Quote of the Week – the climbdown on methane and climate change

There’s been a lot of worry-buzz in the usual circles over methane plumes bubbling up in the Arctic related to this NSF press release:

Press Release 10-036

Methane Releases From Arctic Shelf May Be Much Larger and Faster Than Anticipated

Thawing by climate change of subsea layer of permafrost may release stores of underlying, seabed methane

Illustration showing leakage of methane from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf.

The permafrost of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (an area of about 2 million kilometers squared) is more porous than previously thought. The ocean on top of it and the heat from the mantle below it warm it and make it perforated like Swiss cheese. This allows methane gas stored under it under pressure to burst into the atmosphere. The amount leaking from this locale is comparable to all the methane from the rest of the world’s oceans put together. Methane is a greenhouse gas more than 30 times more potent than carbon dioxide.

Credit: Zina Deretsky, National Science Foundation

To his credit, Andrew Revkin of the New York Times inquired with the field researchers on the methane bubbles. He writes:

Shakhova and Semiletov, whose earlier analysis of methane in the region was published in Science last year, had been unavailable for comment when I was preparing my piece, as they had gone on vacation shortly after their presentation. When they were back on the grid they got my e-mail inquiries and saw the post. Their response clarifies their differences with other research groups and emphasizes the importance of critically evaluating scientific findings before rushing to conclusions, either alarming or reassuring. One clear message, which I endorse, is the need to sustain the kind of fieldwork they’re doing.

The reply from Semiletov and Shakhova is enlightening and is the QOTW:

We would first note that we have never stated that the reason for the currently observed methane emissions were due to recent climate change.

In fact, we explained in detail the mechanism of subsea permafrost destabilization as a result of inundation with seawater thousands of years ago.

We have been working in this scientific field and this region for a decade. We understand its complexity more than anyone.  And like most scientists in our field, we have to deal with slowly improving understanding of ongoing processes that often incorporates different points of views expressed by different groups of researchers.

Do you think Joltin Joe Romm, who agreed with the story by Gillis (but panned Revkin’s story then) before the clarification…

Carbon Time Bomb in the Arctic: New York Times Print Edition Gets the Story Right

Writing:

The NYT would seem to be schizophrenic on this crucial topic, but Gillis clearly has the story right and it isn’t reassuring at all.

…will carry now this clarification? It seems schizophrenic interpretations my not be NYT’s fault at all, especially since the field researchers have clarified on record that they don’t see “climate change” to be involved at all.

Don’t hold your breath.

Kudos to Andrew Revkin for doing actual journalism and going straight to the source.

Of course the bigger problem than Joltin Joe Romm are the non thinking serial media and blog regurgitators. Perhaps WUWT readers can advise them of the correction.

‘Fountains’ of methane 1000m across erupt from Arctic ice – a greenhouse gas

Daily Mail – ‎Dec 13, 2011‎
The Russian research vessel Academician Lavrentiev conducted a survey of 10000 square miles of sea off the coast of eastern Siberia. They made a terrifying discovery – huge plumes of methane bubbles rising to the surface from the seabed.

Rapid rise in Arctic methane shocks scientists

New Zealand Herald – ‎Dec 13, 2011‎
By Steve Connor Dramatic and unprecedented plumes of methane – a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide – have been seen bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean by scientists undertaking an extensive survey of the region.

Scientists Discover Giant Methane Plume in Arctic Ocean

Kozmedia News – ‎Dec 15, 2011‎
By Robert Williams on Dec 15, 2011 | Filed Under Science | 0 comments Russian scientists have discovered hundreds of plumes of methane gas, some 1000 meters in diameter, bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean. Scientists are concerned that as the

Scientists worry about giant plumes of methane in Arctic Ocean

DigitalJournal.com – ‎Dec 14, 2011‎
By JohnThomas Didymus By JohnThomas Didymus. Scientists are worried about methane bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean. The thawing of the Arctic as temperatures rise is releasing methane in the seabed. Scientists say high levels of the gas in

Giant plumes of methane bubbling to surface of Arctic Ocean

Updated News – ‎Dec 14, 2011‎
Russian scientists have discovered hundreds of plumes of methane gas, some 1000 meters in diameter, bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean. Scientists are concerned that as the Arctic Shelf recedes, the unprecedented levels of gas released could

