UPDATE: see the end of the article for a response.
Reposted from TBR.cc Investigate magazine’s breaking news forum:
New Zealand’s NIWA accused of CRU-style temperature faking
The New Zealand Government’s chief climate advisory unit NIWA is under fire for allegedly massaging raw climate data to show a global warming trend that wasn’t there.
The scandal breaks as fears grow worldwide that corruption of climate science is not confined to just Britain’s CRU climate research centre.
In New Zealand’s case, the figures published on NIWA’s [the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric research] website suggest a strong warming trend in New Zealand over the past century:
The caption to the photo on the NiWA site reads:
From NIWA’s web site — Figure 7: Mean annual temperature over New Zealand, from 1853 to 2008 inclusive, based on between 2 (from 1853) and 7 (from 1908) long-term station records. The blue and red bars show annual differences from the 1971 – 2000 average, the solid black line is a smoothed time series, and the dotted [straight] line is the linear trend over 1909 to 2008 (0.92°C/100 years).
But analysis of the raw climate data from the same temperature stations has just turned up a very different result:
Gone is the relentless rising temperature trend, and instead there appears to have been a much smaller growth in warming, consistent with the warming up of the planet after the end of the Little Ice Age in 1850.
The revelations are published today in a news alert from The Climate Science Coalition of NZ:
Straight away you can see there’s no slope—either up or down. The temperatures are remarkably constant way back to the 1850s. Of course, the temperature still varies from year to year, but the trend stays level—statistically insignificant at 0.06°C per century since 1850.
Putting these two graphs side by side, you can see huge differences. What is going on?
Why does NIWA’s graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!
Have the readings in the official NIWA graph been adjusted?
It is relatively easy to find out. We compared raw data for each station (from NIWA’s web site) with the adjusted official data, which we obtained from one of Dr Salinger’s colleagues.
Requests for this information from Dr Salinger himself over the years, by different scientists, have long gone unanswered, but now we might discover the truth.
Proof of man-made warming
What did we find? First, the station histories are unremarkable. There are no reasons for any large corrections. But we were astonished to find that strong adjustments have indeed been made.
About half the adjustments actually created a warming trend where none existed; the other half greatly exaggerated existing warming. All the adjustments increased or even created a warming trend, with only one (Dunedin) going the other way and slightly reducing the original trend.
The shocking truth is that the oldest readings have been cranked way down and later readings artificially lifted to give a false impression of warming, as documented below. There is nothing in the station histories to warrant these adjustments and to date Dr Salinger and NIWA have not revealed why they did this.
One station, Hokitika, had its early temperatures reduced by a huge 1.3°C, creating strong warming from a mild cooling, yet there’s no apparent reason for it.
We have discovered that the warming in New Zealand over the past 156 years was indeed man-made, but it had nothing to do with emissions of CO2—it was created by man-made adjustments of the temperature. It’s a disgrace.
NIWA claim their official graph reveals a rising trend of 0.92ºC per century, which means (they claim) we warmed more than the rest of the globe, for according to the IPCC, global warming over the 20th century was only about 0.6°C.
NIWA’s David Wratt has told Investigate magazine this afternoon his organization denies faking temperature data and he claims NIWA has a good explanation for adjusting the temperature data upward. Wratt says NIWA is drafting a media response for release later this afternoon which will explain why they altered the raw data.
“Do you agree it might look bad in the wake of the CRU scandal?”
“No, no,” replied Wratt before hitting out at the Climate Science Coalition and accusing them of “misleading” people about the temperature adjustments.
Manipulation of raw data is at the heart of recent claims of corrupt scientific practice in climate science, with CRU’s Phil Jones recently claiming old temperature records collected by his organization were “destroyed” or “lost”, meaning researchers can now only access manipulated data.
UPDATE: see this new post More on the NIWA New Zealand data adjustment story
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Apparently, this story is based on an outright lie
Yep, Harpo … You’re exactly right. You know someone has been caught with their hand in the cookie jar when they start accusing others of “smearing” them rather than mounting an affirmative form of defense by opening up all of their work freely to the public.
“You forgot to tell the glaciers of New Zealand that the warming has been exaggerated and they need not have melted so much.” — mspelto
Hmmm …. I guess maybe someone also forgot to tell the antarctic ice sheet, which has been in the process of INCREASING instead of decreasing for the past 30 years or so.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Global-Warming/Antarctic-ice-growing-not-shrinking-/articleshow/4418558.cms
Of course, the warming lobby has found a creative way to spin this as evidence of global warming too. “Well of course the antarctic ice sheet is increasing! If the waters surrounding the antarcrtic are warmer, then that means more evaporation, which means more precipitation in the form of snow, which then means more ice on the antarctic ice sheet!”
OK, now I understand. If the amount of ice in the world is decreasing, then it’s because of global warming. But if it’s increasing instead, then it’s because of global warming.
Got it. Thanks for clearing that up, fellas.
The big secret is: much of global warming has nothing to do with global warming at all. In order for us to unveil the global warming scheme it will take critical thinking and research and a serious look at the real agenda behind global warming. Mark Twain writes “Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority it’s time to pause and reflect.” (Samuel Clemens) The first agenda behind groups like the bilderberg group, the Tri Latteral Commission, the Council on Foreign relations, the world Trade Organization and the worlds Banks is to create a state of emergency. In fact, most of their members believe in order to push their agendas they must create a sense of danger and helplessness so the people will accept their ideas. The global warming idea is fear mongering to push for population control much like china. The elites are pushing for global warming to enforce more taxes, cap and trade and eventually control the human population and destroy the middle class this will eventualy lead into a TOTOLATARIAN GOVERNMENT OR THE NEW WORLD ORDER, WAKE UP AMERICA , it is already happening.
http://www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/web/de/klima/klima_heute/homogene_reihen.Par.0054.DownloadFile.tmp/vergleichoriginalhomogen.pdf
The same problem with Swiss temperature records. All have been made rising steeper by “homogenization”, by artificially decreasing the past anomalies.