The Coldest Journey Gets Colder

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I was saddened to get the news that Sir Ranulf Fiennes, OBE, has gotten frostbitten. As a result, he has been forced to give up his dream of a winter crossing of Antarctica, an expedition entitled The Coldest Journey. His public support of CO2 alarmism has led to perhaps somewhat deserved public laughter at the idea of someone worried about global warming suffering frostbite, and to be sure there is the aura of the “Gore Effect” about it. (The “Gore Effect” refers to the oddity that many times when Al Gore has gone to speak somewhere, it has been unseasonably cold, and sometimes unreasonably so.)

roald amundsen 1Figure 1. Roald Amundsen, who imitated his beloved Eskimos of the Arctic in dress, style, and methods to lead the first team to the South Pole in 1911-1912. Check out the man’s eyes …

Fiennes is the oldest Briton to summit Everest, he’s a “because it’s there” kind of guy. I like to see that, I’ve taken on physical challenges to measure myself against the real world. It’s worth doing, although I prefer physical challenges that make me money instead of costing me money, but that’s just me.

I bring this up for two reasons. First, it appears that the man they call “Ran” suffered the frostbite as a side effect of incipient adult-onset diabetes … ironic given his lean physique. And for this man, as for Roald Amundsen, his hands and feet are more than just where he hangs his shoes and gloves. In some sense they are also where he hangs his life. So cut him some slack, send him some good wishes for his life and limbs …

The second reason is a bit more complex, and involves climate science.

Let me compare and contrast Amundsen’s exuberant dash to the South Pole with the current Fiennes expedition.

amundsen plus dogs

The photo above of a member of Amundsen’s expedition illustrates the following.

• For clothing Amundsen and his men used what the Eskimos used—a cunning, specific combination of different types of furs and other materials which allow heavy exertion in sub-zero weather without becoming encased in dangerous frozen sweat.

• For materials transport they used what the Eskimos used—dog sleds and sled dogs.

• For human transport they used what the Eskimos used—skis.

• For energy for materials transport they used what the Eskimos used—frozen seals.

• The only difference was, for energy for cooking, they used kerosene.

On the other hand, from The Coldest Journey’s web site, here’s their plan:

coldest journey machinesNow, I can understand why they are taking the vehicles. No way you’d live through all those Antarctic winter nights in some pathetic tent, not happening. But that puts the fuel use into the stratosphere. You need to tow a big fuel tank, here’s the full rig:

landtrain the coldest journey

The proposed trip is about 2,000 miles. That crawler probably burns eight gallons per hour. Here’s their estimate from their site:

An estimated 20,000 litres will be required during the initial static phase at Novo, and 26,000 for cargo work, setting up the camp and establishing a fuel depot at 75°S. A further estimated 100,000 litres will be required for the traverse itself for the static phase at the end of the traverse. [total 39,000 gallons]

Then there’s the ships and planes to transport them and all of their gear and about forty thousand gallons of fuel to Antarctica and bring them back. By the end they will burn well over their estimated forty thousand gallons of eevil fossil fuels on the expedition, hundreds and hundreds of times what Amundsen used per man … and for what?

They give two answers: charity, and science. They’re looking to raise bucks for charity, perhaps they will, perhaps not. But under that rubric you can justify anything, as if the ends really did justify the means.

And they also claim that there will be valuable scientific measurements taken, although that seems like a bridge too far to me. According again to their web site, their plan is to take elevation measurements and snow samples … be still, my beating heart.

So I don’t buy it at all when Ranulph says:

“The science content of the Expedition is unique, global and genuine. The thought that we will be potentially doing something ground-breaking in man’s attempts to understand climate change is, for me, one of the most exciting and rewarding aspects of The Coldest Journey.”

Sir Ranulph Fiennes OBE

A string of one-off elevations and snow samples taken at a certain place and time are certainly unique, no doubting that.

And I suppose they’re genuine, in that they are real samples and elevations.

But “global”? “Ground-breaking”?? Don’t make me laugh. It’s a paltry handful of observations in one of the most atypical places on the planet. In the world of climate science, that’s neither global nor ground-breaking.

Here’s my problem. I have no difficulty with someone burning thousands and thousands and thousands of gallons of fuel on a dangerous publicity stunt. That’s their business, and I wish them well. I have no problem with CO2.

But my goodness, if you’re going to do that, if you plan to burn huge quantities of fossil fuels doing something totally un-necessary just because it’s there, then don’t lecture me about climate change!

And in particular, don’t try the bogus justification that your expedition is going to provide some kind of valuable contribution to climate science.

Amundsen was the first to the South Pole, and he and his men surveyed and measured and took temperatures, he did real science that was of value for his time. It was ground-breaking, with global implications.

In this expedition, a few elevation measurements and snow samples by some dilettantes a century too late, after weather and snow and elevations have been measured all over Antarctica for decades, are nothing of the sort.

I have no problem with the expedition, it sounds like fun, heck, I’d go. And they can burn all the fossil fuel they want, also no problem for me.

