Still lots of cold air coming in from the Arctic. Looks like the heat wave in NYC is coming down too. Only 8 days until the summer solstice, the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave:
Still lots of cold air coming in from the Arctic. Looks like the heat wave in NYC is coming down too. Only 8 days until the summer solstice, the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave:
Chilly?? It’s been hotter than heck on the East coast lately. I traveled from Delaware to South Carolina this weekend and it was hot THE WHOLE WAY down. I tried to go jogging on Saturday and felt like my lungs were going to collapse. It may be cooling nationwide, but in some areas it’s still business as usual hotness-wise. And to see my CARTOONS click on my name link.
I think it’s warmer than normal in the SE. Here in DC my outside thermometer reads 95. Intellicast says BWI is at 83 but after checking the METAR, I see that info is over an hour old.
KBWI 121454Z 06008KT 040V100 10SM SCT250 28/16
At least the temperature/dew point spread isn’t making it unbearable. This is August weather but not unusual. When I first moved to the area in 1975, conditions were similar.
There’s a Bermuda high plus two high points in the south which are pushing Caribbean air this way. Doesn’t look like the cold wave cooling the west coast will get here in the next couple of days but the Bermuda high is dissipating so there will be some relief.
But that sure looks mighty chilly on the west coast. Y’all can come get some of the heat here if you want. You’re welcome to it.
wow! how inconvenient this truth must be to someone.
Truth’s a very sharp tool
but dull it just a wit
and by it you’ll be bit.
Interesting, but I suspect it was a trifle warmer if you took that a week ago.
Anthony, you don’t have an image with fronts and isobars on you right sidebar.
Just curious as to why.
REPLY: Probably due to my internal forecaster bias that I tend to look at satellite images and analyse what is going on rather than rely on frontral maps. Working on the west coast, you learn to rely on sat imagery far more than frontal maps becuase the data sparseness in the Pacific usually makes them inaccurate.
Speaking of the sun, global warming is a total scam. Anyone who believes it, I put the question to you, why is it that Mars, Neptune, and far off, icy Pluto are heating up? Cow farts in space? Come on… I wrote an article thoroughly debunking the main points of “global warming” you guys might want to check out.
http://warofillusions.wordpress.com/2008/04/18/they-blinded-us-with-pseudoscience-the-global-warming-con/
That is a cool graphic of the sunlight distribution.
We had three or four hot days, and it is back to sweaters here in Vermont.
DAV,
You mean today?? If so I suggest you check the thermometer placement. I work in DC and it is nowhere near 95 today. It was a few days ago, but that heat broke on Tuesday night. Weather.com is reporting 87 right now.
10 day forecast shows near normal temps for the next 4-5 days, then a cold snap with temps in the high 70s to low 80s, a tad below normal.
DAV,
Definitely some UHI going on. Annandale, right outside the beltway is reporting 87, DC is reporting 90. That’s a 3 degree difference in temp in about 7-10 miles
Here on the South/Central West Coast of Florida all is normal. Nice days around 91 (give or take a couple of degrees), clear, teal waters at about 86 degrees, lush green vegetation due to recent summer afternoon thunderstorms (and some extra CO2). The only complaint I have about this time of year is that this is when they “punch” and dress the greens so it makes for some bumpy putting for a couple of days.
Anthony:
I would think the West Coast and Eastern Canada would be affected more than the East coast due to the PDO shift to cold cycle. With the shift, the high pressures born in the Pacific would not have the same level of strength to push the jet stream further north and allow for the heat from the tropics to come as far north as in a warm PDO phase. Where as the Gulf of Mex., a much shallower ergo responsive body of water and not as affected by deep ocean currents would still be able to heat up, adding additional heat and moisture to the air masses coming up from there. In the event of a cold PDO, the border between colder polar air and warmer gulf air would track further south on average. In a warm phase, the high pressure systems would be warmer, and have more more strength to push the jet stream further north, move that line cold/warm border further north. Is my logic on the right track or am I missing something? Thanks in advance.
Bill,
Yep, today. I get about 3-4F higher in the mornings probably because of direct and reflected sunlight. Currently have 93F but both KFME and KBWI are reporting 86F. Reagan (KDCA) is reporting 90F. (all within last 15 minutes).