Chilling discovery: Arctic ice releases deadly greenhouse gas

People’s World – ‎Dec 14, 2011‎
Methane, a greenhouse gas 20 times more powerful than carbon dioxide, has been found by scientists in deadly, bubbling plumes on the surface of the Arctic Ocean. The scientists, who were undertaking an extensive survey of the area, were utterly

Where am I? > Home > Climate > Vast Stores of Methane Are Rel…

Environmental News Network – ‎Dec 14, 2011‎
Deep under the icy waters of the Arctic, Russian scientists have discovered vast stores of methane, the potent greenhouse gas, far worse than CO2. The scientists sampled the waters along the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, and discovered that the methane

Methane in the Arctic: The end of the world, or what?

Grist Magazine – ‎Dec 14, 2011‎
by Christopher Mims The scale and volume of the methane release has astonished the head of the Russian research team who has been surveying the seabed of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf off northern Russia for nearly 20 years.

Unprecedented Methane Plumes Bubbling in The Arctic

SustainableBusiness.com – ‎Dec 15, 2011‎
Dramatic, unprecedented plumes of methane – a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide – are bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean near Russia, reports UK’s The Independent. Scientists who have been studying the area for nearly 20

===============================================================

Update: In case you are wondering what CH4 concentration in the atmosphere looks like, here’s the latest data from NOAA:

The Y axis is Parts Per Billion (PPB) Plot visualizer here. Data here. I noted back in 2006 that CH4 had stabilized, now it is slightly rising again.

Bill Illis in comments adds the Barrow, AK monitoring site in the “permafrost zone … and it is right next to the frozen permafrost/frozen methane beds of the high Arctic.”  and notes it is “pretty well flat right now”.

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

104 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Howard T. Lewis III
December 27, 2011 11:57 am

Al ‘D’ Gore.

December 27, 2011 12:01 pm

*yawn*
It’s *yawn* worse than we thought *yawn*
*yawn* it’s clearly time to *yawn* panic
Please wake me up when we’re all dead.

Andrew
December 27, 2011 12:01 pm

Can we capture the methane?
Joltin Joe Romm…I thought he was Joe EnRomm…I get so confused sometimes…
When I google “Joe Romm” I see him referred to by both names…so I guess as Bill Murray said in Meatballs…”It just doesn’t matter!”

December 27, 2011 12:04 pm

Sorry to disappoint you, but certainly the Daily Mail is not interested in accuracy, only in playing to a public which thrives on bad news. Pointing out the clarification would be a waste of time. I suspect the same applies to most of the others listed, and as for the Guardian (The Moonbat column) or the BBC, well, forget it.

Al Gored
December 27, 2011 12:06 pm

The Romman Scientific Method: Only agree with scientists or writers who say what you want them to say, and ignore, dismiss, and/or smear all others.
These scientists obviously work for Big Oil or perhaps Big Cow.

December 27, 2011 12:21 pm

Revkin says: “One clear message, which I endorse, is the need to sustain the kind of fieldwork they’re doing.”
Revkin says send more money.

December 27, 2011 12:30 pm

mkelly
I’ll happily see my taxes spent on something that looks like genuine research giving us a clear picture of what can actually be attributed to global warming and what can’t.
Revkin is right and as Anthony says, kudos to him for going to the source and getting the right story rather than the headline-grabbing one.

December 27, 2011 12:31 pm

IOW it’s the usual idiots

crosspatch
December 27, 2011 12:32 pm

Andrew says:
December 27, 2011 at 12:01 pm
Can we capture the methane?

They are capturing natural methane seeps (and oil seeps, too) off the coast of California (Coal Oil Point, near Santa Barbara). It is some sort of contraption that looks something like an inverted funnel that is placed over the seep. Many seeps that are not economically viable are simply left alone. The irony is that if we allowed renewed drilling in that area, it would reduce the amount of oil and gas seeping into the environment.