It’s the moralizing and the bogus justification that ring false. I don’t need them telling me it’s OK that they burn tens of thousands of gallons fossil fuel because they’re doing “global, ground-breaking” climate science work. That’s both untrue and it’s special pleading, and I find it ugly and base in an adventurer like Sir Ranulf Fiennes, OBE.

I didn’t need any such justification for Sir Ranulf’s expedition to climb Everest, nor apparently did he. I’d suggest he do the same here, tell people he wants to make a midwinter Antarctic crossing simply because it’s there.

And above all, I wish him a speedy and complete recovery from the frostbite.

Regards to all,

w.

 

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Jeremy
March 4, 2013 7:24 am

I just wonder if they’re planning on taking their measurements within range of the exhaust of their diesel, in the finest tradition of USHCN quality control.

mfo
March 4, 2013 7:32 am

OT but I’ll jot it down anyway. Catlin, the largest insurance syndicate in the Lloyd’s market, made a profit of $339 million last year due to lower natural catastrophe claims.
Its last major loss was around $125 million and resulted from Japan’s Tohoku earthquake. It expects to have to pay out around $225 million for claims due to Sandy making landfall in New York and $51 milion for the Costa Concordia shipwreck.
The reason I mention Catlin is that they used to sponsor polar adventurer Pen Hadow, but withdrew sponsorship after Fukushima even though they made a profit of $71 million in 2011.
Pen Hadow has used global warming science as a reason for his polar trips and has been trying to find a new sponsor for another trip to the Arctic since Catlin withdrew funding. However no major sponsor has come forward making any further polar trips by Pen Hadow very unlikely.
Many large companies pay lip service to AGW, but are aware of people like Mann, Gleick, Lewandowsky, Climategate etc and no longer give much credence to anything such scientists say. They know that scientists like Mann have lost credibility with other scientists and the public so the more circumspect are becoming reluctant to be associated with climate science
It’s just as well Fiennes did not follow the advice of his extremely tough and good humored but rather reckless friend, Charlie Burton, who accompanied him on their Transglobe expedition in 79-82. Burton suggested a second expedition on foot and with no support. Fiennes said it was impossible. Burton replied: “Balls, Captain Scott was absolutely right in reckoning manpower to be the efficient method. Our journey will prove it.”

Jeff Alberts
March 4, 2013 7:34 am

Amundsen doesn’t get nearly the credit he deserves. If you can find the video, grab a copy of “The Last Place On Earth”, excellent BBC (I think) series about the race to the South Pole.
Amundsen was a true hero. He died during a search and rescue of another Polar explorer (Nobile, I think).

Austin
March 4, 2013 7:57 am

Great, a trailer park on ice.

Silver Ralph
March 4, 2013 8:14 am

.
They are milking the Green ‘climate change’ meme for everything its worth. Why else would the sponsors of this private-schoolboy jape want to get involved, if it were not to salve their Green credentials?
Sponsor list.
http://www.thecoldestjourney.org/home/sponsors
Which means that this is simply another Green tax on all of us. Corporate sponsorship is not free – you pay for it, in the cost of the products you buy.
.
As to frostbite, I thought that Fiennes had already lost his fingers in his Arctic adventure (and cut them off with an electric hacksaw). So what else has he got, to contract frostbite in?
Oh, no – that would be too cruel, surely……
.

March 4, 2013 8:16 am

I would imagine that the field measurements taken would be just the kind of thing folks would demand to calibrate a satellite. Especially snow depth versus ice depth.
Note: I don’t know that is their plan for the measurements, I’m merely pointing out that the measurements could be important and that some skepticism about the lack of their importance is warranted. In order words, do you really think its settled that these measurements are unimportant.

Silver Ralph
March 4, 2013 8:18 am

Jenn Oates says: March 4, 2013 at 7:19 am
As someone who has the same last name as a famous Antarctic explorer.
_______________________________
I will wait for another post from you later – but I expect you may be gone for some time……..
.

Jenn Oates
March 4, 2013 8:25 am

“I will wait for another post from you later – but I expect you may be gone for some time……..”
Bwahahahahahah!
Okay, off to first period with a smile on my face. 🙂

Ian Hoder
March 4, 2013 8:30 am

They posted pictures of his frostbitten hand and it looks painful. I don’t have much sympathy for someone getting frostbitten on an ill advised journey to draw attention to “Global Warming”. I do wish him a speedy recovery though.

O Olson
March 4, 2013 8:36 am

Bruce Robbins says:
March 4, 2013 at 1:43 am
“Ran is one of my heroes so I’m going to cut him some slack. He’s achieved some significant successes man-hauling massively laden sledges across snowy wastes much in the style of Amundsen and so has proved he can do it the hard way.”
This is NOT what Amundsen did and so is NOT in his style. This is Scott’s style and look where it got him. Amundsen traveled light using skis, dogs, and his brain. Scott man-hauled a sledge with rocks on it to the bitter end, even after it had to be painfully obvious he would die doing it. I for one cut no slack for Scott or those like him. They get themselves, and unfortunately others, killed doing stupid things.

