Earth's Magnetic Field Has Massive Breach – scientists baffled

I know. This sounds like a plot of a 1950’s scifi movie. But it is real. From my view, our localized corner of the solar system is now different than it used to be and changes in the magnetic interactions are evident everywhere. First we have the interplanetary magnetic field that took an abrupt dive in October 2005 and has not recovered since and remains at very low level:

ap_dec08-520

click for a larger image

Then we have the recent discovery that the ionosphere has dropped in altitude to unexpected and unexplained low levels.

We have a solar cycle 24 (driven by the solar magnetic dynamo) which can’t seem to get out of the starting gate, being a year late with forecasts for activity from it being revised again and again.

And finally we have this, this discovery that Earth’s magnetic field can be ripped open and our atmosphere laid bare to the solar wind, much like Mars.

Magnetism is underrated in the grand scheme of things, in my opinion. We’d do well to pay more attention to magnetic trends in our corner of the universe and what effects it has on Earthly climate. – Anthony


From NASA News (h/t to Geoff Sharp)

Dec. 16, 2008: NASA’s five THEMIS spacecraft have discovered a breach in Earth’s magnetic field ten times larger than anything previously thought to exist. Solar wind can flow in through the opening to “load up” the magnetosphere for powerful geomagnetic storms. But the breach itself is not the biggest surprise. Researchers are even more amazed at the strange and unexpected way it forms, overturning long-held ideas of space physics.

“At first I didn’t believe it,” says THEMIS project scientist David Sibeck of the Goddard Space Flight Center. “This finding fundamentally alters our understanding of the solar wind-magnetosphere interaction.”

The magnetosphere is a bubble of magnetism that surrounds Earth and protects us from solar wind. Exploring the bubble is a key goal of the THEMIS mission, launched in February 2007. The big discovery came on June 3, 2007, when the five probes serendipitously flew through the breach just as it was opening. Onboard sensors recorded a torrent of solar wind particles streaming into the magnetosphere, signaling an event of unexpected size and importance.

Right: One of the THEMIS probes exploring the space around Earth, an artist’s concept. [more]

“The opening was huge—four times wider than Earth itself,” says Wenhui Li, a space physicist at the University of New Hampshire who has been analyzing the data. Li’s colleague Jimmy Raeder, also of New Hampshire, says “1027 particles per second were flowing into the magnetosphere—that’s a 1 followed by 27 zeros. This kind of influx is an order of magnitude greater than what we thought was possible.”

The event began with little warning when a gentle gust of solar wind delivered a bundle of magnetic fields from the Sun to Earth. Like an octopus wrapping its tentacles around a big clam, solar magnetic fields draped themselves around the magnetosphere and cracked it open. The cracking was accomplished by means of a process called “magnetic reconnection.” High above Earth’s poles, solar and terrestrial magnetic fields linked up (reconnected) to form conduits for solar wind. Conduits over the Arctic and Antarctic quickly expanded; within minutes they overlapped over Earth’s equator to create the biggest magnetic breach ever recorded by Earth-orbiting spacecraft.

Above: A computer model of solar wind flowing around Earth’s magnetic field on June 3, 2007. Background colors represent solar wind density; red is high density, blue is low. Solid black lines trace the outer boundaries of Earth’s magnetic field. Note the layer of relatively dense material beneath the tips of the white arrows; that is solar wind entering Earth’s magnetic field through the breach. Credit: Jimmy Raeder/UNH. [larger image]

The size of the breach took researchers by surprise. “We’ve seen things like this before,” says Raeder, “but never on such a large scale. The entire day-side of the magnetosphere was open to the solar wind.”

The circumstances were even more surprising. Space physicists have long believed that holes in Earth’s magnetosphere open only in response to solar magnetic fields that point south. The great breach of June 2007, however, opened in response to a solar magnetic field that pointed north.

“To the lay person, this may sound like a quibble, but to a space physicist, it is almost seismic,” says Sibeck. “When I tell my colleagues, most react with skepticism, as if I’m trying to convince them that the sun rises in the west.”

Here is why they can’t believe their ears: The solar wind presses against Earth’s magnetosphere almost directly above the equator where our planet’s magnetic field points north. Suppose a bundle of solar magnetism comes along, and it points north, too. The two fields should reinforce one another, strengthening Earth’s magnetic defenses and slamming the door shut on the solar wind. In the language of space physics, a north-pointing solar magnetic field is called a “northern IMF” and it is synonymous with shields up!

