Friday Funny – expert opinion

While Dr. Richard Feynman famously said:

Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.

Josh notes that climatologists do it with crystal balls…

Click image for full size to see what’s inside the ball. www.cartoonsbyjosh.com

How does one do climate predictions these days with a crystal ball, especially when most all is in a computer model? Add a USB port of course!

Here’s one for modeling the oceans:

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April 13, 2012 8:23 am

They found Nemo!

Gail Combs
April 13, 2012 8:35 am

Very appropriate given the recent influx of trolls telling us we need to publish stuff in “peer reviewed” journals or SHUT-UP.

tadchem
April 13, 2012 8:36 am

Don’t you realize that you have a rare, protected Vinyl Clownfish there? It’s unlikely to get its minimum daily requirement of phthalates from the Ramen Coral.

April 13, 2012 8:50 am

My father used to say that a professional was a person who made a living doing something and who sometimes made mistakes, whereas an expert (in farming at least) was a farmer from the next county.
The modern definition of an expert is a man in a suit from the next town, carrying a laptop.
(And maybe wearing a floppy hat and handcuffs.)

J
April 13, 2012 8:53 am

I think the scarf on the snowman should read “Hide the decline”

jsbrodhead
April 13, 2012 9:04 am

HA! Astrology and Climatology… both solid sciences[!]

Baa Humbug
April 13, 2012 9:09 am

Not bad Josh, not bad. But the astrologist looks nothing like Rajandra Pachauri.
Furthermore, if you want your funny cartoons to be taken seriously, you should have them published in a peer reviewed cartoon journal, otherwise they’re just belly laughs on the blogosphere.

Dexter Trask
April 13, 2012 9:11 am

Good heavens! Is that coral already bleached?!? The humanity!!!

Editor
April 13, 2012 9:11 am

So that’s what happened to my snowman. He’s been missing for lots of decades.

Jim Masterson
April 13, 2012 9:24 am

With all the posts about Shakum et al., I don’t know if someone has commented on this already. Yesterday, I received my copy of the April 6, 2012 (Vol. 336) issue of Science. On page 18, under the heading: “Case Closed: CO2 Helped End Last Ice Age,” is this comment: “’All in all, a solid study,’ says climate scientist Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University.” “Nature” isn’t the only journal that’s drunk the climate Kool-Aid.
Jim

Olen
April 13, 2012 9:28 am

In the forward of T. Morris Longstreth’s book Understanding the weather he mentions his first book written in 1914 Reading the Weather and that WWI stimulated research, improved communication and brought the Norwegian’s air mass theories so he wrote a stepping up title Knowing the Weather. He states WWII gave meteorology further improvements and the influential American Meteorological Society came of age.
In Knowing the Weather he wrote, “Nobody can regulate the weather nor charge admission to it, and weather lovers are happy that it is forever beyond the reach of politicians.

Videodrone
April 13, 2012 9:33 am

you realize you can’t take one of those in carry on luggage on a commercal flight?

MikeN
April 13, 2012 9:34 am

So I’m scrolling down the page, and when I get to the Pat Michaels post, the whole page insists on reloading.

Hoser
April 13, 2012 9:35 am

It’s amazing the computing power we have in such tiny spaces. It would help if you label the USB ports of your Global Ocean Modeler. The left port is “GI”, and the right one is “GO”.

April 13, 2012 9:38 am

Another Feynman quote that fits:

I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy — and when he talks about a nonscientific matter, he will sound as naive as anyone untrained in the matter. [wikiquote: Value of Science 1955]

“Death Trains” come to mind.

Mydogsgotnonose
April 13, 2012 9:39 am

The definition of Hansenkoism:
1. Imagine there’s is a phenomenon called ‘back radiation’ which increases IR energy absorbed in the atmosphere by a factor of 15.5.
2. Calculate equally imaginary dangerous warming but because we can’t actually measure it, claim it’s offset exactly by imaginary cooling by polluted clouds plus some bare aerosol cooling.
3. The only part that isn’t imaginary is the cost.

April 13, 2012 9:42 am

Very appropriate given the recent influx of trolls telling us we need to publish stuff in “peer reviewed” journals or SHUT-UP.
Based on some of the studies I’ve seen published lately, I’m not so sure I would do that. Somebody might see me.

paddylol
April 13, 2012 9:55 am

To Josh: Great stuff! I suggest a revision that includes a opinion based upon alchemy.

Roger
April 13, 2012 10:00 am

As interest wanes in global warming etc we see a drop off in most proagw and antiagw websites. No wonder global temps have been flat for 15 years! This will continue till all the ol soldiers just fade away LOL

Chuckles
April 13, 2012 10:06 am

From Stan Kelly-Bootle – a description that might be apt for climate studies – ‘A study akin to numerology and astrology, but lacking the precision of the former and the success of the latter.’
Anthony, while the USB port is good, I prefer this approach, seems closer to the team approach –

🙂

April 13, 2012 10:57 am

I’ve come up with something I’ve tentatively named “The Progressive
Certainty Principle.” To wit, “The less a person knows about a subject,
the more certain they are about it.”
It is all too prevalent in the pro-AGW crowd and many modern progressive
politicians today

April 13, 2012 11:41 am

When you follow the fish USB ball,, you get a message saying, “product discontinued or does not exist”. Seems highly appropriate somehow…..

April 13, 2012 11:58 am

HILARIOUS !

April 13, 2012 1:19 pm

Forgot the link!!!