Barry Cullen
March 4, 2013 8:58 am

So we’re talking about these ego maniacs burning an average of ~145 (uS) gal/day of (gelled) diesl fuel and traveling ~11 mi/day or <1 mph w/ 12 hr/day traveling window. Sigh!

rogerknights
March 4, 2013 9:02 am

The headline missed this phrase: “cold feet”.

3x2
March 4, 2013 9:35 am

40,000+ Gallons of fuel to demonstrate that using fossil fuel is just wrong. There really is no point in suggesting that one just couldn’t make this stuff up.
Let’s hope they can keep the number of Antarctic expeditions promoting the dangers of fossil fuel reliance to a minimum this season.
@Robertv
Mr Swan’s campaign is known as 2041 – a reference to the year when the international community could begin to re-evaluate the international treaty and environmental protocols which currently ban all exploitation of Antarctica’s natural resources.
Exploitation like having to build an Oil Refinery Crown Bay just to cope with the sheer volume of ‘environmental campaigners’ arriving. Jeez – the place is going to look like Las Vegas by 2041

Severian
March 4, 2013 9:36 am

I agree, if he wants to do something like this, more power to him, just knock off the self righteous moralizing.
But, as for equipment, I find it interesting that apparently the human race has gotten to the point where they immediately look to technology to support something like this and at the same time demonize technology. But hey, can’t actually use animal skins, there’d go the PETA support for the mission! It still shows a basic arrogance that seems to flow from the core of the environmental movement, we humans are so powerful we can casually destroy the planet, and when we want to do something dangerous, we turn to technological overkill as something simple and natural surely can’t work. It’s an arrogance that assigns humans godlike power for everything good or bad. I’ve seen this conceit many times in engineering, new is always better, ignoring the benefits of old tech, and the ingeniousness of the people who came up with it.
Doing this kind of crossing in mid-winter reminds me of an old science fiction story, Bright Side Crossing, in which a group of adventurers decided to do the first ever crossing of Mercury during perihelion, pole to pole. This was back when Mercury was assumed to not rotate. Was a rousing good scifi story, tractors disappearing into pools of molten lead covered by a thin crust, blinding light, etc.

March 4, 2013 9:44 am

Oh, this is good. But what beats deep green Woody Harrelson having his favourite vegan belt and shoes flown by private jet from California to Cannes? It was for a Charity Poker event, Woody’s a funny guy, and needs to keep his pants up like the rest of us, but…
You know, I’m starting to think that every time I hear that word ACTIVIST I need to run shrieking in another direction. And yes, the shrieking is called for, and one should really run, not just, you know, jog away. We need to send one of those “clear messages” which our Green Betters are always sending to us.

jorgekafkazar
March 4, 2013 9:51 am

Steven Mosher says: “I’m merely pointing out that the measurements could be important and that some skepticism about the lack of their importance is warranted. In order words, do you really think its settled that these measurements are unimportant[?]”
Well, I do, now, Mosh. Thanks for your PostNormal redefinition of skepticism.

O Olson
March 4, 2013 9:52 am

Willis Eschenbach says:
March 4, 2013 at 9:41 am
Jakehig says:
March 4, 2013 at 5:40 am
Thanks for this Willis. It really needed to be said but I didn’t have the courage to say it. And nobody could have said it better than you anyway.

Kaboom
March 4, 2013 10:12 am

Burning the whole rig and fuel before shipping them off to Antarctica and taking pictures of how the smoke rises and gets distributed by the wind is probably of more scientific value than the whole harebrained expedition they plan to do with it.

March 4, 2013 10:29 am

They should have sent Hugh Rowland from the Ice road truckers.

Richard G
March 4, 2013 10:32 am

Why not be honest and call it what it really is: an attempt to to be the first to drive a bulldozer across Antarctica. It’s a guy kind of thing. A heavy construction fantasy camp kind of thing. Pretty cool if that is your thing I guess, but it has a really high *Tar Head Rating* for an environmentalist minded type.
* Tar head rating varies according to how much petroleum is consumed to engage in the activity. Includes indirect energy expenses such as clothing, food, transport and infrastructure. Every activity has a Tar Head Rating. Examples: High THR: Nascar racing. Low THR: barefoot naked marathon running.*
More CO2=More Sugar

mwhite
March 4, 2013 10:51 am

“It’s worth doing, although I prefer physical challenges that make me money instead of costing me money, but that’s just me.”
Ranulph Fiennes does not do this for nothing
http://www.ranulphfiennes.co.uk/page/global-presentations
Motivational speaking makes money
Remember Lewis Pugh, canoe to the north pole
http://lewispugh.com/speaking/

u.k.(us)
March 4, 2013 11:14 am

Is it just me, or does driving around the Antarctic with “The two 20-tonne D6Ns have been modified by expert mechanics at Caterpillar and Finning UK to help cope in the extreme weather conditions.”, sound more like a crevasse/snow bridge hunting operation than anything.
Does ground penetrating radar work there ?, I’d want one.
I sure as heck wouldn’t be roped in to either of those “20-tonne” explorers.
It is a given, when ice fishing, that the heaviest person goes out first, but this is ridiculus.