Busted: Catlin Arctic Ice Survey "Didn't Expect" To Find First Year Ice

The farcical account of the Catlin Crew continues. You don’t even have to dig deep anymore to find as many holes in their stories as they say they are drilling. In addition to what Steve points out, our own “Charles the moderator” provided the video framegrab below, notice anything interesting? You can watch the Quicktime video showing how they do “drilling and measurement” on the Catlin website developer, Indigopapa.tv,  is here .

catlin_ice_measurement_technique
Click for larger image

In case you don’t see it, the answer for the clip above is at the end of the article. – Anthony

Guest post by Steven Goddard

In the April 15 Catlin blog, they made the following statement:

Wednesday, 15 Apr 2009 12:39

The Catlin Arctic Survey has now released its first set of ice and snow thickness measurements, showing the floating sea ice cover it has travelled over in the early stage is predominantly new ice, with an average thickness of 1.77m.  The findings were obtained by manual drilling and are currently being analysed by science partners.

Finding ‘First Year Ice’ in this part of the Ocean was not what the Ice Team had expected at this stage of a route chosen, in conjunction with science advisors, to begin in an area where there would be multi-year ice. It suggests that the older, thicker ice has either moved to a different part of the ocean or has melted. This First Year Ice will only have formed since September 2008 and, being thinner, is less likely to survive the annual summer thaw. It points to an ever-smaller summer ice covering around the North Geographic Pole this year.

This is interesting, because according to the NSIDC map of ice age, their start point was squarely on first year ice – as measured by NSIDC in February.  I overlaid the NSIDC February map on top of the Catlin route map – seen below.  NSIDC shows multi-year ice as shades of red and orange, and their start point was more than 100km away from the edge of the multi-year ice.
See below:
If they were looking for older ice, there were many obvious (and shorter) routes they could have chosen.  What made them choose this route, which was apparently too long to be completed and which started on first year ice?
NSIDC map – yellow is first year ice
On April 2, the team reported that they were on “older and thicker” ice:

We’ve noticed that the ice is older and thicker than before

yet on the April 15 blog they state:

The Catlin Arctic Survey has now released its first set of ice and snow thickness measurements, showing the floating sea ice cover it has travelled over in the early stage is predominantly new ice, with an average thickness of 1.77m.

Ice age is quantized.  The age of the ice is either one, two, three, four, or more years.  There are no intermediate values, so their apparently contradictory statements are difficult to reconcile.

At the other end of the measurement spectrum, NASA’s IceSat has made more than 1.9 billion ice measurements already this spring – with no hypothermia or frostbite.

ICESAT Satellite Image

ANSWER: The tape measure shows a red 7F marker. That’s 7 feet for our Euro and UK visitors. Now why would they measure in feet then convert to meters?:

“…with an average thickness of 1.77m” source: April 15 Catlin blog

when you can easily buy metric tape measures with calibration certificates in Great Britain?

https://www.totalofficesupplies.co.uk/catalog/images/701773.jpg

I could be wrong, but I watched the video several times to see if I could see evidence of perhaps printing in English units one side and Metric on the other, I did not see any and I did several frame grabs. It looks to me as if one side is blank and the other printed only in Feet and Inches. It appears to me that the tape is translucent white, perhaps a cloth or vinyl tape which would be lighter than a steel one since they have gear carrying considerations to make.

Readers feel free to double check my observation and report in comments. – Anthony

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Manny
April 19, 2009 3:09 am

Hugh (16:24:39) :
Hmmmm….if these people were in high finance, I would think they had been working with Bernie Madoff.
Hugh, this whole scam is being sponsored by an insurance company “Catlin” who want to insurance people against global warming and rising sea levels etc.
The word “Catlin” is going to be a new entry in the Oxford/English Dictionary –
catlin (cat-lin) verb
to deceive, to delibralely fabricate, to de-fraud to public….

alex verlinden
April 20, 2009 9:58 am

Keith …
if their positional data are correct, both possibilities (just dumb and/or drift) remain wide open … though I was doubtful at first, you might be right about them starting at 140° W, and gradually going/drifting east … it’s now 126ish, when it was 129+ on 1st April …
did anyone take hardcopy of their position during the month of March ?

obnoxiusnox
April 23, 2009 10:04 am

1.77 meters sounds smaller than 7 feet.

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