Google trends on "climategate" show public interest increasing – but troubling questions loom

Yet, news stories covering it are dropping at the same time.

I got an email from Ahrvid Engholm, an IT journalist in Stockholm, Sweden who was concerned about the “autosuggest” for the word “climategate” in Google disappearing. He was concerned about the post November 25th trend and invited me to take a look at a tool I was unfamiliar with called “Google Trends”.  He writes:

Go to Google Trends – www.google.com/trends – write “climategate” and something very interesting will appear in front of your eyes. Select “The last 30 days” to the right.

I did just that, and here is the resulting graph, edited a bit to fit in the WUWT blog space, but you can see for yourself at the link provided.

click image to see the Google Trends plot at Google

Link: http://trends.google.com/trends?q=climategate&date=mtd&geo=all&ctab=0&sort=0&sa=N

Note that the trend graph is 4 days behind in data, which is apparently normal. But, there’s some interesting things happening.

Many people outside of the USA may not be aware of why there was a drop around November 25th in the Search Volume Index.

It is likely caused  by the second largest US American Holiday called “Thanksgiving” which was on Thursday, November 26th. The drop starts on Nov 25th as people start their travel  plans and leave the office and schools early.

Then the upwards trend resumes on November 28th when people in the USA  return from that holiday.

No nefarious Google motives here. But with the rising search popularity, it does make a fly in the ointment for why Google’s “autosuggest” function in the search box is no longer suggesting “climategate” as it once was..

Does Al Gore’s position on Google’s senior advisory board have any bearing? In Al’s bio at http://www.algore.com/about.html he says:

“A member of the Board of Directors of Apple Computer, Inc. and a Senior Advisor to Google, Inc. Gore is also Visiting Professor at Middle Tennessee State University in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.”

It seems he has done some “advising” of Google’s search quality in the past. Here’s a story from the New Yorker via Newsbusters about that very subject. There is some history there that has some bearing on the current situation.

In the case of “Climategate”, Mr. Gore’s ability to continue his current speaking engagements might be hampered. Thus, there could well be a motive for him doing some “advising” in this case. A phone call might be all it took.

Word from some others doing investigations say Google senior staff has told them the removal of “Climategate” from the autosuggest in web searches is algorithm based.

But the Google trends data suggest otherwise, particularly since it was restored and operating in Googles autosuggest feature back on November 28th, as documented here on WUWT.

Now it is gone again. Did the removal of “climategate” from the autosuggest feature make recent Google Trends data lower that the peak on November 29th? Only time will tell us.

In the meantime, I’m switching my default search engine to Bing, which doesn’t have such problems and doesn’t have Al Gore as an “advisor”.

Bing on November 28th:

click for larger image

UPDATE: 10 minutes later…

As pointed out by commenters, Bing has now stopped using autosuggest for climategate where it was doing so before. See my screencap below.
Bing on December 2nd:
Odd, very odd.
Does anyone know of an independent search engine phrase logger outside of Google?
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Robinson
December 2, 2009 12:27 pm
sagi
December 2, 2009 12:28 pm

Googlegate?

Jim Carson
December 2, 2009 12:28 pm

climate-gate is still in the list, and on the first page, but climategate is gone.
But if you type it out without letting Google “help” you, you get ~19.8 million pages.

Power Grab
December 2, 2009 12:29 pm

I just tried it on Bing and it never did offer me “climate gate”.
Yahoo did. It shows 41,000,000 hits.

Brian in Bellingham
December 2, 2009 12:31 pm

When I tried a few other terms, such as “climate fraud” and “climate scam”, it did auto suggest after the first two letters of fraud and scam, though they were not the first suggestions.
When I went to Google News, “climategate” was the first thing that came up, and that was after only typing in “c”. Not sure if that was because I had been doing other searches involving climate and google remember that, or if it was genuinely the first thing google thought of. So maybe google is ok after all.

Steve Schapel
December 2, 2009 12:31 pm

Wow! I just stumbled across this video – “Message to the Environmental Movement – Climategate”. Not everyone here will agree with everything said, but I really relate to it. It is very well done, and very powerful. Check it out at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Hftsk4gWqI

Servius
December 2, 2009 12:32 pm

I just ran the check on my google search widget.
It shows climate-gate as an option. I guess lots of people use hyphens in their words?

