Alex DeMarban
Alaska is going rogue on climate change.
Defiant as ever, the state that gave rise to Sarah Palin is bucking the mainstream yet again: While global temperatures surge hotter and the ice-cap crumbles, the nation’s icebox is getting even icier.
That may not be news to Alaskans coping with another round of 50-below during the coldest winter in two decades, or to the mariners locked out of the Bering Sea this spring by record ice growth.
Then again, it might. The 49th state has long been labeled one of the fastest-warming spots on the planet. But that’s so 20th Century.
In the first decade since 2000, the 49th state cooled 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit.
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But now comes cooling. Researchers blame the Decadal Oscillation, an ocean phenomenon that brought chillier surface water temperatures toward Alaska. Some contend the Pacific Decadal Oscillation is harming the state’s king salmon runs, too.
Full story here
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Bob Tisdale and I have been working on a special report on this since last week, and I expect to publish it this week. – Anthony
Well there are an increasing number of “Sun” specialists who think cold is on the way. And certainly much that correlates well with Earth’s known past. – Interesting times.
I do enjoy the input of the warmists who turn up here. What amazes me (no it doesn’t really) is the lack of an enquiring mind and the simple regurgitation of out-of-date stuff from Warming Central.
IPCC AR4 in 2007 told us that we would see increasingly wet and mild NH winters. Well it can’t be that everywhere and it can’t be cold everywhere either. The UK has been pretty wet and average so far this winter, but to add to the recent cold winters in Alaska, you have to add in those in Russia and Eastern Europe. All-time record low is all these areas as well as Scandinavia and parts of north mainland USA and Canada. Of course December 2010 was the coldest for more than 100 years in the UK and the second coldest in the world’s longest temperature record going back to the mid 17th century.
The much vaunted “extreme” USA summer saw no State break a high record. Much steer droppings about Hurricanes, demonstrably lies.
All this proves nothing BUT I think if my job depended on pushing the CAGW meme beyond a few years I would be looking for an exit strategy.
Temperature curve seems to pretty closely follow the PDO.
Mike Roddy says:
January 2, 2013 at 7:32 am
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While you are quick to dismiss the drop in temperature as an artifact of PDO, you seem to ignore that the increase in temperature also is an artifact of PDO.
Bill Yarber says:
January 2, 2013 at 8:51 am
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PDO going into a cold phase at the same time the sun is going into a funk.
Not good.
CD (@CD153) says:
January 2, 2013 at 9:40 am
There are many important bases there.
Air Force- Elmendorf AFB, Eielson AFB, Clear Air Force Station, Air Station, Kodiak,
Air Station, Sitka.
Army- Fort Greely, Fort Richardson, Fort Wainwright.
Coast Guard- ISC Kodiak, Marine Safety Unit Valdez, USCG Juneau, Marine Safety Office, Anchorage.
And my personal favorite- The Naval Air Station (NAS) Adak. 🙂
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Rick says:
January 2, 2013 at 8:30 am
You might consider with warming conditions, those places which normally get so cold that it stops snowing, more precipitation (in the form of snow) will occur.
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Funny that — northern Alaska seems dry (& dang cold):
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
SanityP says:
January 2, 2013 at 8:33 am
– I have noticed this most disturbing of trends, all the cold disappears in the summer!
/sarc
You obviously didn’t spend the summer in England then.
Not just Alaska either.
The UK has just had the second coldest year since 1996, and the CET trend is definitely downwards in the last few years.
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/01/02/second-coldest-year-in-england-since-1996/
Odds on McKibben won’t be Twittering this Gem!!
Mike Roddy says:
January 2, 2013 at 7:32 am
You must have mistakenly published the wrong graph, Anthony. That one shows a clear warming
trend since 1979. The dip from PDO, or any short term trend, doesn’t mean anything. As for heavy Spring ice on the Bering Sea, maybe that ship captain didn’t notice what happened to the Arctic Ice during the summer: it disappeared….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The 2007 Arctic Ice ‘melt’ was due to winds and the 2012 melt was due to a storm. So says NASA.
What you SHOULD pay attention to is the length of the Arctic Melt Season which is nose diving and the beginning of winter weather, the October Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover which shows an increase in fall snow cover.
Warmist keep confusing warm with ‘warming’
Daily Mail has picked up the story:
2 Jan: Daily Mail: What global warming? Alaska is headed for an ice age as scientists report state’s steady temperature decline
Since 2000, temperatures in Alaska have dropped by 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit
Scientists reviewed weather reports from 20 climate stations operated by the National Weather Service located across Alaska
19 of the 20 weather stations reported falling temperatures
An ocean phenomenon has disrupted a storm regulating system thus allowing cold winter storms to linger longer and bring a deep chill
Local residents have noticed the colder temps but say its no big deal since they are already bundled up for 20-below zero temperatures
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2256188/What-global-warming-Alaska-headed-ice-age-scientists-report-states-steady-temperature-decline.html
This all reminds me why I am so happy not to be living in Alaska. Things could get really nasty and cold there very soon. Oh, well, time to go to the beach for a swim at Coogee, I think.
