Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
I was saddened to get the news that Sir Ranulf Fiennes, OBE, has gotten frostbitten. As a result, he has been forced to give up his dream of a winter crossing of Antarctica, an expedition entitled The Coldest Journey. His public support of CO2 alarmism has led to perhaps somewhat deserved public laughter at the idea of someone worried about global warming suffering frostbite, and to be sure there is the aura of the “Gore Effect” about it. (The “Gore Effect” refers to the oddity that many times when Al Gore has gone to speak somewhere, it has been unseasonably cold, and sometimes unreasonably so.)
Figure 1. Roald Amundsen, who imitated his beloved Eskimos of the Arctic in dress, style, and methods to lead the first team to the South Pole in 1911-1912. Check out the man’s eyes …
Fiennes is the oldest Briton to summit Everest, he’s a “because it’s there” kind of guy. I like to see that, I’ve taken on physical challenges to measure myself against the real world. It’s worth doing, although I prefer physical challenges that make me money instead of costing me money, but that’s just me.
I bring this up for two reasons. First, it appears that the man they call “Ran” suffered the frostbite as a side effect of incipient adult-onset diabetes … ironic given his lean physique. And for this man, as for Roald Amundsen, his hands and feet are more than just where he hangs his shoes and gloves. In some sense they are also where he hangs his life. So cut him some slack, send him some good wishes for his life and limbs …
The second reason is a bit more complex, and involves climate science.
Let me compare and contrast Amundsen’s exuberant dash to the South Pole with the current Fiennes expedition.
The photo above of a member of Amundsen’s expedition illustrates the following.
• For clothing Amundsen and his men used what the Eskimos used—a cunning, specific combination of different types of furs and other materials which allow heavy exertion in sub-zero weather without becoming encased in dangerous frozen sweat.
• For materials transport they used what the Eskimos used—dog sleds and sled dogs.
• For human transport they used what the Eskimos used—skis.
• For energy for materials transport they used what the Eskimos used—frozen seals.
• The only difference was, for energy for cooking, they used kerosene.
On the other hand, from The Coldest Journey’s web site, here’s their plan:
Now, I can understand why they are taking the vehicles. No way you’d live through all those Antarctic winter nights in some pathetic tent, not happening. But that puts the fuel use into the stratosphere. You need to tow a big fuel tank, here’s the full rig:
The proposed trip is about 2,000 miles. That crawler probably burns eight gallons per hour. Here’s their estimate from their site:
An estimated 20,000 litres will be required during the initial static phase at Novo, and 26,000 for cargo work, setting up the camp and establishing a fuel depot at 75°S. A further estimated 100,000 litres will be required for the traverse itself for the static phase at the end of the traverse. [total 39,000 gallons]
Then there’s the ships and planes to transport them and all of their gear and about forty thousand gallons of fuel to Antarctica and bring them back. By the end they will burn well over their estimated forty thousand gallons of eevil fossil fuels on the expedition, hundreds and hundreds of times what Amundsen used per man … and for what?
They give two answers: charity, and science. They’re looking to raise bucks for charity, perhaps they will, perhaps not. But under that rubric you can justify anything, as if the ends really did justify the means.
And they also claim that there will be valuable scientific measurements taken, although that seems like a bridge too far to me. According again to their web site, their plan is to take elevation measurements and snow samples … be still, my beating heart.
So I don’t buy it at all when Ranulph says:
“The science content of the Expedition is unique, global and genuine. The thought that we will be potentially doing something ground-breaking in man’s attempts to understand climate change is, for me, one of the most exciting and rewarding aspects of The Coldest Journey.”
A string of one-off elevations and snow samples taken at a certain place and time are certainly unique, no doubting that.
And I suppose they’re genuine, in that they are real samples and elevations.
But “global”? “Ground-breaking”?? Don’t make me laugh. It’s a paltry handful of observations in one of the most atypical places on the planet. In the world of climate science, that’s neither global nor ground-breaking.
Here’s my problem. I have no difficulty with someone burning thousands and thousands and thousands of gallons of fuel on a dangerous publicity stunt. That’s their business, and I wish them well. I have no problem with CO2.
But my goodness, if you’re going to do that, if you plan to burn huge quantities of fossil fuels doing something totally un-necessary just because it’s there, then don’t lecture me about climate change!
And in particular, don’t try the bogus justification that your expedition is going to provide some kind of valuable contribution to climate science.
