The Met Office getting a clue? – "one of the coldest winters in 100 years"

It’s not like there haven’t been clues. Like for example as I pointed out the Arctic Oscillation has gone strongly negative.

The article says:

“The cold weather comes despite the Met Office’s long range forecast, published, in October, of a mild winter. That followed it’s earlier inaccurate prediction of a “barbecue summer”, which then saw heavy rainfall and the wettest July for almost 100 years.”

Excerpts:

Britain is bracing itself for one of the coldest winters for a century with temperatures hitting minus 16 degrees Celsius, forecasters have warned.

They predicted no let up in the freezing snap until at least mid-January, with snow, ice and severe frosts dominating.

And the likelihood is that the second half of the month will be even colder.

Weather patterns were more like those in the late 1970s, experts said, while Met Office figures released on Monday are expected to show that the country is experiencing the coldest winter for up to 25 years.

On New Year’s Day 10 extreme weather warnings were in place, with heavy snow expected in northern England and Scotland.

Despite New Year celebrations passing off mostly unaffected by the weather, drivers in parts of the country, particularly areas of Northumberland, Cumbria and the Scottish Highlands, were warned not to travel unless absolutely necessary.

The continued freezing temperatures did not signal bad news for everyone however. CairnGorm Mountain said it has had its best Christmas holiday season in 14 years.

With heavy snow in the area, the resort said that over a four-day period following Christmas Day it has had more than 8,000 skiers and snowboarders using its runs – including 800 on New Year’s Eve.

h/t to David Corcoran

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philincalifornia
January 2, 2010 9:25 am
anon
January 2, 2010 9:27 am

I think the Met Office are looking a little lost like these poor souls:
http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/42555000/jpg/_42555341_ostrich.jpg
Well at least the MET office have some where soft to bury their heads!

Rob M.
January 2, 2010 9:33 am

Try and hide this decline.

Ed Murphy
January 2, 2010 9:34 am

Manatee mortality more than doubles due to cold. This probably goes under reported too.
http://m.news-press.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20091219/GREEN/91218070/-1/WAP&template=wapart
…Along with an uptick in deadly watercraft encounters, the state’s manatees this year faced a string of cold spells and an inexplicably high mortality rate among infant manatees. Biologists recorded 114 deaths of young manatees this year.
Cold-related deaths, at 55, were more than twice last year’s 21 deaths.
“There were these strange peaks of severe cold,” said Martine Dewit, a biologist for the state’s Fish and Wildlife Research Institute. “(Manatees) are extremely susceptible to temperatures below 68 degrees.”…

philincalifornia
January 2, 2010 9:36 am

Jim Cripwell (07:29:05) :
I have been noticing that there seems to be more ice in the Baltic Sea than there has been for this time of year in the last, say, 5 years.
—–
There’s a noticeable increase in the ice extent into the Denmark Strait this year too, right off north west Iceland.
I’ve tried, unsuccessfully, to find by Googling, the last time the Strait froze over completely. Maybe this year ?? Maybe the Catlin Crew could get their butts up there and get some baseline measurements ??

Erik
January 2, 2010 9:39 am

I asked in another thread some time ago, but I think it might have got lost among the hundreds of comments. Does anyone know of a site with the recent snow cover for Europe?

Peter
January 2, 2010 9:41 am

The cold weather comes despite the Met Office’s long range forecast, published, in October, of a mild winter. That followed it’s earlier inaccurate prediction of a “barbecue summer”, which then saw heavy rainfall and the wettest July for almost 100 years.”
And they still call them experts, or scientists… what a verbal inflation!

Clive
January 2, 2010 9:42 am

Double post … put elsewhere too … can’t waste my creative genius, wot?
Off topic … sort of…. Had a creative spurt this morning …
Gore-Tex logo converted .. ☺ Does not really fit here… oh well. Maybe realted to wild Met Office’s forecasts. ☺
http://photoshare.shaw.ca/image/2/d/8/63987/goretalk4-0.jpg
REPLY: [ Just don’t “thread bomb”, ok? -mod]

DirkH
January 2, 2010 9:52 am

“Ed Murphy (09:34:39) :
Manatee mortality more than doubles due to cold. This probably goes under reported too.”
Surely you must be wrong. WWF says: Polar Bears gone by end of century. Manatees? What’s a manatee?
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5068671,00.html
I mean, the WWF are the experts, aren’t they?

El Buggo
January 2, 2010 9:55 am

Its the coldest winter since “Global Warming” started.

DirkH
January 2, 2010 9:57 am

“anon (09:27:12) :
I think the Met Office are looking a little lost like these poor souls”
Funny photo, but ostrichs are actually quite cold-tolerant beasts. They once roamed europe.

January 2, 2010 10:00 am
Peter
January 2, 2010 10:05 am

OT, but does anyone know why the AMSR-E graph hasn’t been updated in the last few days?

Mick J
January 2, 2010 10:07 am

This paragraph at the article referenced got my attention.
“Meanwhile, a fleet of gritters in Perth, central Scotland, was grounded this week because it was so cold, leaving roads untreated in temperatures of minus 10 degrees. ”
Mick

Ed Murphy
January 2, 2010 10:11 am
D. King
January 2, 2010 10:12 am

Met Office has a new predictive model.
They state they’re not sure why it’s so cold, but that the heat will return.
http://tinyurl.com/ydmjdxm

MB
January 2, 2010 10:15 am

What is their excuse? Have they written any BS articles yet to explain away this winter as an “anomaly”?

Cold Lynx
January 2, 2010 10:19 am
maxx
January 2, 2010 10:27 am

But it’s a rotten cold……

MartinGAtkins
January 2, 2010 10:28 am

Erik (09:39:49) :
I asked in another thread some time ago, but I think it might have got lost among the hundreds of comments. Does anyone know of a site with the recent snow cover for Europe?
This might be what your looking for.
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/index.htm
Or this.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/snow/

anon
January 2, 2010 10:33 am

They do much better forecasting what’s going to happen in 2050. Well, that’s what I heard.

Ian L. McQueen
January 2, 2010 10:36 am

The Met Office getting a clue? – “one of the coldest winter in 100 years”
Minor correction: “winters”, not “winter”.
You may delete this posting!
IanM

M White
January 2, 2010 10:38 am

Last year we had a few inches of snow at the beginning of February. I heard it described as a 1 in 18 year event. Seems this could be the second one in a row.
The CRU/MetOffice models predict that global warming in Britain will lead to hot dry summers and mild wet winters. These cold winters becoming an increasingly rare event.
I still remember this waste of BBC licence payers money.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/climateexperiment/whattheymean/theuk.shtml

Steve Goddard
January 2, 2010 10:41 am

Government keeps telling us they can control the climate, and that they have the ability to turn England into a Mediterranean environment. Now would be a good time to demonstrate their warming prowess!

Mike Ramsey
January 2, 2010 10:42 am

 Erik (09:39:49) :
I asked in another thread some time ago, but I think it might have got lost among the hundreds of comments. Does anyone know of a site with the recent snow cover for Europe?

Try here:
http://nsidc.org/data/modis/data_summaries/index.html
Mike Ramsey