Climategate: The Mosher Timeline

Now that we all have time to take a breath from the whirlwind of Climategate, Copenhagen, and the Christmas/New Year holiday, Steve McIntyre has written up a timeline on how the Climategate emails came to be public knowledge on the climate blogs.

Image: nixieclock.net - click for details

Titled The Mosher Timeline, for our well known and frequent commenter Steven Mosher, it ties all of the blogs together that received the Russian FTP server link to the FOIA2009.zip file as a comment from the person(s) who leaked the file.

There are familiar but disassociated bits of knowledge tied together with new information to create a complete picture.

It is well worth the read, here.

For those who didn’t know, our own Charles The Moderator figured greatly in this timeline, props to him.

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Martin Brumby
January 13, 2010 5:13 am

C’mon, @Dodgy Geezer (02:33:43)
There’s an obvious difference!
A month sub zero in the UK / North America / Europe / China / Korea etc ?
Just weather. No climate to see here. Move along!
A hot night in Melbourne?
GLOBAL WARMING!!! AAAAARGH!
Worse than we thought!
So far as the identity of he who took a leak at UEA / GISS / RC, I’ll bet anyone:-
It wuz Jolly Jim Hansen wot dunnit!

DavidS
January 13, 2010 5:14 am

OT
Looking at The Cryosphere Today site, the ice looks to be getting close to Iceland. Is it likely to freeze all the way across?
Would make an interesting story!
DavidS

Chris in Australia
January 13, 2010 5:31 am

Further down in the thread “Open Letter On Climate Legislation” on “the Air Vent”, there was another posting at slot 19, FOIA data mirror said:- http://www.megaupload.com/?d=XD050VKY. Time stamp was:- November 20, 2009 at 12:59 am (November 19 + 59 min.
Who made that post ??

bushy
January 13, 2010 5:47 am
Alex
January 13, 2010 5:48 am

Off topic. Website is blocked in China at the moment. Using vpn to contact. Was ok earlier. Will try tomorrow

Editor
January 13, 2010 6:02 am

I’m heartbroken! If ever there was a thread that deserve to be hijacked, it’s this one. I almost bought a Nixie tube kit a few years ago, but the fellow who had been making them messed up a parts order and decided not to fix it (it may have been for the Russian Nixie knock-offs, they made them a lot longer than the Americans did).
I bought from the New Hampshire State surplus store a piece of lab equipment with Nixies, but the power supply doesn’t work and I spend too much time on WUWT to open it, let alone fix/scavenge/whatever.
If you Google nixie clock, it will confidently report 231,000 hits. (However, trying to start at 980 yields “781 – 793 of about 231,000 for nixie clock.”)
Another neat neon display was the dekatron, something where one of several electrodes in a circular array would light and a pulse could make the the neon breakdown jump from one electrode to the next. Great for counters, and often used in things like geiger counters where the count rate might vary by several orders of magnitude.
http://www.electricstuff.co.uk/count.html has some very good info.
I’ve always hated the web page counters that emulate 7 segment LCD displays? Why emulate a lame compromise when you could use ordinary fonts? I guess part of it is to emphasize it’s a count (another is that hit counters usually work as small image files). A web page count from Nixie digits is much classier.

Mike Ramsey
January 13, 2010 6:04 am

Lawrie Ayres (02:49:35) :
Whoever released these documents did so in the hope or knowledge that such a revelation would expose AGW as an elaborate scam/hoax.
[snip]

My question is “do you honestly think that Climategate will seal the fate of AGW?”
No.  The data will do that.
Einstein went to his grave not accepting quantum mechanics. Planck went to his grave never really accepting that energy was quantized.  And these are the founding fathers. 
Those current proponents of AGW that are committed to science, that is, who go where the data leads them, may eventually get there.  Those that are committed to the leftest agenda, never.  There are too many so-called scientist who can’t tell the difference between politics and science.  As the e-mails show, to them, science is simply a means to political ends.
 Mike Ramsey

Editor
January 13, 2010 6:05 am

Oops – closed with </a>…
If you Google nixie clock, it will confidently report 231,000 hits. (However, trying to start at 980 yields “781 – 793 of about 231,000 for nixie clock.”)

