America Is Leaving a Global Coal Opportunity on the Table

By Rich Nolan

Global coal demand set another record in 2025. While less understood in the U.S., coal’s global importance is only growing. In fact, global coal demand has risen 75% since 2000 and today 1,200 new coal power plants are in development while coal demand for steel, cement and an expanding range of chemical and industrial applications grows as well.

We are firmly in an era of energy addition built on a foundation provided by coal. Electrification, ongoing efforts to tackle energy poverty, rapid population growth and the emergence of the AI revolution are collectively poised to double global electricity consumption by 2050.

Coal demand and international coal trade are flourishing, with the Asia-Pacific region now accounting for 85% of global coal imports. Yet, as a new report from the National Coal Council – an advisory body to the U.S. Secretary of Energy – makes clear, the U.S. remains badly underrepresented in this enormous market despite possessing the world’s largest proved coal reserves. That is a glaring missed opportunity to grow the U.S. economy, deepen ties with key trading partners and provide energy-hungry nations with a secure and reliable source of supply.

While the U.S. is a significant coal exporter – with exports totaling 93 million short tons in 2025 and adding $10 billion to the U.S. economy – there is potential to export far more. Indonesia, with a far smaller reserve base, exported 529 million metric tons last year. Despite the U.S possessing seven times the coal reserves, Indonesia is exporting five times as much coal.

Geography explains part of that disparity. Indonesia sits close to the Asian markets that dominate seaborne coal demand. But geography is only a single piece of the equation. America’s deeper problem – one that we can fix – is that our infrastructure and coal export policy framework are undercutting our competitiveness.

The most obvious gap is the lack of West Coast export capacity. Western producers possess vast reserves of high-quality coal but lack access to a modern, high-capacity export terminal that can move their coal at the scale Asian markets require. Instead, U.S. coal must often travel longer, more expensive routes, placing American suppliers at a structural disadvantage to competitors in Australia, Indonesia and Russia.

The Trump administration’s support for the West Gateway Terminal in Oakland is an important start to address this challenge. But one project cannot carry the full weight of America’s export opportunity. It is critical we pursue additional West Coast capacity, along with practical export options through Canada and Mexico. Further, we need to invest in the export infrastructure we do have, deepening channels and allowing bigger, more efficient cargo ships to carry U.S. coal to the global marketplace.

Ports are only one piece of the infrastructure challenge. Rail networks, inland waterways, locks and loading facilities all require investment and modernization. Mine permitting timelines that stretch for years – or kill projects altogether – must be shortened without abandoning meaningful environmental review. If we are to compete globally, we must improve the efficiency of moving coal from mine to market.

To that end, policymakers should also review the cumulative weight of taxes, fees and regulatory costs imposed across the coal supply chain. Individually, these burdens may appear manageable. Together, they can erase the narrow margins that determine whether an American shipment is globally competitive.

Trade policy is equally impactful. Future bilateral trade agreements should make fair access for U.S. coal an explicit priority. The inclusion of coal in a recent trade agreement with India underscores that potential. While U.S. coal exports flow to more than 70 nations, India has become exceptionally important, now taking roughly a third of U.S. export volumes.

The world needs American energy and manufacturing inputs. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the scramble for secure energy supplies is driving new urgency to expand U.S. export potential. Nations that have endured repeated oil and natural gas shocks are rediscovering the importance of energy diversity. Coal is once again serving as an energy hedge when security and affordability matter most. This is an opportunity we can and should seize.

Modern export infrastructure, faster permitting, competitive tax and fee policies, and trade agreements that reflect the enormous opportunity before us could move the U.S. from an underperforming supplier to a global leader. We have unmatched coal reserves, an exceptional workforce and strong trade relationships. What we need now is a unified strategy equal to the moment.

Rich Nolan is President and CEO of the National Mining Association

This article was originally published by RealClearEnergy and made available via RealClearWire.

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9 Comments
July 26, 2026 2:25 pm

I just leave this here.
World ‘will not see significant return to coal’ in 2026 – despite Iran crisis
https://www.carbonbrief.org/world-will-not-see-significant-return-to-coal-in-2026-despite-iran-crisis
Low-carbon electricity sources grew faster than demand in 2025, pushing fossil fuels into decline
https://ourworldindata.org/data-insights/low-carbon-electricity-sources-grew-faster-than-demand-in-2025-pushing-fossil-fuels-into-decline

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
July 26, 2026 2:31 pm

Do you actually think anyone follows any of your links? You have misrepresented so many, and posted so many from alarmist liars, that you have no credibility left. You have cried wolf far too often.

Reply to  Scarecrow Repair
July 26, 2026 2:32 pm

Sadly for you the wolf is real and it’s eating fossil fuels breakfast

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
July 26, 2026 2:39 pm

Coal plants are wolves ?

Mr.
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
July 26, 2026 2:39 pm

In a weird kind of way, I can’t wait to see moronic governments festoon the landscapes of their countries with wind & solar eyesores right up to and including the capital city precincts.

Then we’d hear what the inner-city greentards think about wind & solar.

They’d be frothing as they sipped their soy lattes and read The Guardian –
“what a fvcking liberty!”

Reply to  Mr.
July 26, 2026 2:47 pm

Let me guess – you live your scared life in the exurbs, drive an oversized emotional support vehicle and think you are the coolest kid on the block.

If you don’t want to be seen that way, maybe post something that doesn’t scream insecure.

Edward Katz
July 26, 2026 2:26 pm

With such a demand for coal being a continuing reality, the US and other coal-rich nations like Canada need to exploit the opportunity and increase their extraction and exporting efforts. Never mind any environmental pipe dreams of having reached peak, coal, oil or natural gas. Surveys have showed that at least 150 years of accessible coal reserves exist for current technologies to exploit, and with new ones being developed, global availability is likely to be much larger. Much of the same is likely to be said for the other main fossil fuels, and with renewables consistently showing they can’t meet global energy demand, it’s obvious what’s most likely to provide it. In fact, since 1995 global consumption of fossil fuels has risen almost 65%, so it’s obvious what to depend on.

Reply to  Edward Katz
July 26, 2026 2:37 pm

renewables consistently showing they can’t meet global energy demand,

For that the numbers go up quite convincing…

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-electricity-solar?tab=line

July 26, 2026 2:47 pm

I fully agree that lack of West Coast coal export terminal capacity is a major US coal export hindrance. The lack is caused directly by green opposition in CA, OR, and WA—all left loony green states—to any proposed Pacific export coal terminal investments. As one example, the now decade long lawfare opposition to the proposed and federally subsidized West Gateway coal export terminal planned to be built on federal land in Oakland, CA.

But I am not sure how much this actually matters, as Australia has abundant coal proximate to its east coast, and is considerably closer to Asian target coal markets.

As factual support for my somewhat negative comment, present coal shipping cost from eastern Australia (so mostly vessel cost) is $15-$25 per metric ton depending on destination. By comparison, present US West Coast to Asia coal is $70-$90 per metric ton, because it involves both a long rail transit from Powder River Basin to West Coast, plus a longer vessel transit to Asia. Something like a mostly more than $50/metric ton transport cost difference does swing export coal comparative advantage.
The proffered federal coal subsidy to long fought West Gateway is more than an export clue.