Breaking news! December can still be cold and snowy over parts of the Northern Hemisphere. Don’t look to the American media for much information about European weather; it’s about as foreign as driving on the wrong side of the road. But, in Britain, Italy, and the rest of Europe, the past several weeks have seen “the Arctic refrigerator door” swing wide-open. Here are some example headlines:
Arctic freeze to last another month as AA warns of ‘worst driving conditions imaginable’ for Christmas getaways: Mail Online: “With temperatures expected to fall to -15c (5f), the Met Office said this is ‘almost certain’ to become the coldest December since records began in 1910.”
Europe travel mayhem as arctic freeze strikes again: AFP: “In Italy, rare snowfall disrupted the tourist destinations of Pisa and Florence, forced both airports to close and severely disrupted traffic and the region’s rail network.”
Thankfully, Dr. James Hansen has this figured out: Europe is one-half Rossby wavelength downstream from a partially frozen Hudson Bay, which causes Europe to become colder, or something: from NASA’s government funded blog:
Back to the cold air in Europe: is it possible that reduced Arctic sea ice is affecting weather patterns? Because Hudson Bay (and Baffin Bay, west of Greenland) are at significantly lower latitudes than most of the Arctic Ocean, global warming may cause them to remain ice free into early winter after the Arctic Ocean has become frozen insulating the atmosphere from the ocean. The fixed location of the Hudson-Baffin heat source could plausibly affect weather patterns, in a deterministic way — Europe being half a Rossby wavelength downstream, thus producing a cold European anomaly in the trans-Atlantic seesaw. Several ideas about possible effects of the loss of Arctic sea ice on weather patterns are discussed in papers referenced by Overland, Wang and Walsh.
However, we note in our Reviews of Geophysics paper that the few years just prior to 2009-2010, with low Arctic sea ice, did not produce cold winters in Europe. The cold winter of 2009-2010 was associated with the most extreme Arctic Oscillation in the period of record. Figure 3, from our paper, shows that 7 of the last 10 European winters were warmer than the 1951-1980 average winter, and 10 of the past 10 summers were warmer than climatology. The average warming of European winters is at least as large as the average warming of summers, but it is less noticeable because of the much greater variability in winter.
This is the trap that statistical/data manipulators like Hansen have fallen into: in the past, they would freely say: “of course you cannot attribute one weather event to global warming, but the likelihood of that event has become higher because it’s the extremes that are going to increase the most”, or something like that. Now, there is no pretense to equivocate about what the atmosphere is doing: weather has become climate, and necessarily so for the continued narrative of global warming alarmism. The trap is that they do not understand the underlying meteorology or climatology from basic dynamics — instead giving hand-wavy explanations with some citations thrown in from their colleagues.
To adequately attribute an ongoing weather/short-term climate event to AGW, considerable data analysis and time must be invested into researching many different avenues. It is a disservice to those interested in climate variability for senior scientists to supply hand-wavy, reflexive out-of-their-behinds explanations to the media to further their obvious political agenda. This actually goes for both sides of the climate aisle.
In the meantime, Europe continues to enjoy the effects of global warming or the Arctic Oscillation or the North Atlantic Oscillation, or something. It’s hubris and arrogance to think you have the Winter of 2010-2011 all summed up before it even starts.
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Check out DMI. It’s only slightly above average for 80th parallel and above. So much for all that warm air rushing into the Arctic.
From Joe Bastardi:
FRIDAY MIDDAY:
FOOD FOR THOUGHT FROM MY COLUMN ON THE PRO SITE:
A reminder, you can sign up for free 30-day trials of this site, which I blog on in a much more extensive manner. I thought I would share this excerpt with you, reflections on the global nature of the cold…
“…The point is it takes a heck of a lot to have what we have had. One thing that was not present, though, was the Euro cold in those years to the degree we have it now. London is over 8 below normal, and will finish at over 6 below normal for December, as the coming week will take temperatures down so the rally at the end will only bring it to -6. Last year, London was -2.4, ’05 was -.8, ’00 was PLUS 2, and 1995 was -3.4.
Using a population-weighted approximation finds the high likelihood that the combination of the eastern U.S. and northwestern European major population areas of the world and energy consumers are having their coldest start to winter since 1989, which of course was heavily U.S. weighted.
