USA cold weather records outnumber warm records 6 to 1

Records for the “polar vortex” outbreak show a big disparity between warm and cold records. There were 655 cold records in the past week compared to 101 warm records, a ratio of 6.5 to 1. Cold temperature records have been set from the Canadian border down to the Gulf coast of Louisiana.

See the map:

temperature_records_01-08-14

Here is the breakdown:

Record Events Summary for The Past Week
Total Records: 1476
Rainfall: 190
Snowfall: 530
High Temp: 83
Low Temp: 346
Low Max Temp: 309
High Min Temp: 18

Source: http://wx.hamweather.com/maps/climate/records/1week/us.html

Low Max: 309 + Low Temp: 346 = 655
High Min 18 + High Temp 83 =101

655/101= 6.48

While this isn’t anything except proof of a cold weather event, remember this come summertime when warmists tout a similar, but opposite disparity of records during a  heat wave as “proof” of something else.

(Note: This post was updated to correct a swap of warm/cold terms in the first paragraph, and the math for the ratio was added about 1 hour after this post was originally published. -Anthony)

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42 thoughts on “USA cold weather records outnumber warm records 6 to 1

  1. Is this a typo?

    “Records for the “polar vortex” outbreak show a big disparity between warm and cold records. There were 655 warm records in the past week compared to 101 cold records, a ratio of 6.5 to 1″

    REPLY: Yep, fixed, thanks – Anthony

  2. You say above ” there were 655 warm records in the past week compared to 101 cold records, a ratio of 6.5 to 1.” Did you mean 655 cold vs 155 warm?

  3. I believe the numbers are supposed to be reversed here:
    “There were 655 warm records in the past week compared to 101 cold records”

  4. The fact that we continue to set records at both ends of the spectrum in my opinion only means we have not collected enough data yet. New Stations (recent) also mean new records. And as shown by the recent release of satellite data the overall average has not moved (outside of margin of error) in 34 years.

  5. Kevin Lohse says:
    January 8, 2014 at 9:38 am
    Like wot Rob and Zek 202 said.
    LOL
    look at the DOTS … its reversed

  6. Reversed figures? Wow, For a moment there I thought Anthony had had a Damascene conversion!

  7. I always thought the Golf coast was in California?

    REPLY: Yes this was a voice dictation recognition error, fixed, thanks. I published this and then got caught up in work at my office, so wasn’t able to correct it right away. -Anthony

  8. Oldseadog says:
    January 8, 2014 at 10:00 am

    Lee,
    Nah, the Golf Coast is in Fife, at St Andrews.
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    Nah, It is here in Sunny North Carolina in the Sand Hills. link Sunny, mild weather year round. I am sure there are people playing right now .

  9. Gail, I am sure there were folk playing at The Royal and Ancient at St Andrews today in the cold wind and showers.
    They are bred tough here, sun is not necessary to play golf here.

    (Actually, everyone here is just jealous of the weather over there.)

  10. All that really matters to me right now is that it’s still cold out there (13°F or -10.5°C) and in a couple hours I’ll get started on shoveling us out of about a foot and a half of snow.

    Just think of all the money I’m saving on a silly gym membership.

  11. I don’t think the stats game is one skeptics should play. While the figures this time look ok in the last week, long term this is a one horse race. Overall heat records easily outnumber cold ones. And after all it’s the long term data that has value, short term is nothing more than for interests sake.

  12. Bruce says: January 8, 2014 at 10:41 am
    I don’t think the stats game is one skeptics should play.
    _____________________________

    On the contrary, we should highlight it every time to counterbalance the propaganda.

    This is how the scientists got stuck in the Antarctic, because they believed the propaganda about Antarctica having less sea-ice, and did not read the small-print that said this was only from the Antarctic peninsular.

    This is why Heathrow was closed for three days last year, because they believed the propaganda that there would be no more snow and did not invest in snow clearing equipment for 30 years.

    We need to counter the propaganda at every level, to prevent our leaders and administrators from being duped by the biggest scam in history.

    Ralph

  13. Silver Ralph says:
    January 8, 2014 at 10:51 am

    We need to counter the propaganda at every level, to prevent our leaders and administrators from being duped by the biggest scam in history.
    __________________
    Hells bells- biggest part of ‘em are in on it!

  14. Jeff Masters at the Weather Underground is of course pushing the “nothing to see here” agenda:

    Not a Historic Cold Wave
    As notable as this week’s cold wave was–bringing the coldest air seen since 1996 or 1994 over much of the nation–the event failed to set any monthly or all-time record low minimum temperature records at airports and cooperative observing stations monitored by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center.

  15. Silver Ralph says:
    January 8, 2014 at 10:51 am
    Bruce says: January 8, 2014 at 10:41 am
    I don’t think the stats game is one skeptics should play.