“So, you can imagine our surprise when a northern IMF came along and shields went down instead,” says Sibeck. “This completely overturns our understanding of things.”

Northern IMF events don’t actually trigger geomagnetic storms, notes Raeder, but they do set the stage for storms by loading the magnetosphere with plasma. A loaded magnetosphere is primed for auroras, power outages, and other disturbances that can result when, say, a CME (coronal mass ejection) hits.

The years ahead could be especially lively. Raeder explains: “We’re entering Solar Cycle 24. For reasons not fully understood, CMEs in even-numbered solar cycles (like 24) tend to hit Earth with a leading edge that is magnetized north. Such a CME should open a breach and load the magnetosphere with plasma just before the storm gets underway. It’s the perfect sequence for a really big event.”

Sibeck agrees. “This could result in stronger geomagnetic storms than we have seen in many years.”

For more information about the THEMIS mission, visit http://nasa.gov/themis


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December 17, 2008 9:56 am

crosspatch (09:17:30) :
“The years ahead could be especially lively. Raeder explains: “We’re entering Solar Cycle 24. For reasons not fully understood, CMEs in even-numbered solar cycles (like 24) tend to hit Earth with a leading edge that is magnetized north. Such a CME should open a breach and load the magnetosphere with plasma just before the storm gets underway. It’s the perfect sequence for a really big event.””
It has been known for decades [since the 1960s] that there is a 22-year cycle in geomagnetic storms [and we know why] such that they are stronger from the maximum of even cycles to the maximum of odd cycles and weaker from the maximum of odd cycles to the maximum of even cycles. So the years ahead [until 2013] will see weaker storms [or rather the storms will have less effect], so the announcement is even wrong on this.

Jim Arndt
December 17, 2008 9:57 am

Alittle OT but to Leif,
Usoskin, Solanki and Kovaltsov
Have you read their papers and any thoughts. They don’t quite see it as you do.
http://cc.oulu.fi/~usoskin/personal/Sola2-PRL_published.pdf
http://cc.oulu.fi/~usoskin/personal/usoskin_CR_2008.pdf
http://cc.oulu.fi/~usoskin/personal/nature02995.pdf

Charles Higley
December 17, 2008 9:57 am

Hi,
I was just looking to see if there has been any comments about GISS’s disappearing of their graph showing the monthly temperature. It is usually out by the 10th of the month, but it appears that, after the little September substituted for October in November, they decided to can keeping up the graphs. It was not going the way Dr Hansen wanted anyhow, so I guess it should be ignored/hidden/disappeared/buried.

Robert Bateman
December 17, 2008 9:57 am

It would be great news if somebody would construct a model and tell us when the climate oscillations will shift back to ‘warm’.
Or tell us that it is going to be cold for the next 15 years so change your crops & planting habits so you don’t perish.
Unfortunately, I have to agree with the assumption that someone wants to use fear to ensure their steady supply of ‘research money’.

Me
December 17, 2008 10:05 am

And I guess I’m still supposed to believe that humans went through all that and went to the moon and back with no problems, physically or technically, on the first try, right?

E.M.Smith
Editor
December 17, 2008 10:11 am

Pamela Gray (06:35:33) :
The recent rapidly occurring cold snap in Northern American has killed 22 people in just the US. I don’t know the numbers for Canada. The numbers are predicted to double (and are likely underestimated) by the time this arctic blast goes away.

Does that include the 3 young women killed at Squaw Valley yesterday? (CO poisoning while setting in running car in / under snow). RIP.

Bill Illis
December 17, 2008 10:33 am

The Earth’s magnetic field has been weakening for some time now (I don’t know if it is a significant weakening.)
It is also becoming less organized as there are little north magnetic polarity zones popping up in the southern hemisphere and other non-conformities.
The field reversal could happen any day now or it could take another 100,000 years. One problem would be that it doesn’t just switch polarity suddenly, it likely weakens to very little strength over up to 1,000 years before the south-north strength returns.
It probably wouldn’t be a good time for us humans living in an electronic age, but the lack of mass extinctions at other reversals shows it is not completely disastrous.

Jeff Alberts
December 17, 2008 10:49 am

Graeme Rodaughan (21:27:35) :
I’m sure that this effect is “unprecendented’, and since we haven’t seen it before it can’t be natural, and must be caused by man.
Just look at the Ozone hole. When that was dicovered – it was obvious that it must be man made as no one had ever seen it before…

Actually when it was discovered in the mid 1950s it was no big deal. They monitored it and after a few years an obvious cycle emerged which was related to the seasons. It wasn’t until the envirowhacko movement 20 or so years later that someone decided it was getting worse (it wasn’t) and that humans were to blame (we aren’t).

