We had to nuke the planet to save it from global warming

Eric Nielsen writes to me via Facebook:

I find it disturbing the National Geographic would suggest something like this

Well, um, yeah. This sort of thing is why I don’t subscribe to National Geographic anymore. Could there ever be a dumber headline related to global warming?

Click for article

Here’s an excerpt, your tax dollars at work:

To see what climate effects such a regional nuclear conflict might have, scientists from NASA and other institutions modeled a war involving a hundred Hiroshima-level bombs, each packing the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT—just 0.03 percent of the world’s current nuclear arsenal.

After ten years, average global temperatures would still be 0.9 degree F (0.5 degree C) lower than before the nuclear war, the models predict.

Years Without Summer

For a time Earth would likely be a colder, hungrier planet.

“Our results suggest that agriculture could be severely impacted, especially in areas that are susceptible to late-spring and early-fall frosts,” said Oman, of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.

The full article is here.

While basic research might be useful, the whole nuclear winter scenario proposed by Carl Sagan has long been accepted, so I really don’t see the point of doing another study on the effects of nuclear war, especially in the context of global warming. It’s rather obvious science.

I wonder how much taxpayer money was wasted on this?

For those of you unfamiliar with my headline spoof:

One of the most famous quotes of the Vietnam War was a statement attributed to an unnamed U.S. officer by AP correspondent Peter Arnett. Writing about the provincial capital, Bến Tre, on February 7, 1968, Arnett said: “‘It became necessary to destroy the town to save it,’ a United States major said today.

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B%E1%BA%BFn_Tre

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stupidboy
February 26, 2011 2:10 pm

So the Nat Geo thinks setting off 100 Little Boys could solve AGW. It takes talent to be so daft. Perhaps they should conduct an experiment with just one Little Boy.
I would suggest Durban, South Africa, sometime between November 28 to December 9, 2011. The 17th Conference of the Pillocks would have a fireworks display second to none and they would solve the AGW debate once and for all.

George Turner
February 26, 2011 2:12 pm

I find it irritating that they’re basing this on computer simulations when we have so many nuclear weapons sitting idle.

February 26, 2011 2:13 pm

For some reason I am reminded of the comment attributed by the Roman historian Tacitus to the Caledonian chieftain Calgacus at the time of Agricola’s campaign in AD 83 that led to the Battle of Mons Graupius.
“they make a desert and call it peace”.
There are two planets in the solar system, Venus and Mars, which could conceivably be suitable for terra-forming experiments. Venus is too hot and Mars is too cold. I suggest that all global cooling technologies be first tested on Venus and similarly that Mars be used to demonstrate that global warming is the outcome of adding novel green house gases to a planetary atmosphere.
At the very least adopting these proposals would produce a worthwhile scientific and technological challenge for the space industry with the prize of demonstrating that humanity really can adjust the environmental conditions of a whole planet at will.

Mark Petersen
February 26, 2011 2:20 pm

There were roughly 1000 above ground nuclear tests, 10 times the number of explosions mentioned in this “study”.
The other main factor is the amount of smoke that can be created after a atomic blast. However empiric data does not support the high estimates, as Hiroshima and Nagasaki did notcreate significantly more smoke than conventionally bombed cities, and bombed cities do not smoke as much as these models assume. The whole nuclear winter scenario is a publicity stunt about making a terrible thing sound even worse.
Even if it were a realistic mechanism, putting it into context with global warming is simply disgusting!

Curiousgeorge
February 26, 2011 2:24 pm

Squidly says:
February 26, 2011 at 12:45 pm

And just think, the nuclear weapons of today are MUCH more powerful.

Actually no, they are not. Smaller in size and weight, but more efficient. Yield is much lower for the majority of special weapons due to more precise targeting capability, etc. City busters (5mt and up ) are obsolete and no longer in inventory. You won’t find anything in any countries inventory greater than about 1.5mt. Ref. http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/systems/nuclear.htm

INGSOC
February 26, 2011 2:30 pm

I have always advocated that each household should have at least one tactical thermonuclear device at their disposal. Something along the lines of a 15 to 20 kilo-banana yield ground burst weapon for home defence would suffice. Maybe just one bomb per neighbourhood would be enough, but then the deterrent would likely need to be in the mega-banana range to be effective.
Seriously though, if the Notional Geopornographic is advocating thermonuclear climate change, does that mean they now support nuclear power generation? Where else would they get the fissile material for the bombs? Oh, I forgot. They could buy it from the Iranians. Silly me.

Curiousgeorge
February 26, 2011 2:31 pm

Rational Debate says:
February 26, 2011 at 1:42 pm
Does anyone happen to know what causes the difference between the nuclear test photos where the ‘stem’ of the mushroom cloud has those fabulous smooth geometric cones and so on, versus the far more commonly seen rough stems? Shutter speed?? Or ??
Among other things (altitude of detonation, ground reflection, etc. ), it has to do with the design of the weapon. Thermonuclear ( so-called “H” bomb )will generally have a thick stem, Hiroshima type atomic will have a thin stem.
Btw, you might be surprised at how close you can be to a nuke blast and survive.

