Faint young sun paradox explained by Stanford – greenhouse effect not involved

Early Earth stayed warm because its ocean absorbed more sunlight; greenhouse gases were not involved, Stanford researchers say. See more about the Faint sun paradox here. A video clip follows.

The Faint Young Sun Paradox. Solid line is solar luminosity relative to present (S/S0). Ts is Earth’s surface temperature and Te is Earth’s effective radiating temperature. Thick vertical bars are glaciations. SOURCE: Modified from Kasting and Catling (2003).

From a Stanford University News press release.

Researchers have long wondered why water on Earth was not frozen during the early days of the planet, when the sun emanated only 70 to 75 percent as much energy as it does today. Some theorize that high levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, the same mechanism cited in global warming today, were key. But new research involving Stanford scientists has a different explanation: The oceans, much larger than today, absorbed enough heat from the sun to avoid turning into ice.

BY LOUIS BERGERON

Four billion years ago, our then stripling sun radiated only 70 to 75 percent as much energy as it does today. Other things on Earth being equal, with so little energy reaching the planet’s surface, all water on the planet should been have frozen. But ancient rocks hold ample evidence that the early Earth was awash in liquid water – a planetary ocean of it. So something must have compensated for the reduced solar output and kept Earth’s water wet.

To explain this apparent paradox, a popular theory holds there must have been higher concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, most likely carbon dioxide, which would have helped retain a greater proportion of the solar energy that arrived.

But a team of earth scientists including researchers from Stanford have analyzed the mineral content of 3.8-billion-year-old marine rocks from Greenland and concluded otherwise.

“There is no geologic evidence in these rocks for really high concentrations of a greenhouse gas like carbon dioxide,” said Dennis Bird, professor of geological and environmental sciences.

Instead, the team proposes that the vast global ocean of early Earth absorbed a greater percentage of the incoming solar energy than today’s oceans, enough to ward off a frozen planet. Because the first landmasses that formed on Earth were small – mere islands in the planetary sea – a far greater proportion of the surface of was covered with water than today.

The study is detailed in a paper published in the April 1 issue of Nature. Bird and Norman Sleep, a professor of geophysics, are among the four authors. The lead author is Minik Rosing, a geology professor at the Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, and a former Allan Cox Visiting Professor at Stanford’s School of Earth Sciences.

Minik Rosing, a geology professor at the Natural History Museum of  Denmark, University of Copenhagen, and Dennis K. Bird, professor of  geological and environmental sciences at Stanford.
Minik Rosing, a geology professor at the Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, and Dennis K. Bird, professor of geological and environmental sciences at Stanford. Photo: L.A. Cicero

The crux of the theory is that because oceans are darker than continents, particularly before plants and soils covered landmasses, seas absorb more sunlight.

“It’s the same phenomenon you will experience if you drive to Wal-Mart on a hot day and step out of your car onto the asphalt,” Bird said. “It’s really hot walking across the blacktop until you get onto the white concrete sidewalk.”

Another key component of the theory is in the clouds. “Not all clouds are the same,” Bird said.

Clouds reflect sunlight back into space to a degree, cooling Earth, but how effective they are depends on the number of tiny particles available to serve as nuclei around which the water droplets can condense. An abundance of nuclei means more droplets of a smaller size, which makes for a denser cloud and a greater reflectivity, or albedo, on the part of the cloud.

Most nuclei today are generated by plants or algae and promote the formation of numerous small droplets. But plants and algae didn’t flourish until much later in Earth’s history, so their contribution of potential nuclei to the early atmosphere circa 4 billion years ago would have been minimal. The few nuclei that might have been available would likely have come from erosion of rock on the small, rare landmasses of the day and would have caused larger droplets that were essentially transparent to the solar energy that came in to Earth, according to Bird.

“We put together some models that demonstrate, with the slow continental growth and with a limited amount of clouds, you could keep water above freezing throughout geologic history,” Bird said.

“What this shows is that there is no faint early sun paradox,” said Sleep.

The modeling work was done with climate modeler Christian Bjerrum, a professor in the Department of Geography and Geology, University of Copenhagen, also a co-author of the Nature paper.

The rocks that the team analyzed are a type of marine sedimentary rock called a banded iron formation.

Video: These rocks, billions of years old, tell a new story about the evolution of early Earth, Stanford researchers say.

“Any rock carries a memory of the environment in which it formed,” Rosing said. “These ancient rocks that are about 3.8 billion years old, they actually carry a memory of the composition of the ocean and atmosphere at the time when they were deposited.”

Another constraint on early carbon dioxide levels came from life itself.

In the days before photosynthetic organisms spread across the globe, most life forms were methanogens, single-celled organisms that consumed hydrogen and carbon dioxide and produced methane as a digestive byproduct.

But to thrive, methanogens need a balanced diet. If the concentration of either of their foodstuffs veers too far below their preferred proportions, methanogens won’t survive. Their dietary restrictions, specifically the minimum concentration of hydrogen, provided another constraint on the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and it falls well below the level needed for a greenhouse effect sufficient to compensate for a weak early sun.

