Meanwhile the world temperature anomaly as measured by satellite is near zero – Anthony
NOAA: U.S. Temperature and Precipitation Near-Average for June
July 10, 2009
The June 2009 temperature and precipitation for the contiguous United States were near the long-term average, based on records going back to 1895, according to an analysis by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C.
The average June 2009 temperature of 69.5 degrees F was 0.2 degree F above the 20th Century average. Precipitation across the contiguous United States in June 2009 averaged 2.90 inches, which is 0.01 inch above the long-term value.
U.S. Temperature Highlights
- Above-normal temperatures prevailed in the South, Southeast, and parts of the Northwest, while below-average temperatures were recorded in the Northeast and areas in the Southwest and North Central regions.
- Florida experienced its fourth-warmest June on record. On the cooler side were Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which experienced their ninth- and tenth-coolest June, respectively.
U.S. Precipitation Highlights
- Precipitation was below normal in the southern and northern tier states, but above-normal in the Northeast, West, and parts of the Southwest and West North Central regions.
- Moderate-to-exceptional drought covered 13 percent of the contiguous United States, based on the U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought conditions slightly worsened in the Mississippi Valley, Georgia, and the Carolinas. Drought improvements were seen in the southeastern Rockies and southern High Plains, but remained unchanged in the West.
Other Highlights
- Throughout the High Plains states, flooding and hail affected crops. In Nebraska, preliminary estimates indicate over 150,000 acres of crops were damaged by severe weather, with losses exceeding $10 million.
- There were 6,864 wildfires across the nation in June — the fewest number of fires for the month over the past 10 years. The 525,937 acres burned during June was 435,409 acres below the 2000-2009 average. The 1,903,247 acres burned since January was near the 2000-2009 average of 1,927,474 acres.
NCDC’s preliminary reports, which assess the current state of the climate, are released soon after the end of each month. These analyses are based on preliminary data, which are subject to revision. Additional quality control is applied to the data when late reports are received several weeks after the end of the month and as increased scientific methods improve NCDC’s processing algorithms.
NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.
So why is NYC light green??? Eighth coldest on record -3.7 degrees…
Here’s the “official” release I saw for NYC:
…UNUSUALLY WET AND COOL JUNE FOR CENTRAL PARK…
DUE TO THE UNUSUALLY COOL AND WET CONDITIONS IN JUNE…HERE ARE SOME INTERESTING FACTS TO NOTE:
THIS JUNE IS TIED FOR THE 8TH COOLEST ON RECORD. THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE WAS 67.5…3.7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL…WHICH ALSO
OCCURRED IN 1897.
I’m telling you, this map data is completely FALSE. Once someone starts looking into how this map was made, I guarantee it’s all been twisted:
– “Adjusted” up where green and left unadjusted where yellow/brown.
– Or, I bet they painted NYC dark green (-4), but everything nearby light green (-2) by some screwy interpolation that only Bernie Madoff could understand.
In So CT we had the heat on mornings! More than a decade living here and there hasn’t been anything remotely this cold. We go for walks at night with jackets on. Was like April not June.
Go to it guys.
Juraj V. (08:41:11) :
I see that NOAA started to use whole 20th century as a baseline, starting at 1895, e.g. into the Little ice Age..
Be careful here. The data go back to 1895, but I don’t think that’s the “baseline.” I think in the image Anthony posted, “Normal” is the current standard NOAA normal climatology, i.e. 1971-2000. Now, when they talk about “x warmest June” (or whatever), that’s relative to the entire historical record, not the “baseline” for defining “Normal” seen in NOAA maps.
They should move the starting point to the lowest point of the Little Ice Age and they’ll get the above average temperatures they seek.
Perhaps in the next major revision of climate data they’ll erase the plateau after 1998 replacing it with a up-trend because they say it’s based on faulty data 😛
Robert A Cook PE (09:31:30) :
Interesting that NOAA has to admit “something” about the cold weather these past few years, so – as noted above – they try to compare 2009’s “cooler” weather against the entire past century! Then only can come with a weaselly “Today’s temperatures are average” announcement. Along the lines of my preceding comment, I think “average” is relative to the 1971-2000 NOAA climate “normals,” not the entire period of historical record. The latter is just used in reference to the “x warmest month” malarkey.
