Still lots of cold air coming in from the Arctic. Looks like the heat wave in NYC is coming down too. Only 8 days until the summer solstice, the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave:
With so many local anecdotal reports, I decided to do something different, i.e. “think global”. The last three days of global temps at http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/ show the lower troposphere as being warmer than the corresponding day last year. If you want the raw daily numbers, click on the “Show data as text” options, or download it directly as http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/data/amsu_daily_85N85S_chLT.r001.txt
While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome.
sandy winder
June 13, 2008 12:42 am
Yes there has been a lot of political interference over climate change.
Have any AGW deniers any condemnation of the political shenanigans of George Bush in hiring somebody from the American Petroleum Institute to be Chief of Staff for the Environment and who then proceded to emasculate reports on global warming. When it was exposed he left for a cushy job with Exxon.
/// Cooney monitored global warming policy and science for the Bush White House. Documents obtained by Greenpeace through the Freedom of Information Act reveal a trail of communication between Cooney and Exxon-funded think tanks including the George C. Marshall Institute and Competitive Enterprise Institute
Cooney’s current position with Exxon is unclear. Exxon has not revealed exactly what his role is, saying only that he’s with the company’s public affairs group in Dallas.
Cooney was hired by ExxonMobil June 2005, position as yet unknown. Was Chief of Staff at the White House Council of Environmental Quality from 2001- 2005. Before joining the Bush Administration, Cooney was a lobbyist and “Climate Team Leader” at the American Petroleum Institute. ///
Now that is what I call politicising science.
Philippe
June 13, 2008 12:53 am
I live in Switzerland, and this morning i saw in the news that old people were dying in the east coast of United-states because of very hot temperatures. Of course they didn’t mention that in the other part of the country it was rather cold. The hysteria/propaganda of global warming makes me sick.
Sandy, what does that have to do with a chilly June? The President can appoint anybody he wants.
In my personal opinion, Greenpeace is deranged.
swampie
June 13, 2008 4:49 am
Philippe, interesting note on the Switzerland news. I hadn’t heard of any huge problem with people dropping dead. Must be in the cities.
Bruce Cobb
June 13, 2008 5:10 am
Now that is what I call politicising science. You mean the so-called “science” of the IPCC whose whole raison d’etre simply assumes that man-made warming is fact?
The politicisation and promotion to “fact” of what was a lowly hypothesis began in ’79 with Thatcher who had a BSc degree in chemistry using the “issue” to gain political power. The issue was further propelled as an excuse to downgrade the coal industry in support of nuclear power. Then came the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, and the self-perpetuating cycle of funding for man-made warming research, and, surprise, surprise, “scientific research” proving man-made warming. It was a scientific coup! The man-made global warming bandwagon was rolling, and a host of political and environmental groups climbed aboard, along with the MSM, and politicians, mainly liberals at first.
Even Bush is now saying AGW is true, just that we need a go slow approach to so as not to hurt our economy.
An AGWer complaining about the politicisation of science is not only the pot calling the kettle black, but the pot having produced the kettle in the first place!
JP
June 13, 2008 5:11 am
“While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
Bill
June 13, 2008 6:34 am
Philippe,
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.
You lose far more people to cold extremes (even in hot years) than you do to heat (a fact that the media tends to ignore completely).
Was there much coverage this past winter of the literally thousands who died of cold exposure in Afghanistan and Pakistan?
Philippe
June 13, 2008 7:02 am
Here is the news i am talking about :
“La chaleur fait 30 victimes aux USA
Le bilan de la vague de chaleur qui touche actuellement la côte est des USA
s’est alourdi pour s’établir jeudi à plus d’une trentaine de décès, dont 15 sur la seule ville de Philadelphie. Six Personnes sont aussi mortes à New York.
Les températures ont avoisiné les 40 degrés entre samedi et mardi. Les victimes sont surtout des personnes âgées, selon les autorités sanitaires.”
I am not fluent in English, so i will not try to translate all the text. To summarize, they say that they are 15 people dead in Philadelphie and 6 in New York because of warming. Also, the temperature were near 40 degrees between saturday and tuesday. I don’t know how they know exactly that people died because of warming and not of old age. Of course, in winter, they are never talking of people dying of cold. How strange!
