Well, that didn’t take long to run the “climate is severe weather” scare story

The tornadic outbreak in Dallas is barely over and already there’s a rush to scare the public over non-existent links between tornadoes and climate.

The Daily Caller reports:

On the Tuesday broadcast of “CNN Newsroom,” CNN meteorologist Alexandra Steele declared that tornadoes plowing through the Dallas-Fort Worth area were brought on by climate change.

Steele, formerly of The Weather Channel, also predicted that more extreme weather is on its way.

“It really is [such a strange spring],” Steele said. “That’s kind of the climate change we are seeing. You know, extremes are kind of ruling the roost and really what we are seeing, more become the norm.”

“CNN Newsroom” host Carol Costello said it made her “afraid” about what is in store for next spring.

“It might be unnaturally cold,” said Costello. Steele agreed that future weather would be less predictable.

“This global warming is really kind of a misnomer,” Steele said. “It’s global climate change. So the colds are colder and warms are warmer and severe is more severe.”

Source – The Daily Caller: http://dailycaller.com/2012/04/03/cnn-meteorologist-todays-tornadoes-are-climate-change-we-are-seeing

Time to invoke Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.’s handy button:

With this post I am creating a handy bullshit button on this subject (pictured above). Anytime that you read claims that invoke disasters loss trends as an indication of human-caused climate change, including  the currently popular “billion dollar disasters” meme, you can simply call “bullshit” and point to the IPCC SREX report.

A few quotable quotes from the report (from Chapter 4):

  • “There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change”
  • “The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and extratropical storms and tornados”
  • “The absence of an attributable climate change signal in losses also holds for flood losses”

The report even takes care of tying up a loose end that has allowed some commentators to avoid the scientific literature:

“Some authors suggest that a (natural or anthropogenic) climate change signal can be found in the records of disaster losses (e.g., Mills, 2005; Höppe and Grimm, 2009), but their work is in the nature of reviews and commentary rather than empirical research.”

A few Notes:

La Ninas are often far more costly than El Ninos  (PDF)

La Nina of 2010 2nd strongest (PDF)

During El Niño the jet stream is oriented from west to east across the southern portion of the United States. Thus, this region becomes more susceptible to severe weather outbreaks. During La Niña the jet stream and severe weather is likely to be farther north.

Note the collision zone in the US southeast during La Niña patterns. 1974 was a La Niña year too.

And of course there’s this from The folly of linking tornado outbreaks to “climate change”:

Historically, there have been many tornado outbreaks that occurred well before climate change was on anyone’s radar.  Here’s a few:

1908 Southeast tornado outbreak 324 fatalities, ≥1,720 injuries

1920 Palm Sunday tornado outbreak ≥380 fatalities, ≥1215 injuries

1925 Tri-State tornado ≥747 fatalities, ≥2298 injuries

1932 Deep South tornado outbreak  ≥330 fatalities, 2145 injuries

1952 Arkansas-Tennessee tornado outbreak 208 fatalities

1965 Palm Sunday tornado outbreak 256 fatalities

April 3-4 1974 Super Outbreak 315 fatalities

All of these occurred before “climate change” was even on the political radar. What caused those if “global warming” is to blame? The real cause is La Niña, and as NOAAwatch.gov indicates on their page with the helpful meter, we are in a La Niña cycle of ocean temperature in the Pacific.

I recommend reading my essay: Why it seems that severe weather is “getting worse” when the data shows otherwise – a historical perspective.

I also recommend: 2011 US Tornado Year Analyzed – no trend indication, still below 1974 for strong to violent tornadoes

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69 Responses to Well, that didn’t take long to run the “climate is severe weather” scare story

  1. Les Johnson says:

    If there is a relationship between ENSO and tornado outbreaks, its not apparent.

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/csi/events/2011/tornadoes/enso.html

    In the 9 outbreaks 1925-1965, none were la Nina. In the 9 outbreaks 1974-2011, 8 were la Nina or neutral.