So it’s not local, especially when one considers what is going into the Far East and world’s most populated nation, China. Whether low solar or volcanic activity have anything to do with it is debatable, but what is not debatable is that CO2 has nothing to do with it, since the argument four years ago was that these were not going to happen anymore (recall the Academy Award Winning Al Gore movie saying that, along with the hurricane idea), and yet now that both turn the other way, many of the people on that side of the argument are claiming it’s because of the very argument that they used to say it would not happen. They now have cloaked it under climate change, or disruption, which gives them carte blanche to claim anything as right.
Deception in the first degree, as we see the chill caused by the lack of degrees in the temperatures.
So why would one trust people that are doing this, to the temperature adjustments they are making to claim it’s still warming?
I have seen this behavior before… on playgrounds from bullies. It’s strange, but a lot of the high-powered intellectual types, if you go back through their records, were not exactly the leaders of the pack in their high school and college athletic careers. It makes one wonder, and a smart, young psychology major that wants a PhD dissertation should do this, if the lion’s share of the people who are academically and scientifically trying to use bully tactics to push this down peoples’ throats were the victims of physical bullying at a younger age themselves, or at the least, are making up for some lack of physical accomplishment at a younger age with this… sort of like the movie “Revenge of the Nerds.” I was not in any way, shape, or form and alpha male type on the playground; in fact, the wrestling through college and continuing training I do now is to make up for that lack of physical prowess with a physical challenge… and then apply the work ethic needed to overcome that to what I do have a talent in. However, one does not say, well now I can lord a power I may have over those that don’t. And while I may be guilty of over analysis, some of this just seems like a grab for power from a group that may have had the lack of it in younger days.
But again, this little bit of insight may all be nonsense. I do think that if a young psychology major went down the line and perhaps looked at high school and college athletic backgrounds, of who stands where, they may have an interesting dissertation on seeing that people that competed at higher levels physically, where they had to deal with harsh realities of overcoming physical challenges and the work needed to get results there, have a very different viewpoint on this issue now. Again, as one who sees it from both sides, this agw agenda has a bully mentality to me, something that I saw on playgrounds as a kid.”
You know inside of all of us is a desire to be something bigger than what we know as a given. It’s called reaching beyond one’s grasp. It’s just that you don’t step on someone and trample their chances. When you do, for instance, the economic hardship that can be caused by limiting energy will trample dreams in other places. Imagine if Africa, for instance, had more air conditioning… how much better off people would be? Why shouldn’t they have a chance to advance to levels of comfort that would make things easier to continue to grow? A bully wants to stop those from having what he or she has, and you see it all the time on the playgrounds. It’s interesting to note, that the very system that has allowed these people to progress to levels where they wield the power that they do, funded all these studies, led to all these think tanks, taxed people to be able to allow governments to give them their grants, is the one that they will paralyze by their stance. And by doing so, will eliminate the chance that if there is another, simpler answer, it will come out in time. Very interesting, just like the bully on the playground, once in possession of the ball, not willing to share it. And if he is allowed to do so, the bully will continue to be a bully.
I may have just handed someone a PhD dissertation idea… Merry Christmas!
Ciao for now.
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp?partner=accuweather
James Sexton says:
December 17, 2010 at 7:19 pm “I think its a bit of a stretch and not worth bothering about. When speaking of ice ages and Holocene or any other comparable period, I think it important to keep time in proper perspective. I’m more concerned about seeing the temps of the 60s and 70s return than I am about the glaciation of present day Russia and Canada. The way I see it, trends are over played. If one looks for a trend, they should look for a trend of cycles, not linear trends. A circle of circles, if you will. Sine waves are fun, but they always leave me wanting. Sorry, but you asked for comments. 🙂
No problem, there is current time and then there is geologic time. It has not snowed in Miami or on Grand Bahama since the 70’s. Maybe it will again in the next 20-30 years. I would like to purchase ocean front property on the edge of Great Bahama Bank before it is too developed.
William December 17, 2010 at 7:49 pm
Thanks, no doubt about glacials ending abruptly. However, it is their initiation which remains poorly understood. Isotope records, both ice and sediment, indicate rapid change from glacial to interglacial events. However, what is known of the change from interglacial to glacial? What combination of geographical and environmental conditions lead to and allowed for the development of glacial events? A period of extended negative Arctic Oscillation would appear to hold promise.
Regards.
