By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
The monthly satellite lower-troposphere temperature anomaly from Remote Sensing Systems, Inc., is now available.
Taking the least-squares linear-regression trend on this dataset (the bright blue horizontal line through the dark blue data), there has now been no global warming – at all – for 17 years 5 months.
Would readers like to make a projection of how many mainstream media outlets will report this surely not uninteresting fact?
It shows that the Hiatus hernia for true believers in the New Religion continues.
My own prediction is that the number of media reporting 17 years 5 months without any global warming will be approximately equal to the number of general-circulation models that predicted such a long Pause notwithstanding ever-rising CO2 concentration.
Print out the graph as a postcard and send it to the editor of a newspaper near you that has shut down democratic debate by announcing that it will refuse to print any letters at all from “climate deniers”.
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Hiatus hernia! Lovely…
When one’s group is shown deficient because the facts do not support them the only recourse left is to deny a voice to those exposing the lie.
The Liberal Main Stream Media following the emperor and his new cloths blindly.
17 years 5 months of lying……..
@Fabi – Good one!
Yet, energy rationing.
A gamble at which we will modulate the pleasure of being proven wrong.
Times they are a-changing, and perhaps a bit quicker with the British media.
I will predict 2 independent publishers, within 10 days, one in England, and another – notable – elsewhere.
And on top of this, they have levered the pre-satellite record downwards to get rid of the pesky 1930s/early 40s record temps, believing, apparently correctly, that the big El Nino of 1998 may be the last chance to get a new world record for some time. I have to admit that I’m frustrated the temp isn’t declining a little bit in retribution for all the augmentations to warming that were done in the 1990s. How much discretion is there in “validating” the satellite record. If there is any, it will be to jack up the right end of graph.
send it to this crowd, incl the “scientists”:
6 Feb: eScienceNews: University of Montana research shows converting land to agriculture reduces carbon uptake
Postdoctoral researcher Bill Smith and UM faculty members Steve Running and Cory Cleveland, along with a former UM postdoctoral researcher and current USGS scientist Sasha Reed, used estimates of agricultural NPP and satellite-derived estimates of natural NPP to evaluate the impact of expanding agricultural land to meet needs for food and fiber. Terrestrial NPP represents the total annual growth of vegetation on the land, which is a critical factor that helps determine how much carbon can be absorbed and stored from the atmosphere…
“Current forecasts suggest that global food demand will likely double by 2050,” Smith said. “We hope that this research will help to identify strategies that, from a carbon balance perspective, should be avoided due to the potential for severe degradation of global vegetation growth and carbon storage.”
http://esciencenews.com/articles/2014/02/06/university.montana.research.shows.converting.land.agriculture.reduces.carbon.uptake
If you included the as/built, proposed to be built (a dying breed), cost/ benefit ratios of the solutions, the general public might go to sleep.
It can be hard to compete when you have a seemingly endless supply of other peoples money.
That will be their downfall, they feel it right now.
Promises not kept.
That’s an impressive graph.
Individuals are waking up and stepping across to the Questioner and Realist side. As the numbers increase, the wake-up accelerates – more people are talking, more people are listening and raising their own questions. The murmur is rippling through the crowd. Eventually (potentially quite soon), the change will swing the balance fully the other way… Now there’s a tipping point I’m looking forward to. 🙂
Is that the same as saying the warmest 17 years on record have occurred in the last 17 years?
The spike in Earth’s computed mean temperature from approximately 03/31/97 to 03/31/98 is 1C. This is 30% greater than any other spike I can find in the satellite or land based temperature records going back to 1880. I don’t believe the El Nin~a in ’98 was strong enough to account for this anomalous spike. And NASA/NOAA TOD adjustment had not been injected into the US land base records.
Where did all this extra energy come from? I think the Earth received a glancing blow from a gamma ray burst. Any other plausible sources, explanations?
Bill
jones says:
February 6, 2014 at 6:44 pm
Is that the same as saying the warmest 17 years on record have occurred in the last 17 years?
