More anecdotal colder than normal weather keeps piling up. This time it’s in Southern Oregon and Northeastern California. Clearly we are having some far earlier than normal frosts and freezes in the USA, and the situation seems to be mirrored in colder than normal weather in parts of UK and Europe as well.
Note that this frost advisory has no connection to the weather pattern that caused frost and freeze in Minnesota and Wisconsin last night, it is a different frontal system.
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…TULELAKE…DORRIS…ALTAMONT…
KLAMATH FALLS…BEATTY…BLY…CHEMULT…CRESCENT…GILCHRIST…
SPRAGUE RIVER…LAKEVIEW
238 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2008
…FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM PDT
TUESDAY…
CLEARING SKIES BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
DROP INTO THE 30S IN MANY AREAS EAST OF THE CASCADES TONIGHT. SOME
ISOLATED LOCATIONS WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING.
A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.
Map from National Weather Service, Medford Oregon
h/t to Pamela Gray
Cold enough for dry ice to form!
Current temperature at Vostok Station, Antarctica is -115°F!!
Forecasted low for Thursday was -124°F last I checked. This would be within 5 degrees of the lowest temperature ever recorded!!
For more anecdotal information, the Chicago area has had it’s lowest number of 90° and above days for the first eight years in a decde, since the 30’s. Hope I stated that correctly. I’m not an intellectual, pseudo or otherwise.
But I do like to read what you all write here and elsewhere about the coming AGW catastrophe which will wipe out every and all life forms from the face of the earth. Or not. For me, I’ll start to worry when the climate stops changing. Or Obama gets elected. Whichever comes first.
“Cold enough for dry ice to form!” Kate
Sounds like a positive feedback in the negative direction.
Anecdotal evidence is what the common person sees. If you have a BS behind your name (or a lot of BS), it becomes a scientific observation to support or refrute a theory.
Long time lurker but first time posting. I really enjoy your blog and please keep up the good work. My brother lives in the Chicago area and posted an anecdotal weather observation that I would like to share. He stated that you can almost see the entire south bend of Lake Michigan due to the sky being completely clear. He noted this usually occurs in November and note late August.
I emailed a local met about how often we get frost/freeze warnings in our area before Labor Day. And the years in which they happened in the last 10 or 20 years. May take a little time for a response, but I’ll post it when I hear back.
I know we have had them around this time of year in the past, but not sure when. At least frost advisories. Freeze warnings seem a little more unprecedented. The Iron Range of MN is known for its early frosts in the valleys. In fact, they have the state record for the coldest temp recorded(-60F) in Feb 1996. Cold air pools in this area when a cold high is over us, and calm conditions.
Climatic fall began on the US West Coast on July 19th.
And you ain’t seen nothing yet.
Wait until next decade.
We’ll look bake upon 2008 as being part of the good old days. The end of a Golden Age.
bake -> back.
dearieme (07:57:15) :
“Apparently Shetland has had a nice summer.”
This is for the same reason that Ireland, England and Wales have had a wet summer, the jet stream is much further south than usual and now northern scotland and the islands are above the cloudy parts of the jet stream hence the sunnier weather. The jet stream is starting to edge northwards again so it should brighten up from the south upwards very soon.
Well Pierre your temp map shows we in Wisconsin are experiencing a positive anomaly. Much of the state had frosts the last two nights and it is decidedly chilly anywhere in the Northern half of the state. It appears your map needs some contact with reality
More sensational fearmongering:
Polar Bears Seen Swimming For Their Lives
Receding Arctic Sea Ice Threatens Survival of Species
Ten polar bears have been spotted swimming in open water during an aerial survey as the peak of summer sea ice melting nears.
Drowning polar bears has only been seen as a threat to the species in recent years as the extent of sea ice recedes to historic low levels. Last year, there was more open water than ever before recorded; this year’s melt, while dramatic, won’t reach the same extent as 2007.
Anthony i’m not sure what your web site is but I just noticed that noaa shows A frost advisory for northern New York .Thats three frost or freeze warnins or advisories in three days and it’s still august .I wonder what the record is for early frost in the U.S.? I know I know it’s natural variences.Only when it’s warm should we be concerned .By the way this is the mildest summer here in the foothills of north carolina I can remember in years.We had a week of low to mid 90’s in late june and again in late july but it’s been mostly in the low to mid 80 with some 70’s .
I did find some info on frosts & snows before Labor day in reports filed with the NCDC.
There may be more incidents that were not reported. I’ll see what the local met says for more recent stuff in my area when I hear back.
Patchy frost
Aug 19, 2004
E ND & NW MN
Snow
Aug 29-31, 2003
WY Grand Teton
2ft at summit
Frost warning
Aug 1, 2001
N CA & S OR
Frost warning
Aug 19, 2000
N CA & S OR
Frost warning
Aug 14, 1999
N CA & SC OR
Frost warning
Aug 30, 1999
N CA & SC OR
Snow
Aug 30, 1999
C OR & Foothills of Blue Mt.
