UPDATE: The serial regurgitation has started. See the end of the article.
Somehow, I just can’t get past the picture of the guy in the beret who seems to be saying to the cameraman “Look the island! It is disappearing before our eyes!”. Red underline mine.
Now here’s the interesting part…we’ve apparently seen this sea level rising 3x faster “secret leaked report” before:
Yep, back in 2009, the same claims were made, right about the time of the Copenhagen Climate Conference. Of course it isn’t surprising to see Climate Progress leading the pack with such disinformation, it is what the blogger is paid to do. But. let’s look at the unpaid reality of the data.
From this post by Willis Eschenbach: Putting the Brakes on Acceleration he plots the satellite data up to September of 2010. If anything it looks like the trend is slightly decelerating:
And, as we’ve seen from the latest JASON-1 and JASON-2 data, plotted by RomanM, there does not seem to be any acceleration in sea level rise. In fact it seems quite linear. The data speaks for itself, with a general slight downturn in the JASON1-2 data since late 2009: 
Of course, the fact that this is old news and that when you examine the claims, they just don’t hold up. Nope that won’t stop the “secret leaked report” from being released tomorrow here at http://www.amap.no/ and a serial regurgitation by news media.
h/t to Duncan and CTM
=========================================================
UPDATE: Here we go…
http://www.independentmail.com/news/2011/may/03/new-report-confirms-arctic-melt-accelerating/
Here is the list of stories from Google so far. The best thing our readers can do is visiti these links and place comments if they are allowed, showing that so far, sea level rise has not accelerated at all. – Anthony
Same old same old discredited computer models. They need a bigger, better Playstation to scare us with.
RE: Sea levels were estimated to rise between 0.9 and 1.6M by the year 2100…
http://en.trend.az/regions/world/ocountries/1869902.html
Wait, stop and think about this, they are saying it’s 9mm –> 16mm PER YEAR (assume 100 years)!!!
If I take into account we have 89 years until 2100, that comes to 10mm –> 18mm per year. Using the 1992-2001 numbers, they are saying that the number just suddenly jumped from 3.4mm per year to 10mm–>18mm per year; that’s a big sudden jump. One would expect to see 10 years of data to show the pattern of increase.
Wait, this is AGW, facts don’t matter…
Not to mention the fact that sea levels are unaffected by melting ice that floats.. but hey, why let simple high school science dull a good scare story?
The Europeans have put all their eggs in the global warming basket – and are adamant about pushing through the Great Transformation. It’s all a sham to take over the moral leadership of the world.
You can use that bogus claim and the paper it’s written on as TP.
Bob Diaz
Your numbers likely come from that serial exaggerator Stefan Rahmstorf of the PIK. His graph follows the 3 – 4 mm / year increase for the next 20-30 years and then shoots up like a hockey stick after 2050. It’s just more fortune-telling from a charlatan. The 2013 IPCC report has to be more dramatic than the 2007 report, which, as Ban Ki Moon said, was “scarier than a sci-fi movie”.
They need another of those “conferences” somewhere exotic to decide how best to “communicate” their latest regurgitation of this “evidence” to us poor benighted deniers.
As a dog returneth to his vomit, so a fool returneth to his folly
Proverbs 26:11
Disaster for Broome, McDonalds underwater, Airport underwater, Coles underwater, and, oh no, BOM sunk!
Photos of March high tide:http://pindanpost.com/2011/05/03/underwater-bro…-dont-think-so/
Well, Canada just got an CAGW-skewering majority government. Let’s hope that the environment department cruises WUWT regularly.
Playstation
networkscience is down since before the Easter holidays, so they had to use a backed up report.…From Greenhouse 2011, conference in Cairns last weekend:
Observing climate variability and change in the global oceans: The Argo Program
Dean Roemmich
Presentation
Climate change and Australia’s coast: integrated science for adaptation
Jo Mummery
Presentation
Sea-level rise and the Earth’s warming
John Church
Presentation
I have not looked at these yet, but Anthony’s post now prompts me to do so.
(Self promotion) The full list of presentations can be found on my blog http://pindanpost.com in 4 parts: Greenhouse 2011, sponsored by CSIRO
Having been doing some of my own research in this matter, I have found 3 scientific articles showing a deceleration of sea levels around the globe.
One by Nils-Axel Morner, in regards to the Maldives called, ‘The Great Sea-Level Humbug’.
That PDF can be found .here
Another one by P. J. Watson, in regards to Australia called, ‘Is There Evidence Yet of Acceleration in Mean Sea Level Rise around Mainland Australia?’
That article, published in the Journal of Coastal Research, can be found here.
And of course, Houston and Dean, in regards to the US sea levels called, ‘Sea-Level Acceleration Based on U.S. Tide Gauges and Extensions of Previous Global-Gauge Analyses.’
That article, also published at the JCR, can be found here as well.
These articles are the real story that MSM doesn’t want out.
Having gone back and reviewed again this UNIPCC Report, sea-levels is tantamount to the CAGW theory.
