Michael Mann – never fully investigated, thus never exonerated

Guest post by Christopher Horner

Michael Mann has made what will, I expect, prove to be his greatest misjudgment yet. He has filed suit against the Competitive Enterprise Institute (with which I am affiliated), a CEI adjunct, National Review Online and Mark Steyn for libel.

The gist of his claim that negative characterizations of him and his activities are actionable is that he has been “exonerated”. No, he hasn’t.

The truth is he has never even been investigated, and has furiously warded off scrutiny of what he and his allies insisted was the missing “context” explaining away Climategate. This suit, if he continues with it, should put an end to that.

I and my co-counsel encountered this talking point after Mann intervened in litigation against the University of Virginia, seeking to block release of certain public records relating to his tenure there (our judge rightly waived that away as irrelevant to applying the law).

Like so much else in the “climate” realm this claim suffers badly under scrutiny. As I detail, in discussing publicly funded academia’s refusal to self-police, in my new book The Liberal War on Transparency: Confessions of a Freedom of Information “Criminal”.

Exoneration requires investigation; investigation requires pursuit aimed at discovering material facts. Two bodies are actually positioned to pursue and produce such facts. Mann’s employer since 2005 and where he worked when the Climategate leaks occurred, Penn State University, has done no such thing. Neither has the University of Virginia where he worked when first organizing against researchers who were undermining his claims.

Panels in the United Kingdom which Mann often cites, the Muir Russell and Oxburgh inquiries into UK taxpayer-funded operations at the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU), did not even purport to address U.S. citizen Mann, or validate his work. They respectively inquired into “aspects of the behaviour of the CRU scientists” [sic, emphasis in original], “allegations about CRU‘s impact on climate science” and “to understand the significance of the roles played by those involved from CRU” (see, “The Independent Climate Change E-mails Review”); and “to assess the integrity of the research published by the Climatic Research Unit in the light of various external assertions” (see, “Report of the International Panel set up by the University of East Anglia to examine the research of the Climatic Research Unit”).

Mann is not and was not with CRU, and was not party to or the subject of those investigations. His role in Muir Russell was limited to submitting comments, like 110 other individuals seeking to influence matters, despite, according to Muir Russell, authoring the second-greatest number of relevant emails. Mann’s name does not even appear in the Oxburgh report purportedly “exonerating” him.

It is worth noting that a UK FOI request helped uncover how the Oxburgh panel operated to cover over dissenting opinion in the ranks. See, e.g., “How Lord Oxburgh of Persil washed the Climategate team whiter than white (pt 2)”.

As regards the PSU fiasco, otherwise-sympathetic Clive Crook in The Atlantic styles the Muir Russell effort as being “equally probing” as Penn State’s, whose contortions he elegantly devastated, piquantly summarizing them as “difficult to parody”.

Further as I discuss in The Liberal War on Transparency, I have documents in which a principal in that effort indicates it was orchestrated from behind the scenes to avoid certain people being asked certain things, presumably because that would make the desired outcome impossible. See also Steve McIntyre, “New Information on the Penn State Inquiry Committee”.

Also, subsequent to Penn State’s report a U.S. Department of Commerce Inspector General managed to interview Eugene Wahl in the context of federal government involvement in Climategate, which PSU incredibly did not. (“Examination of issues related to internet posting of emails from Climatic Research Unit,”, p. 5). Wahl was someone to whom Mann did forward Phil Jones’s (UEA) request that Wahl hide or destroy records. About this, PSU was remarkably incurious, its unexplained decision to not interview Wahl further making a mockery of its supposed inquiry into whether Mann “engage[d] in, or participate[d] in, directly or indirectly, any actions with the intent to delete, conceal or otherwise destroy emails, information and/or data, related to [IPCC] AR4, as suggested by Phil Jones”.