1.5″ 6300ft+ Pauline Lake
Trace 6400ft+ Mt Bachelor & Black Butte
Snow
Aug 18, 1998
AK Denali Park
8″
Snow
Aug 26, 1993
MT
Butte 5″
Georgetown Lake 12″
Snow
Aug 29-30, 1993
MT
Little Belts and Front Range(6000ft+)
6-12″
Found more for MN in history records.
August 2
1831 Cold outbreak across state with light frost reported at Ft. Snelling.
August 8
1882 August snowstorm on Lake Michigan. 6 inches of slush on ship decks. Snow showers on shore.
August 13
1964 A taste of fall over area with 26 in Bigfork and 30 in Campbell.
August 16
1981 Chilly across the state with Tower reporting a low of 33 degrees.
August 24
1934 Early arctic blast over state. Rochester and Fairmont have lows of 34 degrees.
August 26
1915 Severe cold and killing frosts across Minnesota with 23 degrees at Roseau.
August 27
1992 A chilly night in Embarrass. The temperature dipped to 28 degrees.
August 29
1863 A devastating killing frost affected most of Minnesota, killing vines and damaging corn.
August 31
1949 Earliest snowfall known for Minnesota. A trace of snow fell at the new Duluth Airport.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
311 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008
NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-270715-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
311 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK…CENTRAL
VERMONT…NORTHEAST VERMONT…NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SOME PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DEEPER VALLEYS OF
THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS IN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM
OF VERMONT WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE DEEPER
SHELTERED VALLEY REGIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BETWEEN 33 AND 38
DEGREES BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING…WITH SOME SCATTERED FROST
POSSIBLE.
Looks like we will see frost in several northern tier states.
Keith
Anthony,
You’re probably on this like a fly on sugar, but there is a new article on ICECAP about a University of Washington study of Cascade Snowpack by Mass basicly crediting natural causes to snowpack changes. (‘scuse me while I wash my mouth out – I come from the other university WSU). I thought you’d like to know, and it’s sort of on topic…kinda…
Mike
I wonder how polar bears adapted over the millenia to be able to swim long distances if they’ve never had to do so before because the arctic has been covered by ice since the beginning of time.
How many land animals do you know of that can swim as far as polar bears do? Obviously they know how to deal with water because they have done so before.
Does anyone know where I can find information on current Antarctic temperatures and forecasts?
Michael:
As a loyal Husky, let me hand you some purple and gold mouthwash.
But I can agree with my Cougar friends that this last winter (huge snowpack) and this early Autumn (vine maple changing color already in the Cascade Mountains) has made me wonder where summer went…
I already fought several wars.
Whenever against tyranny.
The main tactic of the enemy:
It is the division of resistance.
The enemy has a name:
James (T. Kirk).
Dr. Hansen:
I know you personally write on the blog.
We are few.
We have no money.
We do not have satellites.
Your lies.
Your model. (IPCC 4 .. 5 .. 6 .. n)
Your generals.
Your media.
Your GISS.
Your spies.
Scientifically your arguments ended.
Mr Hansen:
unconditionally:
On board the USS Missouri.
Not the division of skeptical.
I love Pamela.
I love Pierre.
Sorry for the mistakes.
edcon (09:58:04) :
“It seems okay to accept the concept that global temperature increase is related to CO2 but in reality it is only anecdotal….”
ONLY anecdotal! Do you actually know what an anecdote is? Wouldyou like fries with that!
John-X: Yes, it would imply cooler North Pacific SSTs. North Paciic SSTs been declining since 2004.
http://i36.tinypic.com/wi61zk.jpg
SSTs for most of the other oceans are dropping too. The Southern Ocean SSTs have been dropping since 1985. The South Atlantic SSTs have been flat for that period.
http://bobtisdale.blogspot.com/2008/08/30-years-of-ocean-ssts-january-1978-to.html
It’s all a matter of time.
Mr Dubrasich said: (22:54:38) :
“Dittos to Brian and Carl. Fall came a month early. My tomatoes are still green. ”
Not a problem. Make green tomato chutney, great with ham or cold chicken. If you prefer your tomatoes red, put them in a brown paper bag for a few days and they will ripen. To speed the process add a banana. It’s not guaranteed, but works a good 9 times out of 10.
Getting chilly in London too. I just cut down on the blood pressure pills and keep myself nice and warm.
FatBigot, you should put the green police and the NHS together. Think of the savings!
John A., Anthony,
Go here:
http://hurricane.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/climatenormals/climatenormals.pl
and you’ll see a link to climatological normals (1971-2000) for freeze and frost dates.
How biased is the media in reporting hot anecdotes, but not cold anecdotes?
A quick check on google news:
Search for “cold” “weather” 12 283 hits
Search for “hot” “weather” 20 857 hits
So possibly the media is somewhat biased towards reporting on the hot weather. But its not exactly a conspiracy of silence. Perhaps they report more on hot weather because of legitamte concerns about AGW, and so thats what people want to hear about.
Either that or there is more hot weather going around than cold at the moment.
Or there is more cold weather than hot going around and the media is strongly biased. Its probably impossible to make a good definition of how much reporting a ‘fair’ media should give to hot and cold weather…