We’ve seen a lot of anecdotal evidence of a cooler than usual summer in many parts of the Northern Hemisphere. This one caught my eye though, because I can’t ever recall of hearing a freeze warning being issued for this region before Labor Day.
Here are the normals and records for Monday, August 25th:
THE DULUTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 72 95 1888
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 52 40 1950
It looks like a new record could be set for Duluth, and likely Ely, also.
Here is the latest warning from the NWS in Duluth:
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
146 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008
…FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY.
.A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS UNDERNEATH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES AND NEAR CALM
WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING
IN MANY LOCATIONS EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 28 TO 32
DEGREE RANGE… WITH A PERIOD OF 2 TO 3 HOURS OF READINGS BELOW
THE FREEZING MARK. SOME FAVORED LOW LYING AREAS NEAR AND JUST
NORTH OF THE IRON RANGE MAY SEE TEMPERATURES DROP AS LOW AS THE
MID 20S FOR A SHORT TIME. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
REBOUND INTO THE 40S AND 50S BY MID MORNING MONDAY.
Here are the numbers for the region provided on a nice map they provide:
David L. Hagen: “Following Svensmark’s preliminary experimental confirmation, CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, is creating the CLOUD atmospheric research facility to quantify cosmic ray atmospheric aerosol nucleation.”
I read somewhere that this proposed experiment at CERN had been axed.
In early 2007, a Belgian professional meteorologist publicly said that here in Belgium there are gradually more heat waves. But this are the numbers of days at Uccle (where the Royal Meteorological Institute is situated) with maximum temperature of 30.0 °C or more:
in 2006: 11
in 2007: 2
in 2008: 1
Well, I know that no serious statistics can be made on such a short basis — except, of course, if the temperature goes the other way, as in this case one single hot summer ‘proves’ global warming… 🙂
Here’s one a bit O/T that’s revealing in its spin:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7580294.stm
It’s about the glacial melt in the Alps and what’s being revealed. It now seems that there were warmer periods in the past — the Medieval Warm Period, the Roman Warm Period, and earlier warm periods. Artifacts are being revealed from these earlier eras as the ice melts. Of course, this is being spun as showing how earlier cyclical warm periods were natural but the Modern Warm Period is a result of AGW. The fact that current warming is just a continuation of previous cyclical events is being denied; can’t upset the AGW apple cart.
We’ll probably have a few decades of cooling before the warming resumes for a couple centuries. After that, who knows how nasty the cooling will become.
Crosspatch (19:00:37) :
Russia has about 95 million metric tons silo capacity. Of course, that is only part of the picture. By no means all the silos are in the right place. More are needed in the southern and central parts of the country, where most grain is produced and exported.
Building 100,000 tons of silo capacity in Russia costs about $50 million, including costs for rail, road and power connections and, while Russia seems to be able to find the money to finance its mad adventures in Georgia, it has been reluctant to invest in infrastructure.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aZMAmxZXmpeI&refer=home
C’mon guys –
This is just another anecdote in the cacophony of climate debate humbug.
There’s absolutely nothing unusual or meaningful about this “frost”, and
I challenge anyone to show otherwise.
In fact the 10 day forecast for North America looks to be on the warm side.
http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp2.html
Egads! Climate change before industrialisation!
from the Geophysical Research Letters,
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/08/080819092017.htm
“Gerald Bond suggested that every 1,500 years, weak solar activity caused by fluctuations in the sun’s magnetic fields cools the North Atlantic Ocean…”
Pierre,
THE DULUTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 72 95 1888
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 52 40 1950
Forecast: OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 28 TO 32
DEGREE RANGE…”
I’m just sayin…
Reminds me of an old story:
The young, modern leader of the Native Americans in North Dakota looked at the weather forcast for the upcoming winter given by the National Weather Service and advised his people to gather extra firewood as it seemed it might be a colder than normal winter. A month later he checked the forecast again and it was for an even colder winter so he advised his people to gather even more wood. A month later the forecast was again revised to be even colder so once again he advised his people to gather all the wood they could possibly find. The final pre-winter forecast was the coldest yet and the leader called the weather service to ask what was casuing them to believe the winter was going to be one of the coldest on record. Their reply was,”Do you see how much wood the Indians are gathering?”
Accuweather is reporting 32F at 7:07 CDT at Cook, MN.
Something strange is going on in NAmerica. AGW stipulates a steadily warming, which mitigates the formation of continental polar air masses. In summer, these air masses can certainly form, but they should not have the kind of upper level support which can a)give them enough depth to withstand the modification of the hot earth’s surface and b)drive them deep into the southern mid-latitudes.
This is now the 3rd consecutive NAmerican summer in which the eastern 1/2 has seen frontal passages well into the Dog Days. Cool, dry air has penetrated the Central Rockies, the Plains, and Eastern Seaboard. In an AGW scenario, the subtropical Hadley Cell would dominate NAmerica with summer long heat waves and droughts. Temps in St Paul should be near triple digits, Boston should be seeing temps in the 95-100 degree range, and the polar front should be bottled up in Central Canada.