This news comes from Teletext on the Swiss channel.
leebert
June 13, 2008 7:35 am
Slightly off-topic, but germane to the ongoing discussion re: thermal solar wind effects on the polar troposphere after large aurorae (pgs 8 – 9): http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Solar_Changes_and_the_Climate.pdf
“..Geomagnetic Storms and High Latitude Warming”
“…When major eruptive activity (i.e. coronal mass ejections, major flares) takes place and the charged particles encounter the earth, ionization in the high atmosphere leads to the familiar and beautiful aurora phenomenon. This ionization lads to warming of the high atmosphere which like ultraviolet warming of the stratosphere works its way down into the middle troposphere with time.
Here is an example of an upper level chart two weeks after a major geomagnetic storm. Note the ring of warmth (higher than normal mid-tropospheric heights) surrounding the magnetic pole….”
Whoever wrote this article (it lacks a byline & abstract) has citations at the bottom. John over at skepticalscience.com says some of the citations in the article are stale, but at least there’s some interest in the possibility of boreal heating from solar storms.
Peter
June 13, 2008 8:27 am
“Hansen has a messiah complex. Perhaps some day it will be properly diagnosed”
I don’t agree that he thinks he’s God. I think he believes that God answers to him 😉
Peter
June 13, 2008 8:36 am
“While it is likely true that many climatologists have AGW bias and are closet greens, but I doubt that they are callously dishonest.”
Perhaps not the climatologists, but I certainly wouldn’t put it past their political and politicized bosses – not to mention the media.
Peter
June 13, 2008 8:45 am
“Now that is what I call politicising science.”
But that’s what politicians do – they lie through their teeth.
However, if I may play devil’s advocate, sometimes you have to have an ace or two up your sleeve in order to not get completely crushed by the AGW political and media juggernaut
It’s about time we started scientificating politics.
kim
June 13, 2008 8:49 am
Bill, it was not only the deaths, there were lots of amputation of frozen extremities. Their sheep and cattle died en masse. All over central Asia. A harbinger of things to come, if we are cooling long term.
=======================
poetSam
June 13, 2008 10:09 am
to Sandy (or on the politicization of science)
Government is blunt;
can’t we agree?
So don’t use it on me
and I’ll not on thee.
I remember someone at dot Earth screaming about the hot summer of 2007 claiming every part of the USA had record-breaking heat. It never happened, it was yet another false memory induced by a media stampede. There was a stalled high pressure area over the northwest & rockies that made them hot, but the majority of the 48 was cooler than normal.
Never got very hot in Seattle last summer. Pretty mild really.
Jeff Alberts
June 13, 2008 1:06 pm
/// Cooney monitored global warming policy and science for the Bush White House. Documents obtained by Greenpeace through the Freedom of Information Act reveal a trail of communication between Cooney and Exxon-funded think tanks including the George C. Marshall Institute and Competitive Enterprise Institute
This is the same Greenpeace that tells people GM foods aren’t tested and that if you eat them you could grow a third arm, or some other ghastly mutation. Yeah, there’s some science there, boy, let me tell you.
Mark Nodine
June 13, 2008 1:24 pm
Ralph S.:
FWIW, my comment about Prof. Akasofu’s paper was less to call in question his credentials or the findings of his paper and more to express amazement if a dissenting view had been permitted through the highly political climatology peer-review process.
WD>> “While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the
WD>> corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
JP> Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
But ditto for last year. It’s the difference that’s worrisome. June 1st 2008, we were 0.280 below June 1st 2007. As of June 12th 2008, we were 0.157 above June12th 2007, and pulling away rapidly. It’ll get even worse the next couple of days, because the temperatures actually *FELL* on 13th and 14th last year. See the numbers below; they are lower troposphere temperatures in degrees Kelvin (== Celsius + 273.12). Barring a major drop, I expect the UAH (and other global datasets) for June 2008 to be above June 2007.
