Greenland Summer Melt Is a Month Late

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Meanwhile, while we in the UK have a blocking high, Greenland gets the other side of the coin, depressions and wet weather. Even in summer, that generally means snow.

https://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions

The summer melt has no even begun yet and is already a month overdue.

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84 Comments
Bruce Cobb
July 9, 2026 6:02 am

See? Climate change!

Richard M
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 9, 2026 8:56 pm

Lots of unusual activity near the Arctic this year. The “cold blob” and now Greenland. Could be a sign that naturally driven Arctic sea ice changes have started. I’ve pointed out this could the driver of the 60-70 year cycle, aka the AMO. If the Arctic sea ice minimum increases this year it would support this view.

Reply to  Richard M
July 10, 2026 5:02 am

The sea ice may make a recovery if the current trend continues.

https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/thk.uk.php

Tom Halla
July 9, 2026 6:06 am

No matter which weather we have, it will be blamed on climate change.

SxyxS
Reply to  Tom Halla
July 9, 2026 7:38 am

and worse than expected and twice as fast than in the rest of the world.

Especially when nothing or the opposite happens.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Tom Halla
July 9, 2026 11:06 am

No matter which weather we have, it will result in climate change.
(30 year running average or weather.)

July 9, 2026 6:24 am

Must be because the gulf stream is weakening, you know the one that origins from the Gulf of Mexico 😉.

Well enough of my sarcasm for today, I’m gonna enjoy the pool unless those alamotards figure out that clouds and the sun shape our weather (what these idiots call climate) and therefore come up with the brilliant idea of forbidding private pools. You know: more water surface, more evaporation more clouds and so CLIMATEALARMAGETON…wait for it.

Reply to  varg
July 9, 2026 6:31 am

There has still never been a hurricane in the Gulf of America.

Just think how many lives could be saved if Trump just gave the Atlantic Ocean a spiffy new name!:)

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  pillageidiot
July 9, 2026 6:53 am

Mar-A-Sargasso

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  pillageidiot
July 9, 2026 6:53 am

Mar-a-Sargasso, perhaps?

abolition man
Reply to  varg
July 9, 2026 8:33 am

I only wish they’d try that in the greater Phoenix Metro area! Imagine the gnashing of teeth!
”You can have my pool when you pry it from my wet, cool, wrinkly fingers!”

MarkW
Reply to  varg
July 9, 2026 9:22 am

But a slowing Gulf Stream is supposed to cause Europe to cool. But they are seeing allegedly record warmth.

Keeping up with global warming makes my head hurt.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2026 11:02 am

You left the Sahara in your head spinning.

rtj1211
Reply to  MarkW
July 10, 2026 1:12 am

A wavy jet stream can cause all that we are observing…..

strativarius
July 9, 2026 6:27 am

Greenland Summer Melt Is a Month Late

You most certainly would not know that in the UK.  But then why would you when they are busy making as much hay as possible out of what could well be related to El Niño? Cloud coverage is certainly down. That is, it’s nice and Sunny.

Guardian Weather…
Pets can suffer heatstroke even when resting, UK vets warn
England has just had its hottest June on record, Met Office data shows [er yeah, right.]
European heatwave is worst ever and impossible without climate crisis, scientists say

BBC Weather
‘Extreme’ marine heatwave expected for parts of UK
UK heatwave spreads north and west as further heat health alerts issued

We only get reporting from one side… of the jet stream. How very BBC etc

July 9, 2026 6:59 am

Warmest June and even all-time warmest temperature records fall in countries all across Europe like skittles; global ocean heat content hits record highs; atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are at their highest levels in at least 800,000 years and a huge El Nino is just getting started in the Pacific.

But surface ice melt in Greenland is off to a sluggish start this year – so much for global warming!

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 7:09 am

Look! Squirrel!

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 9, 2026 7:14 am

With a bunch of climate nuts !

😉

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 9, 2026 9:39 am

Yeah, he is trying to deflect us away from the news of a weak summer in Greenland to a region of the world that an OMEGA block created heat wave that has absolutely nothing to do with their bogeyman CO2 is getting excited as part of their delusional fits they get every summer.

Reply to  Sunsettommy
July 9, 2026 3:50 pm

Great to see how much he is embracing El Nino as a major cause of warming. 🙂

MarkW
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 9, 2026 3:22 pm

Not a very smart one at that.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 7:15 am

All time on record. Which is geologically extremely short.

Would record cold every year be better?