INGSOC
February 26, 2011 2:34 pm

Here is some scenes from the next greenpeace commercial.

It only needs a voice over from James Cameron.

rbateman
February 26, 2011 2:35 pm

Nuke says:
February 26, 2011 at 12:12 pm
Yes, and the Civil Defense shelters of the 60’s.
We were so relieved to see the Berlin Wall come down and the Soviet Empire collapse.
That didn’t last long, as along comes a hypothestical offshoot that now seeks to save the Planet by fire-roasting in the madness.

Holbrook
February 26, 2011 2:38 pm

Worrying but at the same time it shows how desperate the AGW’s are….the climate has not developed how they predicted and they are running out of ideas.
Whatever next?

rbateman
February 26, 2011 2:44 pm

Just a little bitty Nukular war is ok.
By that thinking (modeled by computer, of course) an excuse to use WMD’s is gilded by those seized with a madness.
They never thought one second about the unintended consequences…. uninhabitable land, escalation, etc.

dave38
February 26, 2011 2:44 pm

James Mayeau says:
February 26, 2011 at 1:56 pm
I could cure global warming and it would only take two bombs. One for GISS and the other for Berkeley.
Four bombs actually you forgot the UK met office and UEA

wfrumkin
February 26, 2011 2:46 pm

No pressure 😮

Predicador
February 26, 2011 2:46 pm

Ralph says:
February 26, 2011 at 11:41 am
Its called eschatology, a desire for the end of the world.
A number of religions preach eschatology, including the more fundamentalist sides of Christianity and Islam. Now we have the Church of Global Warming jumping on the eschatological bandwagon too. Does AGW preach an afterlife and a second coming too?

A rise in eschatological tendencies is usually followed by a split of the church, like “the end is nigh” of 1000 – x was followed by the schism of 1054. What should we expect from the CAGW church?

February 26, 2011 2:48 pm

George Turner says: February 26, 2011 at 2:12 pm
I find it irritating that they’re basing this on computer simulations when we have so many nuclear weapons sitting idle.

Patience, but keep your thermometer calibrated and ready.
The way the Administration’s foreign policy initiatives are going in the Middle East, we may have a small scale experiment running before we know it.

February 26, 2011 2:51 pm

Ah I just happened to be reading this earlier, 3.2.2:
http://www.scribd.com/doc/42064820/Global-Electrical-Atmospheric

Berényi Péter
February 26, 2011 2:52 pm

Nothing new with editorial policy there.
Despite Mutations, Chernobyl Wildlife Is Thriving
Kate Ravilious
for National Geographic News
April 26, 2006
“One of the great ironies of this particular tragedy is that many animals are doing considerably better than when the humans were there” [Tim Mousseau from the University of South Carolina (USC) in Columbia says]
We need lots of badly designed nuclear plants with no built in safety whatsoever. This is a cost effective way to get rid of nasty humans.

CRS, Dr.P.H.
February 26, 2011 2:53 pm

From the article:
“Today, with the United States the only standing superpower, nuclear winter is little more than a nightmare. But nuclear war remains a very real threat—for instance, between developing-world nuclear powers, such as India and Pakistan.”
OK, then, that takes care of the India-as-a-major-GHG-emitter problem!!
Well done, NASA!! Who needs Kyoto?
Congress, you may cut the NASA budget anytime you wish.

Dr. Lurtz
February 26, 2011 2:54 pm

Too many people, too many nuclear bombs, too much CO2 —
Its a good thing we have Nat. Geo. to suggest a solution!!

ShrNfr
February 26, 2011 2:56 pm

Turner Do you really want these wackos to go on a fission expedition?

James Sexton
February 26, 2011 3:01 pm

I’m getting so tired of this stuff. We get bogged down with arguing about temps and stuff, where is the proof that warming is bad?

D. Patterson
February 26, 2011 3:19 pm

Wayne Delbeke says:
February 26, 2011 at 12:46 pm
[….]
Amazing article for those of us who were taught the useless “duck and cover” routine in school.