Amundsen was the first to the South Pole, and he and his men surveyed and measured and took temperatures, he did real science that was of value for his time. It was ground-breaking, with global implications.
In this expedition, a few elevation measurements and snow samples by some dilettantes a century too late, after weather and snow and elevations have been measured all over Antarctica for decades, are nothing of the sort.
I have no problem with the expedition, it sounds like fun, heck, I’d go. And they can burn all the fossil fuel they want, also no problem for me.
It’s the moralizing and the bogus justification that ring false. I don’t need them telling me it’s OK that they burn tens of thousands of gallons fossil fuel because they’re doing “global, ground-breaking” climate science work. That’s both untrue and it’s special pleading, and I find it ugly and base in an adventurer like Sir Ranulf Fiennes, OBE.
I didn’t need any such justification for Sir Ranulf’s expedition to climb Everest, nor apparently did he. I’d suggest he do the same here, tell people he wants to make a midwinter Antarctic crossing simply because it’s there.
And above all, I wish him a speedy and complete recovery from the frostbite.
Regards to all,
w.


Well said Wills. It sounds as if time has finally caught up with ‘Ran’ as it has and will to all.
For those who haven’t noticed: There have been several crossings of Antarctica on skis only – even without dogs for the sledges. For instance, Liv Arnesen skied as the first woman solo and unsupported to the South Pole in 1994, and in 2001 she crossed the whole continent together with Ann Bancroft.
This is the same hypocritical “Do as I say, not as I do” that Al, Patchy, Film Flannery and co constantly espouse with no indication that any of them have the sense to see the disconnect.
Perhaps the UN could ban the importation of these enormous quantities of fuel (pollution?) to this pristine environment.
Some people just don’t know when to say ” I think I might finally stop making a compete arse of myself!”
Brave man, full of derring do but you can’t beat Old Father Time RF….. You have done more than most in pushing the limits of exhaustion.
A picture of RF alongside the ‘ground breaking’ bulldozer isn’t going to capture hearts and minds.
I’m not as magnanimous as you, Willis. I’m afraid I’m with the serve the campaigning prig right group. What diabetes sufferer in his or her right mind would travel hundreds, maybe thousands of miles beyond medical assistance and risk frostbite to limbs that can quickly turn gangrenous thanks to poor circulation? Or did he have a MASH unit in tow too?
I think “Ran” has seriously lost the plot. It seems to be a major character flaw with warmists.
Well put, Willis!
I wish Sir Ranulph a quick recovery from his frostbite, but more importantly – a return to realistic assessment of climate projections vs. actual measurements.
Kurt in Switzerland
One of Britain’s leading polar explorers has told Sky News that decades of campaign efforts to get people engaged with climate change have failed.
Robert Swan, who was the first man to walk to both the North and South poles, was speaking in Argentina on the eve of the launch of his latest expedition to Antarctica – one which he hopes will help turn the tide of public apathy towards green issues.
Mr Swan will be leading a group of 80 young people from 28 countries across the world to the Antarctic Peninsula.
http://news.sky.com/story/1059311/uk-explorer-green-campaigning-has-failed
Antarctic Peninsula Brilliant idea
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_bm_extent_hires.png
Antarctic Peninsula Brilliant idea
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2013/anomnight.2.28.2013.gif
ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/south/daily/data/SH_seaice_extent_nrt.csv
UK Sceptic says:
March 4, 2013 at 12:47 am
From what I understand, he knew that he had incipient diabetes but had never had any circulatory symptoms. The frostbite was totally unexpected, usually that kind of circulation impairment doesn’t show up until much later.
I wouldn’t mind seeing him get his comeuppance from the Gore Effect if there were no physical impairment … but I’m sad that he’s gotten frostbite. My grandmother had it in both feet, and it caused her pain for years. I wouldn’t wish that on anyone, and particularly on an active outdoorsman like Fiennes, regardless of their view on climate.
w.
Interesting article. And what’s more interesting is the number of sponsors that are involved with supplying technology that uses energyor fossil fuels directly. But one that made me laugh was “Warmawear”.
“Warmawear are a leading worldwide manufacturer and supplier of heated clothing. The Warmawear range has been developed to gently circulate heat around the body using the latest battery technology. Our heated insoles and glove liners will be adapted to run off a strong central battery unit which will help to protect the explorers during the expedition.”
No kidding!
Oh the irony.
The Nature Geoscience report:
“Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth”
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n2/full/ngeo1671.html
Could have sat in a cold room and read ‘Crevasse Roulette’ , Jon Stevensons account of the Fuch expedition in 1956.
