"Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I’m flying"

From Planet Gore: Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Energy Leader [Henry Payne]

from http://stabenow.senate.gov/

Detroit, Mich. — Michigan just experienced its coldest July on record; global temperatures haven’t risen in more than a decade; Great Lakes water levels have resumed their 30-year cyclical rise (contrary to a decade of media scare stories that they were drying up due to global warming), and polls show that climate change doesn’t even make a list of Michigan voters’ top-ten concerns.

Yet in an interview with the Detroit News Monday (a private meeting with the DN editorial board), Senator Debbie Stabenow (D., Mich.) — recently appointed to the Senate Energy Committee — made clear that fighting the climate crisis is her top priority.

“Climate change is very real,” she confessed as she embraced cap and trade’s massive tax increase on Michigan industry — at the same time claiming, against all the evidence, that it would not lead to an increase in manufacturing costs or energy prices. “Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I’m flying. The storms are more volatile. We are paying the price in more hurricanes and tornadoes.”

And there are sea monsters in Lake Michigan. I can feel them when I’m boating.


Since Stabenow says Global warming causes more hurricanes and tornadoes, lets have a look at the data.

tornado_graph.gif

Graph from NWS/NOAA. Smaller (F1) tornadoes seem to be on the increase, but not larger ones.

Even though tornado reports seem to be on the rise, the larger damaging tornados, F2-F5 don’t seem to be. There are some good reasons for this, and it might be a good primer for readers to revisit this report I made about the issue of tornado reporting:

Increasing tornadoes or better information gathering?

On the issue of Hurricanes, even USA Today is beginning to have doubts:

excerpt:

The official start of the hurricane season is June 1. And not since 1992 — the year of Hurricane Andrew — has the Atlantic Ocean been silent past Aug. 4. Meteorologists have yet to name even a single tropical storm in the Atlantic in 2009.

So is global warming really doing anything?

“While it is commonly thought that global warming would increase hurricane activity, that is far from a settled issue,” said Rob Eisenson, a meteorologist at Western Connecticut State University. “There are some research studies that suggest global warming would not have that effect.”

NOAA has lowered their hurricane season forecast.

And Accumulated Cyclone Energy is quite low so far this year and lower than usual last year:

Ryan Maue of Florida State University writes in comments in a previous WUWT story:

Global (Northern Hemisphere) tropical cyclone ACE for the months May – June – July is the lowest in at least the past 30-years or more.

I, for one, am not surprised.  Continued inactivity should persist for the next few weeks until the atmosphere catches up with the radiative warming of the tropical oceans due to the season called summer.

2007 was a dud.   2008 was saved from being a record year by 2007.  2009 is behind the pace of both years.  Amazing how natural variability affects tropical cyclone formation, tracks, and intensity.  Who would have thought?

Ryan’s Tropical web page at Florida State University has this graph that shows accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) :

click for larger image

Sorted monthly data: Text File

Note where 2009 is in the scheme of things.

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Jeremy
August 11, 2009 10:12 pm

People incapable of critical thinking skills in elected positions create bad representation, I can feel it when morons like this open their mouths.

p.g.sharrow "PG"
August 11, 2009 10:16 pm

One should be very careful about close contact with politicians, they carry a diease of infectious stupidity. Most people’s resistance to the diease is lost after two years of close contact with those infected. An interesting result is when a crowd ( three or more ) get together, the group IQ is lower then the lowest in the group.
Just an observation of over 50 years of close study of the breed.

savethesharks
August 11, 2009 10:43 pm

Wrong link….
This is the right one:

August 11, 2009 11:57 pm

“PG”
My belief is that the UK Parliament collectively has a lower IQ than a bowl of mixed salad, which probably explains why they are the first Govt in the world to enshrine climate action into law in the belief they can lead the rest of the world away from something that isn’t happening-AGW.
“H.L.Mencken wrote:The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
Tonyb

Mark Fawcett
August 12, 2009 12:13 am

Bobby Lane (19:26:29) :

I think you are mistaken there, Pam. The reason AGW shows up as more religion than science is because even those who have divorced themselves from ‘traditional ideas’ about God need something larger than just themselves to believe in, even if they want to run that ’something.’ Mankind is incurably religious.