Geo
December 2, 2009 12:32 pm

I have the same problem with Bing now….no autosuggest at any point in the typing of climategate……

capt joe
December 2, 2009 12:35 pm

just tried bing.com and it seems that climategate does not come up with any suggestions

Mark
December 2, 2009 12:37 pm

Bing now is not showing climate gate on their autosuggest. Yahoo does though.
December 2nd, 1537 EST.

mikey
December 2, 2009 12:42 pm

i’ve never noticed the autosuggest once, but i am always using “climategate”. However its interesting if you google search “global warming” and drill down to news stories; at least 1/4 or so mention climategate, so its contaminating their whole system anyway! ahahahahaha (evil laugh)

Kelly Morris
December 2, 2009 12:43 pm

I just tried typing in ‘climategate’ and the autosuggest seams to be working on my computer – as soon as it get to ‘cli’, ‘climategate’ pops up (at the poing of typing in ‘cl’ I get ‘club of rome’ WUWT?).
Using ‘Bing’, when I get to ‘climateg’ autosuggest pops up ‘climateguard’, and when I type in the entire text I get a blank and no autosuggest for ‘climategate’. Go figure……..

Seedload
December 2, 2009 12:44 pm

Wow “climate-gate” is there but “climategate” is not. That HAS to be intentional. Crazy.

rbateman
December 2, 2009 12:44 pm

I see they have replaced ClimateGate with climate-gate.
Climate Gate scandal is now in the autosuggest for Bing.
What, we are having problems now with how to spell a newly coined phrase?
This is clearly hitting nerves.
Ah, a War of Nerves. Ok.
Don’t Blingk.

Mike
December 2, 2009 12:47 pm

I also tried typing this into Bing and its auto-search never provided me with the word “Climategate”

Antonyq
December 2, 2009 12:48 pm

Isn’t Google a sponsor of Copenhagen?
I put Tiger Woods into the same graphing system on google, and there is a spike upwards on both graphs hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Charles. U. Farley
December 2, 2009 12:48 pm

Google now suggesting “Climate-gate”.

Jimbo
December 2, 2009 12:49 pm

I did suggest a few days back that maybe Google should not be to blame due to technical various issues. I take it all back and apologise. Since Al Gore is involved with Google and Autosuggest used to appear and Climategate is still a popular search term.
I should have had my sceptical radar on full blast in these times of data manipulation. I think one of Google’s motos is “do no evil.”

debreuil
December 2, 2009 12:49 pm

So Al Gore phoned Google to tell them to take ‘climategate’ out of autosuggest (but not the news page)? And this so he could still get speaking engagements? Sorry, thats the dumbest thing I’ve heard since looking at harry read me.
Hi Al,
Sorry we are going to have to cancel that speech, I just looked at Google autosuggest and it seems ‘climategate’ is showing up. Hope the deposit is refundable.
Yours,
Greenpeace

KeithGuy
December 2, 2009 12:50 pm

I bet the company that makes automatic climate gates are doing a roaring trade right now!

n1ckdrake
December 2, 2009 12:50 pm

Google probably forgot to block ‘climate-gate’ from the autosuggestions. Just give it some time until they block that as well.

hotrod
December 2, 2009 12:52 pm

I wonder if both bing and google have autosuggest algorithms that consider search load, and drop autosuggest offerings when server load is too high? It might be interesting to see if there is any pattern regarding when that suggestion is available and when it appears.
The only legitimate reason I can think of is for load management on their servers.
Microsoft also has a demonstrated interest in pitching global warming awareness.
http://gamerscoreblog.com/team/archive/2007/06/10/551118.aspx
Larry

Antonyq
December 2, 2009 12:52 pm

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/12/google-greentech-power-plants/
Look what I found, looks like Google is cashing in at the moment so Climate Gate will lose them money?

Frank Skog
December 2, 2009 12:53 pm

Google news unlike Google web has climategate at the top after “clim.”

December 2, 2009 12:53 pm

If you type “cl” into the Google news page, “climategate” is the first auto-suggestion. However, on the general search page, the approved spelling appears to be hyphenated “climate-gate”, and comes in lower and later. In any case, I don’t think we need to apply conspiratorial thinking to this one. Gore’s Google affiliation notwithstanding. The whole -gate terminology created by the Watergate Hotel break-in scandal tortures the language excessively, but I suppose we’re stuck with it.

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