  2. Michael Jankowski says:

    Did she bring up the shark attacks down in Ausland and blame them on climate change as well?

  3. samuellhall says:

    Well, the DFW area did get hit good today.

  4. dtbronzich says:

    I predict that there is also quieter weather on it’s way. Wanted to be first to state the obvious.

  5. Scipio says:

    A lie repeated often enough eventually becomes truth!

  6. David Larsen says:

    Can you imagine what is was like here before Columbus. Only Natives with a population density of one person per 20 square miles? I bet the tornadoes were wiping the tribes out until hardly none were left. Wrecking teepees or hogans or long houses. Higher population density means more destruction in some areas. Kinda like having a picturesque view of the river when your in the 5 year flood plain. Better have good insurance.

  7. mike g says:

    Why does anybody know about this? I didn’t think anybody still watched CNN.

  8. Louis Hooffstetter says:

    To all news agencies:

    Please, no more weather bimbos.

  9. Pete says:

    How is this linked to “climate change” in any way? Dallas is on the southern end of Tornado Alley. March through May is the peak time for tornadoes in that area in any year. As you say, La Nina seems to contribute to an increased frequency. No man-made climate change needed.

    This kind of fear-mongering over “climate change” needs to be loudly refuted in every media venue. This garbage has got to stop.

  10. James Fosser says:

    The writing has been sighted on the wall here in Australia by our Socialist govrnment. The Department of Climate Change is to shed one third of its staff.

  11. Hoser says:

    NO! Don’t let them out of the corner they painted themselves into. It’s global warming, not climate change or extremes. So what does that nasty ol’ CO2 do then if it isn’t warming? And if warming isn’t the problem then what role does CO2 have? How does it do its thing to make weather extremes? And if CO2 isn’t the cause of these extremes, then what is the excuse for controlling CO2 output?

    It isn’t logic, it’s passion. It’s how much you apparently care, not what is real.

    And that makes me wonder about the wisdom of the 19th amendment. Boy am I in trouble now. But somebody needs to ask about whether voting based on emotion rather than reason has a dangerous destabilizing effect on the country. It doesn’t matter how things should be, I’m concerned about how things really are. Am I wrong?

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/02/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE8310MT20120402

  12. CNN is like little children with a fancy toy. Slathered in glitzy graphics and fades, and chant-like in its news cycle frequency, A bunch of literally dumb reporters pretend to seek information from around their world (it’s not our world). Floppy-shouldered ditzes on the femme side, and the likes of weird-breathing-cadence Wolf Blitzer on the homme side, combine to gob us with drama…with literally no information of real value to the watcher. Kings of the droning meme.

  13. Joseph Bastardi says:

    Ever hear of the book
    Driving Amongst Idiots

    Well, now we have a sequel: Forecasting Amongst Idiots

  14. Matt T says:

    It is worth noting that during most La Nina years (at least four out of five) the occurrence of storms and precipitation in Texas is generally below-average. See the 2007-2009 and 2010-2011 droughts across most of Texas, both of which were largely influenced by La Nina conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean. However, Texas has seen normal to slightly above-normal precipitation this winter and early spring across most of the state (with exception of west Texas) despite another La Nina phase. Dr. Nielsen-Gammon recently wrote a blog about this, and outlined, among a number of other factors, the change in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) from negative to positive as one of the reasons for the abnormal La Nina (in terms of average impacts on Texas). Anyways, main point is that just as the CNN meteorologists are flawed in trying to attribute this outbreak of storms to anthropogenic global warming, you too are flawed in solely attributing it to a SST phase in the Pacific that generally has the opposite effect of these storms today.

  15. John from CA says:

    Picture of four tornadoes hitting at once in DFW.
    pic.twitter.com/R1uBdPM6

    Looks like the 3rd and 4th are actually just forming but pretty unusual to see 4 forming at one time.

    No, its not due to global weirding broadcasts but an amazingly powerful storm to say the least.