E.M.Smith
Editor
December 17, 2008 10:52 am

Syl (20:17:43) :
The current global climate/sun relationship and the global financial breakdown are two very interesting and intriguing phenomena that I find both fascinating and frightening.

That these two arrived together may not be accidental.
For an interesting time, take the list of financial /banking panics and plot them against the sunspot cycle. Not exact, but creepy. That we now have a very very low sunspot rate AND the deepest financial panic in quite a while is, er, disturbing.
I would like to think that people are not tied to such a cycle, that we are above it all. I would like to think that it must be accidental. I take solace in the couple of panics that are not in sync. Then I wonder: if when the squirrels and critters are prepping for a long winter, maybe we sense the same thing and start pulling back the cash to stuff in the mattress …
The magnetite that lets critters sense magnetic fields has been found in our brains too. I use any reference to “magnets did {foo}” as a flag for looney toons tin hat arguments coming, so it pains me to suggest this, but maybe, just maybe, we are tied to the magnetosphere in ways we do not ken …
This relationship has been noted several times throughout economic history. Most notably by William Stanley Jevons. Despite being poo-poo’d and ridiculed, it just won’t go away. (I was one of the poo-poo’ers at one point. Now I’m not so sure…)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Stanley_Jevons
Sidebar: For an amusing time, read this history of the panic of 33 A.D. Yes, the more things change the more they stay the same…. It reads like a spoof of today, like “A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Forum”, but it is real history. And the ‘fix’ was the same too. The government bought / guaranteed mortgages at a discount and flooded the system with liquidity. (I don’t know what sunspots did in 33 A.D. …)
http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Influence_of_Wealth_in_Imperial_Rome/The_Business_Panic_of_33_A.D.

Austin
December 17, 2008 10:58 am

Record breaking cold in Norcal last night.
Some examples:
Eureka hit 24 which broke the old record of 29.
Santa Rosa was one degree away from the old record at 24 vs 23 for the record.

December 17, 2008 10:59 am

Hi,
Can you please provide some more information regarding you opening,
“Changes in the magnetic interactions are evident everywhere. First we have the interplanetary magnetic field that took an abrupt dive in October 2005 and has not recovered since.”
Have magetic changes been observed on other planets as well?

Jeff Alberts
December 17, 2008 11:00 am

Katlab (22:35:05) :
It would be interesting to go back and rethink old stories. I remember archeologists always wondered what happened to this one civilization in India. The ruins were still there partially submerged. Folklore had said, that one day, the ocean came up and swallowed it. They didn’t believe them until the tsunami hit again, and they understood.

I seriously doubt that archaeologists didn’t believe Tsunamis could occur or that earthquakes could dump coastal areas into the sea. What they may not have believed is the folklore that a giant turtle emerged from the sea and ate the city, then returned to the sea (not saying that’s the specific myth behind this, just pointing out silly ancient mythologies to explain mundane events)

Jeff Alberts
December 17, 2008 11:02 am

lgl said: “Not so fast now. Earth’s rotation is changing all the time, last flip coincidentally happened in 2004.”

Rotational flip?? Are you on drugs??

Michael S
December 17, 2008 11:05 am

I could see why temperature could affect LOD… The same way temperature is measured from ocean surface height by satellites, (cooler being lower, warmer being higher due to the density difference), cooler oceans would tend to put more mass toward the center of the earth, thereby reducing its moment of inertia, and speeding rotation up. Makes sense. Subtract the effect of tidal friction (which slows the rotation of the earth on a continuous basis) and you might get an ocean temperature proxy.

Jeff Alberts
December 17, 2008 11:11 am

Brian Johnson (23:20:51) :
Frankly from now on I am going to rely on Nostradamus……….there must be a relevant quatrain somewhere……….

If not, you could make one up like a lot of “prophecy scholars” do.

Jeff Alberts
December 17, 2008 11:14 am

Alan Wilkinson (02:26:25) :
Experimental scientists are delighted when they find something unexpected. But modellers are dismayed because it undermines their credibility.