Derg
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 7:23 am

Warmest evah 😉

SxyxS
Reply to  Derg
July 9, 2026 10:14 am

I can only imagine how much he suffers whenever a new former heatwave now heatdome is announced.
The only thing that hits him harder is when someone is using wrong pronouns.

And in both cases he didn’t even know about the pain until they told him.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  SxyxS
July 9, 2026 11:13 am

Are you absolutely certain he is not a she?

MarkW
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 3:23 pm

The question is, is he/she certain?

Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2026 3:53 pm

Or either !!

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 7:50 am

Move forward 6 months and a blocking high in the same place could result in headlines like “coldest start to winter since 1963” here in the U.K. with very little if any cloud cover.

Dave Yaussy
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 8:29 am

Even assuming all that is true, and it may very well be, what is the result of the rising temperatures and GHGs? Rising grain yields, increased arable areas, rising standards of living world wide and fewer cold deaths, to name just a few. Even the potential downsides, like increased deaths from heat, could be greatly reduced by abandoning the unreasonable hatred of air conditioning in much of Europe.

Reply to  Dave Yaussy
July 9, 2026 9:21 am

You gotta remember, for the climate alarmists there is only one side of the coin.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Phil R
July 9, 2026 11:14 am

Or a 2-headed coin. Either works in your metaphor.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 3:00 pm

Or a coin like any other, except every flip ends with, ‘Heads I win, tails you lose.’

Reply to  Charles Armand
July 9, 2026 3:55 pm

Actually.. a blank coin…. so they can invent whatever they want…whichever way it lands.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 5:06 pm

I think that a two-tailed coin is a better analogy.

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 9:18 am

Here’s the problem. You could be correct in every single one of your assertions (you’re not, but that’s beside the point). The question is, so what? Your points are meaningless. Nothing is happening and no one (at least no one sane) gives a sh.. er, a rat’s a$$. You’re absolutely terrified of something you can’t explain and you can’t fathom why no one else is as terrified as you.

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 9:19 am

Well, I gotta say, with all the responses to this inane comment you sure earned your money today.

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 9:23 am

Warmest June and …

As climate alarmists are so fond of responding whenever a “Coldest EVAH !” record is set :

What is the difference between “weather” and “climate” ?

.

PS : Yes, the same criticism does apply to the “tone” of the ATL article’s title.

Just because “we” make a mistake doesn’t mean that “you” (plural) can make the exact same mistake (in the other direction).

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 10:31 am

Do you talk about summer 1976 ?

2026 not so extraordinary.

https://uk-historic-weather.co.uk/features/summer-of-1976-heatwave-uk-memories

Not only England was hot, I remember well the fires in Southern France this summer.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 11:12 am

But it is the global temperature average that matters.
And CO2 is well mixed.
And and and
And when that heat wave ends, and it will, the temps will drop 20 C, perhaps more and people will have something new to complain about.

Global ocean heat content hits record highs? Do tell.
CO2 concentrations highest in at least 800K years? Do tell.

I really cannot grok why you post here.
You fail time and time again.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 1:26 pm

Ocean heat content in perspective…

comment image

Anthony Banton
Reply to  bnice2000
July 10, 2026 3:26 am

OK:
More hypocricy …
So Mr bnice is quite prepared to accept that Ocean heat content numbers from over 500 years ago, but apparently SSTs from the first part of last century are suspect …. well even from before 2005!

This is just one FI:
Replying to TFN who posted a graph of HADSST4
His emminence posted thus ….

“RUBBISH….
Show us where SSTs were measured before even 2005 with ARGO…
… let alone going back to 1850 !
Can someone point to where some sea surface temperatures that were actually measured for MOST of the ocean before 2005 ??
Even Phil Jones admitted that most of the SH SSTs were ” just made up”.”

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/05/07/sea-surface-temperatures-west-versus-east-coast/#comment-3906743

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 5:11 pm

Considering the ‘handle’ that he chose, I think it would be fair to say that he thinks highly of himself. I would venture that he thinks he’s doing some kind of noble social service and expects to be rewarded on a higher plane.

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 1:22 pm

There is/was a WEATHER event in UK /Europe.. other places are having cold waves.

UAH atmospheric temperature dropped last month.

Absorbed solar energy has increased because of changes to clouds.

CO2 has nothing to do with El Nino…… So you whole comment is meaningless !