I for one think the Europeans need to suck it up and get with the program. It is called winter and during the winter it gets cold. You know, water freezes and it snows instead of rains and you need to put on a coat and mittens. Your ancestors knew all about it. Has anyone been to an art museum lately. My advice, come to Alberta in January and visit Edmonton for a week or two. Learn what winter is all about, stop your wining and learn to enjoy life. We can teach you have to drive in the snow and keep your roads clear in the process.
MDJackson says:
December 17, 2010 at 8:09 pm
Okay, I’m still trying to parse what Hansen said. Maybe I’m particularly dim (I studied English Literature in University, though most of my friends were in the sciences) but I just can’t make any sense of it. I think I understand what a Rosby Wavelength is but the “Trans-atlantic Seasaw”? Did he just make that up?
Does anyone understand what he’s trying to say?
======================================================
Sort of, he’s doing his usual double talk dance. (I really think the 6 week PhD is something many have done. I’m gonna buy into the next time it comes across my e-mail.)
See-saw, or teeter-toter, if you will. I don’t know if he just made it up or not, but in many cases, one can see a warm-here, cool-there action. This is a product of a sine wave that is prevalent around the world. I’ve never attached a name to it, nor do I know what its properly called. However, it would be incredulous of me to believe Jim and I are the only ones to observe this. It is always there, but it always moves in two(maybe 3?) dimensions. The waves stretch and/or deepen, only to return. The movements are random to me, but probably not to others.
Jeremy says: Pravda?
I think this fine fellow (Baghdad Ali) is a good comparison:
http://www.welovetheiraqiinformationminister.com/
Peter S says: posts of local weather?
I just checked the nearest forecast and local station. That is Ellensburg, WA, USA. The forecast from about 5PM is for a nighttime low of -5° C. It is now 10PM and it is -7° C. I think they are expecting clouds but so far they have not arrived. Temperature is still dropping.
MDJackson says: Does anyone understand what he’s trying to say?
No. That is what Ryan must have been thinking as he wrote : It is a disservice to those interested in climate variability for senior scientists to supply hand-wavy, reflexive out-of-their-behinds explanations . . .
evanmjones says:
December 17, 2010 at 8:41 pm
Check out DMI.
You have a link?
[REPLY – Just go to Reference Pages/Sea Ice on the top line of this blog. It’s one of the graphs. It’s a permanent feature; you can check it out anytime. ~ Evan]
I wrote to my MP in October about the uselessness of wind turbines and the dodgy science underpinning their introduction. More recently I pointed out to him that there are no votes to be had from power cuts in bitterly cold weather. There has been no response: all rather disturbing as he allegedly studied mathematics at University and should therefore be able to recognise climatologists’ statistical sleight of hand. I am afraid that our curent crop of MPs have no more scientific nouse than the previous lot. Perhaps being buried under a foot of snow will bring about their enlightenment.
Just an update;
Below are some of my latest thoughts on what is driving the weather and climate.
All of the universe affects the rest of it, it all sits in a bowl of gravitational and magnetically driven mass of ions and regular atoms, that respond to the basic physics detailing the “normal rules or laws”. To think that there are voltages or ions that move with out magnetic fields attached violates first principals. The magnetically permeable inductive components of planetary bodies are susceptible to Ohms laws, and power equations apply to the full spectrum of from DC to most energetic particle seen.
So we should be able to figure forces at work when planets have synod conjunctions, by determining the shifts of flux of the magnetic fields, with the shifting density and speed of the solar wind. When the Ulysses satellite was on polar orbit of the sun “they were amazed that the patterns usually seen in the solar wind were still there, but also much stronger than they expected by several orders of magnitude.” To me this means that the main crux of magnetic connections between the planets is in the normal distribution of concentrations at the poles/apexes of lab magnets and the large sweeping fields are weakest along the circumference, neutral current sheet, or equatorial regions, and also not only flowing with the neutral sheet of the solar wind but focus concentrations down onto the poles of the planets, as evidenced by the polar Auroral displays from the much larger loops further off of the ecliptic plane.