R Stevenson
January 13, 2010 6:09 am

impractical

Alex
January 13, 2010 6:15 am

Still off topic. A number of other sites (like minded) are blocked as well. Looks like someone in China doesn’t want anti-global warming promoted. Maybe the government or someone who thinks that the government would like this. China is an interesting funny place.

January 13, 2010 6:20 am

R Stevenson (04:30:04) :
…our government has given the go ahead to construct massive wind farms miles offshore at a cost of £100 billion operating costs unknown.
Launch the animal rights activists — tell them the wind farms will kill off thousands of species of seabirds.
Oddly enough, that’s the one thing Teddy Kennedy was good for — preventing people from building wind farms where they’d interfere with his pristine view of a blank ocean…

Kay
January 13, 2010 6:20 am

Peter of Sydney (00:43:52) : This would make for a very interesting movie one day.
Somehow I doubt Michael Moore will be directing it.

Editor
January 13, 2010 6:28 am

Boudu (00:42:39) :

Do you think that in the future people will ask ‘Where were you when Climategate broke ?’

I first heard about it here at WUWT, and downloaded it quickly in part to make sure I had it before the file was purged and to check it on my Linux system for things that might be trojan horses and whatnot. My first post was to list the .pdf files, not quite understanding that the Email content would provide most of the early insights.

Editor
January 13, 2010 6:34 am

Daniel H (03:19:34) :

Steven, thanks for the info. I just grep’d through the emails for various potential phrases that might match the email you mentioned (e.g., login, password, pw, realclimate, RC, yamal, etc) and so far I haven’t located any emails from Sept/Oct of 2009 that contain any explicit or obvious login credentials.

Email 1248785856.txt has a password, but not the one you’re looking for. It’s in mail copied to much of the team but is really between Jones and Mann for picking up a paper at UEA’s FTP site.
> file is at [2]ftp.cru.uea.ac.uk
> login anonymously with [self-snip, though I doubt it works any more] as pw
> then go to people/philjones
> and you should find santeretal2001.pdf

Ian L. McQueen
January 13, 2010 6:41 am

To Tokyoboy:
Yes, Say-ers would be correct. And knowing something of katakana-ization of English words and the lack of an “r” sound in Japanese, I predict that it will come out something like “say” – “ahs”.
Apologies if someone has already replied. I am replying as I read postings.
IanM

January 13, 2010 6:43 am

Skeptic Tank (04:18:23) :
Nostalgic about nixie tubes? Pulease! Don’t you remember the heat and the buzzing from the power supply? You might as well be nostalgic about 8 inch floppies and 64k of Ram and Winchester disks. Or getting coffee while waiting 30 minutes for a short program to compile … , no, wait, that last one was a good thing!

JonesII
January 13, 2010 7:21 am

Evidently there was a political (and fortunately for truth) interest in revealing this information from part of the hackers or their bosses. It made possible the Copenhagen fiasco, well represented by the angry face of “Al baby”. Was it Russia or China?. The now called “Climate Gate” , history will tell, mean not only the debunking of pseudo climate science but it casts serious doubts over all occidental “settled sciences”, sciences long ago established by consensus among interested parties (“peers”) instead of being proved at the lab. That is at the best, philosophy, myth, religion or politics, even child games, but in no way
positive science.

January 13, 2010 7:22 am

Alex:
China is the largest, if not only supplier of ‘Rare earths’ without which all green technology is buggered.
You want to see the pollution they produce extracting the rare metals that go into a ‘Prius’.