We were not given the opportunity to depose Mann in the UVa case and so are unaware what if any knowledge of this he had at the time or since. We do know that PSU’s effort oddly did not meet the same uproar organized against other efforts to scrutinize the record, for example our various FOI requests. Unlike PSU’s proclaimed instigative tribunal, a simple FOIA request presents no ability to sanction Mann, but only threatens the transparency Mann agreed to as a condition of his employment at UVa. Yet announcement of what proved to be a risibly inept PSU effort, if one nominally with teeth, was greeted with no protest and, we are told, complete cooperation including turning over all requested records. That this behavior is inconsistent is something of an understatement.

The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked (almost entirely) from what PSU provided it. So much for that.

[Update Oct 25, by Chris Horner with thanks to Brian Angliss for inviting this elaboration: It equally failed to conduct a credibly rigorous examination of the evidence and/or key relevant factors. For example, the NSF OIG totally disregarded the findings of the NOAA OIG that Eugene Wahl had destroyed documents immediately upon receiving Mann’s email; Penn State apparently, and incredibly, never asked. Nor did NSF examine or report on whether, despite a conflict of interest, William Easterling had interfered with the Inquiry Committee even after supposedly “recusing” himself, interference which I understand stopped the Inquiry Committee from carrying out its obligation to interview critics, including Stephen McIntyre. Nor did the NSF OIG report directly address any of the contentious issues.]

The special silence, the dog not barking about supposed exoneration is the University of Virginia. Not once has UVA argued that it looked into Mann’s activities occurring on UVA’s watch. In fact, the University apparently was deliberate in its failure to conduct an inquiry. We have been reliably informed that UVA’s Board of Visitors suggested the administration get to the bottom of what transpired on Grounds, only to be rebuffed. The argument they received, we were told, is that the school could not guarantee that the findings would not be made public and as such it could not risk an investigation.

We also wished to depose the University on this matter but were denied the opportunity to confirm this. At our most recent hearing, the University stood and, oddly, denied any claim that the board stopped the administration from inquiring. No one has alleged this.

Regardless, as Mann now seeks to again use the courts to push this claim, the reality is plainly otherwise. Mann has never been credibly investigated. By definition he has therefore not been exonerated. In fact, he and his allies furiously oppose all possible independent inquiries — scrutiny of public, yet still-hidden records providing what they all swear is the missing context that would explain everything away as a big misinterpretation. Only release of UVa and other Climategate-related emails has the potential to actually exonerate the Hockey Team.

Read whatever you wish into their fiercely opposing release of precisely that which supposedly would clear their names. With this latest lawsuit, they may find they have no choice.

Christopher Horner is author of The Liberal War on Transparency: Confessions of a Freedom of Information “Criminal” (Threshold, October 2012).

From: <chornerlaw@aol.com>

To: <awatts@itworks.com>

Subject: Anthony, per this counsel from Steve, would you please update the Mann/investigated post?

Date: Thursday, October 25, 2012 10:12 AM

My thoughts for a response were below, but I am going to go with his “update or ignore”.

Would you mind updating, and it’s obviously fine to note this was updated to resolve a correct statement being read ambiguously, re-characterizing it so as to dismiss the analysis, or something? thx cch

—–Original Message—–

From: Steve McIntyre <smcintyre25@yahoo.ca>

To: chornerlaw <chornerlaw@aol.com>

Sent: Thu, Oct 25, 2012 1:01 pm

Subject: RE: I’ve got a speech I’ve only sketched out, for which I leave in hour and a half…can you look at/comment on this reply?

I’d be inclined to make a slight update to your post, but otherwise not engage. Perhaps something like this:

The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked almost entirely from what PSU provided it. [Update Oct 25, with thanks to Brian Angliss for inviting this elaboration: It equally failed to conduct a credibly rigorous examination of the evidence and/or key relevant factors. For example, the NSF OIG totally disregarded the findings of the NOAA OIG that Eugene Wahl had destroyed documents immediately upon receiving Mann’s email; Penn State apparently, and incredibly, never asked. Nor did NSF examine or report on whether, despite a conflict of interest, William Easterling had interfered with the Inquiry Committee even after supposedly “recusing” himself, interference which I understand stopped the Inquiry Committee from carrying out its obligation to interview critics, including Stephen McIntyre. Nor did the NSF OIG report directly address any of the contentious issues.]   So much for that.