Agreed – I’d recommend “The God Delusion” by Richard Dawkins as a rather good read on this subject – simply replace any reference to ‘theist’ with ‘agwist’ and the parallels are just spooky.
Cheers
Mark.

D. King
August 12, 2009 12:32 am

rbateman (21:48:53) :
Maybe they aren’t even human/ They were synthesized in labs and replaced the real folks, like in the movies
Yep….Pod people. Don’t go to sleep!
Hey, when did nightmares become less scary than reality???

Patrick Davis
August 12, 2009 12:34 am

“TonyB (23:57:58) :
“PG”
My belief is that the UK Parliament collectively has a lower IQ than a bowl of mixed salad, which probably explains why they are the first Govt in the world to enshrine climate action into law in the belief they can lead the rest of the world away from something that isn’t happening-AGW.
Tonyb”
I wouldn’t give then that much credit in the IQ department TBH. Reminds me of something;
“…a whale falling through space along side a bowl of petunias…”
The whale is trying to work stuff out, like what rymes with round and the bowl of petunias says to itself “Oh no, not again!”

Paul Vaughan
August 12, 2009 1:18 am

Paul Vaughan (17:22:42)
Reason for the volatility:
http://www.sfu.ca/~plv/ClimateRegimeChangePoints.PNG
REPLY: Paul do you have a paper or essay to go with that plot? – Anthony


Anthony,
There is a connection with:
a) Figures 7 & 8 in:
Abarca del Rio, R.; Gambis, D.; Salstein, D.; Nelson, P.; & Dai, A. (2003). Solar activity and earth rotation variability. Journal of Geodynamics 36, 423-443.
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/adai/papers/Abarca_delRio_etal_JGeodyn03.pdf
b) Figure 2 in:
Trenberth, K.E. & Stepaniak, D.P. (2001). Indices of El Nino Evolution. Journal of Climate 14, 1697-1701.
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/Trenberth/trenberth.papers/tniJC.pdf
c) Wilson, Ian (2008). Which came first? The chicken or the egg?
http://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/solar-cycles/IanwilsonForum2008.pdf
d) other tangents in the literature (some of which are partial &/or incomplete (& susceptible to being very seriously misunderstood by harsh critics)).
Without any warning whatsoever, I had access to 100s of my files blocked (3 years-worth). Within 15 days of presenting a related finding, my funding was slashed.
These people mean business.
Rage Against the Machine reminds us in “Testify”:
“Who controls the past now, controls the future,
Who controls the present now, controls the past,
Who controls the past now, controls the future,
Who controls the present now?
If you have the power to link me to secure & stable funding (it will take 5 years I estimate) and a PhD supervisor who is willing to supervise via online/distance education, I am positioned to use this machete to start hacking a pathway through the thicket of bullshit & lies.
Regards,
Paul.

August 12, 2009 1:31 am

savethesharks (22:43:47) :
Oh dear. Waxman really flying his colours there. As someone mentioned above, these people couldn’t get a job in the real world.

Pierre Gosselin
August 12, 2009 1:40 am

The normally respectable German newspaper DIE WELT has reached a new low in journalism. Yesterday, August 11, it had a story with the headline and claims:
SUMMER 2009 IS DEVASTATING FOR THE ARCTIC.
1. In July alone 106,000 sq km of ice melted daily!
2. Every 3 days an ice area the size of Germany disappears!
3. In Northwest Canada children were swimming in 30°C Arctic Ocean.
4. A new sea ice low is possible in September…
And on it goes.
DIE WELT quotes a Dr Walt Meier of the NSIDC.

Pierre Gosselin
August 12, 2009 1:42 am

The ice cap is holding down tundra?
Is there a future for the western civilsation, I ask.

August 12, 2009 1:46 am

Duhhh!
The recent rise in the number of tornados spotted is directly proportional to the rise in telephone installations and Storm Chasing. More interest and more people with telephones equals more reports.
Back in the ’50s a farmer would come home and say “Hey, Martha, saw a couple of twisters on the ranch today”, and only two people would know or care about it.
.
Its like this comment from a Channel 4 documentary.
“””The astonishing truth is that Britain has more tornadoes per square mile than any other country in the world.”””
http://www.channel4.com/science/microsites/T/tornado/index.html
No, the less than astonishing truth is we have more people per square mile to spot them.
P.S. British ‘tornados’ are largely F1s, or perhaps F0.5s.
.

