By P Gosselin on 23. August 2026
Where are all the climate ambulance-chasers? Well, you won’t find them in the Atlantic.
So far in 2026, Atlantic hurricane activity has been unusually quiet. Currently, the Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index is only at 3.1, about 85% below the 1991–2020 climatological normal for this point in the season.
Source: Colorado State University
The unusual calmness has been due to a combination of atmospheric and ocean conditions, experts say.
Strong El Niño event
The warm sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific have driven strong vertical wind shear across the Caribbean and Atlantic Basin, disrupting the vertical structure of developing tropical disturbances, thus hindering the development of hurricanes.
Dry air and Saharan dust
Moreover, continuous plumes of dry, dusty air blowing off the African coast (the Saharan Air Layer) have “dried out” the atmosphere in the region. Tropical storms require moist air to fuel the hurricane development.
Suppressed African easterly waves
The atmospheric disturbances rolling off western Africa that act as the “seeds” for major Atlantic hurricanes have been weaker and less frequent than usual.
Lack of deep warm water
Sea surface temperatures on the very surface are hovering near average across parts of the Atlantic, but there is a lack of deep ocean heat content in areas like the Gulf of Mexico. The developing storms draw up the cooler water from beneath and so act to stall tropical storm growth.
While conditions remain hostile for major storm development, we are now at peak season and sudden shifts can occur.
Not surprisingly, there are lots of natural reasons explaining why dramatic storms aren’t materializing. But when ther storms do show up, the natural reasons disappear and it all gets blamed on human GHG.
It’s “climate change” either way. Heads they win, tails we lose!
That’s the great thing about using terms that can mean everything and anything.
And that’s why they switched from warming to climate change.
Warming is actually specific and gives you only a 50% chance of winning the anomaly game.
The other 50% can be used as weapon against you by your enemy.
It caused some serious problem, especially during the warming hiatus.
But since the rebranding(and cancelling of the hiatus ) we reached a state where the party is always right – as Orwell predicted.
The funny thing is – it ain’t even about climate.
A temperature increase does not necessarily change the climate – and the number of climate zones that have changed in 4 decades is? 0.
That’s a very impressive number after 44 years of climate chaos and daily heat records and warming twice as fast as in the rest of the world.
Funny note: 26 years after David Viner predicted the end of snow and that ” our children won’t know what snow is”(now these childrens children are playing in the snow and breaking their legs skiing)
Fortune Business Insights predicted the global skiing equipment market to grow from 9.4 billion to 12.6 by 2034. A 1/3 increase.
It seems the less snow there is the more skiing equipment is being sold.
Following the same pattern as the food anomaly : the more droughts,rainbombs, hurricanes and climate chaos the higher the foodproduction.
“26 years after David Viner predicted the end of snow in the southeast of England and that ” our children won’t know what snow is”(now these childrens children are playing in the snow and breaking their legs skiing)”
Italics are my correction, I don’t think there was much skiing there last winter!
If I slip on the hirsute and self-flagellating shirt that alarmists all wear, I would say that surely Global Cooling is just around the corner, and that this is definite proof that the Demon CO2 will cause a cooling climate apocalypse! Beware the ice worms!
“It’s not about the climate at all. It’s about following orders, doing what you’re told” – James Cole, 12 Monkeys (paraphrased).
The South-central U.S. could use a good tropical storm right now.
The Miami Valley in Ohio is one storm away from tying (or exceeding) the all time record for August precipitation.
Two supercomputers, part of the Weather and Climate Operational Supercomputing System (WCOSS), were delivered to NOAA under a 2020 contract with General Dynamics Information Technology valued at approximately $150 million for initial cost to build, house, and support the machines and having potential total contract ceiling of $505 million over 10 years for operational support costs and further upgrades.
In August 2023, the supercomputers were upgraded to operate at a speed of 14.5 petaflops each, at a cost of $100 million in federal funding. This investment supported the installation of the “Rhea” supercomputer, adding 8 petaflops to NOAA’s capacity and bringing total capacity from 35 to 43 petaflops.
In September 2024, NOAA announced a further $99 million upgrade for “Rhea”, adding 22 petaflops to bring combined WCROSS speed to a total of 65 petaflops.
In addition, NOAA is integrating a separate HPC system “Ursa” that will bring the grand total of R&D HPC to approximately 73 petaflops. (ref: https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/biden-harris-administration-invests-100-million-in-new-high-performance-computer-system )
Given the above, one can only wonder if NOAA predicted the ACE currently being about 85% below the 1991–2020 climatological normal for this point in the season . . . you know, based on all that expensive supercomputing power and its associated software coding of weather/climate models.
Everyone contemplating investing in “data cen[so/te]rs” should extrapolate these contracts. The latest upgrade was 22 petaflops/$99 million. We might find “data centers” becoming warehouses with a few percent of the volume housing the next generation of devices.
“data cen[so/te]rs”
I see what you did there.
So they’ve increased from 29 petaflops to 73 petaflops.
Is that why the results from the climate muddles are all flops ???
“Is that why the results from the climate muddles are all flops ???”
Darn.. you beat me to it !!
How many complete flops do they really need !
And why does PETA need to get involved?
$100 million so the forecast 24 hours out can change every two hours. Great.
Oh, Hell-we’re already there…send me some of that money and I’ll read my baro, check the wind direction, smell the air, look at the clouds, check how the light looks-and watch how high or low the wee birdies fly while chasing airborne bugs….betcha my forecast will be more accurate. The old ways still work.
73 petaflops and the dictum GIGO still prevails.