From: chornerlaw@aol.com [mailto:chornerlaw@aol.com]

Sent: October-25-12 12:26 PM

To: smcintyre25@yahoo.ca

Subject: I’ve got a speech I’ve only sketched out, for which I leave in hour and a half…can you look at/comment on this reply?

And add to/improve as you see appropriate, thx:

A Brian Angliss at ScholarsandRogues takes umbrage at my guest post on WUWT detailing the spectacularly overblown nature of claims that Michael Mann has been exonerated, which requires being properly investigated. Specifically, he objects to this statement:

The National Science Foundation purported to inquire, as well, but worked from what PSU provided it. So much for that.

This statement is true, as the NSF document we both reference notes. I suppose NSF “purporting to inquire” is opinion, dependent upon one’s assessment of the effort’s scope and rigor. That they worked from what PSU provided them is disputed by no one. Angliss says “This is demonstrably false”.

To support this Angliss restates what I wrote, by implication, to charge at a strawman and declare it false: I apparently deny “that the OIG’s investigation went beyond the information provided to the OIG by Penn State.” I do not and did not deny it, but linked to the document saying as much.

For example, information I possess indicates that PSU panelists were instructed from behind the scenes to not interview Steve McIntyre, who was in fact interviewed by NSF (although neither report draws attention to its respective ignorance of or consultation McIntyre).

Angliss slays this allegation never made with aplomb. Allow me to rephrase for him and see which turn his umbrage takes: NSF began with (“worked from”) what PSU provided them. It was facially deficient, as Clive Crook among others noted to devastating effect. For example, on its face it was incredible that PSU did not interview McIntyre. Which NSF apparently agreed. They should have written about that interview. It would help support concerns about its rigorousness.

Regardless, mischaracterizing what I wrote to then say that mischaracterization is knowingly false or spreading false rumors is advocacy, not analysis. In fact, in his effort Angliss becomes what he deplores.

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Bart
October 24, 2012 10:02 pm

Doug Proctor says:
October 24, 2012 at 3:39 pm
“But in court he doesn’t have to prove that he didn’t do bad things, but only that the defendants SAID he did bad things.”
In the US, he does have to prove not only that he did not do bad things, but that the defendants knew it, or were capable of knowing it but willfully chose to remain uninformed, and made the statements regardless. Under that standard, it is nearly impossible for a public figure to prevail in a libel case here.
See background in my comment above.

October 24, 2012 10:04 pm

The tortured data just tweeted – “Avenge me!”

John A
October 25, 2012 12:07 am

PSU did not ‘exonerate’ Sandusky, officially or unofficially. Some PSU officials took negligently minimal action on hearing of allegations,but did not exonerate him because they had no power to. So where is the parallel with Mann?

Really? Is this your argumentation?

Nick
October 25, 2012 1:37 am

JohnA, I realise that I missed the 1998 PSU investigation of Sandusky,so that line does not stand. There is a parallel in official inquiries having been carried out in both cases….but again that parallel was not the one Simberg was contriving…as Steyn’s comment on Simberg’s line actually emphasises : “I don’t know whether I’d go as far as…”
MarkW, there is a lot of wishful thinking going on here. I have been pointing out that the findings from various official inquiries have been for Mann,and have status. This is not a matter of opinion,it’s fact. I have not defended the inquiries as conclusive,and have not said they would force the court to find in Mann’s favor. What I noted that is they are done,are official and support Mann as background and the court must acknowledge them. There are no findings against him except for Wegman,which is way back when,and which is flawed by using plagiarised material.. Finally, blog opinions cannot be elevated to the same status as the inquiries before a court.
The real issues remains Simberg deliberate association of Mann’s name with the molester Sandusky’s,with the framing of Mann as a metaphorical molester. The attempts here to reframe Simberg’s comment as some bland technical point strains credulity. As well Steyn has called the hockey stick ‘fraudulent’, when there is no such official finding to support that charge. That is what has weight.