“The conclusion from all this is that we can’t solve a faint sun paradox and also satisfy the geologic and metabolic constraints by having high carbon dioxide values,” Bird said.

But the theory of a lower Earthly albedo meets those constraints.

“The lower albedo counterbalanced the fainter sun and provided Earth with clement conditions without the need for dramatically higher concentrations of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere,” Rosing said.

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Steve (Paris)
April 7, 2010 11:43 am

Beautiful science

R Shearer
April 7, 2010 11:50 am

It’s easier for mankind to lower albedo, e.g. with soot. I’m of the belief that cooling is certainly in the future, and perhaps we can do something about it. Maybe even AGW will be beneficial in that regard.

Phillep Harding
April 7, 2010 12:02 pm

In South East Alaska and Iceland, cloudy weather is warmer than clear weather (all else equal). Where does the heat come from, if clouds are supposed to keep it from reaching the ground?

Editor
April 7, 2010 12:03 pm

Please note that back in June 2009 I proposed this very solution to the faint early sun paradox here on WUWT, in The Thermostat Hypothesis. As usual, WUWT is way ahead of the news, you read it here first … many thanks, Anthony.

April 7, 2010 12:05 pm

The oceans, much larger than today
Twice, three or more, times as large? 🙂
a far greater proportion of the surface of was covered with water than today
Same deal.
The existence of 4+ Gyr old Zircon grains indicates presence of continental crust early in the Earth’s history, and there is good evidence that the Earth lost its atmosphere and hydrosphere early on and that they have been gradually added since, so the situation is not that simple.

hunter
April 7, 2010 12:16 pm

Has any credible science come out in the last several years that actually supports AGW?

Dan (Norway)
April 7, 2010 12:16 pm

The 2010 Sophie Prize is awarded to James E. Hansen for his clear communication of the threat posed by climate change and for his genuine commitment to future generation (Photo: Greenpeace).
The Sophie Prize is an annual environment and sustainable development prize (US$ 100.000). This is the thirteenth time it has been awarded. The prize was established in 1997 by the author Jostein Gaarder and Siri Dannevig.
http://www.sofieprisen.no/Prize_Winners/2010/index.html

Stephen Wilde
April 7, 2010 12:17 pm

“The oceans, much larger than today, absorbed enough heat from the sun to avoid turning into ice.”
“with a limited amount of clouds.”
“lower Earthly albedo.”
Entirely consistent with my suggestion that since then the Earth’s tropospheric temperatures have remained largely stable (subject to continental changes) due to the hydrological cycle now being faster than then.
Just extend Willis Eschenbach’s Thermostat Hypothesis to include the entire hydro cycle globally rather than just the tropics and there you have it.

meemoe_uk
April 7, 2010 12:18 pm

‘Paradox’. That is one of the most misused words in academia.
Who are all these people who wrongly use ‘paradox’ to mean ‘problem’ or ‘contradiction’? What word do you use to mean the correct definition of ‘paradox’? bullblop?
Insane. As bad as those who at every opportunity replace ‘change’ with ‘evolve’.

Henry chance
April 7, 2010 12:25 pm

Willis covered this. Since cold heavier air falls because it is higher density, we know clouds offer an insulation effect.
It is very sad that the “hot shot ” models of warming for the most part demand the total amount of cloud cover is constant.

gkai
April 7, 2010 12:28 pm

Nope, I do not buy it: like the greenhouse gas hypothesis, this “albedo” hypothesis demand that an opposing effects happen to quite precisely counterbalance the increasing solar output, and this just by chance because both the greenhouse and albedo are independent from solar output (at least, the authors do not explain what mecanism would increase albedo (or decrease greenhouse gas for the greenhouser) in proportion of solar radiation – on the contrary both are considered positive feedback mecanism – at least among the warmist).
This is too much chance for me…
Something like the thermostat hypothesis sounds more likely, the fact that a lot of liquid water exist on earth ad allow to move quite a lot of energy by phase-changing and convection is likely the key…Also, Venus should be studied more, because obviously it did not turn out the same way for our planet sister…Why? At what point did it diverge? Is the moon (another very special thing about the earth) the main difference?
Those are the line along which I would base my research for trying to explain faint sun paradox, if I was at the start of my PhD or on a new grant…but hey, I am just a dilettante, neither geology nor astronomy, nor climatology are my specialities 😉

Gary
April 7, 2010 12:33 pm

The earth’s rotation was faster in the past. Would shorter nights tend to reduce the total amount of outgoing long wave radiation somewhat?
Is it possible that the earth’s orbit was closer to the sun? That would make up for lower insolation.

April 7, 2010 12:36 pm

gkai (12:28:22) :
just by chance because both the greenhouse and albedo are independent from solar output
For the Svensmark enthusiasts: the early solar wind was 100-1000 times a vigorous back then so few galactic cosmic rays would have made it to the Earth, so no low clouds [and higher albedo] due to them…

Ray
April 7, 2010 12:39 pm

What about the amount of cosmic rays reaching the Earth back then? If the sun was so faint, a whole lot of cosmic rays must have been reaching the inner solar system. There must have been a lot of clouds creating a major greenhouse effect keeping the Earth warm and cozy… or is it that water vapour did not exist back then?