The galactic magnet fields are also influenced by basic rules of action as well, which leads me to the conclusion that the interactions of the composite system from the rotation of the Galaxy, and the declinational movement of the solar system in that larger frame of reference, as well as the density waves that propagate around driving the spiral arm flux variances give rise to the longer cyclic term climatology of the Earth. Some have been found, other underlying cycles that as yet we do not have their specific drivers identified. (back to this point later)
The heliopause seems to have auroral knotted bands (recently spotted ribbons of ion activity) on its leading side as it progresses through the interstellar gases and dust clouds, the solar system passes through in its travels. I think that this is due to the conductance of the galactic fields into or through the heliopause, coupling through the polar regions of the sun and planets, at near equilibrium, or the balance felt as steering currents in the slow transition of the orbital slowing and swaying of the solar system as it winds its way through the gravitational and radiation gauntlet, shoved around ever so slowly by the rest of the individual stars.
So then as a result the makeup of the planetary interaction periods have become some what stable, and have formed harmonic coupled interactions between themselves, and the non-random long term slower periods. Not much is said about the tilt of the magnetic poles, of most of the planets and the sun from their spin axes. I think even this has something to add about long term climate effects. In the common hospital use of MRI scanners, the magnetic induction pulses are used to flip atomic spin axes in line with the dense fields momentarily formed with pulse current on, and watching the return to ambient spin axes when current goes off. (back to this point later) If people have learned to control the effects would not they also occur in nature if they are so predictable? If you apply the calculations with the right power increase needed to satisfy the balance of the equation, the same effects should occur with reference to stars and planets.
If all of the planets and the sun are running along, in near balance with changes in outlying fluxes upon the solar system, disruptions in the periodic patterns should be minimal, with much greater stability being found in the harmonic patterns in the interactions between the planets of the solar system, as a result milder climate with less wild extremes would dominate at times of stability.
Currently the magnetic poles of the sun are running ~12 degrees off of its vertical axes of rotation, with a period of rotation of 27.32 days, as a result the Earth and Moon themselves move above and below the ecliptic plane alternately, while the system barycenter scribes a smooth ellipse responding to the gravitational and tidal tugs of the outer planets as we pass them almost every 12 months plus a few days. The resultant periodic 27.32 day flux of the polarity of the solar wind as it passes the Earth creates and drives the declinational swings North and South in the two bodies, as a giant pulsed oscillator circuit, dampened by the tidal drag of the fluidity of the various parts of the Earth, small solid core, outer liquid core, fluid mantel, and fragmented floating crust, that is itself creeping along tectonically in response to the dance of the combination of the additions of the other planetary tidal, gravitational, and electromagnetic induction fluxes that keep the inner fluids warm.
The further off of vertical, and/or the stronger the total magnetic flux of the sun’s magnetic poles, the more energy available to be driven into the lunar declinational cycle balanced by the tidal dampening into the Earth, hence the greater the solar magnetic impulse input the greater the resultant tectonic turmoil, the more extreme the weather and climate. The weaker the magnetic fields of the sun relative to the near DC fields of the galactic background levels, and the more vertical the magnetic fields of the sun the less energy gets driven into the lunar declinational movement and resultant tidal dampening energy into the Earth.
As the spin axes and magnetic axes of the sun approach straight on alignment, the whole declinational drive component of the Moon orbital dynamic decreases, to maybe as little as a degrees either side of the ecliptic plane, changing to a more synergistic combination of the solar and lunar tidal effects at an angle of 23.5 +/_.5 referenced to the equator, keeping the atmospheric global circulation in the kind of high turbulence blocking pattern, sort of weather we have been having the past two years and the next two as well. When continued past the normal length of time (about 3 years on the down and up side) in the 18.6 year variation of the mechanism of transport of equatorial heat towards the poles, stalled in the most active section of atmospheric lunar tidal effects, coupled in sync to the solar tides as well, the long term trend then becomes a constant la nina, and an ice age sets in.
Just as in MRI scanning the initial pulsed spin flip is nearly instantaneous, and does not seem to affect the covalent bonds the atoms are part of, so maybe the solar magnetic orientation to polar axes of rotation, flip is hardly noticeable over 100 years or less, just as the wandering of the Earth’s magnetic field pole positions are hardly noticed by the public. The ongoing dampening of the tidal movement of the lunar declinational extent at culmination would regulate the dropping rate due to actual amount of tidal dampening load transferred to the Earth. As the declination off of the ecliptic plane drive energy lessens and becomes slowly coupled out by tidal inter action, and the Lunar orbital diameter expanded to compensate slightly. This would explain the rapid onset of ice ages, and then the re-flip to off axes solar magnetic polar alignment, renew the declinational driver system again and cause the pulsation type exit usually seen from ice ages.