Alan the Brit
January 13, 2010 7:29 am

Rossa (03:43:22) :
“background warming”? Now that’s a first for me. Never heard that before – the inventor must have worked in the nuclear industry I suppose. I’ll have to watch out for this new jargonese.
I still can’t get my head around these guys who claim a sensation by saying that “climate change is real & it’s happening now”, as some prat did on the local radio at lunchtime. It really is stating the “bleeding obvious”, a bit like saying the weather is happening now! Change is what climate does I was always taught. Devon & much of Britain got another dose of AGW yesterday evening along with some of that special ice, you know, the stuff that only forms when it warms! Anyway that 25kg bag of coal was a warm welcome with lovely big nuggets roaring away under the logs on the open fire! Oh the heat it threw out, yipee!
Took faithful hound out for his usual lunchtime walkies over the fields, most snow north of Exeter melting away promptly but the ground is still quite hard from the per-Christmas freeze up, & surface water run-off building fast. I await the “AGW causes flooding” stories to permeat the MSM before too long!

TerryS
January 13, 2010 7:31 am

Re: Daniel H (03:45:22) :

Steven, thanks for the info. I just grep’d through the files for various potential words that might match the email you mentioned (e.g., login, password, pw, realclimate, RC, yamal, etc) and so far I haven’t found any emails from Sept/Oct of 2009 that contain any explicit or obvious login credentials. Perhaps you could provide a file name for the email in question?

Try “Username” instead of “username” or use the -i flag for your grep.
Email 1256353124.txt contains a username and password.

I’m not thinking straight. It makes far more sense to have
password-protection rather than IP-address protection. So, to access
those pages
Username: steve
Password: tosser
Have a good weekend!
Mike
[snip]

I’ve left the username and password in because they will have been changed by now although it might not get past the moderator.

Jon Hutto
January 13, 2010 7:44 am

From the perspective of Science, did no one at the CRU think to keep the original data before the tricks and ‘adjustments’ ?
From the perspective of history, and science, what will people think 50 years from now when they only have 50 years of reliable data? Obviously there are still things we can learn from the data we have, but this has put us back more than a century.
This whole AWG mess is likely the worst event in the history of science.

Deadman
January 13, 2010 7:53 am

tokyoboy (23:10:10):
I thought that Saiers rhymed with liars. Have you tried writing to the man himself?
(The name of Dorothy L. Sayers
rhymes not with players but with prayers.)

Alex
January 13, 2010 7:55 am

It may not be anti-gw. I think it might have something to do with wordpress.com. The Chinese government wasn’t really too co-operative with Copenhagen. I think the blocking has more to do with blogging. More to do with political/ internal paranoia than gw. A wordpress.com factor seems to be common to most of the blocks, Although wordpress.com is accessible with no difficulties. Go figure. I won’t jump to any conclusions yet (that is the scientific way). I will check AGW sites tomorrow and see if some of them have been affected the same way. Midnight here-going to bed

Sharon
January 13, 2010 8:37 am

Kay (06:20:58) :
Peter of Sydney (00:43:52) : “This would make for a very interesting movie one day.”
Somehow I doubt Michael Moore will be directing it.
****************************************************
Probably not, but Tom Hanks will star as an intrepid climate scientist trotting the globe to decode cryptic clues, which, when pieced together, assume a suspicious hockey-stick shape that matches perfectly the unusual configuration of the parquet floor, the only remaining feature of a 14th-century banquet hall in the vicinity of East Anglia, UK, of the Confraternity of the Order the Holy CRU-sci-fiction, protectors of a relic, a thin glass vessel filled with a mysterious silver liquid once thought to have measured the surface temperature at Golgotha at the time of Christ’s Passion (with Mel Gibson making a cameo appearance in flashback scene).
Oh, and Hanks’ character gets very lucky in the end! No, not that kind of lucky, filth-brains! His paper passes peer-review.

Yertizz
January 13, 2010 9:03 am

Alan the Brit says: Are they (the BBC) really just hedging their bets?
With complaints coming at them from all directions; reviews and investigations galore; a General election less than 150 days away – with the likelihood of a vengeful Conservative government a distint possibility – I’d say they are running scared!