Day 2007 2008
== ==== ====
01 271.913 271.630
02 271.968 271.630
03 272.031 271.704
04 272.027 271.751
05 272.076 271.824
06 272.058 271.876
07 272.066 271.982
08 272.077 272.077
09 272.083 272.133
10 272.115 272.200
11 272.143 272.226
12 272.150 272.307
SteveSadlov
June 16, 2008 10:36 am
In the 40s this AM in many parts of coastal NoCal. Some places over the weeked had record low highs. There will be additional opportunities for record low highs right on through the solstice.
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.
With so many local anecdotal reports, I decided to do something different, i.e. “think global”. The last three days of global temps at http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/ show the lower troposphere as being warmer than the corresponding day last year. If you want the raw daily numbers, click on the “Show data as text” options, or download it directly as http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/data/amsu_daily_85N85S_chLT.r001.txt
While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome.
Yes there has been a lot of political interference over climate change.
Have any AGW deniers any condemnation of the political shenanigans of George Bush in hiring somebody from the American Petroleum Institute to be Chief of Staff for the Environment and who then proceded to emasculate reports on global warming. When it was exposed he left for a cushy job with Exxon.
/// Cooney monitored global warming policy and science for the Bush White House. Documents obtained by Greenpeace through the Freedom of Information Act reveal a trail of communication between Cooney and Exxon-funded think tanks including the George C. Marshall Institute and Competitive Enterprise Institute
Cooney’s current position with Exxon is unclear. Exxon has not revealed exactly what his role is, saying only that he’s with the company’s public affairs group in Dallas.
Cooney was hired by ExxonMobil June 2005, position as yet unknown. Was Chief of Staff at the White House Council of Environmental Quality from 2001- 2005. Before joining the Bush Administration, Cooney was a lobbyist and “Climate Team Leader” at the American Petroleum Institute. ///
Now that is what I call politicising science.
I live in Switzerland, and this morning i saw in the news that old people were dying in the east coast of United-states because of very hot temperatures. Of course they didn’t mention that in the other part of the country it was rather cold. The hysteria/propaganda of global warming makes me sick.
nice blog…
G Alston:
DAV –
“Wanna bet on the outcome?”
From SDA-
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1025586/FUEL-CRISIS-Forget-warnings-panic-pumps-Thanks-decades-government-neglect-Britain-set-lose-nearly-half-electricity-years.html
From Jennifer-
http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/003157.html#comments
The future is certain and the villian identified. We’ll be coming for them and their sympathisers.
Sandy, what does that have to do with a chilly June? The President can appoint anybody he wants.
In my personal opinion, Greenpeace is deranged.
Philippe, interesting note on the Switzerland news. I hadn’t heard of any huge problem with people dropping dead. Must be in the cities.
Now that is what I call politicising science. You mean the so-called “science” of the IPCC whose whole raison d’etre simply assumes that man-made warming is fact?
The politicisation and promotion to “fact” of what was a lowly hypothesis began in ’79 with Thatcher who had a BSc degree in chemistry using the “issue” to gain political power. The issue was further propelled as an excuse to downgrade the coal industry in support of nuclear power. Then came the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, and the self-perpetuating cycle of funding for man-made warming research, and, surprise, surprise, “scientific research” proving man-made warming. It was a scientific coup! The man-made global warming bandwagon was rolling, and a host of political and environmental groups climbed aboard, along with the MSM, and politicians, mainly liberals at first.
Even Bush is now saying AGW is true, just that we need a go slow approach to so as not to hurt our economy.
An AGWer complaining about the politicisation of science is not only the pot calling the kettle black, but the pot having produced the kettle in the first place!
“While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
Philippe,
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.
You lose far more people to cold extremes (even in hot years) than you do to heat (a fact that the media tends to ignore completely).
Was there much coverage this past winter of the literally thousands who died of cold exposure in Afghanistan and Pakistan?
Here is the news i am talking about :
“La chaleur fait 30 victimes aux USA
Le bilan de la vague de chaleur qui touche actuellement la côte est des USA
s’est alourdi pour s’établir jeudi à plus d’une trentaine de décès, dont 15 sur la seule ville de Philadelphie. Six Personnes sont aussi mortes à New York.
Les températures ont avoisiné les 40 degrés entre samedi et mardi. Les victimes sont surtout des personnes âgées, selon les autorités sanitaires.”