Bryan A
December 27, 2011 12:33 pm

Since CH4 is a stronger GHG than CO2, perhaps they should consider a method to Trap the CH4 and then Burn it like they do with Natural Gas to produce Electricity. This would provide electricity, remove the CH4 from the environment and produce CO2 for plants (and Carbonated Sodas)

December 27, 2011 12:37 pm

I’ll bet the family farm that if you suggested that drilling Rigs be sent there immediately to harvest the methane there would be howls of aguished protest!

eyesonu
December 27, 2011 12:40 pm

If the ‘bubbling methane’ is 30 times more potent than CO2 then think of how great it would be to capture the methane and burn it to reduce the greenhouse gas effect in the atmosphere by a factor of 30. That would be a factor of 3000% and while burning it maybe we could generate some electricity. But by all means it must be burned to save the world!
Could giant cucumbers be erupting causing this?

December 27, 2011 12:41 pm

Also this story was carefully placed in Warmist publications like the UK Guardian, just after the ignominious failure of Durban – presumably to reassure the Faithful that despite everyone’s nonchalence about Global Warming we are in fact, DOOMED!

Charles.U.Farley
December 27, 2011 12:46 pm

“We’re doomed i tell ya, doomed Captain Mainwaring!”

David A. Evans
December 27, 2011 12:48 pm

crosspatch says:
I have heard some of those clever Nipponese have been seeing some success with recovering Methane from Clathrates too.
DaveE.

timg56
December 27, 2011 12:59 pm

mkelly,
There is nothing wrong with funding research, including research that looks into human impacts to climate. The problem comes in when determination of who and what gets funded gets overly politicized.

RayG
December 27, 2011 1:00 pm

Al Gored says:
December 27, 2011 at 12:06 pm “The Romman [sic]Scientific Method:”
AG, the correct spelling is “Rommann”

Rosco
December 27, 2011 1:00 pm

I didn’t realize we had a “potentcy” rating for greenhouse gases – I’m guessing it must be related to specific heat. – so at 300k methane has a specific heat which is ~ 20% more than water vapour.
The kicker these alarmists never mention is that, no matter what, the effect greenhouse gases “impose” on climate must be proportional to their concentration.
Water vapour varies up to ~ 2% – 20,000 ppm volume
CO2 is approximately 0.04 % – less than 400 ppm
Methane is approximately 0.00018 % – 1870 ppb or 1.870 ppm.
The effect these things have is nothing more than trace. The IR from any of them couldn’t be measured compared to the IR coming from the rest of the atmosphere which IS emitting IR because it is heated and all heated things emit radiation characterized by the temperature.
So beware these “20 times more potent” little thingies.

December 27, 2011 1:05 pm

Naturally venting methane could be a big new energy source !!!
Might be less environmentally disruptive than fracking ( which itself doesn’t seem to be disruptive)
and very environmentally beneficial compared to allowing the methane to enter the atmosphere (if one accepts the AGW theory in the first place).
In fact, wouldn’t the harvesting and burning of naturally venting methane offset the imagined effects of human CO2 emissions ?

Pamela Gray
December 27, 2011 1:19 pm

I am getting the hang of this. It is only worse when they say so. Otherwise it “could” be worse in the future…way in the future…under scenario d or maybe e..

Luther Wu
December 27, 2011 1:21 pm

eyesonu says:
December 27, 2011 at 12:40 pm
Could giant cucumbers be erupting causing this?
_____________________________
Giant sea cucumbers… after having been featured on “The Food Channel”.

Magnus
December 27, 2011 1:38 pm

“The permafrost of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (an area of about 2 million kilometers squared) is more porous than previously thought.”
Is this in a NEWSpaper? It was all worse than we thought as far back as 2007, ffs!

December 27, 2011 1:43 pm

Phil Jones and his CRU syndrome-agents diligently preaching their religious chicken little horror stories.

Al Gore's Holy Hologram
December 27, 2011 1:55 pm

Methane in the ground?
Put a tap on it and burn it for fuel. Problem solved.

December 27, 2011 1:59 pm

Methane levels are not increasing. CO2 is going up, but Methane is not.
This is just the latest for the pro-AGW set to get all emotional about – the apocalypse is coming after all.
I can say that because not one of the two dozen stories about this in the past few weeks has made note of the current flat trends in Methane concentrations.

1 2 3 5
Verified by MonsterInsights