MarkW
Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 3:22 pm

We’ve only had halfway decent temperature records for the entire globe since 1878 when we started using satellites, and even then the later records are more accurate as satellite instruments improve and coverage gets more complete.
Beyond that, due to the lower instrument quality (each station only recorded to the estimated nearest degree.) and the woefully inadequate global coverage, the idea that we know the temperature of the land surface to within 5 degrees is laughable. The oceans themselves were even worse when it came to quality and coverage.

As to ocean heat content, with only a couple hundred probes, measuring only the top 1000 meters or so of the ocean, the claim that we know the heat content to within 0,01 is as laughable as most climate alarmist claims. Beyond that, when you translate those laughable heat content claims to temperature, it comes out to only a few thousandths of a degree, and that using instruments that were only accurate to a tenth of a degree or so, and that was when it was fresh out of the lab. Many of the probes have been floating in the wild for a decade or more.

PS: There’s a reason why instruments in a laboratory are recalibrated every year.

Since CO2 has proven to be a very minor player in climate, so what if it has had a small increase over the last 100 years. In the past, CO2 levels have been as high as 5000 to 7000 ppm, and life not only survived, it thrived.
Makes people panicking over 400 ppm look pretty silly.

Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2026 11:05 pm

1978?

Reply to  TheFinalNail
July 9, 2026 3:27 pm

“global ocean heat content hits record highs” over the last 25 years

Too bad there were no Argo buoys to measure ocean temperatures in the 1930’s. Or during the Medieval Warm Period or the Roman Warm Period. Apparently the last 25 years are the only time that ever existed in history.

Jeff Alberts
July 9, 2026 7:12 am

The summer melt has no even begun yet and is already a month overdue.”

It’s only “overdue” in our tiny little myopic view of Earth.

MrGrimNasty
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
July 9, 2026 7:48 am

Not even true. It’s melting pretty much as usual, it’s just that the high level of precipitation (i.e snowfall in the high Arctic at elevation) is causing mass gain that is temporarily offsetting the mass loss.

June UAH Arctic anomaly was +1.01
It’s anonymously warm overall. Close to a record for the day on climate reanalyzer again.

(No doubt some clueless soul will now post the DMI graph again.)

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
July 9, 2026 8:25 am

My point was that we really don’t know much, and all this hullaballoo about little blips in either direction is just stupid.

I’d much rather it be “anomalously” warm than cold.

Reply to  MrGrimNasty
July 12, 2026 2:02 pm

“Anonymously warm”?!

Reply to  MrGrimNasty
July 12, 2026 2:05 pm

Greenland gaining mass – global warming. Greenland losing mass – also global warming.

No wonder we laugh at you.

LT3
July 9, 2026 7:13 am

Meanwhile from the hot and humid swamp weather capital, East Texas, we have low 80’s for highs forecast next week.

July 9, 2026 7:39 am

Not necessarily relevant, but UAH shows Greenland as having an exactly average June, with temperatures equal to the 1991-2020 average.

The south was a bit below average, the north a bit above.

comment image

Reply to  Bellman
July 9, 2026 9:28 am

Not necessarily relevant,

At least you got that right. The below average temperatures are below freezing in the south, but the above average temperatures in the north are only below freezing…

Reply to  Phil R
July 9, 2026 12:12 pm

Current temperature at the Freya glacier (NE Greenland) is currently 8.8ºC (above 500m).

Reply to  Phil.
July 9, 2026 2:50 pm

Nice try. The Freya glacier is a puny, little peripheral glacier along the coast and is no way representative of the overall average temperature or melt of the Greenland icecap.

MarkW
Reply to  Phil.
July 9, 2026 3:27 pm

Phil R makes a claim that temperatures are below average.
You respond by listing the absolute temperature.

I guess it made sense to you.

BTW, 8.8C is still pretty cold. Not much heat to melt the ice.

Reply to  MarkW
July 10, 2026 6:53 am

BTW, 8.8C is still pretty cold. Not much heat to melt the ice.”

And yet it’s melting quite rapidly!

Regarding the melting of the Greenland icecap an abnormally large area of it is melting.

comment image

July 9, 2026 8:33 am

Meanwhile, off topic, but:

Just took a short shopping trip. Turned on NPT and I hear a conversation about how awesome the democratic socialist party of America is- how it has a great chance of gaining seats in Congress and the cities. Then of course some nasty comments about the evil Republicans, blah, blah, blah. It’s so good that NPR lost its federal funding but they should also lose their name of National Public Radio- which still sounds as if it’s the official radio station of America. More typically, within 20 seconds of turning on NPR I hear some nasty comment about Trump and his administration. All day every day. Maybe some NPR stations in more conservative areas are better, but certainly not in the Northeast. I can pick up 3 of their stations- the worse by far is Albany, NY. I also get one from Amherst, MA and another from the Boston area.