richardscourtney
October 25, 2012 5:16 am

Nick:
Your post at October 25, 2012 at 1:37 am is nonsensical. It says

The real issues remains Simberg deliberate association of Mann’s name with the molester Sandusky’s,with the framing of Mann as a metaphorical molester. The attempts here to reframe Simberg’s comment as some bland technical point strains credulity. As well Steyn has called the hockey stick ‘fraudulent’, when there is no such official finding to support that charge. That is what has weight.

There is no “weight” because your statements are plain wrong. And there is no claim of a “bland technical point” for the same reason.
The facts are
1.
Man has not made a case against “Simberg”. He is claiming libel against Steyn and the NRO.
2.
Simberg, Steyn and the NRO did NOT associate “Mann’s name with the molester Sandusky’s”. They made the valid comparison of the investigations by PSU into claims of misconduct by Mann and by Sandusky.
3,
Steyn and the NRO said Mann is a “metaphorical molester” of data and several investigations have demonstrated that he is.
4.
Steyn made the factual statement that Mann’s hockey stick graph is “fr@udulent”. It is “fr@udulent” because it used “Mike’s Nature trick” to “hide the decline”.
5.
The Court case will easily create an “official finding” that Mann’s hockey stick graph is “fr@udulent”. And this why so many of us are pleased that Mann’s ego is so large it has made him sufficiently stupid as to bring the case.
Richard

pouncer
October 25, 2012 6:00 am

Maybe Mchael Mann is the Jerry Sandusky of climate science. Maybe Michael Mann is NOT the the Jerry Sandusky of climate sciemce. But if Michael Mann wanted to avoid the rputation of being the The Jerry Sandusky of climate science … google bombing himself in the foot …he should not have made himself the Barbra Streisand of climate science. I wonderhow long it will be bofore google searches on Sandusky return top links regarding Mann?

October 25, 2012 6:39 am

The Sandusky comparison was that Mann was the Sandusky of Climate Science as related by two similar Penn State whitewashes.
That is hardly a credible accusation of pedophilia. Even if it were, why don’t you include the entire quote where he specifically clarified that it was not?
” particularly given how much we’ve also learned about his and others’ hockey-stick deceptions since. Mann could be said to be the Jerry Sandusky of climate science, except that instead of molesting children, he has molested and tortured data in the service of politicized science that could have dire economic consequences for the nation and planet.”
(emphasis added)
That’s Steyn quoting Simberg, here.
http://tinyurl.com/79eomj2
People making arguments so easily refuted by the evidence are not doing anyone any favors, and marking themselves as either dishonest, or misled simpletons.

October 25, 2012 6:44 am

“the framing of Mann as a metaphorical molester.”
Of scientific data, not actual human beings. “he has molested and tortured data in the service of politicized science” is the direct quote from Simberg included in Steyn’s blog post.
Your own admission/recognition that it is metaphor further tends to render the statement non-defamatory.

October 25, 2012 7:00 am

temp says:
October 23, 2012 at 9:43 pm
This trial may well bring PSU to court in a host of ways possibly even taking the college down. Cases like this can have such a wide effect and depending on how the lawyers in this case work with others such as the people suing sandusty you may well see the end of PSU.
==========
When you open a can of worms it is always more difficult to get the worms back in the can.

