I noted yesterday this story in Slashdot:
Canadian Ice Shelves Halve In Six Years
The CBC reports on new research that shows thousand-year-old ice shelves (much different than sea ice) are breaking up and have been reduced by half in a region of Canada over the last six years. ‘This summer alone saw the Serson ice shelf almost completely disappear and the Ward Hunt shelf split in half. The ice loss equals about three billion tonnes, or about 500 times the mass of the Great Pyramid of Giza.’ More detailed pictures can be seen at The Conversation, with a quote from Professor Steven Sherwood, Co-Director of the University of NSW’s Climate Change Research Centre: ‘The real significance of this, in my view, is that this ice has reportedly been there for thousands of years. The same is true of glaciers that have recently disappeared in the Andes. These observations should dispel in one fell swoop any notion that recent global warming could be natural.
Meh. Last year it was Manhattan Island units, this year it’s Giza pyramid units. I suppose we can designate symbols for these: // and Δ
Whatever you call it, I call it the “Terrifying Petermann glacier ice chunk 2.0“, dubbed “deniersberg” by feckless Congressman Markey, which later refroze in the Nares Strait ice before it could wreak havoc on worldwide shipping. Before the satellite era we weren’t watching this stuff, so we really only have a few years of observations. Glaciers calve ice into the sea, its what they do. It has been going on for millions of years. By the logic presented in The Conversation, some might argue though that the glacier berg that sunk Titanic was payback for coal use. Just reading through the author list, and you’ll understand why.
Of course the science says, nothing to see here move along.
Papers, like “Late Pleistocene-Holocene Marine Geology of Nares Strait Region“, from Mudie et al., don’t leave much doubt about what was the past climate of the region:
Palaeoceanographic reconstructions from dinocyst assemblages show that from ~6.5 to 3.3 ka BP, there were large oscillations in summer sea surface temperature (SST) from 3 °C cooler than now to 6 °C warmer, and that variations in SIC ranged from two months more to four months less of heavy ice compared to now.
Imagine my surprise though, when I discovered the majority of early commenters at Slashdot taking this article to task. Usually they eat this stuff up. Here are some of the comments:
Re:”These observations should dispel…” (Score:5, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Friday September 30, @03:44PM (#37571112)
So I’m not one who tends to dismiss things that experts outside my field say, but this statement is quite a blatant fallacy: just because it’s been that way for thousands of years doesn’t mean that any change is certainly not natural. It’s these types of statements that cause so many to lose credibility. It doesn’t give me much faith in someone’s ability to interpret complex data when he can’t even construct a valid deduction from simple facts…
Uh, Greenland redux? (Score:5, Insightful) by arpad1 (458649) on Friday September 30, @03:39PM (#37571068)
How about a bit less in the way of hysteria? All the folks who were having kittens over the phony reduction in the Greenland ice sheet are looking like schmucks now so perhaps a few people, like the editors of Slashdot for instance, could forgo schmuckdom by not engaging in heavy breathing ahead of the facts?
Amazing (Score:5, Insightful) by avandesande (143899) on Friday September 30, @03:43PM (#37571104) Journal
These observations should dispel in one fell swoop any notion that recent global warming could be natural.
So you are saying that if there was natural global warming these ice shelves wouldn’t melt? That’s pretty amazing!
Bad phrasing (Score:3, Insightful) by OverlordQ (264228) on Friday September 30, @03:47PM (#37571162) Journal
‘The real significance of this, in my view, is that this ice has reportedly been there for thousands of years. The same is true of glaciers that have recently disappeared in the Andes. These observations should dispel in one fell swoop any notion that recent global warming could be natural.'”
How’s that saying go, past performance is no guarantee of future results. The Andes used to be under water for thousands of years; the continents used to all be one big land mass. If we lived back then I’m sure we’d be hearing about Anthropogenic Tectonic Drift.
Dont jump from “There used to be ice, now there isn’t.” to “We did it”
These unique and massive geographical features that we consider to be a part of the map of Canada are disappearing and they won’t come back
Alarmist.
The researchers say their disappearance suggests a possible return to conditions unseen in the Arctic for thousands of years.
So there used to be conditions where they would have melted anyways, climate changed and they appeared, now they’re disappearing again and you say we’ll never see them again?
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And those comments are just the tip of the iceberg. More here.
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Paul Westhaver says:
October 1, 2011 at 11:19 am re “the CBC”.
C’mon don’t beat around the bush! Tell us what you really think! Heh. Haven’t seen “purulent” used here ever before.
“”””” Jeff Alberts says:
October 1, 2011 at 9:41 am
“Here’s Here are some of the comments:”
There, fixed it for you. No charge 😉
REPLY: Thanks Pedantic Man. The world is safe from contractions, thanks to you. – Anthony “””””
No problem at all Anthony; it is as plain as day that you intended “Here’s a sample of some of the comments.” No charge for that either Mate !
George
Well I’m all in favor of using the great Pyramid as an international standard unit of melted ice; after all it’s as old as the hills; is sort of one actually, and it also has a precedent, in “The Pyramid Inch” which is used to chart the history of the world past present and future by the distance to various marks on the main shaft that goes down into the great pyramid. Starting at the King’s chamber (I believe) and the date of his incarceration, you measure the distance to the various marks on the walls and roof of the sloping shaft, in Pyarmid Inches, and it tells you the dates of everything in history; much more accurate than that silly book, by that crazy Italian No Stradamus or whatever his name was.
The only problem with the pyramid inch is that it is a “living” standard unit, much like the Liberal’s view of the US Constitution. So periodically, you have to change the scale of the pyramid inch; or else some of the great events of history, like WW-I or WW-II would need to be run over again to get them to happen at the predicted times.
This convenient fuzziness of units is just exactly what the IPCC would want to retain their 3:1 fudge factor in the uncertainty of climatic events and dates for future disasters like 20 foot sea rise.
So count me as one aye vote for Pyramid ice melts; such a unit is just too good to let go to waste; and that is the motto of the current US administration.
“”””” Gail Combs says:
October 1, 2011 at 8:49 pm
Paul Westhaver says:
October 1, 2011 at 10:10 am
“I guess I am becoming a curmudgeon……
I suggest that there are a large number of people who believe that the earth is overpopulated (I don’t) and they are looking to anything to prove it. They are in good company at the UN. “””””
Well Gail, you are much smarter than that ! Of course the world is overpopulated; and by at least the number of people who believe the world is overpopulated; so why don’t they do their civic duty, and off themselves; presumably in some fashion worthy of winning the Dawin Award.
George
@LazyTeenager,
1. How so? Does ice melt below 0 C? What happens the moment the temperature finally rises above that transition to fusion temperature?
2. Really? How fast does ice form once it’s cold enough to form?
Europeanonion says:
October 2, 2011 at 3:46 am “”” “””
http://wn.com/Lady_Franklin's_Lament,
Thank you Europeanonion
What glaciers in the Andes has disappeared? Dr. Lonnie Thompson, Ohio State U, predicted in February 2007 that Qori Kalis would disappear in 5 years. He used to issue annual horror reports of its demise. He conducted two expeditions since his prediction but prepared no report of the horrible progress towards his prediction. Looking at recent satellite photos the glacier appears larger than his last report in 2007. Is this confirmation bias at work? Inquiring minds want to know!