Global warming – splodeified

Via Tom Nelson, no wonder they hate nuclear power so much, they don’t see any difference!

Global warming increasing by 400,000 atomic bombs every day | The Vancouver Observer

The amazing persistence of CO2 in the air has allowed billions of our small emissions, like those from the Enola Gay, to amass into an ever growing threat to civilization. How fast is that threat growing? In a must-see TED talk, NASA climate scientist James Hansen say the current increase in global warming is:

“…equivalent to exploding 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day 365 days per year. That’s how much extra energy Earth is gaining each day.”

That’s 278 atomic bombs worth of energy every minute – more than four per second — non-stop. To be clear, that is just the extra energy being gained each day on top of the energy heating our planet by 0.8 degree C. It is the rate at which we are increasing global warming.

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Update: I think we need a new unit to quantify ridiculousness. I propose the Hansen Ridiculae Scale, somewhat like the Richter scale, logarithmic in nature.

Turning up the thermostat at a senate hearing in 1988 would rate a 5.0 Death Trains might rate a 6.0, this would rate an 8.0.

I’m afraid to imagine what a 9-10 on the Hansen Scale might look like.

ALSO: I’m busy at work right now, so I don’t have time to research it fully and calculate it, but if somebody wants to quantify the solar insolation received by Earth each day in “Hiroshima units”, I’ll add it to the main thread. That number will dwarf Hansen’s claim.

UPDATE2: Willis helps out:

Willis Eschenbach says:

Here’s your numbers, Anthony.

1 ton of TNT = 4.184e+9 joules (J) source

Hiroshima bomb = 15 kilotons of TNT = 6.28e+13 joules (ibid)

Hansen says increase in forcing is “400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day”, which comes to 2.51e+19 joules/day.

A watt is a joule per second, so that works out to a constant additional global forcing of 2.91e+14 watts.

Normally, we look at forcings in watts per square metre (W/m2). Total forcing (solar plus longwave) averaged around the globe 24/7 is about 500 watts per square metre.

To convert Hansen’s figures to a per-square-metre value, the global surface area is 5.11e+14 square metres … which means that Hansens dreaded 400,000 Hiroshima bombs per day works out to 0.6 watts per square metre … in other words, Hansen wants us to be very afraid because of a claimed imbalance of six tenths of a watt per square metre in a system where the downwelling radiation is half a kilowatt per square metre … we cannot even measure the radiation to that kind of accuracy.

w.

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As do others:

bvdeenen says:

Napkin calculation, no calculator needed: Hiroshima was ca. 63 TJ = 6E13J. The earths circular area is 3 * (6E6m)^2 = 1E14m2. The suns TSI is ca 1kW = 1E3 J/s, so the earth gets ca 1E17 J/s on the sunlit side, so the sun explodes about 1E17/6E13 = 1E3 Hiroshima atomic bombs on this planet. EVERY SECOND.

Mr. Hansen: the sun explodes about a thousand Hiroshima bombs on this planet. EVERY SECOND. DO something about it!

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Chris B

I think it’s divined from, Levitus et al. (2012), which estimates two bombs per second in excess heat absorbed by the oceans. Moreover, if all that extra stored heat went into the bottom 10 k of atmosphere instantaneously it would heat it by 36 degrees C.
Yikes!

TFNJ

Funny: a guy called Evans( think) recently showed a graph here showing that while 11 IPCC type models showed the earth receiving net heat the only actual; observation (via NASA satellites) showed the opposite. Nullius in verba, as the Royal Society used to say, before it became a missionery Society.

Garry Stotel

speachless. and this person has a standing in NASA??

BargHumer

If it is gaining the energy, where is it supposed to be storing it?

Tom in Worcester

That is, quite possibly, the most stupefying thing I have ever heard. Wow.

Dave Irons

And this guy uis stilll getting acheck from the taxpayers!!!!!!

Algebra

How much is that in birthday candles?

Cam_S

As human beings, we cannot adapt to massive amounts of nuclear radiation.
But we can adapt to a few degrees of temperature change.

Adam Gallon

Aren’t even the greenest of warmistas embarrassed by his ridiculous comments?

klem

Do people forget that this guy is now a millionaire for saying things like this?
If I were paid his income, I’d say the same things.

Ged

This guy is hilarious.
The Hiroshima atomic bomb gave off 63 Terajoules (TJ) of energy. So, 400,000 of these per day would be 2.52 x 10^19 joules of energy delivered to the Earth.
Contrast that to the binding energy of the Earth (the amount of energy that would take to literally blow the planet apart) which is 2.24 x 10^32 joules.
So, he’s basically saying we are delivering more than half of the energy needed to physically destroy the planet per day?