Reply to  ferd berple
October 25, 2012 7:41 am

Ferd and Temp,
The screws are already being put to PSU. This is hitting them where it hurts. They are a massive business operation. They are, in effect, a taxing entity that has the power to generate huge cash flow. They have been able to leverage this power to raise billions of dollars, by selling bonds.
All financial agreements that reach into the future, like bonds or mortgages, are based on the character, credibility, and credit-worthiness of the parties.
Already, the Sandusky scandal has negatively effected PSU’s character and credibility. This is lowering their credit-worthiness:
http://blogs.barrons.com/incomeinvesting/2012/10/16/sandusky-scandal-hits-penn-state-credit-rating-as-sp-cuts-outlook/
A massively publicized trial that reveals the depths of their complicity with Mann’s alleged transgressions will not help PSU’s reputation.
Another factor to consider as things develop.
The only thing missing here is a whistle-blower from within Mann’s group. Almost all tightly-held conspiracies are revealed and broken only by an insider cracking. Sandusky’s case was finally cracked when McQueary spoke up. Mafia conspiracies are usually cracked by an insider. Watergate was cracked by the FBI’s acting director, Mark Felt (better known as Deep Throat) spilling the beans to the Washington Post.
It’s only a matter of time before a Mannian insider comes clean.
The rewards are potentially huge.

Eugene S Conlin
October 25, 2012 7:26 am

Coach Springer says:
October 24, 2012 at 9:33 am
“Mann has a stage on which to strut and try to play victim without going so far as complying with the discovery requests we’d all like to see compliance with He’s exerienced at it.

Then there’s those troubling elements of proof to deal with. They do not know and do not believe that the hokey stick is not a fraud.”
Truth in a typo!

October 25, 2012 7:27 am

Nick says:
October 25, 2012 at 1:37 am
As well Steyn has called the hockey stick ‘fraudulent’,
=========
And the hockey stick has every right to sue Steyn in court for defamation.
What you and others have failed to consider is that it is quite possible to create a document that gives a fraudulent impression without yourself having committed fraud. For example, if you make an innocent mistake, the result would simply be misleading.
However, if the IPCC was to then publish this result on the front cover of their report, knowing full well that the work has not been replicated and was contradicted by other studies, then the hockey stick could well be seen to be fraudulent, because it does not tell the whole truth, and was not presented in accordance with scientific norms.
The hockey stick makes the MWP and LIA disappear, which is contradicted by a significant body of previous evidence. It is not accepted anywhere in science to place a single, un-replicated work above all other work. Yet, the IPCC did just that. They violated scientific norms and as such the hockey stick itself can be seen to be fraudulent because of how it was used by the IPCC, independent of any finding concerning the original.

October 25, 2012 8:01 am

This level of success in proposing research, and obtaining funding to conduct it, clearly places Dr. Mann among the most respected scientists in his field
=================
Isn’t this why the Sandusky investigation went nowhere? Because of the $$ he was bringing in? Same rule would appear to apply in both cases:
Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth.

October 25, 2012 8:21 am

EerieParallels says:
October 25, 2012 at 7:41 am
Ferd and Temp,
The screws are already being put to PSU.
===========
Might there be grounds for a class action by the taxpayers of the US against PSU, to recover taxes lost due to faulty economic policy based on faulty scientific papers? PSU’s liability would appear to the depend on whether they properly investigated the allegations of faulty science being published at their institution.
Could Mann’s defamation case bring to light the necessary documents to make such a class action against PSU possible? There would appear to be a huge downside risk to PSU in Mann going forward, given the very vigorous actions to date to keep public documents hidden from the public.

