I suppose if the CIA doesn’t think enough of it to keep their center going, climate isn’t as much of a security problem as the NYT once claimed. I wonder what the pols and military guys on this list think about climate and national security these days? From my view, there are many other national security threats far more tangible and worrisome. – Anthony
Amid budget scrutiny, CIA shutters climate center
Annie Snider, E&E reporter – Greenwire: Monday, November 19, 2012
With the U.S. intelligence budget shrinking, the CIA has quietly shut down its Center on Climate Change and National Security — a project that was launched with the support of Leon Panetta when he led the agency, but that drew sharp criticism from some Republicans in Congress.
Multiple sources with knowledge of the center said it closed its doors earlier this year, with its staff and analysis continuing under other auspices.
CIA spokesman Todd Ebitz confirmed the change.
“The CIA for several years has studied the national security implications of climate change,” Ebitz said in a statement to Greenwire. “This work is now performed by a dedicated team in an office that looks at a variety of economic and energy security issues affecting the United States.”
The CIA launched the climate change center in September 2009 after a spate of reports linking climate change and national security that drew interest from some members of Congress seeking political action on climate change.
The center was designed as a small unit of senior specialists focused on the impact that environmental changes could have on political, economic and social factors in countries of concern to the United States. The analysts probed questions such as, under what scenarios might a massive drought cause large-scale migration, and when might a government’s failure to respond to a devastating flood open the door for terrorist groups to win over the local populace?
Analysts at the center worked to develop warning software that combined regional climate projections with political and demographic information, and held climate war games looking at what might happen in extreme scenarios, such as if rapid glacial melt caused the ocean’s major currents to shut down.
Full story here: http://eenews.net/public/Greenwire/2012/11/19/1
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Question. If this was a cost cutting measure, did they lay off these employees? Apparently not. They got shifted to another department. And this reduces the budget how?
From my view, there are many other national security threats far more tangible and worrisome. – Anthony
Yeah like everybody knows Canada is massing an invasion force led by Generals Bob and Doug McKenzie — at the Windsor Casino. Do I see news about that? Nooooooo waaayyyyy.
So much for your vaunted CIA!
Lets hope the Congressional Budget Cuts can extend to shutting down the EPA as well.
Since this is apparently a budgetary matter, doesn’t it seem obvious the CIA might want to restrict itself to areas within its expertise? And areas where it can make a difference? Climate’s just not within its bailiwick.
Besides, Defense already has an intense effort to anticipate and deal with emerging climate-induced global realities. No sense in duplicating their effort.
“This work is now performed by a dedicated team in an office that looks at a variety of economic and energy security issues affecting the United States.”
So it didn’t go away, it was simply integrated into other proletariat-creating entities.
Intelligence has been in decline for some time now and the budget for it is just now catching up.
I wonder if they took an honest look at the science and realized the data was manipulated.
All that warming since the Little Ice Age but nary a shot fired in anger.
A little cooling in relations between an Arab and a Jew; bang, it’s on for young and old.
Um, like the EPA, the IPCC, many NGOs, etc.? Maybe the shut down ought to be reconsidered?
Hope UK follows,
World Bank warns of ‘4 degree’ threshhold
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/world-bank-warns-of-4-degree-threshhold-8334828.html
Nuclear, wind and wave power chiefs in joint appeal on green energy
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nuclear-wind-and-wave-power-chiefs-in-joint-appeal-on-green-energy-8281122.html
I think someone should be figuring out when the next glaciation is going to start.
It will. It will be bad for humankind. It will be strategically important.
Once China buys the U.S., I think they’d want to know just how safe their investment really is.
Not really a big deal. Governments are always opening new departments and then amalgamating them with others. They think that’s what they got elected for. At least it keeps people employed where they print the new stationery.
Don’t cheer just yet, this is a shell game. Note from the article:
“Multiple sources with knowledge of the center said it closed its doors earlier this year, with its staff and analysis continuing under other auspices.”
So….it isn’t closed, it is just operating elsewhere under a different…uhm… “auspice”. Where? They tell you right in the article:
“This work is now performed by a dedicated team in an office that looks at a variety of economic and energy security issues affecting the United States.”
This all ties nicely into the big picture. Remember this thread on WUWT?