And the rest of us just say, “Yeah, sure, whatever”

Austin
December 17, 2008 11:14 am

Record cold for S Oregon as well –
Klamath falls broke the old record by 4 degrees.
Burns by 11 degrees.
Bend and Redmond tied its record.
In Norcal:
Mt Shasta did by 3 degrees.
Montague broke its old record by 13 degrees.
Susanville by 10 degrees.
Alturas by 10 degrees.
Yreka by 13 degrees.
This is significant cold.

E.M.Smith
Editor
December 17, 2008 11:23 am

alexjc38 (01:14:48) :
So next – it will be Climate _____ (fill in the blank.) Which word will they start to use next, I wonder?

Catastrophe …

D Werme
December 17, 2008 11:23 am

“Aren’t we due for some kind of polarity reversal in the geomagnetic field sometime soon?”
“Actually quite overdue. It seems the “average” period is about 250K years and it has been about 750K years since the last one.”
They are very hard to generalize. The Cretaceous period (fairly recent) had a 23 million year period without a flip.
As far as how long a flip takes, i don’t know, but there is a nice basalt flow here in Oregon, a few million years old, with no paleomagnetic signal.

Michael S
December 17, 2008 11:23 am

I see now that I read the article, ocean temperature effect on moment of inertia is a factor they have not considered… Maybe it’s the order of magnitude difference they were looking for (the study considered atmospheric conditions)…

lgl
December 17, 2008 11:27 am

Richard, Jim,
I guess speed of rotation, as seen in length of day.
http://virakkraft.com/PDO-mag-dec.ppt
And Leif, you’re right, it’s when the day gets 1 ms longer.
Also interesting, there is no good explanation for the temp dip around 1900 (as pointed out by Bob Tisdale) but at that time there was a peak in length of day, 4 ms (around 3 ms in 1970), which favours a La-Nina condition.

Stevie B
December 17, 2008 11:43 am

Leif Svalgaard (08:45:09) :
“In fact, scientists are extremely conservative and do not run with just any scheme, unless it is supported by compelling evidence.”
…or grant money and TV time…

debby
December 17, 2008 11:44 am

I mentioned this decreased magnetic field in a thread here last week. Nice to see more information on the subject. The question remains does this have an impact on “weather” or “climate”? Saw a program on National Geographic channel Naked Science that discussed reversals in the magnetic field.
They also mentioned the South Atlantic Anomaly [SAA] which is located off the Brazilian coast and was found in the 1950’s. Around the 1980’s an areas of magnetic reversal was discovered in this area. This area has allows cosmic rays lower into our atmosphere. Radiation in this area is high and impacts planes with passengers as well as satellites [Hubble has to be shut down to pass through area]. Here are several links on this anomaly.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Atlantic_Anomaly
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index835.htm
http://heasarc.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/rosat/gallery/display/saa.html
http://www.redicecreations.com/news/2005/10oct/poleshift1.html
http://www.redicecreations.com/news/2005/10oct/poleshift2.htm
http://www.redicecreations.com/news/2005/10oct/poleshift3.html
Still have more questions, but still more information to find.
debby

E.M.Smith
Editor
December 17, 2008 11:53 am

Sam the Skeptic (03:04:42) :
I’ve been a registered skeptic since the days of the great Antarctic Ozone Hole (or maybe even earlier). Why did we assume then that this was something odd, unusual, man-made and disastrous?

Because: a) the patent ran out on R12 but not on R134a. and b) someone had a model of Cl- in the upper atmosphere & needed funding…

Jeff L
December 17, 2008 11:57 am

Chris H (01:00:03) :”That’s assuming the polarity reversals are real, and their ‘traces’ are not caused by some other (not yet understood!) phenomena…”
I wouldn’t go there Chris. Polarity reversals are real. There is really no arguing that. They are documented in oceanic crust. As new crust is formed, magnetite crystals align with the earths magnetic field before the magma solidifies into solid rock. Once solidified, the magnetite crystals are locked into place, thus preserving a record of the earths magnetic field at the time of the rock’s formation. New crust is constantly being formed at spreading centers so we have a continuous record of the Earths magnetic field back to the Jurassic. There is very little oceanic crust older than that as it gets subducted back into the mantle with time (thus spreading & subduction balance each other out & the Earth remains the same size). Furthermore, reversals can be shown to be the same age world wide when radiometric age-dating of the rocks is done. The magnetic “stripes” in the crust can be mapped thruout the oceans. This has been a key technique in reconstructing the plate tectonics of the Earth.
All that being said, we know reversals are real, but I haven’t a good explanation as to the how & why they occur. Theories , yes. Solid answers. no.

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