Reply to  ferd berple
October 25, 2012 8:53 am

Mr Berple,
I’m with you. The potential liabilities for PSU’s whitewash “investigation” of Mann’s “science” are tremendous.
Again, the Sandusky parallels are eerie.
PSU is facing massive lawsuits for their whitewash “investigation” of Sandusky’s crimes.
The lawsuit that will likely be the most “eerily parallel” to future revelations about Mann’s work at PSU is the whistle-blower lawsuit:
http://www.collegian.psu.edu/archive/2012/10/25/McQueary_hearing_update.aspx
Whistle-blowers have a very, very big stick to wield in cases where US Federal government funds are involved. A law, known as the “False Claims Act” allows any lawyer to bring a suit, on behalf of the US government, based on testimony and evidence provided by an insider, ie, “whistle-blower.”
PSU’s climate research was pretty much wholly funded by US government grants.
False Claims suits authorize up to 30% of funds clawed back from fraudulent grantees to be paid to the whistleblowers. I don’t believe that there is a “damages” element to the claims, but there may well be.
http://onwardstate.com/2010/01/14/former-cia-agent-investigates-climategate/
http://www.taf.org/

Bart
October 25, 2012 9:56 am

pouncer says:
October 25, 2012 at 6:00 am
Now that was funny and on target.

Nick
October 25, 2012 1:30 pm

Richard Courtney,
1. Simberg is named as a defendant in the case. Read the complaint.
2. Simberg (quoted by Steyn) ‘associated’ Mann’s name with Sandusky’s by a construct. It is a physical association,in a sentence with the intent to link the real molesters criminality metaphorically to Mann. The reality of that is demonstrated by CEI’s decision to remove that part of Simberg’s confection from their site,and Steyn’s introduction of Simberg’s confection with a caveat. The court will be deciding whether that construct is reasonable opinionating or whether it is defamatory….not re-reviewing Mann’s old paper.
3. Inquiries [official ones that have published findings] have not found Mann to have ‘molested’ data.
4, ‘Mike’s Nature trick’ does not refer to tree ring data used in MBH99. He hid no decline in that paper. It does not use Briffa’s recon.
5. in the light of 1 to 4, your declaration of which way the judgement goes must be seen with some amusement.

richardscourtney
October 25, 2012 1:47 pm

Nick:
Thankyou for your post addressed to me at October 25, 2012 at 1:30 pm.
I am pleased that I have given you “some amusement” and I thank you for the great amusement which your post gave me.
You are mistaken if you think a complaint that ‘the words “the fraudulent hockey stick graph” are defamatory’ will not result in examination of the basis, nature, presentation and use of the graph.
I could address some others of your points, but they all relate to the answer I have provided.
Richard

JP
October 25, 2012 3:06 pm

Just my 2 cents worth. Civil suits in the US are not a totally different animal than criminal suits. Judges allow just about anything that lawyers bring to court as long as it is pertinent to the case at hand. In that regard, we will be relititgating the Hockey Stick and all of the attendent noise associated with it.
I hope Mann has a thick skin, and he is ready to put his professional reputation on the line. In a way, this case reminds me of Lilian Hellman’s civil case against Mary McCarthy. In the end, Hellman’s reputation was ruined beyond repair. I agree with Steyn; the chances of this case making very far are slim to none.

anengineer
October 25, 2012 11:45 pm

The defense lawyer should immediately file for discovery on all those documents that they have been trying so hard to avoid producing for public scrutiny while simultaneously filing a countersuit in California using the anti-SLAPP law. Mann will back down to avoid discovery resulting from his lawsuit, but they might be able to use the countersuit to keep the process open.
And don’t forget to refuse to accept any secrecy agreements for the documents, pointing out that they should already be public under the freedom of information act. Mann will be sweating bullets.

Ken Harvey
October 27, 2012 5:39 am

There is a dark unknown here. Many of us envy the Americans for their right to free speech but few of us envy their access to discovery being at the whim of a judge.

October 27, 2012 9:16 am

“With this latest lawsuit, they may find they have no choice.”
BUT
“There is a dark unknown here. Many of us envy the Americans for their right to free speech but few of us envy their access to discovery being at the whim of a judge.”
Exactly – and what a judge!!!! http://johnosullivan.wordpress.com/2012/10/24/michael-mann-gets-most-biased-judge-for-key-us-global-warming-trial/

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