Quote of the Month – Nature disses skeptics

I already have a quote of the week, but since the fact that Nature decided to pay any attention at all to the Heartland Conference in Washington, D.C. which ended July 1st, this deserved a special place on WUWT, and thus the first ever “Quote of the Month” is a real doozy. However, given that Nature has chosen to mention the conference at all, I see it as a win.

It is scientists, not sceptics, who are most willing to consider explanations that conflict with their own. And far from quashing dissent, it is the scientists, not the sceptics, who do most to acknowledge gaps in their studies and point out the limitations of their data — which is where sceptics get much of the mud they fling at the scientists.

Wow. Apparently, Nature has never seen the rampant quashing of dissent that goes on at Real Climate, which we documented with data and anecdotal reports nor have they ever noted the lack of curiosity on the part of the Hockey Team when it comes to looking at a failure of statistical analysis techniques, or alternate explanations for changes in environments and natural signals, such as the recently discovered and peer reviewed paper about sheep grazing effects on tree rings being greater than that of temperature.

No, Nature implies that the scientists that they represent are always curious about limitations, without fault, and are as pure as the driven snow, with only truth as motive. Climategate showed the world otherwise.

I do agree with Nature though on one point, the displays by some of the book sellers at the conference were spurious, and I’d much prefer that if Heartland ever does another one of these conferences, that they leave such displays out. But, it seems that whomever the reporter for Nature was, he/she didn’t venture beyond the lobby and listen to any of the presentations made as the article makes no mention of them.

The view of Nature is sharply contrasted by that of Dr. Scott Denning, who did attend the science sessions, both as participant, and speaker. He said of the conference in this article:

Atmospheric Scientist Scott Denning Shares Lessons from Dialog with ‘Skeptics’ | The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media

“I was treated with respect and even warmth despite my vehement disagreement with most of the other presenters,” Denning wrote, expressing thanks for prominent platforms he was provided during the conference, including an hour-long keynote debate with contrarian Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama, Huntsville.

“These were not a bunch of brain-washed idiots,” Denning said of the conferees, rebutting an impression many in the science community might have.

An example of “what doesn’t work” in speaking with audiences such as those at the Heartland conference, Denning wrote, “is the condescending argument from authority that presumes that the Earth’s climate is too complicated for ordinary people to understand, so that they have to trust the opinions of experts.”

Nature seems to take the position of judging all skeptics by the books being sold in the lobby, or the proverbial “judging a book by it’s cover”.

The videos of all the Heartland conference presentations are available here:

http://climateconference.heartland.org/watch-live/

While Nature is in the business of dissing conferences, they might want to have a look at what went on at the 2010 American Geophysical Union convention in San Francisco, as Steve Mosher relates here in Craven Attention.

Read the entire article in Nature linked below. They do accept comments.

Heart of the matter

Nature 475, 423–424 (28 July 2011) doi:10.1038/475423b
Published online
27 July 2011

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v475/n7357/full/475423b.html?WT.ec_id=NATURE-20110728

h/t to Dr. Leif Svalgaard

=========================================================

UPDATE:  Dr. Judith Curry advises a post on this at Climate Etc. with detailed questions from the unnamed Nature reporter.

http://judithcurry.com/2011/07/27/nature-on-heartland/

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Myrrh
July 27, 2011 2:11 pm

I wonder if a letter to Nature with their quote “It is scientists, not sceptics, who are most willing to consider explanations that conflict with their own. And far from quashing dissent, it is the scientists, not the sceptics, who do most to acknowledge gaps in their studies and point out the limitations of their data” plus a link to the conference videos, would get published?

Steve Garcia
July 27, 2011 2:15 pm

Science:

It is scientists, not sceptics, who are most willing to consider explanations that conflict with their own.

Not even close. I changed my mind, going from accepting AGW to being a skeptic. I accepted AGW at face value, because it agreed with what I thought was a likely outcome of our decades of industrial emissions. It was only when I decided out of curiosity to check out what the science was that I found out I had to change my mind.
Does that make me a scientist or a skeptic, since now I cannot be swayed by their evidence; because of contrarian peer-reviewed papers I’ve seen, I have more than a reasonable doubt in my mind – and unless that evidence to the contrary is overthrown (it will not be), they won’t get my vote.
Perhaps it is a one-way street. Scientist > skeptic is possible, but not the reverse?

Bruce Cobb
July 27, 2011 2:22 pm

Brian says:
July 27, 2011 at 12:58 pm
Two words:
Heartland Institute.

Very good! You can count. Lots of Warmist trolls have trouble with that.