Got to love the article’s opening statement:
“While global temperatures surge hotter and the ice-cap crumbles, the nation’s icebox is getting even icier.”
Even when an article is covering a newsworthy cooling event, they can’t leave out the propaganda.
..Sigh..
I was looking at the global SST’s and I’m beginning to wonder if rather than another flatish temp year if we might actually see a somewhat significant cooling trend. How will the IPCC’s next assessment handle that? Certainly we appear to be done with a ‘surge hotter’ for a while.
This is bad news for Texas. We are temporarily the second largest state in both land area and population. With every productive person leaving California, we’ll soon have the largest population, but we were counting on global warming to melt off enough of Alaska to make us number one in land area, too.
Can we send all Greenies there? Okay, okay, just the extreme ones. Might be better than jail time – they can sit around outside and have a picnic – no wood-burning, mind – and talk about how… er… warm it… er… isn’t.
-9F here (Maine) last night.
I WANT global warming LOL
Interesting timing on the Alaska Dispatch story a week ago. It followed a couple days the listing of two arctic seal species as threatened due to the impending loss of Arctic Ocean ice due to the scourge of manmade global warming due to carbon dioxide emissions. Of the two species, one currently numbers in the millions and the other in the hundreds of thousands. Both are protected from hunting by everyone except the natives. Sometimes these Bozi (multiple Bozos) don’t take the time to get their stories straight.
http://alaskafisheries.noaa.gov/protectedresources/seals/ice.htm
For the ice to all melt while Siberia and AK are seeing temps in the -40s means there is a bodacious temperature inversion sitting on the shoreline between the North Slope and the Arctic Ocean. Funny, nobody has reported such a thing recently (or ever). /sarc
Cheers –
2007 had a warm summer, 2008 less so. 2009 on has been cold. 2011/2012 winter set snow fall records in SouthCentral (Anchorage, the Gulf Coast, Kenai Peninsula). Snow accumulation on the Kenai mountains north of the Harding Ice Field was greater than I have ever seen (to 1969).
Ice Age? The trend is clearly down, in concert with the PDO and solar activity. Check back in around 40 years for the answer.
It will be interesting to see what happens to the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extents in the next few years.
That really looks like two different data sets…what happened?
The increase in the weakest of the Polar jet stream during the summer is likely to lead to a increase in risk of colders winters over the NH landmases. Because it will allow the cold and snow to set in early over the large landmases.
Don’t sell it back to the Russians… go to ANWR, and frack out the energy there… we’re going to need it once the public starts burning wood again to keep warm.
Mario Lento says:
January 2, 2013 at 8:31 pm
Don’t sell it back to the Russians… go to ANWR, and frack out the energy there… we’re going to need it once the public starts burning wood again to keep warm.
Wood, you want wood?
Come to Kansas and the Great Plains. Woody vegetation has destroyed (and the white man) has destroyed the tall grass prairie.
And don’t even think of burning your grazing land in the spring like da injuns did. EPA wants to ban that too.
Bring your 2 cycle chain saw and cut down as much wood as you want. I grow grass. (for moo chow food).
“CD (@CD153) says:
January 2, 2013 at 9:40 am”
I was talking with tongue firmly in cheek, I should use the /sarc off tag. But, if this really is a cooling trend of some significance how much of Alaska will be under ice?
Such makes one wonder how much of the difference in temperature trends between different areas may have to do with those doing the reporting. In Alaska, for the source of that plot, there is probably not a CAGW bias among the people involved. Anyway, it is similar in overall pattern to the arctic as a whole in http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/ArcticIce/Images/arctic_temp_trends_rt.gif . (Arctic ice trends are no contradiction if seeing the annual average in http://www.webcitation.org/6AKKakUIo and longer history in http://nwpi.krc.karelia.ru/e/climas/Ice/Ice_no_sat/XX_Arctic.htm ). That arctic temperature trend is similar, in the period of overlap, to the Northern Hemisphere average in such as the old article from the 1970s at http://tinyurl.com/cxo4d3l (which predated the CAGW movement and thus would be exceptionally trustworthy for not having intentional CAGW-favoring bias).
A poster on this site, HenryP, sometimes posts an average of global temperature stations, without questionable adjustments. Although I don’t have quite the same views on prior temperatures before that dataset as he does, his illustration shows well that even global temperatures have been relatively starting to cool after the late 1990s. Likely a Grand Minimum of solar activity may be coming in near-future decades, with consequences as in http://s10.postimage.org/l9gokvp09/composite.jpg and http://s13.postimage.org/ka0rmuwgn/gcrclouds.gif and http://www.space.dtu.dk/upload/institutter/space/forskning/05_afdelinger/sun-climate/full_text_publications/svensmark_2007cosmoclimatology.pdf . So that cooling could dramatically increase over the next couple decades and beyond, not just returning to the 1960s but much colder. In any case, we’ll see what happens, as in soon interesting times.