Saved fuel and learnt about the traverse at the same time.
Sponsored by: Fluorocarbon Co., Arctic Trucks, British Airways, Coleman®, Fuel Proof, Holdan UK, MHB Motorcycles, Millers Oils, Plastic Extruders Ltd., TATA, and the list goes on. Of course, I am sure that these have nothing to do with ‘Evil Oil’ in any way.
J Broadbent says:
March 4, 2013 at 1:03 am
Thanks, J, that’s interesting … not much new under the sun, here’s what the Fuchs expedition used:

except that Fiennes planned to do it during the (six month) night, not during the day.
w.
“For human transport they used what the Eskimos used—skis”.
I don’t think Amundsen consulted the Eskimos about skiing. He didn’t have to look far. Skiing has deep roots in Norway, and had become an important part of Norwegian identity in the late 19th century. When Norway got a king again in 1905, a Danish prince, Nansen’s advice to the new king was to ski regularily in order to win the hearts of the Norwegians. So the royal family did, and it worked.
Patrick,
“Warmawear’ wouldn’t have its batteries recharged by solar, by any chance? 😉
Looks like “Gaia” gave Sir Ranulf Fiennes a slap on the wrist. I hope he’s paying attention.
Steinar Midtskogen says:
March 4, 2013 at 1:30 am
True that, and at that time, the Norwegians in general and Amundsen and his team in particular were among the best skiers on the planet.
w.
Ran is one of my heroes so I’m going to cut him some slack. He’s achieved some significant successes man-hauling massively laden sledges across snowy wastes much in the style of Amundsen and so has proved he can do it the hard way. He is, I think, a member of the UK Independence party and a libertarian. He’s also a brilliant and canny fundraiser for his expeditions and I’m wondering if his warmism isn’t just a ruse to tap into a deep funding seam. From reading his books, it’s clear that the personal challenge is always what has driven him with scientific/charity work taking a back seat.
Joe Public says:
March 4, 2013 at 1:01 am
“Oh the irony.
The Nature Geoscience report:
“Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth””
That looks like the paper manufactured to vindicate Steig, where the researchers “corrected” data from a broken sensor with what they thought could have been the data, and arrived at TWICE the warming Steig got from A SINGLE THERMOMETER.
“In early 2013, David Bromwich, a professor of polar meteorology at Ohio State University, and a team including Antarctic weather station experts from the University of Wisconsin, published a paper in Nature Geoscience showing that the warming in central West Antarctica was unambiguous — and likely about twice the magnitude estimated by Steig et al. The key to Bromwich et al.’s work was the correction for errors in the temperature sensors used in various incarnations of the Byrd Station record (the only long record in this part of Antarctica); miscalibraiton had previously caused the magnitude of the the 1990s warmth to be underestimated, and the magnitude of the 2000s to be overestimated. The revised Byrd Station record is in very good agreement with the borehole temperature data from nearby WAIS Divide.[16]”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antarctica_cooling_controversy
So, they doubled the bogosity of Steig which is quite an achievement.
Willis Eschenbach says:
March 4, 2013 at 12:54 am
Willis, my elderly mother has Type II diabetes and is very susceptible to low temperatures. She, and many others like her, are struggling to cope with spiraling energy bills because of crusading fools like Fiennes. Some have already fatally succumbed to hypothermia. So no, I’m not inclined to sympathise with his misfortune. I hope he learns a valuable lesson from it though. Cold is a killer.
Bernd Felsche says:
March 4, 2013 at 1:31 am
Patrick,
“Warmawear’ wouldn’t have its batteries recharged by solar, by any chance? 😉
Piped down from the Arctic, presumably
“As a result, he has been forced to give up his dream of a winter crossing of Antarctica, an expedition entitled The Coldest Journey.”
Willis,
You seem to have overlooked that February is the height of summer in the southern hemisphere.
Personally, I’m happy to see this ill-advised, shamelessly self-serving expedition fail. Yet another lunatic who hides behind the window dressing of CAGW to justify his incipient egomania and raise huge amounts of money…because, ‘science’, right?
Hopefully this is the last time we might see such blatant grandstanding in the name of ‘man-made climate change’, but I doubt it very much, indeed…
Duh! I don’t know about you, but I think you’ll find it’s been summer in Antarctica for a few months now!
Not to worry, he will be back soon to get the team more publicity and the other team will be able to explain how anthropogenic CO2 is causing an increase in frostbite.