DesertYote
July 27, 2011 2:28 pm

Bystander says:
July 27, 2011 at 11:05 am
Um – not sure that all points of view and open debate are truly embraced here. There seems to be a lot of yelling “troll” when an opposing view point is offered here.
###
WARNING TROLL ALERT!!!
(sorry couldn’t help it)
But seriously, I tend to use some strong language and have incurred the wrath of many others hear, but I have never been called a troll. The only comments I see that are designated as troll stuff are indeed troll stuff as signified by the use of standard troll techniques, such as diversion. This is very different from stating a minority opinion.

July 27, 2011 2:28 pm

J,
and while we’re at it,….. I, nor do I believe others wish to anything but clarification, so don’t take offense, but I don’t think you’re understanding and perhaps conflating two very different concepts ….. “the deserved rich would get richer and maybe some of that will trickle down or something. Crackpots….”
“Trickle down” is a derisive term for supply-side economics, a very legitimate view of economics most notably embraced by both John Kennedy and Ronald Reagan.
However, asserting that rich people are somehow not deserving to be rich is anathema to many. Including myself. This country needs rich people, but even if we didn’t, they are indeed fellow citizens and deserving better than the class warfare people are engaged in against them today.
Personally, I don’t think I have the drive to ever become rich. Money just doesn’t mean that much to me. However, were I to endeavor to do the work, and make it happen, I’d like to think my fellow citizens would respect the effort, congratulate me on the accomplishment and emulate what I did if it was something they felt as a worthwhile pursuit.
And truly, this nation needs more wealthy people, not less. I’ve never once seen a poor person hire anyone.

July 27, 2011 2:33 pm

I have a post on this at Climate Etc.
http://judithcurry.com/2011/07/27/nature-on-heartland/
REPLY: Thanks Judth, care to share the name of the Nature reporter? – Anthony

Beesaman
July 27, 2011 2:36 pm

At least here on WUWT folks can debate and discuss science, elsewhere you just get fed the same old unscientific diatribe.

Latitude
July 27, 2011 2:36 pm

For a mag with such a small amount of subscribers/circulation….
….to alienate even more
But then again, this would explain why they have such a small slice of the market………….

Another Gareth
July 27, 2011 2:53 pm

Anthony Watts wrote: “Wow. Apparently, Nature has never seen the rampant quashing of dissent that goes on at Real Climate, which we documented with data and anecdotal reports nor have they ever noted the lack of curiosity on the part of the Hockey Team when it comes to looking at a failure of statistical analysis techniques, or alternate explanations for changes in environments and natural signals, such as the recently discovered and peer reviewed paper about sheep grazing effects on tree rings being greater than that of temperature.”
Perhaps Nature don’t think Real Climate and the Hockey Team are scientists. They fit the description thrown at sceptics much better.
As ever the devil is in the detail. I am a bog standard member of the public. The climate war has led me to reading science papers on all manner of things mostly out of curiosity and my main impression of them is that they have all manner of caveats, clauses and plainly admitted gaps in knowledge. The uncertainties tend not to appear in the summary but do appear in the conclusion. They cannot have it both ways. If such scientists wish to write speculative papers that draw no concrete conclusions then they will just have to suck it up and deal with being reminded of their own writing. If they can’t find a discrete answer maybe they are asking the wrong question.

Tom T
July 27, 2011 2:56 pm

I guess that mean we are no longer deniers nor are we skeptics. I guess now I can call myself a scientist.

Steve Garcia
July 27, 2011 2:59 pm

H July 27, 2011 at 11:18 am:

“It is scientists, not sceptics, who are most willing to consider explanations that conflict with their own.”
I thought that scientists were supposed to be skeptical, requiring significant proof from data to accept a new hypothesis.

That is the theory. In addition, “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proofs.”
That they didn’t do this vis-a-vis CO2 strongly suggests that they do not think the claims of AGW are extraordinary. This would seem to say much about them.
And think about it, who would go into climate science? Business types? Engineer types? Ag majors? Economist types? Hardly. Perhaps some portion of Ag, but not so for the rest, IMHO. My stereotype of a climate scientist is a tree hugger, the same type that goes in for forestry and ocean sciences, one who sees himself as a defender of nature. If true (it seems so on the surface, to me, anyway), then their predilection is to accept the idea – as fundamental – that man is injuring nature. So, when they get together, the consensus BEGINS with: Man, the killers of Bambi’s mother.
Overstated? Well, anthropogenic global warming due to CO2 is itself overstated – but they don’t see it that way, do they? They accept CAGW as true as that the sky is blue on a sunny day. And since they start from that position, it is not – to them – an extraordinary claim. As such, it does not require extraordinary proofs.
They, in fact, consider a skeptical position to be extraordinary. Listen to them! Everything out of their mouths is, “You cretins! How can you POSSIBLY deny this is happening?!” Ergo, in their eyes, WE are the ones who are required to produce extraordinary proofs.
I think I’ve got this pretty straight (even if I have a simplistic view of them).