And I call it malarkey because if June is the “49th warmest June” since 1895, then it is below the median month, and they should be speaking of the “xth coolest month. They are just showing their bias to describe a cooler than average June (out of the entire record) as the “xth warmest” June.
More June 2009 NYC “Light Green” evidence:
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OCCURRED ON 23 OUT OF 30 DAYS THIS
JUNE…OR 75 PERCENT OF THE MONTH.
CENTRAL PARK HAS NOT HIT 90 DEGREES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE THIS YEAR. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 1996.
CENTRAL PARK HAS NOT HIT 85 DEGREES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE THIS YEAR. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 1916. THIS HAS ONLY OCCURRED 2 OTHER TIMES…1903 AND 1886.
THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 90 OR GREATER THIS YEAR WAS IN
APRIL. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 90 IN APRIL…BUT NOT IN
JUNE WAS BACK IN 1990.
THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 OR GREATER THIS YEAR WAS IN
MAY. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 IN MAY…BUT NOT IN JUNE
WAS BACK IN 1903. THE LAST TIME THAT CENTRAL PARK HIT 85 IN APRIL…BUT NOT IN JUNE WAS ALSO BACK IN 1903.
THE LOWEST TEMPERATURE REACHED IN CENTRAL PARK IN THE MONTH OF JUNE WAS 50 DEGREES. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 2003.
THE LOW TEMPERATURE DIPPED BELOW 60 DEGREES 11 TIMES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS IN 2003 WHEN IT OCCURRED 17 TIMES.
The Pacific Northwest was cold in the region I live in. In June we had low temps in the 30’s and one day with a high in the 50’s. The hot weather garden is a joke, and the cold weather garden is still producing.
The june heat map is a creation of a model, and is not based on localized weather patterns. We have crop failures due to lack of heat, and they are saying our region was warmer then normal.
I hope someone finds the string to unravel this enigma.
Tyler,
It could snow in June and the NOAA would tell you that it’s about normal or evena little warm . It’s become a political propoganda outlet for Al Gore and Jim Hansen, and nothing more.
Saturday 11th July in Selsey, West Sussex, a place known for its clement climate: the family and I gave up pretending that it was summer and turned on the central heating in the house. It was cold!
Monday 13th July … the day was brilliant; clear skies, brilliant sunshine. But I still had to wear a sweater outside. There might be sunshine but there’s no ‘heat’ in it. The growth of the crops in my veggie patch bear this out. I’m getting miserable returns for my efforts this year.
So my amateur eyes are looking at the map and wondering how instrument reliability fits in to all this. One of the big complaints about weather stations in the U.S. is that data collection does not take into account how urban and suburban sprawl has effected the equipment over time (I’m thinking of the famous pictures of a rural weather station sitting in the middle of a blacktop parking lot and another near the exhaust flue of an industrial air conditioner).
Am I wrong in thinking there is ample evidence there is a systematic problem of overstatng the temperatures such that a modern “average year” is probably cooler than an historical average year?
This cannot be. We’ve had runaway global warming since at least 1988 (when we were first warned about it) and are nearing the tipping point. Instead of your lying eyes, you need to trust the peer reviewed scientific literature. These are the gold standard (and only true measure) of truth, along with The Models.
Everything that has happened is exactly what They expected, and the models have foretold.
Also – Rahmstorf know statistics, Schmidt is not afraid to debate, and Hansen is not crazy.
As it is written, so shall it be done.
I was just thinking. Wouldn’t it be better to report comparisons of current temps to averages based on SST oscillations? Examples: Are these temperatures average for a just finished La Nina? Are these temps average for an in-between change from La Nina to El Nino? Are these temps average for an El Nino year? Or do it by climate zone: Are these temps average for zone 7? This would make much mote sense and be much more useful in terms of local and regional planning.
How can NOAA get away with peddling this rubbished based on bullshi(self-snip) data.
I live in the south coast of the UK and I know from my own temperature checks that so far this is the coldest summer since 1966. My tomatoes agree with my numbers and they are at least 3 weeks behind normal – green tomato chutney anyone?
“WUWT understands and predicts changes in NOAA.” How’s that for a slogan, Anthony?