  16. When you’re pointing to random bad weather events as an “effect” of AGW you’re on your last legs. The public’s BS meters go off the scale.

  17. Veritas says:

    Of course she’s right. They “know” what they are talking about and the rest of us are just too dumb to know any better. How dare you presume to understand climate and weather and melting ice and CO2 back radiation and tree ring proxies and… /sarc

  18. Andrew Shane says:

    “Bright early, becoming dark later”. If you ever hear anything else from a TV weather auto-cutie, ask for a peer review and IPCC sponsorship.

  19. Pointman says:

    “Global warming was a specific threat that failed to materialise, so they moved the threat to something much more vague. Don’t let them get away with it. Every time they try to frame the debate around those words, shift it right back to global warming. When you post or talk with people, use the words global warming rather than climate change.”

    http://thepointman.wordpress.com/2011/08/18/so-which-is-it-global-warming-climate-disruption-or-climate-change/

    Pointman

  20. polistra says:

    Tornados in Texas in April! Unprecedented! Unbelievable!

    To some extent this is just part of the East Coast’s overwhelming abysmal abject bigotry and ignorance about everything west of the Hudson and south of the Battery. When anything at all happens in the Great Plains, CNN / Fox / MSNBC will reliably say something fantastically idiotic about it.

  21. dtbronzich says:

    And of course, so far, zero fatalities. Lots of property damage, but no one has died.

  22. Pete P. says:

    How much does CNN GROSSLY overpay Alexandra Steele? Her comments are unbelievable.

  23. Curiousgeorge says:

    My cat ate a lizard this morning. Now THAT’S unprecedented. Obviously she was psychologically depressed about global warming/cooling/change/sustainability and took out her frustrations on that poor lizard. Probably one of those protected critters to. ;)

  24. Ian W says:

    “It’s Better To Be Thought An Airhead Bimbo Than To Open Your Mouth And Remove All Doubt.”

    With apologies to Mark Twain

  25. richard verney says:

    I am waiting with interest to see the latest satellite temperature anomaly from Dr Spencer.

    It is likely that the present anomaly is not above the 30 year average. That being the case, why would global warming be responsible for the weather today?

  26. Taphonomic says:

    “…more extreme weather is on its way…”

    Of course it is. Just like the climate of Earth has been changing for the last ~4.6 billion years.

    We have more and better ways to identify and document “extreme” events. And they sure aren’t going to break into to a TV program to announce: “This just in! Today’s weather was perfectly average! More at 11!!!!”

  27. The only thing I have ever liked about CNN is their building has a conveniently located Chick-fil-A when you are stuck at the World Congress center for a conference all week.

  28. R. Shearer says:

    Before the use of fossil fuels there were no incidences of semi trailers being picked up by tornadoes.

  29. Tim T says:

    Anthony, did you send a copy of the link to this page to Alexandra Steele? She really needs to know.

  30. Yes tornados in Texas in April, must be unprecedented.
    Here is interesting TV news coverage of a tornado outbreak in 1964 in Wichita Falls that I found. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycxQnTNWheI
    I think TV news overages have change a bit since that time.

    FOI, as a young officer in the Swedish Air Force my father spent the spring of 1963 at Sheppard Air Force Base. I have to ask him if he heard about this tornado which struck one year later.

  31. Magoo says:

    CNN – the Communist News Network. Hardly surprising.

  32. Ron says:

    Cameras everywhere. Internet everywhere. Airheads everywhere.

  33. Latitude says:

    “This global warming is really kind of a misnomer,” Steele said. “It’s global climate change. So the colds are colder and warms are warmer and severe is more severe.”
    ———————————
    In other words…..we can’t predict s…….and this is our new excuse

  34. Nerd says:

    I live in DFW area and it’s something I have to deal with EVERY SPRING no matter what. To link this to climate change is absurd…

  35. _Jim says:

    John from CA says:
    April 3, 2012 at 4:49 pm

    Picture of four tornadoes hitting at once in DFW.
    pic.twitter.com/R1uBdPM6

    Saw that in ‘real time’; one of the stations providing wall-to-wall coverage was also airing streaming video from their associated storm spotter field team and the team had this coming from their camera … at the time, it was difficult to determine just what was being seen, but now seeing the picture now it all becomes clear as to what the storm spotter was seeing and was streaming back to the station.