PaulsNZ
April 7, 2010 12:41 pm

Give me a solar shield and i’ll freeze the earth solid in one day, amused God.

Michael J. Dunn
April 7, 2010 12:45 pm

Phillep Harding (12:02:13) :
“In South East Alaska and Iceland, cloudy weather is warmer than clear weather (all else equal). Where does the heat come from, if clouds are supposed to keep it from reaching the ground?”
Here are two possibilities:
(1) If this is happening at nighttime, then it is simply the case of the cloud cover preventing ground infrared radiation escaping completely into the night sky (back-radiation effect).
(2) Otherwise, if the clouds are forming or precipitating, they are condensing liquid water from water vapor, which releases approximately 1400 joules/kilogram. Air has a specific heat capacity of about 1 joule per gram-kelvin, which means that the condensation of 1 kg of water can raise the temperature of 14 kg of air by 0.1 kelvin (if I did my math correctly). I live in the Puget Sound area of the Pacific Northwest, where our rainfall is quite steady through the year. As long as the weather is rainy, we can rely on it not being freezing.

Common Sense
April 7, 2010 1:01 pm

“In South East Alaska and Iceland, cloudy weather is warmer than clear weather (all else equal). Where does the heat come from, if clouds are supposed to keep it from reaching the ground?”
The simple answer is that the clouds act like an insulating blanket, keeping heat from radiating back into space at night. That’s why deserts are hot during the day and cold at night, no clouds.

Charles Boncelet
April 7, 2010 1:03 pm

Willis’s thermostat hypothesis explains part of it. So does Ferenc Miskolczi’s theory.
There are at least three major factors equilibrating the earth’s temperature (i.e., providing negative feedback).
1) The tropics heat up and winds and ocean currents carry this heat toward the poles. More heat results in stronger currents, carrying more heat away.
2) When the tropics heat up, more water evaporates, which rises and eventually condenses. The heat of evaporation has been lifted from the surface to somewhere high in the atmosphere where it can more easily escape the atmosphere to space. Rain falls and the cycle continues.
3) Miskolczi says that water vapor will equilibrate the greenhouse effect. We don’t need CO2 for the greenhouse effect. Add more CO2, and the earth will reduce the equilibrium amount of water vapor. Less CO2 and there’ll be more water vapor.
The early earth just had to be warm enough to start this process. Assuming there was any liquid water, then there was water vapor, and with water vapor comes the greenhouse effect. The three effects above start doing their things and, bingo, temperature equillibrates.
BTW, the earth is 70% water. It couldn’t have been that “a far greater proportion of the surface of was covered with water than today.” At most, it was 30/70 = 43% if the entire surface was water.

Hugo M
April 7, 2010 1:05 pm


Because the first landmasses that formed on Earth were small – mere islands in the planetary sea – a far greater proportion of the surface of was covered with water than today.Because the first landmasses that formed on Earth were small – mere islands in the planetary sea – a far greater proportion of the surface of was covered with water than today.

An expanding earth too could explain that, assuming the amount of water was the same then.
Prof. Svalgaard, could you give some context of your Zircon argument? What is the evidence that the earth lost its hydrosphere? And by what mechanism the earth regained it’s hydrosphere? I remember a certain radio-astronomer who was afraid to be declared crazy when he realised that radar data suggested that our earth is still receiving large daily amounts of ice meteorites, many of them as big as a bus.

enneagram
April 7, 2010 1:08 pm

Dan (Norway) (12:16:41) :Is that a prize for SOPHISTS? Then, he deserves it.

rbateman
April 7, 2010 1:09 pm

Are we assuming that the solar nebula (as currently seen via the zodiacal light and the gegenschein) was much thinner due to the higher solar winds billions of years ago?

Steve Goddard
April 7, 2010 1:13 pm

Thunderstorms and Cumulus clouds tend to form when the air is warmer. These are negative feedbacks which help regulate the Earth’s temperature.
The reason why cloudy nights tend to be warmer is because clouds emit LW radiation towards the surface. A larger percentage of the radiation arriving at the surface originates from the atmosphere and clouds, than from the Sun.

Jim Arndt
April 7, 2010 1:14 pm

So many things is the past are different from today. The composition of the atmosphere and the rotation time of the Earth, much faster then. The distance of the Moon to the Earth, this causes extreme tides and many have put more water vapor in the air, also being closer the tides on the crust would have been greater. There was less land mass and a different configuration of land masses changing ocean circulation patterns. The ocean itself was made up of different compounds than today along with a different color. The Earth was also still cooling and may have had significant heat coming from the crust.

Wally Palo
April 7, 2010 1:17 pm

“An abundance of nuclei means more droplets of a smaller size, which makes for a denser cloud and a greater reflectivity”
Does Svendsmark take this density/reflectivity component into account, or does his theory just assume greater coverage by clouds?

enneagram
April 7, 2010 1:18 pm

Also the atmospheric pressure counts.

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