Jeff Wiita (22:43:57) :
I’m not David, and I don’t have time to look up the latest info, but see
http://spacecenter.dk/research/sun-climate/experiments/the-cloud-experiment/cloud/
for fairly recent details.
There were financial problems in the past, really unfortunate given the current state of the sun, but AFAIK, it’s on track for 2010.
Kate (00:06:24) :
“I might have to get Canadian honey this year”
Well, the bears seem to be doing well in Anchorage. I wonder if they’re any good at pollinating flowers? 🙂
http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/wildlife/bears/story/475837.html
While it is true that this ‘cooling’ is just anecdotal, we seem to have quite a few of them recently. How many ‘anecdotal’ warmings have we seen this year? I was in Ft. Worth a couple weeks back and it was over 100 every day. Ditto the drive from Colorado down. 104 at Limon at 9 AM. The last week of July/first week of August are the warmest times of the year, usually (Colorado can do just about anything) and this year was a bit above normal. So how many ‘cools’ verses ‘warms’ have we had? Over how big an area? Does it mean anything?
If we get a bunch of ‘cools’ over the next few years, that could be another story. No matter what, I’m not selling my parka.
Looks like the frost did hit.
Ely, Minnesota went down for to -2.0C for several hours, Hibbing, Minnesota -1.C and Merril, Wisconsin got down to 0.0C which was the coldest area I could find in Wisconsin.
It was chilly up in the Arrowhead this morning, but it won’t likely disturb much in the way of crop yields – not because it didn’t freeze, but because they don’t grow much grain in that part of MN. It probably did more to irritate the late summer campers in the BWCA and make a few black bears grumpy than anything else…
Winter of 1995/96 saw the coldest recorded air termps in the continental US in that part of Minnesota: -60F outside of Ely. I remember a few interesting people went up there to camp outside in it so they could say they did.
Pierre Gosselin (02:31:40) :
“…“Gerald Bond suggested that every 1,500 years, weak solar activity caused by fluctuations in the sun’s magnetic fields cools the North Atlantic Ocean…””
When WAS the last Bond Event, by the way?
So with the last – official – sunspot on July 20th
http://sidc.oma.be/products/ri_hemispheric/
and no sunspots – officially – in August, the current spotless streak stands at 36 days.
According to Jan Janssens Spotless Days table
http://users.telenet.be/j.janssens/Spotless/Spotless.html
we’re in the top 20 all-time (since 1849).
Next major target is the 42-day streak from the last solar minimum in 1996, and it now seems we’ll make that with ease – less than a week to go.
Once that’s in the bag, we will have smashed all records since 1913.
Pierre: It looks like the record low of 40 will not only be beaten, but shattered by a freeze, with temps in the 28 – 30 range, of several hours duration. That could certainly be categorized as unusual, and becomes meaningful when added to the continued evidence globally of cooling.
Egads! Climate change before industrialisation!
from the Geophysical Research Letters,
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/08/080819092017.htm
From that same article though, according to geophysicist Springer ““Global warming will leave things like this in the dust. The natural oscillations here are nothing like what we would expect to see with global warming”.
Sad when scientists feel they have to switch from science to pseudoscientific propaganda.
crosspatch–any idea on the really important cereal grain – Barley – the stuff that goes the maltsters?
Most of the production is in ND, MT, and ID if I recall correctly.
Thank Jeff. For CLOUD enthusiasts see:
CLOUD – Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets CERN
CLOUD Proposal Documents
INITIAL CLOUD RESOURCES & SCHEDULE Jan 20, 2006
New Experiment to Investigate the Effect of Galactic Cosmic Rays on Clouds and Climate
For a major 2008 review see:
Documents on Cosmoclimatology & CLOUD
See: Whiterose Online copy
Brian H. Brown, Short-term changes in global cloud cover and in cosmic radiation, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics Volume 70, Issue 7, May 2008, Pages 1122-1131
(significance p=0.06)
Cosmic rays and climate Jasper Kirkby, Surveys in Geophysics 28, 333–375, doi: 10.1007/s10712-008-9030-6 (2007). (CERN-PH-EP/2008-005, 26 March 2) 45 page review
Correction:
New Experiment to Investigate the Effect of Galactic Cosmic Rays on Clouds and Climate – CERN press release Geneva, 19 October 2006.
Hoonah, Alaska seems to be swinging 40degrees every 4 hours?? Equipment problems? Bifocals required?
Minnesota had a late cold spring as well. We had snow on the ground into early May in southern Minnesota even!
Corn is not grown in the upper 1/3 of the state anyway, so don’t worry about corn prices over this.
What exactly would it take for “anecdotal” to turn into “evidence”? Not saying it has, just wondering. Also, what would it take for global warming people to acccept global cooling? What evidence and what signs and for how long?
I’m not saying there is global cooling, again, this is just a question, posed mainly at anyone on here who is part of the global warming crowd.
No honey!
http://www.adn.com/front/story/503528.html