Yeah, I think its UHI. Both BWI and FME are more open country. I live less than 5 miles from the edge of Ft. Meade but lots more asphalt here.
Let’s see, at 1339UTC today it was 38F at my mountain home south of Denver (at 8250 ft). The hummingbirds started arriving about a month ago, but they seem puzzled at the concept of feeders that are sometimes frozen first thing in the morning.
I’m heading up to the Pacific Northwest & Alaska next month on vacation. I really know how to pick ’em, eh?
“the sunlight distribution on our sphere is looking pretty much like a sine wave”
Kind of an inside joke there Anthony, but it could be interpreted by those unfamiliar with seeing a Sun terminator graphic that something has changed.
Everyone, that global map is simply showing sunrise and sunset.
Seen On The Net… (Yaaaaayyy!)
***
Estate owners sue Greenpeace for prediction 11/06/2008 00:00
The organisers’ graphic prediction on how global warming will affect La Manga has caused sales of houses in the coastal area to drop by 50 percent.
11 June 2008
MADRID – A group of real estate developers and property owners in La Manga del Mar Menor – a spit of sandy, low-lying coastal land and Murcia’s premier beach resort – are threatening to take Greenpeace to court over its graphic predictions of what global warming may do to the area, which they say have caused house prices to plummet.
The lawsuit, which the plaintiffs plan to present unless Greenpeace agrees to an out of court settlement of almost EUR 30 million in damages, comes more than six months after La Manga featured prominently in a photo book published by the environmental organisation that was intended to shock Spain into action on climate change.
Along with photos of a dried up Ebro River in Zaragoza and a desert in an area of Valencia now filled with lemon and orange groves, the book, Photoclima, shows digitally modified photos of La Manga submerged in water with only the tops of hotels, apartment blocks and palm trees emerging from the blue Mediterranean.
Greenpeace says the book is a graphic portrayal of the conclusions of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which has predicted that global warming will cause sea levels to rise around the world over the coming decades.
“We want to create alarm and a call to action,” Juan López de Uralde, Greenpeace’s director in Spain, said when the book was published.
The photographs certainly caused alarm in La Manga. According to José Ángel Abad, a lawyer who has taken up the case of the area’s aggrieved developers and home owners, prices have plunged by “50 percent” in recent months – a dramatic fall even in light of the end of a nationwide house price boom.
Manipulation
“Greenpeace manipulated the expected rise in sea levels of half a metre to cause alarm. It has sunk the real estate market: no one is buying and everyone has put their apartments up for sale,” Abad claims.
He says his clients are seeking EUR 27 million in damages to cover the decrease in the value of their properties.
However, Greenpeace has no intention of settling out of court, arguing that the La Manga property owners are trying to “blackmail” it into footing the bill for their speculation in the real estate market.
“They’re trying to blame Greenpeace and its campaign for the problems they have encountered in a market saturated thanks to real estate speculation,” Uralde said this week. “We are not going to be intimidated.”
Mike from Canmore:
I think the PDO would have more of an effect on the Western third of North America then elsewhere.
The warmer waters in the central Pacific would favor high pressure forming further west then if the PDO was positive, meaning the arctic air would have a tendency to go further west then during a positive PDO.
There is a good writeup here: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~mantua/REPORTS/PDO/PDO_egec.htm
“The North American climate anomalies associated with PDO are broadly similar to those connected with El Niño and La Niña, though generally not as extreme (Latif and Barnett 1994, Trenberth and Hurrell 1994, Latif and Barnett 1996, Zhang et al. 1997, Mantua et al. 1997). Warm phases of PDO are correlated with El Niño-like North American temperature and precipitation anomalies, while cool phases of PDO are correlated with La Niña-like climate patterns. PDO variability is strongly expressed in regional snow pack and stream flow anomalies, especially in western North America (see Cayan 1995, Mantua et al. 1997, Bitz and Battisti 1999, Hamlet and Lettenmeier 1999), and may also influence summer rainfall and drought in the US (Nigam et al. 1999).”
Also, negative PDO’s mean more La Nina’s, and weaker and less frequent El Nino’s.
By the way, we went to Canmore last September while visiting the Rockies. The scenery there is breathtaking, gorgeous mounains everywhere you look. You are fortunate to live there (I am assuming you mean Canmore, Alberta).
