However, I can safely announce the existence of the paper, since Dr. Mann has already effectively broken the embargo by advertising the existence of the paper on his own website in his curriculum vitae (CV).
You can read his CV here: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/cv/cv.html
The paper is:
Kemp, A.C., Horton, B.P., Donnelly, J.P., Mann, M.E., Vermeer, M., Rahmstorf, S., Climate related sea-level variations over the past two millennia, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. (in press)
By placing this on his website, Dr. Mann appears to have jumped the starting gun a bit, since I can not find any existence of the paper in any of his co-author websites or anywhere else on the web for that matter:
While I can’t say anything about the contents of the paper or the press release, I can tell you that very little has changed in the pursuit of the hockey stick.
I’ll have the full report tomorrow when the PNAS embargo is lifted at 1500EST.
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It’s a sad indictment of “climate science” that we know that this will be a load of garbage before we even read it.
R. Shearer says:
“I can’t be certain. Was Mann in Vancouver on Thursday night?”
Nah, protesting and causing a disturbance seems more up James Hansen’s alley.
Jimmy Haigh says: June 19, 2011 at 8:20 pm It’s a sad indictment of “climate science” that we know that this will be a load of garbage before we even read it.
Jimmy, don’t you think that this statement is non-scientific and uncomfortably like statements we hear against us?
I understand passion, but it does not have to be on a science blog in so bare a form, does it? To be fair, we don’t “know” that at all.
Maurice J>
I don’t mean to be offensive, but I assume you don’t realise that formatting your post like that – particularly the CAPS – makes it look like the work of a loony. I thought someone should tell you.
I trust using a kiwi based image in your post in no way associates us in a positive way with Mann 🙂
What the h!%@l??
People play hockey underwater????
Let me guess, we are all going to drown very soon according to the models, even though there has been a levelling off and slight decline in sea levels. Very soon the seas will start to rise again but much much faster than previously thought according to the models. Unless we destroy our industrial Western economies and borrow more trillions and lavish more money on certain ‘scientists’ of course, in which the models predict all will be well and we will all be happy and gay and the world will join hands and be one, according to the models which are never wrong and must not be questioned. In the world of Mann made global warming, the future can be divined not by visiting the Delphic priests and giving them gifts of gold, but by accessing the new oracles of models by way of the new priesthood of climate scientists. Nothing much changes does it? New oracle different priests, same fiscal incentives with the same outcome, you gets what you pays for.
Repent sinners or doom will befall you, BTW please supply more money or doom will befall you soon.
[snip]
I can’t help but remember Berkeley professor Richard A. Muller’s words, “Quite frankly, as a scientist, I now have a list of people who’s papers I won’t read any more.”
His words on the “Hide The Decline” deception are very strong.
As Mann has already been ridiculed about his Hockey Stick GW/CC/GWD/AGW nonsense, does he really expect even dumb non scientists to believe his latest manipulation of data? How conceited can he get? Also who are the idiots prepared to fund grants for this kind of charade?
isn’t breaking one’s own embargo akin to self-plagiarism? Where’s a DeepClimate when one is needed?
Have also posted at ClimateAudit..
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2011/s3248165.htm
regards
Looking at the latest global temperature charts, I think we need an inverted hockey stick graph.
Imagine If the biologists would be dissing Darwin, that would be similar to what is happening i the field of sea level studies.
Same strict review process as Lindzen’s paper I presume….
When does he release the data and code, Anthony?
Today?
Soon?
A real cynic might wonder whether the recent inept attempts by the Rocky Mountains Sea Level Centre to pull the wool over our collective eyes has any connection with the publication of this paper?
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/06/17/research-center-under-fire-for-adjusted-sea-level-data/
Surely not. Pure coincidence.
They really must think that we are all a bunch of morons.
NikFromNYC says:
June 19, 2011 at 6:41 pm
Thanks for all those links and research. Very interesting.
nevket240 says:
June 19, 2011 at 11:04 pm
Have also posted at ClimateAudit..
http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2011/s3248165.htm
They really are full of their own BS, aren’t they?
Nevket240 – nice graph on the link. But it made me think – that is a very linear trend since the seventies. But coal/oil/gas burning has been increasing at a very non-linear rate. Why?
In reply to Geoff Sherrington at: June 19, 2011 at 9:09 pm
I’d be willing to bet I’m right going on Mann’s past record…
In the web site for his CV, he can’t even spell pseudo correctly.
Heh. It’s listed in Significant publications by Martin Vermeer (pdf), which is dated May 9, 2011 both on the first page and in the file’s “Properties.” So apparently that much of the “embargo” was broken over a month ago, although to be fair I have no way of knowing exactly when that version of the list was posted on the web so it could have been after Mann announced it. (The Wayback Machine has no instances of the document nor Vermeer’s home page.)
On the bright side, on his home page I did find this delightful cartoon which shows a refreshing viewpoint that “the opposition” should adopt. Would it really be that bad if they used it for a starting point in their research?
Prof. Richard A. Muller’s quote is more likely to be:
“Quite frankly, as a scientist, I now have a list of people whose papers I wouldn’t read any more.”
Although there are many other versions!
I guess tree ring data show an unprecedented sea level rise for the last 3 decades.