Hiding the decline down under – inconvenient papers censored

UPDATE: An Australian science paper I located from 1990 says that century scale sea level trends are 1-1.1 mm per year, and Sydney was 0.54 mm/ year. See below.

UPDATE2: a graph of the current SLR for Sydney is now available. See below.

From the Australian Telegraph:

SENIOR bureaucrats in the state government’s environment department have routinely stopped publishing scientific papers which challenge the federal government’s claims of sea level rises threatening Australia’s coastline, a former senior public servant said yesterday.

Doug Lord helped prepare six scientific papers which examined 120 years of tidal data from a gauge at Fort Denison in Sydney Harbour.

The tide data revealed sea levels were rising at a rate of about 1mm a year or less – and the rise was not accelerating but was constant.

“The tidal data we found would mean sea levels would rise by about 100mm by the end of the century,” Mr Lord said yesterday.

“However the (federal) government benchmark which drives their climate change policy is that sea levels are expected to rise by 900mm by the end of the century and the rate of rise is accelerating.”

Mr Lord, who has 35 years experience in coastal engineering, said senior bureaucrats within the then Department of Environment Climate Change and Water had rejected or stopped publication of five papers between late 2009 and September this year.

Full story at: Australian Telegraph

=======================================================

This paper by E.A Bryant in 1990 at the University of New South Wales has some interesting things to say. http://ojs.library.unsw.edu.au/index.php/wetlands/article/viewFile/166/228

UPDATE2: David Archibald provides this graph of Sea Level Rise for Sydney, Ft. Dennison from the long term data. The .5 mm trend/year shown above in the 1990 Bryant paper still holds. There does not appear to be any evidence of acceleration.

The NSW Govt. has a page for Fort Denison but you have to contact a data manager for the data: http://canri.nsw.gov.au/nrdd/records/ANZNS0001005063.html#metainfo

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Coke
December 1, 2011 9:02 am

So now it’s “hide the increase”?!!

PhilJourdan
December 1, 2011 9:03 am

Given Gillard’s Carbon tax – against the will of the people – the government down under had to make sure that everything else “proves” their lie.

TheGoodLocust
December 1, 2011 9:12 am

I think it is pretty obvious that the rate of sea level rise, averaged out, has been approximately the same for several thousand years.
We are near the top of the sea level maximum you’d expect to see at this point in our cycle – it simply can’t go up “much” further. We’ll “soon” go into another glacial maximum and it’ll plummet.
Worries about sea level rise are simply ridiculous.

crosspatch
December 1, 2011 9:13 am

I am shocked, shocked that the politicians would suppress evidence that would tend to run counter to their rhetoric.

December 1, 2011 9:19 am

Along with the research support, i.e. funding by politicians, come the politicization of science related issues and unfortunately the science itself. That politicization moves from the monied and privileged class to the desks of the political class. It is the price we, our societies, pay for the ends justifying the means.

Ray
December 1, 2011 9:24 am

Another nail in the political career of Gillard.

Hoser
December 1, 2011 9:25 am

The discontinuity in the record around 1949 makes me wonder whether they changed their instrument or the placement of the gauge. If so, the true mean sea level change might be about zero or perhaps slightly negative.

jaypan
December 1, 2011 9:27 am

Silencing dissenting opinions … where have I seen this before?
And in science, not politics … or is it politics?

G. Karst
December 1, 2011 9:29 am

I notice the Australian government are proposing a 20% increase in salary. This will nicely cover the additional cost of carbon measures. Typical of greenies. They want everyone else to pay for their extravagance. No sacrifice required from them. GK

steveta_uk
December 1, 2011 9:32 am

But if the sea level isn’t rising down under, it must be MUCH WORSE in the NH!!!!

Curiousgeorge
December 1, 2011 9:57 am

Seems to me they are just measuring the slosh.

crosspatch
December 1, 2011 10:01 am

Sea level trends were pretty consistent from 1993 until late 2005 and then they went flat, no sea level rise until 2008. Then they started rising again until 2010 and have gone flat again in 2011.
The trend in sea level rise has flattened (reduced) in the five years since 2006.