    I also want to take this opportunity to commend _all_ the TV crews, the on-air mets and others behind the scenes for their work this afternoon … also commendable was the crew on WBAP and their associated Cumulus stations (they all went simulcast with WBAP news and lead met doing the broadcasting) as they all worked to keep the public fully-informed and up-to-date as events unfolded weather-wise this afternoon. They all did an excellent job.

    BTW, the ‘count’ (unofficially at this point) is up to 12 tornadoes in this event today as of a little while ago …

    .

  36. juanslayton says:

    Joseph Bastardi says….

    Joe, I rather enjoyed watching you hold Beckel at arm’s length this afternoon. He’s normally a party line guy on climate change. Are you sure there aren’t any tornados waiting for him in Dakota?
    : > )

  37. Jeef says:

    Steele should be sacked for being thoroughly ill-educated about her supposed area of expertise. What an embarrassment.

  38. Mike Smith says:

    If you are interested in seeing radar images, photos, and video of the Metroplex Metronadoes, please go here and scroll down: http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/

  39. Jeef says:

    PS – I don’t recall climate change ever being mentioned in The Wizard Of Oz!

  40. Andrew30 says:

    We are were the news is.
    CNN (1980)
    The news is where we are.
    CNN (1990)
    If we don’t have a reporter there with a video camera then it didn’t happen.
    CNN (2000)
    More entertaining then theOnion.
    CNN (2010)

  41. Ally E. says:

    Irrefutably changing “Global Warming” to “Climate Change” gives the alarmists a way out and enables them to continue their scare-mongering. We should not go along with that change of phrase at all, it only helps them to bury their massive “fry-and-die” mistake. THEY insisted on dangerous and extensive WARMING, now let’s see that it hangs them – figuratively speaking.

  42. Sparkey says:

    I wonder, do you think that tornado mistook the trucking company for a trailer park?

    I live in the Dallas area & I remember seeing a tornado rip through Oak Cliff as a kid. Not to mention the one that hit Ft. Worth a few years back. There’s a reason where we live is called “Tornado Alley “. At lest there is warning of a storm coming, unlike the earth shaking of my wife’s native California.

  43. Theo Goodwin says:

    Trailers flying in a tornado is nothing unusual. The trailers were empty. Mobile homes do it all the time when they are not empty.

  44. Freezedried says:

    I would think that a more obvious sign of climate change would be if we went through several years with a lack of weather extremes.

  45. rbateman says:

    “This global warming is really kind of a misnomer,” Steele said. “It’s global climate change. So the colds are colder and warms are warmer and severe is more severe.”

    Since the Global Warming circle was not happy with the good times, they are stuck with a mouthful of sour grapes for every type of weather imaginable.

  46. donpenim says:

    From the NOAA website:

    The Top Ten Deadliest Tornadoes in Texas since 1900:

    1 – The Waco Tornado – May 11, 1953

    2 – The Goliad Tornado – May 18, 1902

    3 – The Rocksprings Tornado – April 12, 1927

    4 – The Tri-State Tornado – April 09, 1947

    5 – The Wichita Falls Tornado April 10, 1979

    6 – The Frost Tornado – May 06, 1930

    7 – The Karnes-Dewitt Tornado – May 06, 1930

    8 – The Zephyr Tornado – May 30, 1909

    9 – The Saragosa Tornado – May 22, 1987

    10 – The Jarrell Tornado – May 27, 1997

    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ama/?n=top10_tornadoes

    Also noted at the bottom of the list are 18 other tornadoes since 1990 that have caused more than a dozen deaths each:

    of particular note:
    May 9, 1927 – Dallas, 15 deaths F-Rating = 4

  47. Menth says:

    That is incredibly misleading on the part of that anchor. Shameful. She didn’t even mention that between 2001 and 2008 the number of wiccans DOUBLED in the U.S. and this didn’t have at least SOME degree of effect on the weather?
    http://www.religioustolerance.org/wic_nbr3.htm