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
July 9, 2026 8:59 am

Tune your clock radio to NPR and count the statements of TDS or the logical / economic fallacies. I usually count several within 10 minutes, or so, which is my signal to get up. More reliable than using the snooze alarm.

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
July 9, 2026 5:24 pm

And little is said about the reasons for Kirk’s murder, wounding of a republican congressman, and two attempts on Trump’s life. If the party of the self-appointed intelligentsia, supporting ‘peace and freedom,’ is going to continuously criticize Trump and religious supporters, they should expect to have some effect. Why else would they engage in the remarks? It is akin to ‘inciting to riot.’

ResourceGuy
July 9, 2026 9:06 am

Wait, where is the serial copycat news barrage across platforms?

MarkW
July 9, 2026 9:28 am

No matter what happens, it’s caused by climate change and it’s bad.

If you can’t figure out how, you just have to believe harder.
And perhaps clap your hands.

Mr.
July 9, 2026 10:03 am

I still don’t get why we vest so much reliance in observed weather conditions comparisons based on our construct of ‘Months’, which natural weather variability has zero connection with.

I mean, our designated ’12 Months in a Year’ construct serves us well to determine what OUR activities might amount to at any given time, but the weather patterns have no such use for what the “coupled, non-linear, chaotic” atmosphere might get up to.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Mr.
July 9, 2026 11:19 am

Here. Takes this pill. You are thinking too much and too critically.
Then recite 7 times, “CO2 is evil.”

You will be well on your way to no longer worrying about the truth.

Reply to  Mr.
July 10, 2026 5:10 am

Even worse is mixing Tmax and Tmin into a soup lacking any flavor at all. I would love to know how the assumption that averaging reduces the need for understanding the variance got started in climate science (if not all science).

strativarius
July 9, 2026 10:20 am

Story tip / update: The Met Office and RCP8.5 and UKCP18. Comments welcome.

Q: I am writing with regard to the international committee responsible for the official scenarios that feed into climate modelling, and thereby into UKCP18.  

You will no doubt be aware that the scenario used has been declared implausible.  This is an absolutely huge development in climate science that will have lasting impacts across research and policy. The future is not what it used to be.

Just as RCP8.5 has been ruled as implausible, so have all the Met Office’s climate predictions based upon it.  What is the plan to discard the implausible UKCP18 and what will you advise to the Climate Change Committee about RCP8.5s new junk status?

I think we should be told…. Maybe you can get someone on to the BBC to explain it?

Kind regards…
————————————-

R: Met Office Hadley Centre scientists were involved in the scientific paper published by the ScenarioMIP group which has described new scenarios of future climate for use in climate modelling. As part of this, they have ruled that recent real-world developments mean it has become much less likely that emissions will reach the levels in the previous highest emissions pathway, SSP5-8.5. The previous lowest emission scenario, SSP1-1.9, has also been ruled implausible as it is inconsistent with observed trends in the climate.
The Met Office Hadley Centre view is that the ScenarioMIP perspective on an SSP5-8.5 level of emissions becoming highly unlikely is based on sound evidence. However, at present there is not enough evidence to rule the next-highest scenario, SSP3-7.0, as implausible. There is still considerable evidence that a global warming relative to pre-industrial levels of 4°C at the end of the 21st century is a plausible, if unlikely, outcome. It is relevant to include as part of a risk assessment as a potential reasonable worst-case scenario.
The UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) includes a range of emission scenarios, with some projection products based on the RCP8.5 scenario (which has a similar 2100 forcing level as the SSP5-8.5 scenario). For UKCP18 products which use scenarios below RCP8.5, results and conclusions can be used as before. Where studies use UKCP18 products based on RCP8.5 but in the context of global warming levels that reach up to 4°C, results and conclusions can also be used as before. Where studies use UKCP18 products based on RCP8.5, users should be aware that the likelihood of temperatures above 4°C being reached by 2100 has been reduced, and that the rate of temperature rise during the 21st century is expected to be somewhat slower. Whilst the importance of these changes for most users is expected to be modest, because of the long lead-times involved, we have advised users to look towards updating their risk assessments when the UK projections are updated in future. We are currently working on more detailed guidance for UKCP18 users.
The upcoming UK Climate Information (UKCI) projections will likely use two scenarios, informed by the new scenarios from ScenarioMIP. One corresponds roughly to greenhouse gas emissions consistent with current global policy; the other is a higher-emission scenario for contingency planning as a reasonable worst-case scenario. This will be above the current policy scenario but below SSP5-8.5.
Whilst SSP5-8.5 is now considered implausible, it is important to note that higher levels of warming still might be reached if some feedbacks in the climate system turn out to be stronger than current estimates, or there are additional feedbacks not included in typical climate model simulations. The plausibility of future scenarios also changes over time. We cannot rule out that scenarios currently considered implausible could become more likely again in the future. For instance, a widespread return to investment in very high fossil fuel use and back-tracking on current climate policies could increase the likelihood of higher emissions.
Rendering the previous highest-emission scenario implausible is positive news for climate action, however the removal of the lowest-emission scenario also highlights that while current climate policies are moving the world away from the most extreme projected outcomes, this is not yet enough to avoid significant impacts.