Of course, it is just my luck to live in one of the areas with above normal temperatures. The North Carolina June was the 4th hottest on record, which is a drop from the 2008 June which was the 3rd hottest on record.
However, despite being very hot the humidity has been WAY down. Usually, North Carolina has both the hot hot heat and high high humidity. Not this year. The heat actually feels nice. It isn’t dry like Arizona but just right. Some days are an exception, of course.
One thing I have noticed is that some trees are losing leaves already. It has been dry, so that may be it. But I am keeping my eye on it just in case it is a precursor of things to come.
Is this the same NOAA that has overestimated the daily highs here in Omaha by about 6 degrees nearly everyday for the last few weeks. Ironicly it is almost always because of the same reason. The clouds stuck it out for much more of the day than they figured on. I seem to remember a few discussions about increaed cosmic doodads helping out the clouds a bit and how the modelers because of climate denial don’t seem to want to include anything about that in the models beacause that would just be wrong. Ohh well, I have my long johns already to go. I wonder when the first freeze and snow will be, probably by the end of October.
One of the things that has bothered me about the SC data especially is the minimum temperature seen in June. Normally, meaning the past 40 years. I have had to run air conditioning at night starting the first week in June. Have to run it during the day usually starting in May on the hot days. This June there were nights when we could cut off the AC because it got cool. Remember, years ago, when AGW was first being questioned and max temperatures were NOT setting records, the reason given was the minimums were where the increase in anomolies were. Here in SC, not only were the minimums records at the start of the month, but mild nights continued through the month. The days were hot in the last week but temperatures fell quickly for the Deep South. It makes one wonder if the weighting function has been changed or automatically chooses the hot trend as prevalent (i.e. not a true average).
Tenuc (13:12:12)
Same here in Wiltshire. Incidentally, if you’ve got any of that green tomato chutney going spare …
I notice that Key West seems to be shaded green.
This is a better graph from NOAA!! 😉
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2009/jun/04-06Nationaltrank_pg.gif
Tenuc (13:12:12) : It’s obvious that your tomatoes are in the pay of ExxonMobil. Your tomatoes calling themselves green simply means thet are working undercover.
I notice North Carolina is reported as being warmer by a couple of degrees. My daily log shows it has been COOLER. However upon looking at the data the next day the temperatures for the low and the high of the day before have been adjusted UP by 2 to 5F.
Anyone else see this happening?
I don’t need a government agency to tell me my weather (or climate for that matter) – the peppers and tomatoes in my north eastern Orange County, NY garden tell me all I need to know – whether the map says we’re “yellow” or not, they just are not growing right…
Ah yes, the sun’s activity at a record low, and all we get is ‘average’ temperatures. Shouldn’t temperatures globally be plummeting after a couple years of solar inactivity, rather than just levelling off?
REPLY: The oceans don’t cool off in a year, or even two. Massive heat sink there. It takes time, the oceans are the key. – Anthony
Tyler : “So why is NYC light green??? Eighth coldest on record -3.7 degrees…”
I was thinking the same thing.
“CENTRAL PARK HAS NOT HIT 85 DEGREES IN THE MONTH OF JUNE THIS YEAR. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS BACK IN 1916. THIS HAS ONLY OCCURRED 2 OTHER TIMES…1903 AND 1886.”
It has yet to hit 85 degrees in NYC and its already mid July. Looking at the 10 day forecast, they are predicting 87 for Thursday but then back into the low 80s and upper 70s. If we don’t hit 85 on Thursday, we are looking at both June and July with no 85 degree days.
But the NOAA maps says we are only slightly below normal, so just ignore your thermometer.
PS As somebody red-green color-blind, these maps are terrible. Why not just use red for hot and blue for cold in various shades with white being neutral and dump the yellows and green?
How can central Arizona be in the -2 to 0 degree F range? We experianced the coolest June that anyone around here can recall. We were below 100 degrees F for a near record 13 days or so (the record from 1913 was missed by one day), while the normal high was typically 106/7 degrees F. I’m not sure we ever hit the normal high for the entire month. I know the lows were only slightly below normal, but that is typical due to the Urban Heat Island effect in the Phoenix area. I recall the satelite data showing a much cooler anomoly for Arizona. Is the difference from adjustment? If so, its absolute poppycock.