The short term inter ice age, realistic application of these ideas is in the much more recent history (due to short instrument records) of the past three to five maybe (Ulric Lyons says 10 cycles works best because it = the 178.8 year Landschmidt(sp) cycle period.) Can be assembled in composite maps that use the 6558 day period of 240 declinational periods that shows analog synchronization of the inner planet harmonic effects on the weather, from just the past three cycles as seen on the daily maps here.
http://www.aerology.com/national.aspx
The problem left is that the outer planet have a set of harmonics of their own that induce the 178.8 years envelope on the 18.6 year mn cycle pattern that have in turn a finer 27.32 day oscillation imposed, so the complete long period of compounded modulation is as Ulric Lyons suggests 178.8 years long as Landschimdt (sp) was on about with the effects of the outer planetary returns driving the solar sunspot cycles due to SS Barycenter displacement due to Uranus Neptune synod conjunctions. The available data base gets extremely thin out 178.8 year ago. Due to data limitations, I have so far stayed with just the last three cycles of 6558 days or ~18.3 years.
On April 20th of 1993 we had the most recent synod conjunction of Neptune and Uranus, which the Earth passed on July 12th of 1993, presenting as an epic precipitation surge globally with heavy rains through the summer and massive flooding of several river system around the world. It is my contention that the increase in magnetic couplings through the polar magnetic field connections induces a homopolar generator charge increase at these times and a quick global discharge just after synod conjunction. The results of these increases in pole to equator charge increases drives positive ions off of the sea surface along the ITCZ, where by mutual static repulsion of the condensation nuclei inhibits cloud formation and precipitation, and at the same time allows more SW radiation to reach the tropical sea and land surfaces promoting rapid warming driving ENSO extremes, with the rapid precipitation that results on the global discharge side, post synod conjunction, also leaving clearer skies for additional warming after the flooding subsides.
The lunar declination phase of the 18.6 year mn cycle was in an increasing through 23.5 degree culmination angle at the same time, being in phase with the temperature increases. By early 2005 the declinational angle at culminations was at its peak extreme, and the distance between Uranus and Neptune was separating again to about 29 days apart August 8th of 2005 for synod of Earth and Neptune and September 1st of 2005 for synod conjunction of Earth and Uranus. The Southeast gulf coast was ravaged by Katrina and Rita as a direct result of these influences. Combining with the 27.32 day period lunar declinational tides culminations they rode in on, to produce the storm intensity that resulted.
As the outer planets Neptune and Uranus continued to separate and the declinational angle shifted past peak angle at culmination the resultant peak warming period shifted further into the late Summer and now is in the Fall in 2010. The reason I think the last season 2010 was so active but not as powerful in ACE production as 2005 was due to the addition of Jupiter in Synod conjunction on April 3rd in 2005 kicking things off, and on the 21st of September 2010 with Uranus on the same day, creating a late fast finish in 2010. But having a half hearted start of a season in 2010 as a result of the difference.
Over all the whole period of the close Neptune and Uranus synods in the mid to late summer allowed the extra clearing of clouds and resultant heating the last 15 years of the SST and ENSO intensity periods, CO2 just was in the air along for the ride. This is all part of the 60 year patterns in the weather cycles, and can be explained as such. Now that the outer planet synod conjunctions of the Earth with Neptune and Uranus are moving into the fall and early winter, we can expect them to produce the increased snowfall events and cold polar blasts being seen in both hemispheres.
With the investigation of these methods of predicting the extreme effects of the weather patterns they produce, long range forecasts for both weather and climate will become possible. I am betting my life saving and the rest of the creative efforts of my life time on it.
^ This new stuff I have been keeping to myself mostly, the rest of the inner planet and lunar interactions is posted to my research blog side of the http://www.aerology.com site.
Just a coffee induced ramble here pick at it some just a compressed un referenced set of thoughts I’ve had lately.
Richard Holle, still expanding and organizing better……
Driving on the left hand of the road is a carry over from the past when a horse rider would ride on the left so as to keep free the right swordhand to wack assailants. The reason the French drive on the left is sheer bloody mindedness because the British use the left; the French and the British hate each other beyond description. One wonders how many horse-riders in old France were done over by assailants on their left because of attitude.
After the snowstorm in Nopenhagen and the Can-cool spell!
Durban better order heatstoves and snow showels for the next UN meeting.If there is a god I think hes trying to pass a message trough! ?