KnR
July 27, 2011 3:06 pm

The irony is Nature thinks that only those that support AGW can call themselves ‘scientists’ in this their straight into 1984 land where valid views can only be good or double good . The very idea of ideas begin valid which run contra to AGW is simple not possible, bad is not allowed if you want to be a ‘scientists’ in natures eyes on AGW.

Thumper
July 27, 2011 3:06 pm

It is apparent that the editors at Nature Magazine have never heard of Thomas Kuhn or, heaven forbid, have read his book “The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.” Kuhn was a Scientific Historian who died in 1996. There is a complete bio on Wikipedia that is worth reading. He coined the term “Paradigm Shift” for the scientific community. This term was then popularized worldwide by Joel Barker. A quote from Kuhn that accurately fits the climate change debate is “When scientists must choose from competing theories, two men fully committed to the same list of criteria for choice, may never-the-less reach different conclusions. For this reason, basically, the criteria still are not “objective” in the usual sense of the word because individual scientists reach different conclusions with the same criteria due to valuing one criteria over the other or even adding additional criteria for selfish or other subjective reasons. I am suggesting, of course, that the criteria of choice with which I begin function not as rules, which determine choice, but as values which influence it.” Perhaps the Kuhn’s quote or a copy of the book should be sent to Hansen, Gavin, Mann, Jones, etc., although that probably won’t affect any change. We should also remember that this applies to both sides of the equation.

Steve from Rockwood
July 27, 2011 3:07 pm

Are consensus seeking scientists skeptical by Nature?

Dave N
July 27, 2011 3:14 pm

“It is scientists, not sceptics, who are most willing to consider explanations that conflict with their own”
“..it seems that whomever the reporter for Nature was, he/she didn’t venture beyond the lobby and listen to any of the presentations made as the article makes no mention of them”
So Nature certainly aren’t scientists, and they assume their readership are complete idiots who swallow Nature’s tripe whole.

Goody
July 27, 2011 3:17 pm

Too much politics. Not enough science.
From wiki:
“30 October 2008, Nature endorsed an American presidential candidate for the first time when it supported Barack Obama during his campaign in America’s 2008 presidential election.”

July 27, 2011 3:27 pm

Nature doesn’t understand that a scientific skeptic is the only honest kind of scientist.

EFS_Junior
July 27, 2011 3:29 pm

REPLY: Thanks Judth, care to share the name of the Nature reporter? – Anthony
http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110727/full/475440a.html
http://www.nature.com/news/author/Jeff+Tollefson/index.html
D’oh!
REPLY: D’oh on you smartaleck, not everyone has subscription access. Your link is DOA for 99% of the people here. I asked Dr. Curry, not you, but it is typical holier than thou snark for you – Anthony

Henry Galt
July 27, 2011 3:40 pm

Brian says:
July 27, 2011 at 1:15 pm
Henry Galt says:
July 27, 2011 at 12:18 pm
“Why shouldn’t we use links from skepticalscience? The site is full of intelligent people even if they’re not overly nice.”
Didn’t say you couldn’t.
If a person lands here with a link from, for example, skepticalscience and expects that alone to add to, or terminate, the discussion then, maybe, someone else will jump on and claim that that person lives under a bridge. Doesn’t mean you cant.
I have lived with Internet since 300 baud modems, I have never called anyone a troll. I may have thought they were, but either gave the benefit of the doubt or let it lie.

RoyFOMR
July 27, 2011 3:41 pm

When Scientists stop being Sceptics, and become Non-Scientists, then why do they still draw wages?

anticlimactic
July 27, 2011 3:44 pm

I have noticed that with regards to climate there is a confusion between the word ‘scientist’ and the word ‘omniscient’.
It is no coincidence that Chaos Theory was developed by a meteorologist in response to his study of weather – it is the most complex of sciences because there are so many variables which can not be isolated and studied one by one in a lab.
In all other sciences there is a long period of learning, often a specialising in one small area, then with some luck you can make a difference. By contrast, in Climate Research any old background seems to qualify you to be a Climate Scientist, you don’t even need to have a degree – just be a member of the right kind of organisation. If you are a bona fide scientist of any type you are wholly qualified to be an expert on climate IF you support AGW. [If not – you know what you are – a non-person]
This is what led to the growth of this pseudo-science. In science you have to prove something beyond doubt, in this pseudo-science you can simply make something up and say every one else has to disprove it! Even if they do you can just ignore it [or be incapable of understanding it] and and still claim your ‘truth’.
A lot of these so-called climate scientists strike me as being, at best, second rate. A few come across as being real carpet-biters!
For some reason it puts me in mind of Freud’s psycho-analysis, where after an hour or so of learning the ideas, you could become an ‘expert’.