August 12, 2009 1:52 am

>>>The USA has been reduced to a corporatist state.
>>>Only the government supporters get government
>>>money; the rest have money taken away.
Hey, you have that situation too? The only people in the UK with a secure job and pension are in the government, which controls a huge and growing swathe of the national output, while everyone else is heading for the dole queue.
The ‘One Worlders’ seem to have everything sewn up.

DaveE
August 12, 2009 1:53 am

She must have got hold of the good stuff! 😉
Can I have some?
DaveE.

Lex
August 12, 2009 1:56 am

We have the same kind of politicians in the Netherlands. It is a part of democracy. Sometimes it makes you laugh, sometimes its worrying and sometimes you have got to think about it.
It is the same as with children, they keep your brains fit!

David Corcoran
August 12, 2009 2:09 am

Carlton your doorman (16:49:47) :
Look at all the signs behind her. It is her priority.

Carlton, the thread article quotes an interview where she…
“made clear that fighting the climate crisis is her top priority.”
In this economy, and especially in Michigan, jobs should be her top priority.

Patrick Davis
August 12, 2009 4:39 am

Looks like our astute Australia “leaders” are going to vote for CPRS, carbon pollution reduction system (Or Emissions Trading Scheme in Eurospeak and “cap and trade” in US speak).
The actual vote happens tomorrow, but the slimy pollies are “hinting” for agreement with compromise. Bit like their gilt edge pension funds, they voted for it, we pay for it. Now there’s a compromise!

Michael T
August 12, 2009 4:49 am

We have similar phenomena here in UK – they are called Hillary Benn and Ed Milliband. Gordon Brown probably feels like a one-eyed man in the kingdom of the blind.
Pierre Gosselin (01:40:11)
Suggest to the Die Welt experts that they take a look here http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php
and here
http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/AMSRE_Sea_Ice_Extent.png
Good luck…

DAV
August 12, 2009 5:06 am

” I feel it when I’m flying.”
Harry Chapin felt it too when flying his taxi. I thought smoking on flights was banned.

Tony Hansen
August 12, 2009 5:16 am

re: sea monsters in Lake Michigan
And I thought I already had enough to worry about when fishing from (very) small boats.

Tim S.
August 12, 2009 5:29 am

I had respect for Stab’emnow when she voted against the bankster bailout last fall. That respect is now gone.

Charlie
August 12, 2009 5:35 am

Too bad there aren’t elections every year. Between her, Levin and congressman Stupak, Michigan is doomed. Oh yeah, then there is our wonderful state legislature and governor who I’m sure will end up shutting down the state again this fall when they can’t come to grips with the fact that they don’t have any money to do next years budget.
But they are all about the green jobs. You know the green jobs that need $200k to $1.5M in subsidies and result in the loss of ~2.2 jobs in other sectors (numbers off the top of my head from the study of Spains green jobs, so they might not be exactly right). So the four manufacturing jobs that I managed to help create last year at no cost to the government will be replaced by 1.8 jobs at a cost of $360k to $2.7M taxpayer dollars.
And they wonder why people show up to the town hall meetings and TEA party protests and are angry.
And yes, I’ve written to my senators and congressman regarding cap&tax. Apparently I’m an idiot according to all of them.

August 12, 2009 5:39 am

[snip OTT]

Tyler
August 12, 2009 5:46 am

Why is Debbie Stabenow a US Senator? — The Idiocracy has begun.
Brawndo, It’s got what plants crave!

John W.
August 12, 2009 5:48 am

timetochooseagain (18:36:00) :
There is some serious entertainment value here. I say that we should keep her around just for the laughs.
But it’s up to the Michiganers (Michigonians? Michiganites?).

It’s “Michiganders.”
And if YOU want to keep her around for entertainment value, we’ll be happy to ship her to YOUR place. She, Levin and Granholm (the Three Stooges) have done quite enough damage to Michigan.

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