Why regression analysis fails to capture the aftereffects of El Nino events

In a study in the Journal of Geophysical Research a paper, Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature,  researchers Chris de Freitas, John McLean, and Bob Carter find that…

The 30 day Southern Oscillation Index is at +12 – will El Niño fade again next month?

Here is what the current SST map looks like: From Nine News in Australia: The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is calculated from the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air…

"Surge in global temperatures since 1977 can be attributed to a 1976 climate shift in the Pacific Ocean"

Note: Above graph comes from this source and not the paper below. Only the abstract is available. (Note from 2016: The link to the graph died, the image was recovered…

Pielke Sr. – Hypothesis on daily UAH LT records

Comments On The Current Record Global Average Lower TroposphereTemperatures From Climatesci.org  Roger Pielke Sr. In the last couple of weeks, the onset of the El Niño, that was discussed on…

NCAR: Solar cycle linked to global climate

Basil Copeland and I also found linkages between surface temperature and solar cycles in two articles we published in the last year. We were roundly criticized and ridiculed by warmists…

NOAA announces the arrival of El Niño

Contact: Christopher Vaccaro               FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 202-536-8911 (cellular)                                   July 9, 2009 El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10 NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El…

El Nino – same but different

There Is Nothing New About The El Nino Modoki Guest post by Bob Tisdale The press release… http://media-newswire.com/release_1094000.html …for the Hye-Mi Kim, et al (2009) paper “Impact of Shifting Patterns…

Bob Tisdale on NCDC's USCGRP report

The USGCRP Report “Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States” Fails To Acknowledge the Multiyear Effects of ENSO on Global Temperature Guest post by Bob Tisdale The USGCRP report…

Pielke Senior: Comment on Joe Romm's weblog on El Nino and global warming

Reposted from Dr. Roger Pielke Sr’s Climate Science Climate Progress has a weblog by Joesph Romm titled “Breaking: NOAA puts out “El Niño Watch,” so record temperatures are coming and this…

La Niña fading, El Niño may soon return

Source: http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.5.11.2009.gif Bill Illis writes in comments: The newest Ocean SST map shows the La Nina conditions have gone away and we are in slightly positive ENSO conditions. Also interesting…

PDO — ENSO, Aleutian Low, or some of each?

PDO — ENSO, Aleutian Low, or some of each? Guest Post by Basil Copeland Introduction In a recent post here at WUWT, as well as on his own blog, Bob…

Misunderstandings about the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Misunderstandings about the Pacific Decadal Oscillation Guest post by Bob Tisdale INITIAL NOTE The first version of this post (The Common Misunderstanding About The PDO dated June 26, 2008) incorrectly…

A possible correlation between the Southern Oscillation Index and the Solar Ap Index

I was pointed to this graph by an email from WUWT reader Phil Ravenscroft and I’m reposting it here for discussion. While the correlation looks plausible, it seems almost too…

Revisiting Bratcher and Giese (2002)

Revisiting Bratcher and Giese (2002) Guest Post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION In a comment in the March 2009 SST Anomaly Update thread, Blogger DB reminded me of the Bratcher and…

The 1998 Super El Niño: possibly a "rogue wave"?

In comments on WUWT, people often think freely and throw out all sorts of ideas. Like in any collection of people, some are bad, some are average, a few are…

El Nino study challenges global warming intensity link

From Scientific American via Reuters By David Fogarty, Climate Change Correspondent, Asia SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Research showing an El Nino event in 1918 was far stronger than previously thought is…

La Niña conditions: still there

Click for larger image. I don’t have tome to do a pixel analysis (anyone is welcome to do so and post in comments) but it appears by eyeball analysis that…

The Impact of the North Atlantic and Volcanic Aerosols on Short-Term Global SST Trends

Guest Post From Bob Tisdale PRELIMINARY NOTE I took this post from the prior one “A Secondary (Repeated) ENSO Signal?” and added to the narrative because it is worthy of…

The Trade Winds Drive The ENSO

Guest post by Bill Illis We have often wondered what really causes the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern.  It is generally understood and this post will demonstrate that…

NOAA Unveils New Alert System for La Niña and El Niño

Can’t you just see this scrolling across your TV during an EAS alert?”…. If this had been an actual El Niño, you would have been instructed on where to complain…