    Oh sure, you may say “The weather isn’t getting ‘worse’” or point to some graph that says the same thing. You may even say something along the lines of “Wtf do witches have to do with weather?”.

    Well if you ask me that sounds like something a witch would say!

    Witches. It’s the damn witches I tells ya.

  48. donpenim says:

    There is also this:

    April 1957 Dallas tornado outbreak:

    The April 1957 Dallas tornado outbreak was a deadly tornado outbreak that struck most of the Southern United States from April 2 to the early hours of April 4, 1957.

    The outbreak was most notable due to a tornado that hit a densely populated area of the Dallas Metropolitan area, while other deadly tornadoes struck portions of Mississippi, Texas, and Oklahoma. The two-day outbreak killed at least 19 across 3 states and produced 50 tornadoes from Texas to Tennessee.

    See: http://www.1957dallastornado.net/

  49. _Jim says:

    Theo Goodwin says:
    April 3, 2012 at 7:03 pm

    Trailers flying in a tornado is nothing unusual. The trailers were empty. Mobile homes do it all the time when they are not empty.

    I’m thinking, by the time they reached 500′ feet up they were probably empty … hitting a truckstop midday is not likely to find all the trailers empty.

    I don’t think it was the “Flying-J Truckstop” either … but it could have been (I think it was):

    Flying J Travel Plaza
    7425 Bonnie View Road, Dallas, TX 75241

    See also this post from above.

    .

  50. Seconding the notion again–no climate change required; living in tornado ally, it is hard to forget. Still, people have short memories. Nothing is getting more extreme. I can already feel the heat, but this year is promising to be a repeat of last. The heat and the tornadoes will reduce again in the next few years. That is the way it always happens, and always will. We have significant tornadoes here every year. (‘Here’ is all of tornado ally, most of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, etc.) Does no one recall one of Texas’ claims to fame is the most tornadoes of any state? The fact is, conditions this season will be prime, just like last year, but the thing to remember is we get this EVERY YEAR! We always have weather systems roll through that make for the right shear and rotation, and we have wall clouds lower, and funnels drop. If it happens where you are, you better have good cover. If you are looking at an EF5, like Gary England famously said 03 May 1999, “Get underground, or you are going to die.” (Approximately) I like to think of that one as the biggest ever, but there have been bigger tornadoes by width, ones that ran longer on the ground, leaving bigger trials, ones with more rain, ones with more everything, and nearly all of them happened before any of us were even born. Get over yourself, people. You cannot change the climate, for better or for worse.

  51. TomRude says:

    “This global warming is really kind of a misnomer,” Steele said. “It’s global climate change. So the colds are colder and warms are warmer and severe is more severe.”

    LOL if this is what we observe, then the atmosphere is not reacting to warming but to entering a colder period and that change in climate is as opposite as AGW CO2 as you can find. Leroux was right from the start.
    http://ddata.over-blog.com/xxxyyy/2/32/25/79/Leroux-Global-and-Planetary-Change-1993.pdf

  52. Ian H says:

    I’m surprised we don’t see more of this. Weather people have an incentive to play up the significance of weather events. In a world where big scary things might happen with the weather, the TV weather guy becomes more important. Weather presenters have as much incentive as climate scientists to overhype the dangers of climate change. I’m actually astonished that so few have succumbed to the temptation and joined the dark side.

  53. Andrew says:

    Anthony: surprised not to see mention of Alan Turing FRS in the timeline of major communications events in your essay:

    “Why it seems that severe weather is “getting worse” when the data shows otherwise – a historical perspective.”