Interstellar Bill
July 27, 2011 3:46 pm

An ideology is a set of intellectual blinders that protect the wearer’s puerile fantasies from being debunked by reality.
A philosophy is an intellectual system dealing forthrightly with the real world.
Leftism is an ideology, conservatism is a philosophy.
Keynesiasm is an ideology, supply-side economics is a common-sense philosophy.
AGW is a particularly viscious ideology, one of Leftism’s main branches, bought and paid for by huge dollops of tax confiscations from the productive (NOT ‘the rich’). Its truth-blind proponents desparately flail about seeking the next lie in their unending cavalcade of BS.
None of these rent-seeking parasites has ever earned a single one of the multiple billions of dollars they rob from the productive. Their shrill screams resound ever louder, the more they are ignored by the no-longer suckered populace.
Ironically, if the Lefties hadn’t sabotaged this economy they probably wouldn’t have been begrudged the vast sums they seek to steal for their utterly mad schemes to kill prosperity and restore feudalism. Now the very world they have totally bankrupted is, ironically, too broke to heed their insane proposals.

anticlimactic
July 27, 2011 4:00 pm

It is interesting that research on skeptics by a pro–AGW organisation found that we were more intelligent and scientifically literate than the ‘true believers’.
I think their solution was that we should be talked to more slowly and in a clearer voice until we realised the error of our ways and accepted their wisdom and truth! The idea that intelligent scientifically literate people rejecting AGW was significant eluded them, but then, we are the intelligent ones!

u.k.(us)
July 27, 2011 4:45 pm

Excerpt from the Nature article:
“….By contrast, the Heartland Institute and its ilk are not trying to build a theory of anything. They have set the bar much lower, and are happy muddying the waters.”
===============
“Let my name stand among those who are willing to bear ridicule and reproach for the truth’s sake, and so earn some right to rejoice when the victory is won.”
Louisa May Alcott
“The law of unintended consequences is what happens when a simple system tries to regulate a complex system. The political system is simple, it operates with limited information (rational ignorance), short time horizons, low feedback, and poor and misaligned incentives. Society in contrast is a complex, evolving, high-feedback, incentive-driven system. When a simple system tries to regulate a complex system you often get unintended consequences.”
HL Mencken
Let’s slow down and seek the truth.
“consensus”, greed, and scary time horizons be damned.
Is that asking too much?

Roger Knights
July 27, 2011 5:27 pm

Steve Garcia says:
July 27, 2011 at 2:59 pm
And think about it, who would go into climate science? Business types? Engineer types? Ag majors? Economist types? Hardly. Perhaps some portion of Ag, but not so for the rest, IMHO. My stereotype of a climate scientist is a tree hugger, the same type that goes in for forestry and ocean sciences, one who sees himself as a defender of nature. If true (it seems so on the surface, to me, anyway), then their predilection is to accept the idea – as fundamental – that man is injuring nature. So, when they get together, the consensus BEGINS with: Man, the killers of Bambi’s mother.

Hear, hear! here’ something similar I posted here a week ago:
——-
Climate science is a branch of environmentalism, in terms of its recent recruits. It’s not as though there were lots of objective-scientist climatologists sitting around who bought into this scare. Rather, scare-mongers recruited, credentialed, and “placed” followers in influential positions.
Warmism is inculcated in its students’ texts and classrooms, and thereafter in faculty lounges, etc. It’s biased by those things (e.g., it is strongly pro-regulatory & pro-precautionary, and suffers from a messianic delusion and a finger-pointing reflex), and also by the whole fields’ prominence being dependent on there being a credible threat of catastrophe. Then there’s the bandwagon effect, the fashionable fad effect, the academia-nut effect, etc. It’s just advocacy research, dressed up in bafflegab.
Here, free for all, is a word I coined yesterday: Nonsensus!
PS: An analogy is the recruitment and indoctrination process involved in becoming an environmental reporter. Such persons are not neutral reporters. They’re red-hot enviro-loonines, or nearly so.