JPeden
December 1, 2011 10:01 am

The tide data revealed sea levels were rising at a rate of about 1mm a year or less – and the rise was not accelerating but was constant.
Saved! Now those “climate refugees” will only have to run 1 mm/yr. to escape, before it’s too late!

AlexS
December 1, 2011 10:02 am

Btw a recent article on sea level by Nils-Axel Mörner:
http://www.spectator.co.uk/essays/7438683/rising-credulity.thtml
“My latest project was a field expedition to India, to the coast of Goa, combining observations with archeological information. Our findings are straightforward: there is no ongoing sea level rise. The sea level there has been stable for the last 50 years or so, after falling some 20cm in around 1960; it was well below the present level in the 18th century and some 50 to 60cm above the present in the 17th century. So it is clear that sea levels rise and fall entirely independently of so-called ‘climate change’.”

December 1, 2011 10:03 am

I left a comment asking Mr Lord if he’d please post links here – to the papers

TERRY46
December 1, 2011 10:08 am

Funny none of this informate about Climategate 2 is making it to our liberal media friends .

crosspatch
December 1, 2011 10:15 am

kin2000, if the papers were never published or were “withdrawn” then there will not likely be any links to the papers.

jfisk
December 1, 2011 10:28 am

Its all about the MONEY nothing to do with science

Nick Shaw
December 1, 2011 10:29 am

As the trend shown by E.A Bryant in 1990 was prepared with actual observations (as I cannot believe modeling was big at the time!) would it not follow that it is more believable?
That the state would suppress contrary opinion and scientific investigation is more than ominous!
I sure hope Australians come to their senses next election. Like the Canadians.
Maybe someone could tell me, though, why would there be varying increases or lack of increase in sea level around a single relatively small continent?

Sundance
December 1, 2011 10:35 am

I’m sure the Prime Minister will stand up for scientific freedom and truth!
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_uv3hfMG_RUE/TEUOjUA15UI/AAAAAAAADH4/RywlJwPF1pA/s1600/PRIMEMINIS_TOP_IMAGE_650PX_KJ102495_149840.jpg
Or not. 🙁

December 1, 2011 10:49 am

In order to determine actual correlation Rsquare between warming as determined and reported here
http://www.letterdash.com/HenryP/henrys-pool-table-on-global-warming
and leaf area index (LAI) as shown in picture of earth here
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/03/24/the-earths-biosphere-is-booming-data-suggests-that-co2-is-the-cause-part-2/
I need the actual measured results for LAI & Longitude/Latitude
Can anyone here help me get these results or get into contact with the authors?>

Ray
December 1, 2011 10:57 am

Is it the sea that is rising at 1 mm/year or less or is Australia sinking at that rate?

crosspatch
December 1, 2011 11:06 am

Excellent article at Dr. Judith Curry’s
http://judithcurry.com/2011/12/01/the-long-slow-thaw/
One thing I find interesting is that she notes fairly early in the article one of the same things I have noted:

Dr Mann’s view that the climate had been relatively stable until man interfered with it in recent times, through excessive co2 emissions, became quickly accepted, as noted here by the UK Met office, a prime contributor through the Hadley centre to the IPCC assessments, who assert:
“Before the twentieth century, when man-made greenhouse gas emissions really took off, there was an underlying stability to global climate. The temperature varied from year to year, or decade to decade, but stayed within a certain range and averaged out to an approximately steady level.” (12)

That is a key point in the entire propaganda war. They want you to believe that climate was basically stable and became unstable recently. Dr. Curry goes on to show a different view of things.

Bloke down the pub
December 1, 2011 11:21 am

No-one should think for a moment that it’s just our Australian cousins who are being shafted by their government in this way. Is it really conceivable that papers are kept out of journals without the tacit agreement of the authorities?

Dr Burns
December 1, 2011 11:42 am

Dr Peter Flood has showed that sea levels in Oz have fallen over the past couple of thousand years. http://www.abc.net.au/quantum/stories/s112352.htm

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