============
Is that the same as saying, you give up and need a governance to run your life ?
Satellites are climate deniers.
Awesome comment Jonesy! Bosh! Bwahahahahaha…
Here are a couple of additional facts that the editorial board of the SouthCoastToday.com seems to have forgotten;
A) the unanimous consensus of a theory doesn’t make it a fact, and
B) correlation does not equate to causation.
The heat is hiding in the oceans. Apparently Lord Monckton did not get the memo.
Alice and I will be in Antarctica in two weeks with Lindblad/National Geographic. Their 80-page handout, which is excellent for exploration history and flora and fauna, contains the obligatory pages that the Antarctic is warming and sea ice is shrinking. Further, global warming and the expanding ozone hole are going to kill off the diatoms, which will starve the krill, which will starve the fish, birds, seals, whales, and everything else except we pampered tourists, who will still marvel at the abundance of all the starving creatures. I’ll come armed with my Dr. H H Lamb climate history books, numerous charts and graphs gleaned from WUWT, Climate Depot, &etc., but I have a feeling that I will be the skunk that just wandered in during church services, the blasphemer in the cathedral of the true believers. It should be a lot of fun.
jones says:
February 6, 2014 at 6:44 pm
Is that the same as saying the warmest 17 years on record have occurred in the last 17 years?
—————————————————————————-
Look no further than 1998 on the graph…it stands out as the warmest year…
Well my calibrated eyeball can look at his Lordship’s plotted data from RSS, and noting the well known 1998 and 2010 El Nino events, and maybe some La Ninas in there too, I can discern a definite curvature, of a local maximum, in that 17 years and five months of data.
I see not a hint of a cubic like point of inflection, which might signal a temporary plateau, preceding a new uptick coming soon.
I don’t have Lord Monckton’s plotting skills, but I’m curious if it is feasible to try fitting with some sort of least squares fit criterion, a simple circular arc of as yet unknown curvature, in the manner in which Christopher arrived at his best fit straight line.
Then for encores, is it perhaps possible, or just wishful thinking, that fitting some circle and getting a smaller RMS deviation, than this FLAT trend line, would be indicative of the circle being the better fit; or is that just some BS I might have stepped on ??
Anyhow my eye says it curves down, just like my eyebrows.
The warming jalopy has broken down so we are left with the money grubbing to talk about. That is an easier case to make. Everyone understands greed.
William Yarber says:
February 6, 2014 at 6:45 pm
If you have written your question without knowledge of the posts of Bob Tisdale then you should go to his site and start reading (or search on WUWT for them). Use this to get to his El Niño – La Niña posts.
Click here.
If you believe a “gamma ray burst” is responsible for the spike can you provide a reference for such?
Those satellites are part of the 3% that don’t agree with the consensus.
Michael B. Combs says:
February 6, 2014 at 7:44 pm
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Just enjoy the experience, it would be foolish to do otherwise.
At best it is only 1 data point, which means nothing.
Put the camera away and just observe.
Wish I was there 🙂
Alice and I will enjoy it all, and I live to have good arguments. It is always more interesting to talk to someone who disagrees with me than with someone who doesn’t. I live in a very anthropogenic climate change region of northern California, and have named my opposition the natural climate change deniers after they chose to call me a climate change denier. And still do, although my weekly letters to the local paper, which always are printed, usually include my statement that climate change has been a constant since atmosphere on Earth began. It’s odd to [be] told I deny what I don’t by those who purportedly read my letters.
jones says:
February 6, 2014 at 6:44 pm
Is that the same as saying the warmest 17 years on record have occurred in the last 17 years?
It is more or less true, but there are exceptions. 2000, with an anomaly of 0.092 is 18th and 2008, with an anomaly of 0.046, is 24th.
But on the other hand, 1987, with an anomaly of 0.099 is 17th and 1995, with an anomaly of 0.159, is 13th.