    This is why Heathrow was closed for three days last year, because they believed the propaganda that there would be no more snow and did not invest in snow clearing equipment for 30 years.
    We need to counter the propaganda at every level, to prevent our leaders and administrators from being duped by the biggest scam in history.
    Ralph
    In the Netherlands the same game. The NS and Prorail stop t cold prevention because there would be now cold and snow any more. So trains where no longer build for colder conditions and tracks ware no longer adapted for cold. Then the switch heating went of because there wouldn’t be any winter. And o boy they were wrong. Now we have several winters of cold weather and all they cane do is reduce the train scheduled.

    The same happened on the roads, like 25 November 2005. 6:00 in the morning it was already snowing and at 7 there was 5 cm snow. At 11 a civil servant lookt out of the window and so the snow. He call t meteoconsult and ask about the snow. Meteo answer was and I am not joking “no her it is raining so never mind” There was falling so much snow that highways got blocked and several people got stranded. I had to travel 20 KM and did 4 hours about the distance.

  16. CBC has truly passed into CAGW agitprop:

    Professor Michael E. Mann wades into the cold snap recycling Jennifer Francis’ BS… And CBC, Canada Bulls…Corporation is too happy to oblige:

    http://www.cbc.ca/player/News/World/ID/2428739814/

    Susan Bonner presents him as a co-Nobel Prize winner… and is obviously an ignoramus propagandist. Let’s appreciate the cover of Mikey’s book on the shelf behind him…

  17. Did the people who experienced the warm temp records, who live in those locations think, ‘Oh, of course this is caused by Global Warming!’

  18. The rainfall records are highly questionable…err false…at least for central Kansas. We have not had any rainfall in Wichita for quite some time, all of our precipitation has been snow.

  19. Andres Valencia says:
    January 8, 2014 at 10:33 am

    When talking about CAGW, it all baloney. Then perhaps when we talk about their latest catastrophes we could say, “it’s much more würst than we thought”.

    (Think of the homophone, at least in the USA, of baloney, bologna).

  20. Rob aka Flatlander says:
    January 8, 2014 at 9:42 am
    The fact that we continue to set records at both ends of the spectrum in my opinion only means we have not collected enough data yet. New Stations (recent) also mean new records. And as shown by the recent release of satellite data the overall average has not moved (outside of margin of error) in 34 years.

    I was thinking this exact thing. For example, we set a snowfall record in Wichita on January 1st with just under an inch of snow (considered extreme weather in the religion of CAGW?). This may imply that much of the weather record data is still full of reasonably average and uneventful weather.

  21. Brewster says:
    January 8, 2014 at 11:28 am

    “–the event failed to set any monthly or all-time record low minimum temperature records at airports and cooperative observing stations monitored by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center.”

    Clearly you didn’t get the memo on why.

  22. Jeff in Calgary says:
    January 8, 2014 at 11:53 am

    I would really like to see a longer term tally, maybe over the 17 year peak/pause.

    =======================================================================
    So would I but it might be tough to find records that haven’t already been “adjusted”.

  23. Many more warm records than cold ones is proof of global warming but many more cold records than warm ones is just weather. I’m starting to catch on.

  24. Please help me understand how your article can scientifically sit alongside the following from Bloomberg as the link to “Artic Temperatures” in the original seems to be credible.

    Bright white ice reflects energy back into space; dark blue water absorbs it. Arctic temperatures are about 2 degrees Celsius warmer there than they were in the mid-1960s. (The average temperature increase for the Earth’s atmosphere overall is about 0.7 degree C, since 1900.)

  25. (The average temperature increase for the Earth’s atmosphere overall is about 0.7 degree C, since 1900.)
    @Pox on your house….
    So?

    Why are the temps in the South Pole dropping?

  26. Apoxonbothyourhouses says: @ January 8, 2014 at 2:26 pm

    Please help me understand how your article can scientifically sit….
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    You are in luck an engineer about a week ago explained this in a comment.

    I am going to reproduce it because I think it is a critical bit of information.

    RACookPE1978 says:
    December 31, 2013 at 7:21 am

    Actually, right now, just look at real figures from today’s date for NSIDC’s sea ice plots: you “might” just find that 1.500 million km^2 “positive” above normal IS present around the Antarctic, while the Arctic is about 0.550 million km^2 below normal for this date. The sea ice deficit so often claimed by the CAGW theory (required by the CAGW theories!) is a POSITIVE at this date.

    For the past two years, Antarctic sea ice has been consistently two std deviations ABOVE normal levels for sea ice, AND that sea ice extends around the continent to latitude 60 south at maximum extents in September. Arctic sea ice (through this year) been right at 1.5 to 2 std deviations low from normal. BUT! The Antarctic sea ice extents maximum is just under 20 Mkm^2, but the entire Arctic ocean is only 14 Mkm^2: There is much more Antarctic sea ice than Arctic. At minimum extents, the difference is more impressive: Antarctic continental ice (14 Mkm^2) is as large as the entire Arctic itself, but that rock-based icecap is in turn surrounded by 3.5 Mkm^2 of permanent ice shelves, and then by the ever-changing Antarctic sea ice. So even at today’s minimum Antarctic sea ice extents 2-3 Mkm^2 (and increasing!) the total southern ice is 14 + 3.5 + 2.5 = 20 Mkm^2. At maximum southern extents, those become 14.0 + 3.5 + 19.5 = 35 Mkm^2 is frozen. 2-1/2 times the maximum of what sea water is available up north.