Hopefully this reply has addressed your concerns.

I’m giving this some thought. What do you think?

Whilst SSP5-8.5 is now considered implausible, it is important to note that higher levels of warming still might be reached if some feedbacks in the climate system turn out to be stronger than current estimates, or there are additional feedbacks not included in typical climate model simulations.

Straws, clutching etc

https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2026/07/04/the-physics-of-the-tropospheric-lapse-rate-refutes-the-radiative-greenhouse-effect/

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  strativarius
July 9, 2026 11:20 am

You posted this on a different thread. I reply there.

Anthony Banton
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 11:51 am

And so did I.

Reply to  strativarius
July 9, 2026 1:31 pm

With the Met-Office sites being most Class 4 and 5, who knows what amount of warming they can conjure up. !

Reply to  strativarius
July 10, 2026 5:15 am

Whilst SSP5-8.5 is now considered implausible, it is important to note that higher levels of warming still might be reached if some feedbacks in the climate system turn out to be stronger than current estimates, or there are additional feedbacks not included in typical climate model simulations.

In other words, we have no reason to change anything.

Reply to  Jim Gorman
July 10, 2026 6:45 am

In other words, they are finally admitting that there are “known unknowns” and possibly even “unknown unknowns” in their models, and the overcertainty they used to profess isn’t there any more. They just can’t admit it directly and still have to obfuscate to try to save the climate crisis.

ResourceGuy
July 9, 2026 11:00 am

Suddenly the news has gone dark on Greenland in the press, except for TDS.

Sparta Nova 4
July 9, 2026 11:05 am

Overdue?
Maybe we should perform a C-section. (C as in climate) 😉

ResourceGuy
July 9, 2026 11:51 am

I’m starting to see a pattern here. Good data like UAH and Greenland melt really stirs up the troll nest.

July 9, 2026 11:57 am

The summer melt has no even begun yet and is already a month overdue.”

Check out the Freya glacier

https://www.foto-webcam.eu/webcam/freya1/2026/07/09/1830

Melt is ahead of previous years on this date, last few days sunny and highs above 10ºC.

Further data from the Polar portal doesn’t support the statement in the OP.

comment image

Reply to  Phil.
July 9, 2026 2:54 pm

Nice cherry pick.

Freya Glacier is and itsy-bitsy glacier somewhere in the orange circle..

… a small area that is actually losing mass.

The data from the whole of Greenland absolutely supports the headline.

comment image

Reply to  bnice2000
July 9, 2026 3:20 pm

Nice. I commented on the puny glacier above, but I like your comment with the graphic better.

Reply to  Phil R
July 9, 2026 3:37 pm

Yet you both ignore the data I posted from the same source as the OP that shows that the melt area exceeds the maximum of the range for this date over the last 30 years!

Reply to  Phil.
July 9, 2026 4:52 pm

My comment was a direct response to Bellman’s diagram showing June 2026 global averages and how averages, without a baseline or reference, are misleading at best. Your comment was an ignorant distraction.

Reply to  Phil R
July 14, 2026 9:16 am

Yes, you said this: “At least you got that right. The below average temperatures are below freezing in the south, but the above average temperatures in the north are only below freezing…”

8.8ºC is not ‘below freezing’, not an “ignorant distraction” I was just pointing out your error with actual data!

MarkW
Reply to  bnice2000
July 9, 2026 3:29 pm

Forget your losses, look at this shiny penny I just found.

Reply to  Phil.
July 20, 2026 6:14 am

The strong melting is continuing in Greenland contrary to the article.

comment image

rtj1211
July 10, 2026 1:11 am

Too complicated for sheep MPs in Westminster….