deadly strain even more virulent than it’s cousin)
– Watermelon Dermatophytoses (a fungus which causes your thick green skin to soften and break, allowing the red and pink inner meat to liquify and flow out onto the ground. Thought to be trigged by large utility bill increases caused by wind and solar power subsidies and electrical generation shortfalls.
– Gorzeera Scabbing (after making doomsday predictions which fail miserably, and fabricating undesired markets based solely on government coercion, this scabbing condition allows scar tissue to form, which stops fatal financial hemmorage, and keeps your economic viability and status from oozing away. The survivors group for this condition is called Seventh-Day Climatology).
– Mann-ic Depressive disorder (huge debilitating mood swings, the upswings caused by others blindly accepting silly claims you’ve made, the depressive phase when they don’t.)
– Twitter-pill ( the act of posting ranting tweets for their analgesic effects, usually prescribed to relieve symptoms of Mann-ic Depressive disorder, Watermelon Dermatophytoses, or Steve McIntyre flu)