Here is a quote from that IPCC report:
As long as the IPCC stands by that document, every ‘alarmist’ will continue to deny any evidence to the contrary.
Hence, we get this drivel on ‘higher that predicted’ trash from the MSM.
But I’m singing to the crowd again. Most of us here know the truth.
If anyone is interested in seeing my article on sea levels, with attachments from the previous 3 links, please read,‘More on Sea Levels’.
@ur momisugly Dave N says:
May 2, 2011 at 10:49 pm
Not to mention the fact that sea levels are unaffected by melting ice that floats.. but hey, why let simple high school science dull a good scare story?
—–
REPLY
Heh! You beat me to it, see: http://www.sciencekids.co.nz/experiments/iceoverflow.html
I had calculated before the rate of rise since 2003, and made it available here.
Please notice that it has been going down (be careful: the rate is going down; not sea-level) almost continuously since the beginning of 2006, only interrupted in the fall2009-spring2010, probably due to “El Nino”.
I’ll have to update this when new satellite data gets out.
Ecotretas
Still not sure about this sea level rise business. The evidence from the Med, which has no tides and so is easier to measure, is that it has not moved a dime over the last few centuries. Not even that 5cms since 1990. It is still sitting exactly where it was, on these photos.
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Antalya_undercut_lr.jpg
Heavy Water and Heavy Drink
Extra water in the ocean puts pressure on the sea floor, forcing it down and causing all land masses floating on the mantle to rise. Seems reasonable, just like pressing on a balloon, it pops out somewhere else… the area of lesser resistance ie: the land masses are forced to rise.
Therefore, do not be concerned about melting land based ice causing the sea level to rise. It’s all relative. This is probably a slow self-correcting process taking an estimated hundreds to thousands of years, so a little patience is in order.
So while we’re waiting for that to happen, let’s all party, drink beer, and enjoy life.
No worries Mates ! Cheers !
PS: There should be huge fines for publishing the above false propaganda drivel that pollutes young minds. It’s getting monotonous.
Let’s wait and listen what Obama tells us about sea level rise. If he and his experts say it is rising it is the truth. They would never lie to us.
Funny – the (independent) Arctic Sea Ice graphs for this year seem to be REMARKABLY consistent with previous years, being bang in the middle of the others…
@ClimateForAll: thanks for that. I agree it’s quite clear that unless the sea level rise is *accelerating* (not just increasing at constant rate, as from the last ice age) the whole CAGW edifice collapses. If there is no acceleration in the land-based ice melt (glaciers, Greenland, land-based Antarctica) there can be no overall temperature rise, at least in any land areas with permanent ice pack.
Sea level is the best temperature proxy of all. It’s showing absolutely nothing unusual going on.
The problem with the Mediterranean, especially around Greece and Turkey, is that the water may be fairly static but the land isn’t.
Greece & Turkey (USGS)
My house is only 4860 ft AMSL so somebody please let me know when I need to start running away.
Thanks.
@CRS, Dr.P.H
“…melting ice that floats…?
Floating ice that melts, perhaps?
This realisation started me off on the search for better science than the scaremongers were offering. The link Anthony has provided seems a bit TOO scientific for laymen – at the scale of ice cubes, the melted ice will precisely fill the volume the ice cube was displacing. So rather than “the level of the water stays about the same” they could say “exactly the same”.
The other layman’s objection to “the science” is that ALL of the gigatons of carbon in coal were (before the vegetation sequestered it) up in the atmoshpere as CO2. So why should anyone worry about putting it back there? But I see no discussion of that thought anywhere. I gather from Viscount Monkton that CO2 levels are known to have been 300000 times higher in the past than their current levels, and evidently growing conditions were then excellent. This fact seems worthy of more exposure too.
Well it was obvious really when you come to think about it. – It was just thoughtless and irresponsible to market the “Climate Science Kit” purely for profit.
– The kit has of course (as I very well knew it would do when I first saw it) fallen into the wrong hands.
The dubiousness of this claim is even more impressive if you look at the full 130 years of sea level data http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Recent_Sea_Level_Rise.png Not only does the tidal gauge data (for a wonder) agree with the satellite data, the only apparent change in rate of increase looks to have been very modest and to have taken place at the end of the 19th century. This chart and the acknowledged 600-800 year lag between temperature and CO2 that convince me that “climate science” has more in common with phrenology than with anything an unbiased observer might describe as “settled science”.
If climate science were a real science rather than a religious exercise, there would be an honest admission that we can not account for historic sea levels very well and certainly have no validated tools for predicting future sea levels.
P Gosselin 🙂
I may have to live in Europe, I may have to endure the near constant barrage of laws, rules, edicts, etc, about how I must live my life, what I should eat, drink, say, & think, eminating from Brussells, but please, when you refer to “Europe”, do remember you are referring to an overpaid, corrupt, arrogant, unelected, undemocratic, unaccountable, & unsackable, bunch of largely socialist-minded bureaucrats, & not the people within the Peoples Democratic Republic of the Eupopean Union! Thank you.