IPCC admits error on Himalayan glacier melt fiasco

But…there’s that word again, “robust” used in the context of error admission. Now all we need is an apology from Chairman Dr. Rajenda Pachauri for statements that claims that this error existed were “arrogant” and “voodoo science“. Will he give one? His track record suggests it is doubtful.

UPDATE: It seems Dr. Pachauri is getting a bit miffed over all the attention he’s getting over his ties to TERI and questions raised by Richard North and Christopher Booker in the UK telegraph. He’s threatening a lawsuit:

Angry Pachauri threatens to sue UK daily

This is the best thing that could happen, as it will mean independent discovery.

IPCC statement on the melting of Himalayan glaciers1

The Synthesis Report, the concluding document of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (page 49) stated: “Climate change is expected to exacerbate current stresses on water resources from population growth and economic and land-use change, including urbanisation. On a regional scale, mountain snow pack, glaciers and small ice caps play a crucial role in freshwater availability. Widespread mass losses from glaciers and reductions in snow cover over recent decades are projected to accelerate throughout the 21st century, reducing water availability, hydropower potential, and changing seasonality of flows in regions supplied by meltwater from major mountain ranges (e.g. Hindu-Kush, Himalaya, Andes), where more than one-sixth of the world population currently lives.”

This conclusion is robust, appropriate, and entirely consistent with the underlying science and the broader IPCC assessment.

It has, however, recently come to our attention that a paragraph in the 938-page Working Group II contribution to the underlying assessment2 refers to poorly substantiated estimates of rate of recession and date for the disappearance of Himalayan glaciers. In drafting the paragraph in question, the clear and well-established standards of evidence, required by the IPCC procedures, were not applied properly.

The Chair, Vice-Chairs, and Co-chairs of the IPCC regret the poor application of well-established IPCC procedures in this instance. This episode demonstrates that the quality of the assessment depends on absolute adherence to the IPCC standards, including thorough review of “the quality and validity of each source before incorporating results from the source into an IPCC Report” 3. We reaffirm our strong commitment to ensuring this level of performance.

===============================================

1 This statement is from the Chair and Vice-Chairs of the IPCC, and the Co-Chairs of the IPCC Working Groups.

2 The text in question is the second paragraph in section 10.6.2 of the Working Group II contribution and a repeat of part of the paragraph in Box TS.6. of the Working Group II Technical Summary of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report.

3 This is verbatim text from Annex 2 of Appendix A to the Principles Governing IPCC Work.

PDF of the announcement is here

h/t to WUWT reader Nigel Brereton

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Roger Knights
January 22, 2010 7:54 am

Oops: “he and/or wouldn’t” should have been:
“he and/or they wouldn’t”

Herman L
January 22, 2010 9:47 am

Roger,
I stand by my initial statement that the vast majority of what you write is conjecture.

A C Osborn
January 22, 2010 10:38 am

Roger Knights (07:51:32) :
Herman L (04:59:39) :
Roger, there are non so blind as those who WON’T SEE and Herman is right at thr the top of those.

Ron de Haan
January 22, 2010 2:46 pm

Mother Nature Network’s cherry-picking of Matterhorn photos fails miserably in their effort to debunk Glaciergate
http://algorelied.com/?p=3564

M. Jeff
January 23, 2010 9:30 am

From todays WSJ:
A Glacier Meltdown
The Himalayas and climate science.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703837004575013393219835692.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_AboveLEFTTop
… the error is of a piece with other glib, and now debunked, global warming alarms.
Among them: that 1998 was the warmest year on record in the United States (it was 1934); that sea levels could soon rise by up to 20 feet and put Florida underwater (an 18-inch rise by the year 2100 is the more authoritative estimate); that polar bears are critically endangered by global warming (most polar bear populations appear to be stable or increasing); that—well, we could go on without even mentioning the climategate emails. …

Patagon
January 28, 2010 2:13 am

Kaser claims seems a bit odd in the light of some of his emails from the CRUGate.
On email 1123708417.txt
http://www.eastangliaemails.com/emails.php?eid=581&filename=1123708417.txt
in response to Kevin Trenberth on Wed Aug 10 17:13:37 2005
he says (line 129):
“Georg Kaser wrote:
Kevin,
Have many thanks for compiling and editing 3.9. I agree that the “radiatively forced”
and the “amplified hydrological cycle” should be removed and I also

There are some other points in the text which I would like to comment:
….
3. “If continued, some may disappear within the next 30 years.” This sentence can stand
for every mountain region in the world and should not be used for tropical mountains
only. Everywhere, many small glaciers have disappeared since the 19th Century maxima and
many will disappear soon in the Alps, the Caucasus, in the Asian High mountains etc. as
well as in the Tropics.
…..
So then it was “” “If continued, some may disappear within the next 30 years.” This sentence can stand
for every mountain region in the world “”
but now it happens that “it is so wrong that it is not even worth discussing” ….
a bit of a contradiction, isn’t it?
Thu Jan 28, 03:10:58 AM MST
Word verification

Roger Knights
January 28, 2010 11:11 pm

Patagon (02:13:25) :
Kaser claims seems a bit odd in the light of some of his emails from the CRUGate.

3. “If continued, some may disappear within the next 30 years.” This sentence can stand
for every mountain region in the world and should not be used for tropical mountains only. Everywhere, many small glaciers have disappeared since the 19th Century maxima and many [other small glaciers–RK] will disappear soon

but now it happens that “it is so wrong that it is not even worth discussing” …. a bit of a contradiction, isn’t it?
No, because his Climategate e-mail referred only to the disappearance of small glaciers. The IPCC report was talking about the disappearance of all the (thousands?) of Himalayan glaciers.

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