Introducing the anti-hockey stick – 'The Scythe"

We already are well familiar with the shape of the hockey stick, so familiar in fact it has become an icon.

Josh writes:

It has already been concluded by Marcott et al that their results should now show no modern uptick i.e. no Hockey Stick blade. As Richard Drake notes at Climate Audit the new look graph is like a scythe. An appropriate metaphor for those who are now reaping what they sowed for so many years.

the_scythe_marcott

Then of course there is the specter of what happens to humanity when the world cools.

Cartoons by Josh

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April 1, 2013 11:08 am

Chilling.

Snotrocket
April 1, 2013 11:13 am

“The New climate ICON” – dare you click on it???? Beware, the Bogey-Mann will get you!!

Louis
April 1, 2013 11:23 am

Great illustration!
If the long cooling trend of the “scythe” is finally reversing back to a warmer climate, what’s wrong with that? Would climate scientists prefer for the cooling to continue?

rogerknights
April 1, 2013 11:24 am

Here’s a suggestion I sent to CFACT (and which Josh is welcome to as well):
Here’s an idea for a billboard (or coffee mug or T-shirt):
Image: A gently upsloping hockey stick-shaft at about 15 or 20 degrees from left to right. Its blade, rather than turning upward, turns flat. (The conventional hockey stick has been in effect flipped over.) The stick is translucently superimposed on a line chart of global temperture since 1976 or so.
Upper caption: “Here’s the LATEST “hockey stick.””
Lower caption: “15 years of no warming. An Inconvenient Truth.”
I think this is superior to the billboard you are currently using, because of its clever turning of the tables on the hockey stick icon.

April 1, 2013 11:37 am

I have always been saying that the most important trend (the most probable to continue and speed up) is the ~10 ka cooling trend.

R. Shearer
April 1, 2013 11:38 am

Cool!

April 1, 2013 11:39 am

How far are we from full glaciation?

MarkW
April 1, 2013 11:41 am

Snotrocket, don’t you mean the Bogus-Mann?

John Tillman
April 1, 2013 11:42 am

It will be a cold day in Hell before Manniacs admit the decline.

Bloke down the pub
April 1, 2013 11:43 am

Does he come on an horse called Binky? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binky_(Discworld)#Binky

GoatGuy
April 1, 2013 12:20 pm

Meanwhile…
The MSM is busily touting a Green Arctic scenario for positive-feedback climate catastrophe. Ah… really? The thinning of Arctic ice is at least 75% governed by the integration-of-exsolation over the arctic winter months. The #1 exsolation (IR radiation) blanket isn’t CO2, but Chinese sulfate/SO2 aerosols. They nucleate near-stratospheric cloud-hazes, which in turn markedly decrease radiation. Air temperature remains low though. Just not enough IR leaving to create the DEPTH of sea ice that used to happen regularly. One needs an analogy no deeper than “thick frost on windshield” of car in winter mornings … when the air temperature clearly did not get below 3 to 4C. Mechanism for freezing? Well, its always the same. IR radiation leading blackbody cooling. Windshield drops to -3C to -10C depending on wind. Moisture condenses as frosts. The New England ponds and lakes all respond to the same phenom. When there’s even modest high hazes … ice thickness doesn’t increase, even when air temp is in the not-too-minus C regime. But, come crystal clear nights … and that ice thickens up quick. Good IR radiator.
At some point, the Chinese will have to be held accountable for their culpability in the Arctic Ice loss saga. Its not CO2… its just hazes and noctilucent-type cloud nucleation enhancement from overloads of SOx aerosols. Thanks China. Y’ bunch of environmentally irresponsible, face-saving, behind-the-curtain cheating bums. Thanks.

banjo
April 1, 2013 12:34 pm

HO HO HO!

Taphonomic
April 1, 2013 12:38 pm

But, but, but, it doesn’t look like that if you graft the “modern instrumental record” on it!
Never mind that many of the proxies don’t track the modern instrumental record (ignore divergence; use Mikey’s nature trick, hide the decline). Never mind that Mikey Mann previously stated “No researchers in this field have ever, to our knowledge, “grafted the thermometer record onto” any reconstruction.”
All of a sudden it’s A-OK to graft the intrumental record onto a proxy data reconstruction? Oh, how the mighty have fallen.

Jake2
April 1, 2013 12:39 pm

Hey, what’s up with the sea ice 30% or greater graphs on the sea ice reference page? We had a sharp drop. Bad equipment?

Alex
April 1, 2013 12:56 pm

If the ice age comes we can move deep into the sea, were the missing heat is hiding.

bibliovore
April 1, 2013 1:06 pm

Nice April Fool’s joke. Now maybe you should restore the uptick at the end of the graph.

April 1, 2013 1:16 pm

Don’t let Mann leave the country! He’ll probably try to fertilize Yamal06 with Viagra.

Miles
April 1, 2013 1:18 pm

Ok does that mean that instead of a climate denier I am now a Scyther – sounds a lot cooler (npi)

Chris @NJSnowFan
April 1, 2013 1:36 pm

Is this true article about C02, something I have been saying for years?
If you take away all the BTU heat mankind dumps into the atmosphere (static) every day global temps could fall hard? Can see it in global temps chart in 2008 when world economy came to standstill with releasing BTU heat energy for short time.
Arctic in N hem will continue to melt fast every year because of BC from jet exhaust.
http://principia-scientific.org/supportnews/latest-news/163-new-discovery-nasa-study-proves-carbon-dioxide-cools-atmosphere.html#.UVeyXIQi4LQ.twitter