My point exactly, as above.
Super computers not doing that well compared to DeepMinds AI. Google DeepMind’s AI cyclone forecasting system (WeatherNext) indicates zero active, major threatening tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin for the current week. It works simultaneously alongside physics models by evaluating large-scale structural metrics to identify outliers via 1,000-member ensemble pathways.
Accuracy Benchmarks: AI vs. Traditional Physics Models
N.B. “Cyclone Energy” is not “Cyclone Energy Index”. Be careful not to apply changes to an index to changes in the data.
All it takes is one big one and rationality goes out of the storm window.
By any standard this year has been – and continues to be – unusual weather-wise.
Even the usual ‘climbit-seance’ types have been forced to admit there is a n unusually strong El Niño in play.
Europe is a desert under a hot sun
Parts of the western US are seeing rain that seldom happens, and drought in other places.
Monsoons are disrupted.
Arctic sea ice is higher than normal
And Atlantic hurricanes simply aren’t forming (yet)
AND we have an unusual position of the moon and sun that’s giving solar eclipses, AND the sun is just suddenly massively active in terms of solar storms and earthbound radiation.
And check out earthquakes and volcanoes
It’s all happening globally. None of it is down to CO2 though 🙂
[“None of it is down to CO2 though“]
Leo, wash your mouth out !!!
You should know that Anthropogenic CO2 is the most powerful thing in the universe; it can cause … drought & flood, starvation & abundance, plus heating & cooling simultaneously, so it stands to reason it also causes solar eclipses, plate tectonics, earthquakes, volcanoes, ingrowing toenails & haemorrhoids. (:-))
You forgot to mention it can affect events in history that occurred before we started recording. History, that is. You also left out the extraterrestrial impacts on other planets…
Sorry, I had an unprecedented crisis from a CO2-induced paper cut !!
Exactly. /sarc
From the movie Ghostbusters:
Ray Stantz: “I remember Revelation 7:12: ‘And I looked, and he opened the sixth seal, and behold, there was a great earthquake. And the sun became as black as sack cloth, and the moon became as blood’.”
Winston Zeddemore: “‘And the seas boiled and the skies fell’.”
Ray Stantz: “Judgment day.”
““And check out earthquakes and volcanoes.””
There were some studies showing a pretty close correlation between ocean seismic activity and UAH temperatures, (with a lag).
Haven’t heard much about that recently.
The HT eruption may have fed extra energy to the 2023/4 El Nino.
At the very least 149 million tons of water blown into the upper stratosphere surely had an effect-I read that only about half has gone away…where I don’t know. Just an observation and an opine…
[“149 million tons of water“]
A meaningless figure. Is that long tons, short tons or metric tons ??
It really needs to be expressed in terms we can all relate to … Football pitches, London (Routemaster) buses, Golf balls, Wales or whales !!
Metric tons-but the point is not the weight, per se, but what has it done, or what will it do, or does it mean nothing or something-a constructive answer was looked for, not trivialities. Have you got one, or just mouth?
Dogs and cats living together!
But the US has experienced one land-falling hurricane. A Category 1, which dropped to a TS. It was in Hawaii. Far from the Atlantic.
Have faith: the Atlantic “hurricane season” officially ends November 30 . . . still 14 weeks to reach NOAA’s rather imprecise prediction range of two to six Category 1 or Category 2 hurricanes.
N.B. There hasn’t been a single Category 1 or Category 2 hurricane in the Atlantic so far in 2026.
Update: Atlantic tropical storm Dolly dissipated rather quickly and never became a named hurricane. Still waiting on the first Category 1 storm to develop in 2026 with, now, only 13 weeks remaining to November 30.
But we have the hottest summer on record climate cultists constantly bleats, CO2 is going up we are all gonna suffer they wail and on and on this baloney, train runs while the Hurricanes are going to have a great football season with no big storm to await.
This information is precisely the type that the alarmists tend to either suppress or avoid mentioning entirely. In past years when the odd hurricane caused damage, we have been assured that unless we abandon fossil fuels these will become not only the annual norm but also more intense. Yet now that this season has become benign, the doomsday peddlers have become strangely silent. That’s the reason their credibility has become steadily eroded annually.
Disagree only with part of your last statement. It’s NOT “the” reason credibility has eroded. It’s one of several, or many. Personally, I think it’s all the successful predictions about oceans boiling, overflowing the Empire State building, etc. Even the most gullible eventually quit expecting Arrhenius’s predictions (1896) to come true…unless they pass on before it happens.
When I took thermodynamics, I learned that heat was conducted from a higher temperature to a lower temperature. Thus, something with a high Specific Heat Capacity, like water, can have the same or higher heat energy content per unit volume as something like air with a higher temperature. How does the heat energy of deep, cold water get transferred to warm air at the surface?
ocean rivers moving through the deep ocean. El Nino.
OK, assuming that some surface water like the Gulf Stream has warmed and water has evaporated, increasing its density, it will sink. As it mingles with the deep cold water, it should warm the cold water, the same water that is supposed to be ‘hiding’ heat energy. What did I miss?
“warm the cold water”
The deep water can warm and still remain deep water!
Don’t know how all those clever dicks worked it out but it means you’re all DOOMED!
Scientists say the Atlantic current is at a 1,000-year low – the ocean warning America cannot ignore | Watch
They Bingoed it I guess-
What does the 1000 year low for the AMOC mean for mankind – Search
Story Tip. Has the US Surface Temperature chart gone forever or is it just a glitch to be missing since May?