Here in Oz, our alpine areas are not high compared to other parts of the globe. Barely 2000 metres.
Forecasts for Sunday and Monday are for snow in the alpine areas of New South Wales, Victoria and Tasmania. Remember we are in summer.
It’s not unusual for Tassie to get sprinklings of snow in alpine areas in December, I recall snow and sleet when hiking there in 1976. But snow in NSW and Victoria in December is unusual.
Yes this is weather, but why is the weather so unusual? Probably because of regime change in the 30yr cycles. It sure feels like the regime of the 60’s and 70’s, I just hope it’s not the same as the 1890’s.
To put this coldest snowy winter ever into perspective we have to recall previous finding of this primitive branch of a settled science:
The Independent, back in March 2000
“Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past”:
According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”. “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
David Parker, at the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Berkshire, says ultimately, British children could have only virtual experience of snow. Via the internet, they might wonder at polar scenes – or eventually “feel” virtual cold.
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html
The BBC in December 2006: Concern over Europe ‘snow crisis’:
Climate change
Many believe global warming is to blame for the lack of snow.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned that many low-level resorts could soon be unviable and predicted warmer temperatures in the future.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/6185345.stm
I usually understand what Joe says.
Baa Humbug says:
December 17, 2010 at 11:06 pm
Forecasts for Sunday and Monday are for snow in the alpine areas of New South Wales, Victoria and Tasmania. Remember we are in summer.
It’s not unusual for Tassie to get sprinklings of snow in alpine areas in December, I recall snow and sleet when hiking there in 1976. But snow in NSW and Victoria in December is unusual.
======================================
Wow.
Evidence of global cooling….no doubt.
But wait….awaiting the warministas who will try and steal the thunder and claim that this is also due to AGW.
When will their illogic end?
Total, complete, abject INSANITY.
FOOLS! [Yeah I am talking to YOU Vicky Pope and YOU James Hansen]
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Hi Anthony,
The Germany is also suffering from heavy snow chaos:
http://www.thelocal.de/national/20101217-31869.html
Hansen is really disqualifying himself here. In European winters this century there was a turnaround three years ago from a series of warm winters to winters becoming slowly colder every year. Three years ago it was for the first time virtually possible to langlauf over the snow from my country (Netherlands) to the pacific ocean whilst staying on the same latitude. Last year exceptional snow started in Mid Europe in December while the warmth in the Baffin/Hudson area started to build around January 2010. The warmth there is a result of the El Nino (thanks Bob Tisdale) strengthened by the arctic oscillation not the other way around
tallbloke says:
December 17, 2010 at 4:46 pm
Just up, looking at the article and reading with my morning coffee and though exactly the same thing!
So for pro-AGW events – the met office claims analysis of over 150 yrs (CET?) but for only anti-AGW ‘weather’ events, only data since 1910 – very strange?
This in the latest post from our alarmist friends at Real Climate. In other words, it’s official: colder temperatures prove AGW is real.
“In a more recent press-release, Vladimir Petoukhov and Vladimir Semenov, argue that Global Warming could cool down winter temperatures over Europe, and a reduced sea-ice extent could increase the chance of getting cold winters. Also they propose that cold winters are associated with the atmospheric circulation (see schematic below), and their press-release was based on a paper in Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR), which may seem to have a serendipitous timing with the cold spell over Europe during the last weeks. However, the original manuscript was submitted in november 2009 (before the statement made by James Overland) and accepted in May 2010. One could regard the paper more as a ‘prediction’ rather than an ‘explanation’.”
I thought that AGW meant that the warming would be most pronounced in the winter.
Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v399/n6735/abs/399452a0.html
Now don’t anyone laugh. Compare my last comment to this:
and you can see why
It’s called moving the goalposts.
Hello, im french, and december is very cold, lot snow, it s – 4.5 degrés celsius for the moment.
We can explain this with anomalie of jet-stram and activity of sun very low. Jet stream is deflect on the south, on africa and provocs anomalies of high pressions on groenland and atlantic. december will be coldest for 1963 certainly…
Baa Humbug @ur momisugly 11:06:
I remember there were blizzards up in Pretty Valley at Falls Creek (Victoria, Australia) a week before Christmas sometime in the early 90s. We had gone for a hike while on holiday and ended up trying to seek shelter inside a clump of snow gums and large rocks! I think it was in 1991.