Skiphil
April 1, 2013 1:38 pm

fyi, Revkin at DotEarth/NY Times is getting attacked for even allowing discussion of criticisms of Marcott et al. (2013). Now that he’s been blindsided, sideswiped, and trampled on (mixed metaphors intended) by the Alarmist faithful, perhaps he will start to realize that the religious movement associated with Alarmist is not doing real science any favors:
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/31/fresh-thoughts-from-authors-of-a-paper-on-11300-years-of-global-temperature-changes/#postComment

Latitude
April 1, 2013 1:39 pm

1 half…of one degree
all of this fuss is over 1/2 a degree….
…and if there wasn’t a retroactive ice age in the early 1900’s…you wouldn’t even have that

William Astley
April 1, 2013 2:01 pm

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Greenland_Gisp2_Temperature.svg
The extreme AGW paradigm pushers have no explanation and have conveniently ignored the fact that the paleoclimatic data shows the Arctic cyclically warms and cools. Interesting the Antarctic also warms and cools, however, the Antarctic warming and cooling is out of phase with the Arctic warming and cooling. The out of phase warming and cooling of the two poles is called by the specialists ‘the polar see-saw’. (i.e. Exactly what we are observing now, a polar see-saw.)
The 20th century warming follows the same pattern as previous warming and correlates with a significant increase in solar magnetic cycle activity. There was also a significant increase in solar magnetic cycle activity during the other polar see-saws.
Altering data to create a hockey stick graph does not change the fact that observations do not support the extreme AGW theory. The predicted tropical troposphere hot spot is not observed. The majority of the 20th century warming occurred in the North hemisphere and in the Arctic which has not predicted by the AGW theory.
I am truly interested how the key climate scientists and the media who are pushing the extreme AGW paradigm will attempt to explain a cooling planet.
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2003/2003GL017115.shtml
Timing of abrupt climate change: A precise clock by Stefan Rahmstorf
Many paleoclimatic data reveal a approx. 1,500 year cyclicity of unknown origin. A crucial question is how stable and regular this cycle is. An analysis of the GISP2 ice core record from Greenland reveals that abrupt climate events appear to be paced by a 1,470-year cycle with a period that is probably stable to within a few percent; with 95% confidence the period is maintained to better than 12% over at least 23 cycles. This highly precise clock points to an origin outside the Earth system; oscillatory modes within the Earth system can be expected to be far more irregular in period.
http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0612145v1
The Antarctic climate anomaly and galactic cosmic rays
Borehole temperatures in the ice sheets spanning the past 6000 years show Antarctica repeatedly warming when Greenland cooled, and vice versa (Fig. 1) [13, 14]. North-south oscillations of greater amplitude associated with Dansgaard-Oeschger events are evident in oxygenisotope data from the Wurm-Wisconsin glaciation[15]. The phenomenon has been called the polar see-saw[15, 16], but that implies a north-south symmetry that is absent. Greenland is better coupled to global temperatures than Antarctica is, and the fulcrum of the temperature swings is near the Antarctic Circle. A more apt term for the effect is the Antarctic climate anomaly.
Attempts to account for it have included the hypothesis of a south-flowing warm ocean current crossing the Equator[17] with a built-in time lag supposedly intended to match paleoclimatic data. That there is no significant delay in the Antarctic climate anomaly is already apparent at the high-frequency end of Fig. (1). While mechanisms involving ocean currents might help to intensify or reverse the effects of climate changes, they are too slow to explain the almost instantaneous operation of the Antarctic climate anomaly.
Figure (2a) also shows that the polar warming effect of clouds is not symmetrical, being most pronounced beyond 75◦S. In the Arctic it does no more than offset the cooling effect, despite the fact that the Arctic is much cloudier than the Antarctic (Fig. (2b)). The main reason for the difference seems to be the exceptionally high albedo of Antarctica in the absence of clouds.
The following is a link to Bond’s paper “Persistent Solar influence on the North Atlantic Climate during the Holocene”
http://www.essc.psu.edu/essc_web/seminars/spring2006/Mar1/Bond%20et%20al%202001.pdf
Excerpt from the above linked paper:
“A solar influence on climate of the magnitude and consistency implied by our evidence could not have been confined to the North Atlantic. Indeed, previous studies have tied increases in the C14 in tree rings, and hence reduced solar irradiance, to Holocene glacial advances in Scandinavia, expansions of the Holocene Polar Atmosphere circulation in Greenland; and abrupt cooling in the Netherlands about 2700 years ago…Well dated, high resolution measurements of O18 in stalagmite from Oman document five periods of reduced rainfall centered at times of strong solar minima at 6300, 7400, 8300, 9000, and 9500 years ago.”

tchannon
April 1, 2013 2:10 pm

Edgy

RockyRoad
April 1, 2013 2:50 pm

bibliovore says:
April 1, 2013 at 1:06 pm

Nice April Fool’s joke. Now maybe you should restore the uptick at the end of the graph.

Irrelevant, biblio–and the joke’s on you, us, and everybody, unfortunately.
Why?
Because that’s the type of temperature trend seen in every Interglacial–it cools progressively towards the end then drops off the temperature cliff as the Earth plunges into another 100,000 years of miserable ice.
And from geologic indicators, it happens quickly–in as little as 2-3 years based on Alpine palynology, or 9-12 months based on peat bog palynology.
I’m afraid your little temperature up-tick tantrum isn’t going to thwart Earth’s progression into the next Ice Age one bit. In fact, for you CAGW people, I propose a name for the next Ice Age to help you understand it better. We’re currently in the Holocene; next will be the Obcene!
It will be that devastating.

phlogiston
April 1, 2013 3:01 pm

The grim reaper has this week visited a flea circus in AGW-devoted Germany, freezing to death 300 circus fleas in transit to a performance.
In Terry Pratchet’s Discworld there was a Death of rats – it follows that there must be a Ctenocephalide version also – the Death of fleas.
A BIT CHILLY, DONT YOU THINK?

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