I am not fluent in English, so i will not try to translate all the text. To summarize, they say that they are 15 people dead in Philadelphie and 6 in New York because of warming. Also, the temperature were near 40 degrees between saturday and tuesday. I don’t know how they know exactly that people died because of warming and not of old age. Of course, in winter, they are never talking of people dying of cold. How strange!
This news comes from Teletext on the Swiss channel.
Slightly off-topic, but germane to the ongoing discussion re: thermal solar wind effects on the polar troposphere after large aurorae (pgs 8 – 9):
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Solar_Changes_and_the_Climate.pdf
“..Geomagnetic Storms and High Latitude Warming”
“…When major eruptive activity (i.e. coronal mass ejections, major flares) takes place and the charged particles encounter the earth, ionization in the high atmosphere leads to the familiar and beautiful aurora phenomenon. This ionization lads to warming of the high atmosphere which like ultraviolet warming of the stratosphere works its way down into the middle troposphere with time.
Here is an example of an upper level chart two weeks after a major geomagnetic storm. Note the ring of warmth (higher than normal mid-tropospheric heights) surrounding the magnetic pole….”
Whoever wrote this article (it lacks a byline & abstract) has citations at the bottom. John over at skepticalscience.com says some of the citations in the article are stale, but at least there’s some interest in the possibility of boreal heating from solar storms.
“Hansen has a messiah complex. Perhaps some day it will be properly diagnosed”
I don’t agree that he thinks he’s God. I think he believes that God answers to him 😉
“While it is likely true that many climatologists have AGW bias and are closet greens, but I doubt that they are callously dishonest.”
Perhaps not the climatologists, but I certainly wouldn’t put it past their political and politicized bosses – not to mention the media.
“Now that is what I call politicising science.”
But that’s what politicians do – they lie through their teeth.
However, if I may play devil’s advocate, sometimes you have to have an ace or two up your sleeve in order to not get completely crushed by the AGW political and media juggernaut
It’s about time we started scientificating politics.
Bill, it was not only the deaths, there were lots of amputation of frozen extremities. Their sheep and cattle died en masse. All over central Asia. A harbinger of things to come, if we are cooling long term.
=======================
to Sandy (or on the politicization of science)
Government is blunt;
can’t we agree?
So don’t use it on me
and I’ll not on thee.
I can tell you that it isn’t cold in Folsom CA. We should hit 100 degrees today. Nice graphics though. http://www.folsomnative.wordpress.com
Never got very hot in Seattle last summer. Pretty mild really.
This is the same Greenpeace that tells people GM foods aren’t tested and that if you eat them you could grow a third arm, or some other ghastly mutation. Yeah, there’s some science there, boy, let me tell you.
Ralph S.:
FWIW, my comment about Prof. Akasofu’s paper was less to call in question his credentials or the findings of his paper and more to express amazement if a dissenting view had been permitted through the highly political climatology peer-review process.
WD>> “While the first 11 days of June 2008 still average below the
WD>> corresponding 2007 period, the latest trend is worrisome”
JP> Er….Walter, don’t worry. It’s called summer.
But ditto for last year. It’s the difference that’s worrisome. June 1st 2008, we were 0.280 below June 1st 2007. As of June 12th 2008, we were 0.157 above June12th 2007, and pulling away rapidly. It’ll get even worse the next couple of days, because the temperatures actually *FELL* on 13th and 14th last year. See the numbers below; they are lower troposphere temperatures in degrees Kelvin (== Celsius + 273.12). Barring a major drop, I expect the UAH (and other global datasets) for June 2008 to be above June 2007.
Day 2007 2008
== ==== ====
01 271.913 271.630
02 271.968 271.630
03 272.031 271.704
04 272.027 271.751
05 272.076 271.824
06 272.058 271.876
07 272.066 271.982
08 272.077 272.077
09 272.083 272.133
10 272.115 272.200
11 272.143 272.226
12 272.150 272.307
In the 40s this AM in many parts of coastal NoCal. Some places over the weeked had record low highs. There will be additional opportunities for record low highs right on through the solstice.
I live in DC and there were no deaths that I know of associated with the heat. This is because, unlike the hospitals and old folks homes in France, we have air conditioning, so the heat does not affect us as it did the French in 03.