Mr Squid

I am actually beginning to pity the man. I think he may be in need of some professional help.

Frank K.

Expect the shrillness from the CAGW types to increase exponentially up to the US election in November. They know their funding will be cut substantially if things don’t go their way, politically speaking.

Tom in Worcester

Does anyone here post on RC? If so, make sure to put in a post about this NASA “scientists” observations. I would love to see what they have to say about it.

Gail Combs

I am speechless.
Talk about scare tactics, this guy is no scientist he is a cult evangelist.
I do like the idea of the hansen scale though. I can think of no better way for Hansen to be remembered in the history books.

Ged

Oops, sorry, I didn’t mean to say “half of the energy”, since it’s order of magnitude and thus not even close. My goof!
To put this into daily solar energy input: “The total solar energy absorbed by Earth’s atmosphere, oceans and land masses is approximately 3,850,000 exajoules (EJ) per year.” Or 10,547 EJ per day. Hansen is saying we’re adding 25 EJ per day, or 0.27 % of the Sun’s daily input.
I guess it really isn’t all that much after all.

In the style of Hansen: alarmism is burning a hole in the soul of every human on the planet. It especially targets babies and small cuddly animals. I swear Hansen will tell us next that carbon will evolve into a polar bear eating entity and use slide shows from the film Alien as ‘proof’. In fact i’m sure he is hoping for collective amnesia and tell us that the eclipse next month which will darken the earth is caused by Mann made carbon. Heck nighttime didn’t exist until T-Rex had one bronto burger too many and had bad gas. In light of his ‘standards’ i’d like to share my own talk about how the Kraken has been released and is going to eat the world’s supply of polar bears (that is if the alarmists don’t charter ships so they can eat all the polar bears first-thus proving Mann was a threat afterall). I will also detail how global warning sharks (hybrid/jumping) are seen swarming around all climate variations…sorry disaster /sarc

Werner Brozek

Ged says:
May 15, 2012 at 12:14 pm
which is 2.24 x 10^32 joules.
So, he’s basically saying we are delivering more than half of the energy needed to physically destroy the planet per day?

Half of 2.24 x 10^32 is 1.12 x 10^32.

Half the energy to destroy the planet? I’m pretty sure powers of ten don’t work like that… More like 1/10^13 of the energy needed.
This guy is a complete farce. My credulity in people’s ability to believe this utter tripe, and the media’s insatiable appetite to print it is at breaking point. It really does now bear all the hallmarks of a religion.

FergalR

I’ll get my calculator out but Leif will probably ninja me.

Don’t knock him; let him bang on and show the World how stupid he and his AGW disaster story are.

dmmcmah

If that many Hydrogen bombs can only warm the earth by less than a degree I’d suggest a more efficient energy source.

Latitude

good grief…..and that’s only with an extra 200ppm CO2…above the level that plants won’t grow
Just Imagine how bad it was when CO2 levels were in the thousands!

“Hansen Scare Scale”… catchy, catchy. 🙂
Let it be known as the HSS factor.

EternalOptimist

Is that Hansen in the photo ?
Can’t we get one of him in handcuffs
/joking

Willis Eschenbach

Here’s your numbers, Anthony.
1 ton of TNT = 4.184e+9 joules (J) source
Hiroshima bomb = 15 kilotons of TNT = 6.28e+13 joules (ibid)
Hansen says increase in forcing is “400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day”, which comes to 2.51e+19 joules/day.
A watt is a joule per second, so that works out to a constant additional global forcing of 2.91e+14 watts.
Normally, we look at forcings in watts per square metre (W/m2). Total forcing (solar plus longwave) averaged around the globe 24/7 is about 500 watts per square metre.
To convert Hansen’s figures to a per-square-metre value, the global surface area is 5.11e+14 square metres … which means that Hansens dreaded 400,000 Hiroshima bombs per day works out to 0.6 watts per square metre … in other words, Hansen wants us to be very afraid because of a claimed imbalance of six tenths of a watt per square metre in a system where the downwelling radiation is half a kilowatt per square metre … we cannot even measure the radiation to that kind of accuracy.
w.

bvdeenen

Napkin calculation, no calculator needed: Hiroshima was ca. 63 TJ = 6E13J. The earths circular area is 3 * (6E6m)^2 = 1E14m2. The suns TSI is ca 1kW = 1E3 J/s, so the earth gets ca 1E17 J/s on the sunlit side, so the sun explodes about 1E17/6E13 = 1E3 Hiroshima atomic bombs on this planet. EVERY SECOND.
Mr. Hansen: the sun explodes about a thousand Hiroshima bombs on this planet. EVERY SECOND. DO something about it!

beesaman

It should be Omgwtfs….