    Alan turing is widely recognised, and rightly so, as the “father of computer science and artificial intelligence” (as quoted from that veritable fountain of knowledge: Wikipedia @ 4/4/12).

    Without dwelling on his pivotal contribution to the defeat of Nazism in WWII (his contribution to the breaking of the code used by the German Enigma machine is considered to have shortened the war by many months if not years) the role of computers in all forms of modern communications and, of course, in the analysis of weather, weather forecasting and understanding climate, is unarguable.

    He was also an FRS when that onced-esteemed society had its scientific integrity intact.

    May I suggest that Alan Turing get a mention in any future re-write you do of your timeline or your essay…?

  54. SteveSadlov says:

    Looking at the ENSO meter, we’ve not been in neutral territory for very long, and the system response has lots of momentum to sort out. No surprise that we’re seeing some bad storms this year. We’ll see if we give ’74 a run for its money but it seems unlikely at this point.

  55. Baa Humbug says:

    Just like we get more severe weather during Autumn and Spring (because they are the ‘changeover’ periods where there is more chance of cold systems clashing with warm systems) we get more severe weather during the changeover of the 35.8 year cycle.

    More severe weather in the mid-late 70′s when we changed from cold to warm. More severe weather now that we are changing from warm to cold.
    It’ll all settle down once the Sun reaches maximum and starts to wind down.

  56. old44 says:

    I’ll bet Dorothy and Toto didn’t know they were victims of AGW.

  57. Ed Mertin says:

    Weather extremes are directly proportional to the amount of money flowing into media & political coffers from the billionaires at EDF.

  58. Kelvin Vaughan says:

    The Earth’s hottest temperature is 112°C cooler than the Moon’s. Earth’s coldest temperature is 84°C warmer than the Moon’s. The atmosphere both cools and warms the Earth. It seems to be getting less effective at doing both.

  59. NovaReason says:

    So… if you guys are posting about a [] button, does that mean that we can now use the word [] in our comment posts?

    Reply: Not if this moderator is making one of his rare come-back appearances ~ctm

  60. Bob Layson says:

    There is nothing more usual than unusual weather – except the usual kind.

  61. E.M.Smith says:

    AlGore was on some talking head show tonight and was overusing the extreme weather meme. Listing to him was painful, but clearly he’s on board with the ‘all weather indicates climate change / global warming / climate chaos / …’

    Oh, btw, it was warmer than this year just before Hansen starts his thermometers:

    http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2012/03/31/year-without-a-winter/

    http://climate.umn.edu/doc/journal/wint77_78.html

    Minnesota’s “Year Without a Winter”
    1877-1878

    The Winter of 1997-1998 will go down in history of one of the warmest ever. However, the Winter of 1877-1878 was definitely the mildest of the post-settlement era.

    State Climatologist, Jim Zandlo prepared the following summary of the 1877-1878 Winter in the aftermath of another mild Winter, 1986-1987. Responding to questions resulting from that modern-day temperate Winter, Jim’s investigation shows us that nothing is new under the sun!

  62. Dr. Paul Mackey says:

    “This global warming is really kind of a misnomer,” Steele said. “It’s global climate change. So the colds are colder and warms are warmer and severe is more severe.”

    So the average won’t change then.

  63. dtbronzich says:

    old44 says:
    April 3, 2012 at 11:04 pm

    I’ll bet Dorothy and Toto didn’t know they were victims of AGW.
    Wouldn’t that actually be the Wicked Witch of the East? Dorothy and Toto were magically transported to a mystical land of talking trees, living scarecrows and wonderful adventures, whereas the Wicked Witch of the East had a house dropped on her, as well as having her silver slippers stolen. (In Baum’s book they were silver, not ruby.)