Here in Saskathcewan the current weather patterns are very problematic: Due to the general coolness, the jetstream is further south than normal, which means we’ve been having cool, dry weather – ok, little bit of rain today, but no good soakings yet. Which is critical for farmers – I know farmers who might loose the canola harvest, because the rain up to date has not been enough to soak the top dry 2 inches of soil. There is a lot of moisture deeper, but if we don’t get enough rain, the seed won’t germinate and grow till where it reaches the moisture zone. If it rains just a little bit, it germinates, but doesn’t reach the deeper moisture zone, and then dies. So yes, this weather ain’t good for us.
G Alston (10:55:12) :
The EU is even more devoted to AGW than is Al Gore. Greenpeace will argue it is only repeating what the UN through the IPCC has said. Also, the EU seems hellbent on socialism. I’ve seen at least one reference to the “Supreme Soviet in Brussels.” The rule making body of the EU seems answerable to no one. What do they care about the problems of rich landowners? Better yet, why would they abrogate the major raison d’etre for many EU regulations?
Wanna bet on the outcome?
Another nail in the coffin of the UN/IPCC is this peer reviewed paper. Here’s an excerpt, pointing out the steady rise in global temperature over the past several hundred years, at least:
“The fact that an almost linear change has been progressing, without a distinct change of slope, from as early as 1800 or even earlier (about 1660, even before the Industrial Revolution), suggests that the linear change is natural change. As shown at the top diagram of Figure 1, a rapid increase of CO2 began only after 1940. As far as the gradient of the linear change is concerned, it can roughly be estimated to be about 0.5°C/100 years based on Figures 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7. It is very interesting to recognize that this gradient is almost comparable with the IPCC’s estimate of 0.6°C/100 years.” [authors’ emphasis]
In other words, the Earth has been warming at essentially the same rate since well before the Industrial Revolution. That fact alone destroys the claim that human activity has any measurable effect on the climate.
When a hypothesis [in this case, AGW] has been decisively falsified, then that hypothesis is no good, and must be entirely rejected. As Einstein said in response to a letter signed by 100 scientists who claimed that his theory of relativity was wrong: ”To defeat relativity one did not need the word of 100 scientists, just one fact.”
The fact that the planet has been warming at the same rate during the past 100 years that it has since the 1600’s is an astonishingly effective falsification, refuting anthropogenic global warming. The AGW hypothesis will never recover from that fact alone.
source:
http://www.iarc.uaf.edu/highlights/2007/akasofu_3_07/Earth_recovering_from_LIA.pdf
I’ll be driving through Canmore on the 21st and 22nd on a whirlwind tour of Banff so I’ll see for myself.
(Got work in Calgary the 23rd-25th)
I can attest to the more effect on the in the western US. It snowed on Tuesday where I live (Moscow Idaho). The low was 34, one off from the record. I been like this all year, a little colder then normal and a lot colder then last year. Last year at this time I was swimming in the outdoor pool wondering why they wait so long to open it.
“The AGW hypothesis will never recover from that fact alone.” DAV
Yes, but where will all that fanaticism go next? And who is stirring it up? And why? Since the government education system has had a near monopoly on education in the US, the onus is on it to explain just why it is not to blame. Blaming the parents won’t do, since THEY were educated by the government schools too.
why is it that Mars, Neptune, and far off, icy Pluto are heating up?
Steve, not that I disagree with your position, but I personally will not use the above as evidence. I have not been able to find any of the research that confirms that statement. Now if you can point me to the scientific research / links that confirm it….
All the anecdotal stuff is nice, but here are the facts. 🙂
– Through May, 2008 had been the coldest year in the U.S. since 1993. And 1993 was still feeling the cool from the Pinatubo eruption.
– The first 11 days of June featured an extreme temperature contrast between the western and eastern U.S. Draw a line from Tucson, AZ to Minneapolis, MN…and basically everyone west and north of that line has been cold, everyone south and east has been warm. Many cities in the West, including Seattle, Portland, Spokane, Missoula, Boise, and Salt Lake City have experienced record cold, while Eastern cities like Boston, NYC, Philadelphia, DC and Richmond have had record warmth. Things look to even out a bit over the next week or two.