    On the other hand, Arctic sea ice lately (last 12 years) is only 3.5 – 4.0 million sq km AT ITS MINIMUM in September. We can lose AT MOST only another 3.5 million sq km2. That is it.

    How much larger can Antarctic sea ice get? There is no limit. At today’s rate of Antarctic sea ice increase, Cape Horn itself could be closed to ship traffic due to sea ice within 8-10 years for months at a time every September and October. It probably won’t happen, but the trend is there: we have been seeing just under 1.0 Mkm^2 more sea ice each year for several years now.

    To the specific point of open Arctic waters being a heat loss area from the earth. Notice that we are assuming far-north openings here, not a theoretical physics textbook ice mass of theoretical albedo = .95 floating off the ice-filled (Equatorial) waters of Polynesia where the sun is directly overhead (Air Mass = 1.0) with perfectly clear skies and no humidity. 8<)

    But this little bit of remaining 3.5 Mkm^2 Arctic sea ice is actually in the water up between latitude 78 north to 83 north. At that latitude, in mid and late September when arctic sea ice is at its minimum extents, there is MORE heat lost from open waters due to more evaporation losses, more conduction losses, more convective losses, and more radiation losses from open sea water than can be gained from that exposed water getting heated by the ever-lower sun angles! At those latitudes, at that time of year, the HIGHEST the sun can get is 8 – 12 degrees above the horizon, air masses are 18 to 34. There simply is no solar heat penetrating the atmosphere at those low solar angles to be gained if the Arctic ice continues to melt.

    The more the Arctic sea ice melts from today’s minimum extents in August and September, the more the planet loses heat energy to space and cools down ever more. Your CAGW’s religiously amplified but majestically feared “arctic amplification” due to sea ice meltdown is totally, completely backwards.

    But it is worse than you think!

    At today’s levels of BOTH minimum AND maximum extent in the Antarctic seas, today’s (and last year’s!) record breaking sea ice extents DO reflect much more solar energy than the exposed waters! At the edge of the Antarctic sea ice at 60 – 70 south latitude, ALL YEAR, every day, the record-breaking Antarctic sea ice extents IS reflecting MORE solar energy and IS cooling the planet down even more.

    And thus we slide quickly into the next major ice age.

    You can also look at the implications of the Bipolar Seesaw in this paper: Can we predict the duration of an interglacial? and do not miss The Antithesis

  27. Apoxonbothyourhouses says: “Bright white ice reflects energy back into space; dark blue water absorbs it. Arctic temperatures are about 2 degrees Celsius warmer there than they were in the mid-1960s.”

    (1) For much of the year, Arctic temperatures remain well below freezing.
    (2) Summertime decrease in Arctic ice happens in four ways:
    (a) sublimation via low humidity
    (b) removal to warmer waters by wind and currents
    (c) melting from beneath by warmer water
    (d) melting via sunlight on soot-contaminated surfaces
    (3) The albedo of ice overlaps that of water at high zenith angles.
    (4) Ice acts an insulator and reduces major T⁴ loss of heat from the ocean to space.
    (5) Ocean albedo, a function of wind, temperature, humidity, current, surface tension, plankton content, and viscosity is poorly handled by the models.
    (6) Old ice has a correspondingly low albedo, as in (d), above.

  28. When studying the 5,500 old Ortzi (the Iceman) He had been buried in a glazier in the European Alps. But that year a volcanic eruption covered the mountains with brown ash, so the sun was not reflected as normal. (Not climate change!) This created a glacier melt and Ortzi was found, it didn’t last long of course as new snow covered the dusty film eventually, but it shows how the glaciers can be affected by volcanic eruptions miles away from ash fall.

  29. This was a week chosen for reporting high ratio of cold records to warm records. I would like to look at record-setting occurrences of 1-10 years, and consider recent installment of official airport thermometers being disproportionately in hinterland areas.

    I would not go for records – but for decade-plus averages for official thermometers that have been in existence since before WWII and where growth of urban effects has not been significant.

  30. …Just wait…

    The 10-day ECMWF has EXTREME amplitude. PNA++

    Looks like something similar to the winter of 1976/77.

  31. Gail Combs says: January 8, 2014 at 4:09 pm
    Thanks for the repost of RACook’s and the two links, I missed the Antithesis three years ago.

  32. Steve Keohane says…
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    I like to keep reminding people there is an alternative view. With luck Dr. Svaalgard is correct and we stay just above the Solar TSI glacial inception point. There is plenty of evidence that says we are near that edge and no one knows exactly where the edges is. (Is it 416 Wm2 of Sirocko & Seelos or is it 474Wm−2 ofTzedakis et al.)

    The one thing that is certain is that a global warming “tipping point” is completely laughable given the present near end interglacial TSI.

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