The “duck and cover” safety precaution is another casualty of the Leftist black propaganda campaign. Today, most people have been indoctrinated by Leftist propaganda in the media to associate “duck and cover” solely with a futile attempt to avoid injury in the event of a nuclear attack. As consequence of this Leftist propaganda, we have recent generations of people who think it is just fine to stand around and crane their necks around to see what is going on around them like a herd of deer caught in the headlights while a catastrophe is taking place. As a consequence of such bravado and ignorance, there are many people who are and will be totally unnecessary casualties in catastrophes which have nothing whatsoever to do with a nuclear attack.
The “duck and cover”safety precaution was being taught in industry safety training and military training long before nuclear weapons were invented. The purpose of the “duck and cover” safety precaution was to protect people from flash burns, shrapnel, blast debris, and other high velocity debris during natural gas explosions, other detonations of explosives during structural fires, earthquakes, hurricanes, and tornadoes. Standing in front of a glass window when it is shattered by a pressure wave or standing above a barrier where an explosion can inflict a deadly flash burn is a great way of being killed or very painfully injured, and it can be easily prevented by a reflexive “duck and cover” precaution.
In their zeal to maneuver public opinion against the budgets of the Western military establishments and their nuclear weapons armaments, the Soviet and Leftist political propaganda targeted the Western civil defense programs to create a feeling of hopelessness and helplessness. The “duck and cover” safety precaution extended to the civil defense training for preparedness in the event of a nuclear attack became a focus point for the propaganda. The effectiveness of the propaganda can be seen in these comments where people uncritically accept the false notion that “duck and cover” is a “useless” safety precaution.

Stephen Brown
February 26, 2011 3:21 pm

Atomic explosions from the first through to 1998, by country and by magnitude:-
http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2010-07/6/japanese-artist-nuclear-weapons
Turn on the sound, view in full-screen mode. Keep an eye on the numbers!
Does anyone have any sort of idea what this has done to us and this planet?
And we are worried about the contained waste from nuclear plants?

Carlo
February 26, 2011 3:26 pm

Beam me up, Scotty this planet is dangerous.

Editor
February 26, 2011 3:33 pm

Nuclear winter was discredited, then it was disproven by the Kuwaiti oil fires after the first Bush’s war. People who won’t let go say you need bigger fires to get smoke and soot into the stratosphere.
It would seem to me unlikely as bad as an explosive volcanic eruption that injects sulfuric acid aerosols into the stratosphere – they settle out in only a year or so. Dust, smoke, and ash would likely wash out of the troposphere before reaching the stratosphere, and I doubt much would make it into the stratosphere, and what did would settle out quickly.
Various references found instead of starting dinner:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2006/08/climate_of_fear_from_nuclear_w.html
Climate of Fear: From Nuclear Winter to Global Warming
http://www.secretprojects.co.uk/forum/index.php?topic=8882.0 says

Quote from: Stuart Slade
Bunk is a pretty fair description.
The “nuclear winter” theory was predicated on a series of hypothetical models that had been constructed by a group of “concerned scientists” led by Carl Sagan who constructed a computerized model of earth, cranked in a series of hypothetical statistics on the effects of nuclear weapons and then claimed that the results from that model constituted “facts”.
There were a number of serious problems with this process.
One of them was that, when the hypothetical effects of nuclear initiations were cranked into other models of earth, they didn’t produce the results Sagan had reported.
In fact, the results reported by Sagan’s group were only achieved when his particular model of the earth was used. This was a remarkable thing so people looked at Sagan’s model to see how it differed from the rest. The answer turned out to be quite simple. The model Sagan had shown to the world press to “prove” the danger of “nuclear winter,” depicted the earth as being a barren ball of rock with no mountains and no oceans. Oceans, as Sagan well knew, act as gigantic energy flywheels that moderate temperature, helping cool adjacent continents in summer and warm them in winter.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_winter says:

1983
In 1982, the so-called TTAPS team (R.P. Turco, O.B. Toon, T.P. Ackerman, J.B. Pollack and C.E. Sagan) undertook a computational modeling study of the atmospheric consequences of nuclear war, publishing their results in Science in December 1983.[27] The phrase “nuclear winter” was coined by Turco just prior to publication.[28] In this early work, TTAPS carried out the first estimates of the total smoke and dust emissions that would result from a major nuclear exchange, and determined quantitatively the subsequent effects on the atmospheric radiation balance and temperature structure. To compute dust and smoke impacts, they employed a one-dimensional microphysics/radiative-transfer model of the Earth’s lower atmosphere (to the mesopause), which defined only the vertical characteristics of the global climate perturbation.
Around this time, interest in nuclear war environmental effects also arose in the USSR. After becoming aware of the work of the Swedish Academy and, in particular, papers by N.P.Bochkov and E.I.Chazov,[29] Russian atmospheric scientist Georgy Golitsyn applied his research on dust-storms to the situation following a nuclear catastrophe.[30] His suggestion that the atmosphere would be heated and that the surface of the planet would cool appeared in The Herald of the Academy of Sciences in September 1983.[31] Upon learning of the TTAPS scenarios, Vladimir Alexandrov and G. I. Stenchikov soon published a report on the climatic consequences of nuclear war based on simulations with a two-level global circulation model, which produced results consistent with the TTAPS findings.[32]