  64. Robert Brown says:

    I actually am a believer in climate change. After all, if one looks at the proxy record for the last 5 million years, the climate was approximately stable until some 3 million years ago, then the mean temperature started to decline, then the planet entered a real ice age perhaps 2 million years ago or a bit more, then it began to exhibit bistability around 1 million years ago, and for the last 400-500 thousand years the bistability has been pronounced with a warm phase almost as warm as the standard stable temperature was 3 million years ago, although distinctly cooler than it was 5 million years ago.

    In that last 500,000 year period, the Earth has spent 80% of the time in cold/ice phase with substantial glaciation, around 10% of the time in warm/interglacial phase, 10% of the time in multi-thousand-year transitions or partial warmings or coolings. In the current interglacial (the Holocene) temperatures have fluctuated by as much as 2K between the Holocene Optimum (when it was 0.5-1 K warmer than it is now) and the LIA minimum about 1-1.5K cooler — not including the Younger Dryas excursion which was a thousand year hiatus of cooling, drought, and climate catastrophe that interrupted the initial warming of the Holocene. Over the last 1000 years alone temperatures have fluctuated by well over 1K, although perhaps a bit less than 2K max to min. Sounds like climate change to me.

    I’m a moderate believer in anthropogenic climate change. Or rather I’m a firm believer that some moderate fraction of the temperature variations observed and climate pattern variations observed is anthropogenic. After all, there is substantial evidence and a sound physical argument that this is the case. The evidence is difficult to quantify, though, because we still lack a comprehensive theory that can explain the baseline temperature and its substantial natural variability. Lacking such a theory, attempts to assign “anthropogenic blame” for “climate change” are, as you note, so much bullshit.

    However, I do suspect that we are preparing to enter a period where Earth’s temperatures do become more polarized, with the poles colder and the equator warmer not as the Earth warms, but as it cools. Since severe weather is indeed associated with with “warmth” per se but with temperature deltas, this may eventually produce a measurable change in frequency of severe events, although again it will be difficult to detect (to say the least) given our lack of a comprehensive baseline — at most 50 odd years of weather satellites, more like 30 or 40 of satellites teamed with weather radar and accurate recording and reporting — in some parts of the land surface of the Earth and a tiny fraction of the water surface (in the case of radar).

    That doesn’t excuse alarmism, or citing climate change as if it is all anthropogenic. As noted, it will be difficult to impossible to tell if the climate is changing at all, let alone what the proximate causes of that change are, lacking a comprehensive theory and a long baseline of modern-era measurements. Perhaps in 30-50 years (giving us close to a century of decent instrumental observations). In the meantime, the weather is even more changeable than the climate, and its variations mean even less. We’ve had an extraordinarily warm spring in NC (after an unusually cold and snowy winter last year) just as we’ve had before and no doubt will have again. Extreme weather events happen literally every day, somewhere on the planet, making it easy for alarmists to find one to neurose over and blame on Civilization.

    In the end, the Earth’s climate is what it is and will do what it does, mostly unforced by human hand. The short-term prediction is cooling, not warming, at least until the albedo goes back down.

    rgb

  65. Jerry says:

    Springtime in Texas just happens cartoon.

    http://www.xkcd.com/1037/

  66. Frank K. says:

    Here’s what the CNN weather reporter person(!) REALLY meant to say:

    “This global warming is really kind of a misnomer…”
    It’s global climate insanity! So the unprecedented is MORE unprecedented and catastrophes are MORE catastrophic and the alarmists are MORE alarming and … ”

    /sarc

  67. Mike says:

    Reply to _Jim, You are correct. That location was actually 3 trucking businesses. The Schneider Yard that had the flying trailers. Right next door going west is a truck wash and right on the corner of Bonnie and the serivice road is a Flying J/Pilot. The Schneider yard is a “Trailer Park”… Just a different kind of trailer than the typical reference to a Trailer Park. Oh, if anyone was wondering how high those trailers were flying, each of them is 53′ long. So, how many trailer lengths up in the air were they? 3, 4, 5 maybe 6 trailer lengths? I don’t know but they were definitely pretty high.

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