Olaf Koenders

Maybe we should equate Hansen’s dribblings to unicorn farts..

WTF

How do you convert Suzuki’s and Gore’s into Hansen’s? What is the exchange rate? ;-))

bvdeenen

Here is my napkin calculation, no calculator needed: Hiroshima was ca. 63 TJ = 6E13J. The earths circular area is 3 * (6E6m)^2 = 1E14m2. The suns TSI is ca 1kW = 1E3 J/s, so the earth gets ca 1E17 J/s on the sunlit side, so the sun explodes about 1E17/6E13 = 1E3 Hiroshima atomic bombs on this planet. EVERY SECOND.

Werner Brozek

equivalent to exploding 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day 365 days per year. That’s how much extra energy Earth is gaining each day.
Even if we assumed this to be true, what is the problem? Let us assume this heat is all going into the ocean. (It certainly has not warmed the air over the last 10 to 15 years!)
The energy of one bomb is 6.3 x 10^10 kJ, so in one year, that would be 6.3 x 10^10 kJ x 400,000 x 365.24.
The mass of the ocean is 1.4 x 10^21 kg and its specific heat is about 4 kJ/kgK. So we can equate
6.3 x 10^10 kJ x 400,000 x 365.24 = 1.4 x 10^21 kg x 4 kJ/kgK x change in t. The temperature change turns out to be 0.0016 C per year. At this rate, it would take over 600 years to warm 1 C.

Jos

Did a quick math calculation based on Levitus 1993-2010, approximately 10 ZJ (10^21 J) per year, which gives you about 2.7 10^19 Joules over a day. Given Hiroshima produced 63 TJ (63 10^12), you get 434877 Hiroshimas.
Yep, calculation is correct. But what is the point?

Chris B

Could we have that in Manhattans of ice melted please. I was raised on the old system.

tty

0,6 Watt increase per day equals 220 W after a year, and since the Earth only receives about 340 W per square meter as it is, Hansen’s figures implies that we may expect the oceans to start boiling in August or September.

As always, when Willis has his say there is not much more that needs to be said.
Thanks, Willis, from your Gualala neighbor.

Mike McMillan

Inspirational image behind Hansen. Thanks.
Mike
ex B-52 driver

scadsobees

We’re warming the planet by the equivalent of burning 1.5 billion polar bears EVERY DAY!!
Sheesh.

It’s Bush’s fault, for not making Hansen understand the muzzle was for Hansen’s own good.

FergalR

RE:Willis Eschenbach says:
May 15, 2012 at 12:43 pm
That’s interesting and not just because it saves me from from a headache. The models for AR5 are supposed to be programmed to believe that greenhouse gas forcing has increased by ~3.5W/m^2 since industrialisation – leading to ~0.8°C warming.
[self-snipped so you don’t have to]

lgp

new source of natural global warming identified 🙂
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/05/120515093947.htm
So instead of BTU’s, we now have BHU’s!

Gary D.

Chris B
Thank you, I needed a laugh.

Stephen Richards

It’s a shame he is standing in front of a volcano and not in it. Now that would be global warming on a Hansen scale.

Kelvin Vaughan

On average about 700,000,000,000 Watts every hour 24 hours a day 365 days a year or 6,132,000,000,000,000 Watts per year are generated by the entire human race.
Exterminate.

Resourceguy

It’s called one upmanship versus the EU climate crazy. Its a form of giantism in evolution such as dinosaur development and liars.

Berényi Péter

The energy emitted by the Little Boy was not so much, it was just released fast. The Hoover Dam produces the same amount in about half a minute. Therefore 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day is equal to 140 Hoover Dams.

Jenn Oates

Yeah, and people will believe it because a scientist said it, without even bothering the check where he got his numbers, not unlike the reaction my students give to numbers that don’t make sense. They just don’t have the ability to judge whether something is reasonable or not. It’s a result, so it must be right (plus it’s too much work to try to do it again).

Babsy

R Taylor says:
May 15, 2012 at 1:09 pm
Of course it’s Bush’s fault. It was George Bush that started the illegal Peloponnesian War for oil!