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/11/19/shocker-from-uea-consensus-based-decision-stifles-progress/
So the UEA thinks the UN Climate Change Conference is too complex to achieve a consensus and suggests a “simpler” approach is required. Then the IPCC doesn’t even get invited to it. Looks like itz dead right?
No. Itz ALIVE, in the worst possible way. The “simpler” forum that the UEA was talking about is the MEF (Major Economies Forum) which is comprised of just 18 countries with the economic clout to drive whatever they decide down the world’s throat. That’s why the CIA centre has closed down and the resources transferred to “an office that looks at a variety of economic and energy security issues”.
They’re letting the show go on at the conference to keep everyone distracted while they push their real agenda through a “simpler” forum that nobody is paying attention to.
“Analysts at the center worked to develop warning software that combined regional climate projections with political and demographic information, and held climate war games looking at what might happen in extreme scenarios, such as if rapid glacial melt caused the ocean’s major currents to shut down.”
Spooks and climate war games? After a brief bout of
ygbsm‘you gotta be kidding,’ I started wondering – Do you suppose they wore guns?Funny how restriction of funds can make one focus on what’s really important, even by a giant bureaucracy. Pity Congress doesn’t get it that the driver of our deficit and national debt is not lack of sufficient revenue; it is spending.
Climate change is a serious security problem. If, as we are told, the world cools a lot in the next thirty years, we will have famines like there were in the Little Ice Age. That should de-stabilize whole continents. Of course, if I had to bet money I would say that was the one scenario they didn’t consider. 🙂
It puts them to work doing something useful in the way of analysis. The CIA has an essentially impossible task. They try to achieve that task by trying to anticipate every conceivable kind of flashpoint that can be imagined, then try to envision whether associated events – population movements, local conflicts, Canada invading – could be threats to the US. They have tracked the issue of freshwater in the Middle East closely, since the pitiful trickle of water that is called the Jordan River is the only “large” source of fresh water in the region. Anything that exacerbates the existing situation is watched very closely. The CIA would have been remiss not look into the potential problems that changing climate would trigger; it was very likely examined in detail at least once since the 1950s. The odds are that the short shrift given to the study mean that the analysts found no significant differences to earlier models that were already prepared.
Here is the report from the CIA (The Central Unintelligent Agency)
“4. Economic Espionage
This issue concerns foreign power-sponsored or foreign power-coordinated intelligence activity directed at the U.S. Government or U.S. corporations, establishments, or persons, which involves:
The unlawful or clandestine targeting or acquisition of sensitive financial, trade or economic policy information, proprietary economic information, or critical technologies; or
The unlawful or clandestine targeting or influencing of sensitive economic policy decisions.”
For instance, foreign scientists using “environmental risk” to shut down industries in the US?
Folding one department into another can save money by reducing support staff and supervisory positions even while the number of people doing the research stays the same. The reductions may occur over time through attrition.
Well, if the stability of most nations depends on a dependable source of food, it might behoove us to stop putting our corn crops in our gas tanks when we are expected to be the new Saudi Arabia of fossil fuels.
The CIA may have shut down their Center on Climate Change and National Security which according to Judicial Watch “operates under a cloak of secrecy that rejects all public record requests.” But they have apparently just moved the Center to somewhere else, though the somewhere is not identified. What the heck is so secret about it except that some scientists and sensible people don’t see much that is alarming in past history unless you want to go back to the ice age. The Center got some serious GOP criticism, which apparently is the real threat.
No doubt this was set into motion under Petraeus’ watch. These days we can all join with the Lefist rabble rousers in calling him “Betray-us” – I digress. What the CIA miss is the fact that it is cooling that is meant to be feared. So sayeth Attila and those who were oppressed by his hoards.
The work will probably continue to be done by others. For example the CIA commissioned a report from the National Research Council. It was called Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis and was published a few days ago-
http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=14682&page=R1
Other climate/security work is already being done by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence-
http://www.dni.gov/index.php/about/organization/national-intelligence-council-nic-publications
This is the BBC getting in a flap a few years ago about climate change and security-
I seriously doubt that the Pickle Factory had any interest whatsoever. I wonder how many $600 toilet seats they ordered in three years of doing nothing?
They certainly have better things to focus on, but I’m not sure they’re any better at any of those, either.
Maybe they can work on teach the next Director how to encrypt his personal emails.